FanDuel Week 10 (1 Viewer)

[Scoresman]

What's the deal with D. Williams? Swollen foot? What does that mean? What are people doing with their Thursday lineups?

 

[SeniorVBDStudent]

Have yall seen KC's points against for the last 4 weeks? Am i reading it right?

 

[SeniorVBDStudent]

Have yall seen KC's points against for the last 4 weeks? Am i reading it right?

CHI 18 MIN 16 PITT 13 DET 10.

detroits a joke but still...

 

[Loipz]

What's the deal with D. Williams? Swollen foot? What does that mean? What are people doing with their Thursday lineups?

I am running gurley, blount/DMC in my Thursday lineups. And waiting until Sunday to get more news and see if I have to pivot from D. Will.

 

[AquaBliss]

I have AP in all my lineups this week. DeAngelo ran all over the Raiders last week and AP is primed to do the same.

 

[jdoggydogg]

Anyone daring enough to start Kirk Cousins in FanDuel this week?

 

[NixonMask]

In tournaments

 

[mrip541]

Can't decide whether to go Eifert or Reed. Choice only seems to impact kicker selection. Might play Sunday only so I don't have to choose, and I get to dodge the potential NY Monday ban.

 

[Scoresman]

Anyone daring enough to start Kirk Cousins in FanDuel this week?

 

[DukeBroadway]

I am gonna have some Cousins cash exposure. Hard to pass up.

 

[DukeBroadway]

I have AP in all my lineups this week. DeAngelo ran all over the Raiders last week and AP is primed to do the same.

Having a passing game like the steelers had going opens up alot for the running game, just sayin.

 

[Bobcat10]

Caution with Alshon. Missed practice today after tweaking groin yesterday.

 

[DukeBroadway]

Was just gonna say that Bobcat. I am fading him for thurday, gonna pivot up to cobb.

 

[Bobcat10]

Was just gonna say that Bobcat. I am fading him for thurday, gonna pivot up to cobb.

Yep, I'm running a similar Cousins LU from what you posted. I have McFadden instead of Williams, Olsen at TE and Zuerlein at K. That said, I do have Williams, Reed and Nugent spread out in my other two cash LU's.

 

[jdoggydogg]

Forsett does not have a good match up.

Jags actually decent vs. the run, and Balt doesn't seem willing to force feed Forsett carries.

 

[jdoggydogg]

Until you withdraw they probably don't want it. They don't need, no need for the liability of having it

That's not exactly right. They are obligated to file 1099s for income of (I think) $600 or more. It doesn't matter if you w/d money or not. If your net winnings are $600+ (I think that's the amount), they have to report that income.

I won $3k on a $5 ticket. Should I assume I'll get taxed 40-50% of that?

 

[jdoggydogg]

Anyone daring enough to start Kirk Cousins in FanDuel this week?

Yeah, I have him on 2 of my 8 tickets.

 

[Kitrick Taylor]

Until you withdraw they probably don't want it. They don't need, no need for the liability of having it

That's not exactly right. They are obligated to file 1099s for income of (I think) $600 or more. It doesn't matter if you w/d money or not. If your net winnings are $600+ (I think that's the amount), they have to report that income.

I won $3k on a $5 ticket. Should I assume I'll get taxed 40-50% of that?

I don't know for sure, but I would guess it would be at whatever you pay for your federal rate for regular income.

 

[frae]

Are we all getting off Jeffery on Thursday night now? I have moved to Cobb and D Thomas.

D-Will practiced in full today so I am comfortable rolling him out tonight.

 

[Tennessee_ATO]

Until you withdraw they probably don't want it. They don't need, no need for the liability of having it

That's not exactly right. They are obligated to file 1099s for income of (I think) $600 or more. It doesn't matter if you w/d money or not. If your net winnings are $600+ (I think that's the amount), they have to report that income.

I won $3k on a $5 ticket. Should I assume I'll get taxed 40-50% of that?

