Mine is similar...guess I'm leaning more towards cheaper RB than WR. My confidence is shot after the last two weeks, so not sure what is right.Need a cheap WR3 to fill a hole in this cash lineup:
- ASmith
- Bell, McCoy/Michael
- Cooper, Landry/Maclin, [???]
- Kelce/Walker, Haush/Crosby/Novak, Bills/Titans
I'm becoming less worried about Jennings as the week goes on. He still looks to be hurt. Bobby has been productive in his limited role too. Baltimore has a good rush defense. They are an absolute civ to pass catching backs though. If NYG demonstrate any kind of rational gameplan Rainey will have a great game. Are they capable of a rational gameplan in New York right now though?With Jennings likely back, Bobby will get less work.
Meredith is closer to 2 data points than 1. Once he got on the field two weeks ago as an injury replacement he didnt come off the field. Assuming Royal is out again, and he hasnt practiced all week, I am pretty sure he gets the opportunity again. Whether he really is good is another question though.Need a cheap WR3 to fill a hole in this cash lineup:
I'll probably play 2-3 variations of this lineup, and am looking at the following WR3s:
- ASmith
- Bell, McCoy/Michael
- Cooper, Landry/Maclin, [???]
- Kelce/Walker, Haush/Crosby/Novak, Bills/Titans
I don't love any of them, but the Value Chart is all over Thomas and Meredith. Maybe a dent for Thomas is that Snead is back (although he is used differently than Thomas who's more in the Colston role). Meredith has just one data point, which was a nice game last week but before that had just 4-28, but there's so little history. Assuming that Dez comes back puts a slight dent in Beasley, but he's still probably one of the safer punts for 5-10 points. Tavon Austin has a nice matchup but really have a hard time putting him in the lineup. Robert Woods has a nice matchup as the "WR1" for the Bills but is more of a GPP play.
- Cole Beasley
- Tavon Austin
- Robert Woods
- Michael Thomas
- Cameron Meredith
Beasley and Austin may have the best floors, while Thomas and Meredith have better ceilings.
Any thoughts?
what do you mean by this?Only thing to be aware of is there could be some weather in alot of the West Coast games. It doesnt look too bad right now though. Ive actually been looking at the Chiefs D a bit for GPP. Oakland has been over performing for a few weeks now, after that miracle win against the Chargers I can see a bit of a let down this week. Add in some rain and the highest projected winds right now and I could see a special teams led upset there.
i think youre going to have some michael thomas in cash lineups this week. kinda like deandre washington last week. it feels dirty but theres really no value to be had this week so gotta sacrifice somewhere. yes the the threat of a 0 is real.I'm seeing a lot of Michael Thomas lineups- I'm not so sure I'm on board with that. Fleener has been more involved, and had Kuhn snag a td pass from him. And isn't Snead back? there's cooks too, who has had a quiet few weeks, maybe he's the play at home.
if this is a gpp lineup then you should have kelce over walker obv.KarmaPolice said:I just threw a LU into a couple Thurs-Mon that ended up with a similar projection - average is 128.6. I guess the key is Smith and a cheap WR this week. I do have a Brady and Wilson LU I am tinkering with for Sunday's slate, but did this for Thurs-Mon:
Smith
Bell, McCoy
Marshall, Sanders, Thomas
Walker
Novak
Buffalo
wow that seems unnecessarily risky for a cash lineup. dat wr coreCash LUs
ASmith/McCoy/Miller/Cooks/Landry/Meredith/Olsen/Succ/Ten
Mariota/McCoy/Miller/Cooper/TY/Meredith/Kelce/Succ/Buff
Taylor/McCoy/Bell/JNelson/MThomas/Meredithh/Walker/Boswell/Buff
Brady/McCoy/Bell/Austin/MThomas/Conley/Gronk/Novak/Buff- Wobbling on this one as a Cash
Brees/McCoy/Bell/Cooks/Meredith/Conley/Walker/Tucker/Buff-Wobbling on this one as well
My $25.00 GPP entry, also my week 5 survivor LU
ASmith/McCoy/Miller/Maclin/Hopkins/Austin/Kelce/Vinatierei/Buff
Thoughts welcomed
Over performing was probably the wrong word. They have had alot of close games. Week 1 they had the walk off 2 point conversion against New Orleans and last week was a miracle win against SD. They also have a 1 point win against Baltimore two weeks ago. Thats alot of things that have gone their way so far this season. Things could absolutely keep going Oaklands way this week. But, as we saw last night there are always ups and downs in any NFL season. For the entire season every break went against San Diego, last night everything went San Diegos way. The Oakland game is also expected to have some wind and rain. Kansas City is also coming off a bye and Andy Reid's teams are REALLY good when coming off a bye. Oakland also doesnt have a serviceable RB at the moment, Kansas City knows they are going to pass. Last part of the thought is Kansas City is a boom or bust defense. This is more of a feeling than a position backed by empirical data, but I get the feeling Kansas City D is in much better spot than it would first seem.what do you mean by this?
