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I like this. My favorite TE this week is Walker, but I like Hooper a ton especially at his price point. I haven't convinced myself that Bell/DJ is the way to go @ RB but it's really hard to argue that they are the wrong call. Wright isn't a favorite of mine, FWIW.
He was pretty good late in the year last year, and there's no tamme competition this year. Overall Atlanta tes put up good numbers but spread between the two, so reasonable to think hoops stays on the field and will be a dependable option. These lineups look a lot like mine as well:
All of this. Plus Hooper is really talented. He will likely have duds when Julio is going crazy, but I like him a lot as a viable option in why should be an explosive offense
Buzz, plus are you figuring in the targets to the other TE that isn't around from last year? Plus it's trying to target a guy from a team with a higher chance to score TDs.
I kept hearing on podcasts and reading, that the Bears front 7 is pretty tough, and they might act a bit like a funnel D, so that got me on Ryan/Julio in gpps a bit. Plus I think it was Freeman at home and Coleman away last year. Still love Freeman, and this is week 1, so anything goes...
I am new to DFS, last year was my first time to play any contests. What I am not understanding is the following: ownership of Bell/DJ is going to be extremely high this week. If you are playing against these lineups this week you are relying on your scrubs outscoring their scrubs, right (the RBs will likely be a tie)? Could you pivot to a second tier RB and make up ground with WR2-3, TE? Is the thought that Bell/DJ will carry such a high score not playing them is a virtual loss in cash games?
I think for me it was that I could also get other pieces that I wanted in without forcing too much. I doubt we will be able to get both in after this week much, so I thought why not. Dropping from DJ/Bell to McCoy or Zeke wasn't that much of a savings, and I didn't think a slight upgrade in TE or K was worth it. I know Gurley is in a prime spot, but I still want to see something there before using him in cash, and nobody in that price range blew my hair back.
I think this question comes down to what stakes and contest types you are playing in. For experts who are playing $1000 entry double ups, and every lineup is going to be 75% similar, there is a real pressure to identify pivot picks and fade consensus. However, in my experience last year in $1 and $2 entry contests, you can do yourself a disservice by bending over backwards to move off chalk picks. Sometimes guys are projected 40% owned for a reason, and I don't mind banking the points.
@BreadPuddin -
I am no pro.
The obvious downside is that I'm busy on the weekend, and have more time to tinker with lineups on Thursday. I enjoyed the mental relief that comes from setting and forgetting some THU-MON lineup.Tennessee_ATO said:
Different opinions on this too. I think it's Dodds who stacks his cash LUs, but also enters them in 3x, 100-man, and gpps. If you are playing it safer or just doing 50/50s it might be better to spread it out and do Wilson or Graham/Ertz as pivots?
I think people have hesitation because Coleman gets some work/tds. Perhaps a zeke/freeman card is in order....
I tend to run my cash lineups in some triples and leagues. I'm kicking the tires on something like:
In fact, as I typed that, I looked going to Jax D allows you to get in Eifert/Graham/Walker along with Mariota/Bell/DJ/Crabtree/Baldwin. SO something like:
Mariota/Bell/DJ/Baldwin/Crabtree/Wright/Walker/4500K/Jax. OR mariota/Bell/DJ/Baldwin/Crabtree/Wrigt/Ertz/Crosby/Jax.
Then you are just punting at a chalky WR3 and Def.
Good Luck! As of now I am sticking to the cash LU I posted a bit ago. Still thinking about Wright, but will probably still just stick with the chalk.
If that is the case, I wouldn't shy away from a stack in a cash LU if you really like it. Not sure I would seek out to do it on purpose, but if those are your 2 favorite plays at the positions, why not. I assume the theory is the bigger weeks would be worth it if you miss on a couple weeks too.
Yeah, that's my thought process. I am more willing to go w/ higher variance lineups than I would if I was straight 50/50 and doubles.
And it just might pay off in spades - I can think of worse stacks. Good luck with it!
I tried that one on DK. Cousins and Stafford stood out at guys that I hadn't heard people talking about much this week.Oh ya Cousins / Pryor as well just for good measure
if your plan is to fade a high scoring game or two that you think will be highly owned, then it seems like the main slate is the ideal slate to play gpps in, no?
I tried this as well, and liked the results for the most part. I just need to stick to one cash LU though. Doing 2-3 drove me nuts.