That's between you, your accountant, and the IRS. All I know is that FD will send a 1099 to the gub-mint reporting your net winnings as income by 1/31/16 if your net winnings are $600+.

 

[Bobcat10]

Are we all getting off Jeffery on Thursday night now? I have moved to Cobb and D Thomas.

D-Will practiced in full today so I am comfortable rolling him out tonight.

Feeling the same on all fronts.

 

[DukeBroadway]

Are we all getting off Jeffery on Thursday night now? I have moved to Cobb and D Thomas.

D-Will practiced in full today so I am comfortable rolling him out tonight.

Thats what I did. I just am having a hard time paying up for Gurley. I just dont like how my line ups with him look compared to my others

 

[frae]

Are we all getting off Jeffery on Thursday night now? I have moved to Cobb and D Thomas.

D-Will practiced in full today so I am comfortable rolling him out tonight.

Thats what I did. I just am having a hard time paying up for Gurley. I just dont like how my line ups with him look compared to my others

Well I am comfortable with him in my Cousins lineup as I like how it looks, but I agree it was harder to make it work with a pricier QB...

Cousins

Gurley

McFadden

D Thomas

Cobb

Crabtree

Reed

Nugent

GB

 

[DukeBroadway]

Are we all getting off Jeffery on Thursday night now? I have moved to Cobb and D Thomas.

D-Will practiced in full today so I am comfortable rolling him out tonight.

Thats what I did. I just am having a hard time paying up for Gurley. I just dont like how my line ups with him look compared to my others

Well I am comfortable with him in my Cousins lineup as I like how it looks, but I agree it was harder to make it work with a pricier QB...Cousins

Gurley

McFadden

D Thomas

Cobb

Crabtree

Reed

Nugent

GB

Yeah. I will have to tinker more. I think I can only do it with cousins. I wanna fit gronk into a line up, i think i am just to in love with the 7500-7900 wrs.

 

[NixonMask]

I'm running with

Newton

McFadden

Ivory

Cobb

Robinson

Crabtree

Eifert

Gostkowski

GB

I am still on Gurley close to 100%, but Thursday is my smaller slate so just for variation keeping him off this one. Only thing that could change it is any kind of news to get me to pivot off Ivory

 

[Scoresman]

Gurley, Deangelo, Robinson, Gronk all in the same lineup.

 

[DukeBroadway]

Gurley, Deangelo, Robinson, Gronk all in the same lineup.

I am curious what the rest of that looks like.

 

[Bobcat10]

Gurley, Deangelo, Robinson, Gronk all in the same lineup.

I am curious what the rest of that looks like.

Cousins decker Aiken K D

Nothing earth shattering here really.

 

[Scoresman]

Gurley, Deangelo, Robinson, Gronk all in the same lineup.

I am curious what the rest of that looks like.

Cousins decker Aiken K D

Nothing earth shattering here really.

Almost. Swap Decker with Crabtree.

 

[avina1]

I kind of like Carson Palmer this week...

 

[crusty crab]

I have a sudden impulse to throw Doug Martin in a few Thursday GPPs. Mistake, or big mistake? I'm rolling with it.

 

[Pantherz]

I've been having an easy time of it this year on H2Hs. Been laying them out there all year and they have always filled within an hour, sometimes within a minute or two with -100 win opponents. I put 18 out there yesterday at 3 pm and 3 of them still havent filled. Only one was taken yesterday. Now when they do get picked up, they are being picked up by 10,000+ win opponents. Did the low win guys get spooked this week?

 

[AquaBliss]

I kind of like Carson Palmer this week...

Ya, seems like no love for Michael Floyd this week - he's my sleeper. I know, I know, Seattle D at home, blah blah

 

[avina1]

I kind of like Carson Palmer this week...

Ya, seems like no love for Michael Floyd this week - he's my sleeper. I know, I know, Seattle D at home, blah blah

Michael Floyd for me as well... at $5900 he is still a steal.