Just giving you #### - just like you said, so what if 4-5 of us on here play that guy too, there are 1000s of other combinations around a player we mention as well. There were a few lineups that I needed a cheap Rb for and I sprinkled a couple of Rainey (bad pun intended) and a J.Richard in there. I wish more people posted their thoughts and rosters here each week, but I understand why people might not want to as well.I'm becoming less worried about Jennings as the week goes on. He still looks to be hurt. Bobby has been productive in his limited role too. Baltimore has a good rush defense. They are an absolute civ to pass catching backs though. If NYG demonstrate any kind of rational gameplan Rainey will have a great game. Are they capable of a rational gameplan in New York right now though?
@KarmaPolice tens of thousands of people play DFS each week. A tiny fraction of a small percentage are going to see that random guy on the footballguys forum is on Bobby Rainey this week. I can understand why people are skeptical, the negatives are obvious. But I mean come on, youre looking at a guy thats going to be less than 1% owned at near min priced who could get near 10 carries and 10 targets. And hes been productive too. Even against a very good Packers rush defense he had almost 4.5 YPC. It was almost 5.5 the week before against Minnesota. Are you kidding me?! And on top of that the Baltimore rush defense, that everyone thinks is really good is actually, secretly, a bottom 3 defense against pass catching RBs. If we're talking poker analogies Bobby Rainey is an open ended straight flush draw on the flop right now. I may go broke, but youre damn sure I'm getting it all in here.
That was my cash LUif this is a gpp lineup then you should have kelce over walker obv.
I hear you on the opportunity, but I honestly don't think a single RB is in a better situation this week for all the reasons Ive already listed.I get that Rainey may be very low owned and the need to differentiate yourself. I just cant pass on backs with better situations and opportunities. I dont understand why the giants dont give Perkins more work. That guy has it. For your sake I hope you are on to something. In the grand scheme its a dart throw but only has to hit once.
Crap, I have most lineups built around Smith, Cooper, Maclin and Kelce too. Thanks for the heads up, it's worth monitoring as the weather could easily change from forecast 48 hours out.What do you guys think about the weather situation for the Oak/KC game? Its supposed to be raining and windy (15-30mph) for the whole game. I have at least 1 of Smith ,Maclin, Cooper, Crabtree and Kelce in every one of my lineups and this news has got me thinking about blowing them all up. or maybe put them all in a gpp and fade them in cash?
lol wtfI hear you on the opportunity, but I honestly don't think a single RB is in a better situation this week for all the reasons Ive already listed.
He is going around 1% owned. He is playing against one of the worst defenses in the league against pass catching running backs. He is a really good pass catching running back. In Rainey's limited role in the Giants running game so far he has been productive. Rashad Jennings health is still a question mark, he logged his third straight limited practice today. He is going to be around 1% owned. And finally, he is going to be around 1% owned.lol wtf
FWIW, both podcasts that I am listening to seem to be big on Clay for gpp, and even suggested a Taylor-Clay stack.Very good point... with Kaep in at QB, definitely possible for the Bills D to take advantage.
DukeBroadway said:I am not considering him, and dont feel like i am doing it wrong. I just feel like I am passing up on to many points by rostering a guy that will have limited touches with not much for TD upside vs a back in a better situation that will get the lionshare of RB work. I would prefer taking my chances on a cheap wr. You may be onto something, but you dont need a 1% to win a gpp. I will totally accept a "told you so" if Rainey hits 3x. I want you to succeed as a footballguy brethren.
This is my struggle as well, and I think I have been burned a lot of times with trying to find that one guy that I think will pop that nobody is on (see Powell last week). Then I look at the winning teams and it doesn't seem like they are driven by those guys.You have to think outside the box. I am rooting for ya. I think you have a legit shot if Jennings is out and the Ravens can get up early and forcing more passing situations. I haven't taken a look at team totals for this game.
I like to stack + opponent receiver mostly (high-variance strategy).Curious as to how some of you guys treat the 100man leagues? Do you feel the need to stack, or just enter your cash lineup?
I just watched a bunch of local weat her stuff and it seems the worest of it is today and winds and rain will be much lower tommorow. I wouldn't worry about itRaging weasel said:What do you guys think about the weather situation for the Oak/KC game? Its supposed to be raining and windy (15-30mph) for the whole game. I have at least 1 of Smith ,Maclin, Cooper, Crabtree and Kelce in every one of my lineups and this news has got me thinking about blowing them all up. or maybe put them all in a gpp and fade them in cash?