Another things I like about the Cardinals this week is, they have a damn good defense and match-up well against the Seahawks. I can see the Seahawks struggling on offense and giving Palmer a lot more offensive opportunities. I also think Andre Ellington will be a nice little play. I wouldn't put him in a GPP but he can easily pad Palmer's passing stats, especially if he scores a TD. Floyd, and their TE's are a huge red-zone threat as well.

 

[Bobcat10]

Quick first look - Deangelo, Robinson and Reed are really the only high owned players (>40%) from my 3 teams.

 

[Pantherz]

My check withdrawal from FanDuel was declined? Hmmmm....... sent a message to support. I filled out the form yesterday with my SSN. Money came off of my balance immediately, then it reappeared this afternoon in my account. Went to my account history and it showed "check withdrawal declined". No e-mail or explanation.

 

[Tennessee_ATO]

I have a sudden impulse to throw Doug Martin in a few Thursday GPPs. Mistake, or big mistake? I'm rolling with it.

Already beat you to it. Did it for Thurs plays so I couldn't change my mind. Why not?

 

[DukeBroadway]

I have DWill in the 60's,Robinson mid 40's, Reed and crabtree mid 30's to 40.

 

[crusty crab]

I have a sudden impulse to throw Doug Martin in a few Thursday GPPs. Mistake, or big mistake? I'm rolling with it.

Already beat you to it. Did it for Thurs plays so I couldn't change my mind. Why not?

It could pay off. Pretty good matchup, and has had a few bad weeks so very few are on him. Looks like around 4-7% ownership. I don't think I've seen anyone mention him this week. I was picking between him and Starks for a decent bit cheaper. Way more people have Starks. I also thought he was a good pivot from what I assumed would be more people playing Blount. We shall see. Good luck.

 

[Tennessee_ATO]

I have a sudden impulse to throw Doug Martin in a few Thursday GPPs. Mistake, or big mistake? I'm rolling with it.

Already beat you to it. Did it for Thurs plays so I couldn't change my mind. Why not?

It could pay off. Pretty good matchup, and has had a few bad weeks so very few are on him. Looks like around 4-7% ownership. I don't think I've seen anyone mention him this week. I was picking between him and Starks for a decent bit cheaper. Way more people have Starks. I also thought he was a good pivot from what I assumed would be more people playing Blount. We shall see. Good luck.

Same to you. I think he could easily hit 20+ points ... or < 5 points.

 

[DukeBroadway]

Hope crabtree can offset Decker.

 

[Annyong]

Maybe this has been covered, but what's up with FanDuel need my SS# and personal info to make a withdrawal? I don't remember doing that last year.

 

[Tennessee_ATO]

Maybe this has been covered, but what's up with FanDuel need my SS# and personal info to make a withdrawal? I don't remember doing that last year.

How much did you win this year vs last? They are required to send a 1099 to the IRS for anyone who nets $600+.

 

[Scoresman]

Hope crabtree can offset Decker.

Indeed, I thought that not only was Decker due for some regression, but that a Thursday game would be the catalyst to make it happen. Guess not.

I dont really care that Decker had a good game. So many people fill their Thursday lineups with Thursday players. Those garbage entries give an edge you cant find in Sunday games. I may play exclusively Thursdays games here on out.

 

[Tennessee_ATO]

Hope crabtree can offset Decker.

Indeed, I thought that not only was Decker due for some regression, but that a Thursday game would be the catalyst to make it happen. Guess not.

I dont really care that Decker had a good game. So many people fill their Thursday lineups with Thursday players. Those garbage entries give an edge you cant find in Sunday games. I may play exclusively Thursdays games here on out.

Do we have actual data that that is true? I've always suspected that the Thursday players are more obviously rostered than the Sunday early games because (a) there are no other games being played and (b) they sit there with their scores for 2.5 days. I mean, there are people loaded-up on every game trying to hit their GPPs. Do we know that Thursday players are owned at a higher rate than some random Sunday 1:00 pm game?

 

[Scoresman]

Hope crabtree can offset Decker.

Indeed, I thought that not only was Decker due for some regression, but that a Thursday game would be the catalyst to make it happen. Guess not.

I dont really care that Decker had a good game. So many people fill their Thursday lineups with Thursday players. Those garbage entries give an edge you cant find in Sunday games. I may play exclusively Thursdays games here on out.

Do we have actual data that that is true? I've always suspected that the Thursday players are more obviously rostered than the Sunday early games because (a) there are no other games being played and (b) they sit there with their scores for 2.5 days. I mean, there are people loaded-up on every game trying to hit their GPPs. Do we know that Thursday players are owned at a higher rate than some random Sunday 1:00 pm game?

I have plenty of anecdotal evidence.

 

[Bobcat10]

I can't get to that link from work, but all I have to do is scroll through all my cash games to see evidence of over-rostering the game last night (which was pretty close to a total fade, imo). You'll hit a couple rosters that had just Buffalo or just Decker, but many of the rosters with multiple players from that game are pretty dead.

I don't think Scoresman was referring to GPPs.

 

[Tennessee_ATO]

Hope crabtree can offset Decker.

Indeed, I thought that not only was Decker due for some regression, but that a Thursday game would be the catalyst to make it happen. Guess not.

I dont really care that Decker had a good game. So many people fill their Thursday lineups with Thursday players. Those garbage entries give an edge you cant find in Sunday games. I may play exclusively Thursdays games here on out.

Do we have actual data that that is true? I've always suspected that the Thursday players are more obviously rostered than the Sunday early games because (a) there are no other games being played and (b) they sit there with their scores for 2.5 days. I mean, there are people loaded-up on every game trying to hit their GPPs. Do we know that Thursday players are owned at a higher rate than some random Sunday 1:00 pm game?

I have plenty of anecdotal evidence.

But doofuses do that for every game, not just Thursday night games. We just don't notice it because their scores are lost in everyone else's whereas the Thursday night scores are the only scores we see.

I'm not necessarily saying the Thursday night game isn't rostered at a higher rate than other games, because I don't know one way or the other. I'm only saying that I believe that whatever the increased ownership percentages (if there are any at all), they are almost certainly being overestimated based on anecdotal observation alone.

 

[Tennessee_ATO]

I can't get to that link from work, but all I have to do is scroll through all my cash games to see evidence of over-rostering the game last night (which was pretty close to a total fade, imo). You'll hit a couple rosters that had just Buffalo or just Decker, but many of the rosters with multiple players from that game are pretty dead.

I don't think Scoresman was referring to GPPs.

We were posting at the same time or I would have included yours in my response.

1% of the $1.00 50/50 league he linked went heavy on TNF game. 2% rostered Fitzpatrick, Ivory, and Decker -- not an ideal assortment, but any of those players was a reasonable roster IMO (I actually rostered Decker in my cash lineup) and the doofuses don't worry about negative correlation or minimizing risk in any game. Then you had a Tyrod, Decker, Carpenter combo. Again, that's not crazy actually (although I don't like the Tyrod call) and actually a pretty OK return on the salary (41.02 on $18,600). At the end of the day, 31% of that 50/50 rostered at least 1 player from last night, and the majority of them just had 1 (4 had just Watkins [chasing points], 7 had just Decker [good call], 1 NYJ, 2 Marshall, 2 Karlos, 3 Tyrod, 2 Ivory).

Coming into the night I think Decker, Ivory, and either DST was a reasonable call.

Regardless, in order to make a comparison we have to have something to compare that to and that's what we don't know. We need to mine the data from $1 50/50 once the Sunday slate starts to see if the Thursday night ownership is unexpectedly high and, assuming it is, how high.

 

[cheese]

I think you're right to want evidence, but all I can say is it's obvious week after week. Someone smarter than me will come up with the math, but we know the answer.