This is one of the cash lineups I posted earlier crept I have Austin and NovakWell, I revamped a bunch of gpps and have a handful in. Ended up not going with any cheap options at Rb this week. I think my cheapest is one Ingram, and one Mathews. Of course that means that I mostly went cheap at WR3 or TE when I had to skimp. Figured I would put my money where my mouth is and use the cheap WRs that I listed in my post on page 1 since most popped up when I was looking at options vs. bad Ds. I will throw a couple LUs out there for ridicule, comments, etc.
Dak/D.Murray/Mathews/Nelson/Cooks/Cooper/Witten/Novak/Philly
Kept saying that I was eyeing this game up. IF GB can slow down Zeke, Dak will have to pass. Witten has seen a bump in targets w/o Dez, and a lot of RZ % for the team. On the other side, who knows WTF is going on with the GB rbs, so I think Rodgers will also have to sling it and have a high Vegas total- enter Nelson into the lineup. I was heeing and hawing on Mathews, but Wash is terrible vs. the rush and now Wash will be even worse with Reed's health issues, so I will do the RB/Def stack as well here.
Brady/Bell/McCoy/Meredith/Thomas/Conley/Gronk/Tucker/Buff
This one is my WTF cheap WR gpp so I can get my favorite 2 players and the best 2 rbs for the week in that probably won't do anything. Basically the 'chalk' cheap WRs, but doubt anybody is playing all 3!!!
Here they areCash LUs
ASmith/McCoy/Miller/Cooks/Landry/Meredith/Olsen/Succ/Ten
Mariota/McCoy/Miller/Cooper/TY/Meredith/Kelce/Succ/Buff
Taylor/McCoy/Bell/JNelson/MThomas/Meredithh/Walker/Boswell/Buff
Brady/McCoy/Bell/Austin/MThomas/Conley/Gronk/Novak/Buff- Wobbling on this one as a Cash
Brees/McCoy/Bell/Cooks/Meredith/Conley/Walker/Tucker/Buff-Wobbling on this one as well
My $25.00 GPP entry, also my week 5 survivor LU
ASmith/McCoy/Miller/Maclin/Hopkins/Austin/Kelce/Vinatierei/Buff
Thoughts welcomed
Too funny. I gurss good luck to us! I am just in a $1 gpp, so we can both take top prize.This is one of the cash lineups I posted earlier crept I have Austin and Novak
and I have it in the Sunday million dollar gpp
I must have missed this before.Cash LUs
ASmith/McCoy/Miller/Cooks/Landry/Meredith/Olsen/Succ/Ten
Mariota/McCoy/Miller/Cooper/TY/Meredith/Kelce/Succ/Buff
Taylor/McCoy/Bell/JNelson/MThomas/Meredithh/Walker/Boswell/Buff
Brady/McCoy/Bell/Austin/MThomas/Conley/Gronk/Novak/Buff- Wobbling on this one as a Cash
Brees/McCoy/Bell/Cooks/Meredith/Conley/Walker/Tucker/Buff-Wobbling on this one as well
My $25.00 GPP entry, also my week 5 survivor LU
ASmith/McCoy/Miller/Maclin/Hopkins/Austin/Kelce/Vinatierei/Buff
Thoughts welcomed
I agree about LU 3 and pulled McCoy and Nelson/Thomas and added LMiller, Marvin and WallaceI must have missed this before.
Of the ones you listed, I think I like them in about that order. I can barely talk myself into Smith for cash, much less anybody else under 8000. I think Mariota and Taylor are a bit risky for cash, but I guess they do have some rush potential to boost their floor. #3 is too Buff loaded, IMO. I would try to get off of Taylor in that one, or McCoy. You have McCoy in all of them, maybe put one together without him? Also, as you see, that McCoy/Bell combo is going to make it hella hard to have decent WRs. I personally would only want one of Meredith/Thomas rostered in cash. Not sure about the math, but you could turn McCoy into Miller in #3 and maybe come down from Nelson and upgrade your #2.. Maybe instead of McCoy/Nelson/Meredith, it's Miller/Marvin/Maclin or something? Dunno, I am just spitballing here...
With the stacks and a couple low priced WRs in there, I like the last two as gpp more, especially that championship 4th lineup!![]()
Like that gpp lineup!
Yeah, keep saying that game keeps pulling me in. Vegas seems to like itHuh, I was planning on fadingim but therop on Zeke this week.o/u 90. .5 rushing yards. Th. at o/u is weirdly high too. I may have to get him in a few lineups
Still that way?I just watched a bunch of local weat her stuff and it seems the worest of it is today and winds and rain will be much lower tommorow. I wouldn't worry about it
I like all of these but especially #2I think I am going with 3 cash line ups this week, still thinking:
Newton - McCoy - Miller - Cooper - Landry - Thomas - Kelce - Novak - Titans
Brees - McCoy - Bell - Maclin - Landry - Meredith - Pitta - Novak - Bills
Smith - McCoy - Bell - Hilton - Benjamin - Thomas - Pitta - Novak - Titans
I wanted some Walker, just didnt like what happened with my WR's.