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FDuel Week 11 (1 Viewer)

QB: Peyton, RG3, Palmer at home v Atl is the lowest cost option I have in lineups

RB: Gore, Lacy, Moreno, Hillis :unsure:

TE: I am all in on Reed

Deciding on other positions still
Rolling with Hillis too, I think. Not the worst $4500 special.

Still not sold in Reed just yet for some reason. I still just don't trust RG3 to use him consistently. Doubling down on T-Gonz after it blew up in my face last week.

Also, I have this feeling that Brady's going to explode this week. It just doesn't make any sense for him to be this bad. Week 2 with Gronk, Dolphins at home. I'm taking the gamble that we see a bit of vintage Brady this week.

 
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So far, I've mostly been picking and choosing my H2H opponents each week, but that can be tedious at times. I'm thinking of posting some H2Hs for others to select.

For any of you that have posted H2Hs for others to select, did your opponents end up being mostly beginners or experienced players?

What have you all's experiences been like with this?
I started going on the site an putting up single games and it appears they get scarfed up quickly by "new" players. In posting single games several times a day I've been getting about 90% opponents with less than 20 wins. A little time consuming but less so than trying to find offered games by inexperienced players.
 
Gianluca said:
Do you guys have a thread in the FFA for college football/hoops & NBA? I looked quick but didnt see one. Thanks
There's this one for NBA that got to 20 pages and then died in February. Not sure why. I bumped it the other day, hopefully it gets active again once the season starts.

 
Pantherz said:
So far, I've mostly been picking and choosing my H2H opponents each week, but that can be tedious at times. I'm thinking of posting some H2Hs for others to select.

For any of you that have posted H2Hs for others to select, did your opponents end up being mostly beginners or experienced players?

What have you all's experiences been like with this?
I started going on the site an putting up single games and it appears they get scarfed up quickly by "new" players. In posting single games several times a day I've been getting about 90% opponents with less than 20 wins. A little time consuming but less so than trying to find offered games by inexperienced players.
I take it that you think posting single games is key?

 
Ignoratio Elenchi said:
So far, I've mostly been picking and choosing my H2H opponents each week, but that can be tedious at times. I'm thinking of posting some H2Hs for others to select.

For any of you that have posted H2Hs for others to select, did your opponents end up being mostly beginners or experienced players?

What have you all's experiences been like with this?
It's a mix of both. I think in week 6 condia grabbed like 20 of my H2Hs, lol. It was kind of silly, we were going up against each other with a bunch of different lineups, not sure who "won" other than Fanduel collecting the rake. I've been winning at such a great clip that I haven't really sat down to delve into the details of who I've been facing, etc. I'm just trying to get as much action as I can handle each week for now.

Edit: Wow, just looked it up - condia took 17 of my H2Hs in week 6. I won 15 of them. He didn't take any of mine last week. :)
You do seem to be winning at quite an impressive rate. Are you playing a bunch of lineups each week, or are you just playing your "best" 1 or 2 lineups in a large number of games each week?

 
Going heavy on the following this week:

QB: Manning, RG3 (looked normal last week)

RB: Moreno, Gore, Lynch, L Bell

WR: Brown, Garçon, Moore, Decker, VJax

TE: Gonzalez, Reed

K: Bailey, Henery

DST: Bengals, Chiefs
With the exception of L Bell and VJax, all of these players are on teams of mine this week as well. If I was further diversifying, I'd probably consider playing both of them as well - though I like L Bell better for the value.

 
Pantherz said:
So far, I've mostly been picking and choosing my H2H opponents each week, but that can be tedious at times. I'm thinking of posting some H2Hs for others to select.

For any of you that have posted H2Hs for others to select, did your opponents end up being mostly beginners or experienced players?

What have you all's experiences been like with this?
I started going on the site an putting up single games and it appears they get scarfed up quickly by "new" players. In posting single games several times a day I've been getting about 90% opponents with less than 20 wins. A little time consuming but less so than trying to find offered games by inexperienced players.
I take it that you think posting single games is key?
It's just my theory, that the guys searching for H2H may prefer setting up a game with someone posting one game vs someone with 20, or 100 games listed. You know those guys are the every week hardcore players. I have noticed as my wins get higher, my games seem to be slower to fill also. Sitting at 200 now. I just posted one that took an hour to fill, but my opponent has 0 wins.
 
Throwing together a lot of Glennon/VJax combos. Weak secondary and lack of running game.

I also like Shorts. He has 10+ targets every game and only $6100. Blackmon should be getting the main coverage vs. SF.

Since there's no point of going conservative in tournies and gotta boom/bust, I'll be trying some Ivory teams.
The numbers tell a different story regarding the strength of Carolina's secondary. They are allowing the 2nd fewest FanDuel points to QBs at just 12.1 FD points per game and the 6th fewest to WRs at 22.5 FD points per game (for comparison's sake, PHI is allowing 43.6).

 
Ignoratio Elenchi said:
So far, I've mostly been picking and choosing my H2H opponents each week, but that can be tedious at times. I'm thinking of posting some H2Hs for others to select.

For any of you that have posted H2Hs for others to select, did your opponents end up being mostly beginners or experienced players?

What have you all's experiences been like with this?
It's a mix of both. I think in week 6 condia grabbed like 20 of my H2Hs, lol. It was kind of silly, we were going up against each other with a bunch of different lineups, not sure who "won" other than Fanduel collecting the rake. I've been winning at such a great clip that I haven't really sat down to delve into the details of who I've been facing, etc. I'm just trying to get as much action as I can handle each week for now.

Edit: Wow, just looked it up - condia took 17 of my H2Hs in week 6. I won 15 of them. He didn't take any of mine last week. :)
You do seem to be winning at quite an impressive rate. Are you playing a bunch of lineups each week, or are you just playing your "best" 1 or 2 lineups in a large number of games each week?
I'm playing a bunch of different lineups each week (with a lot of overlap, though - for example, last week I think I used 18 different lineups across all my entries, but Matt Forte was on 12 of them). In general, each week I might have 3-4 players who end up on more than 50% of my entries, but otherwise I tend to be fairly diversified.

 
I'm playing a bunch of different lineups each week (with a lot of overlap, though - for example, last week I think I used 18 different lineups across all my entries, but Matt Forte was on 12 of them). In general, each week I might have 3-4 players who end up on more than 50% of my entries, but otherwise I tend to be fairly diversified.
It's very impressive that you've been able keep such a high winning percentage with the diversification indicated. I usually do very similiarly - with the players that I like the most for a given week appearing on somewhere between 30% and 75% of my entries. However, I haven't been winning at the same rate you have. I'm winning a little more than 60% of my entries so far (almost entirely H2H's and 50/50's).

 
I'm playing a bunch of different lineups each week (with a lot of overlap, though - for example, last week I think I used 18 different lineups across all my entries, but Matt Forte was on 12 of them). In general, each week I might have 3-4 players who end up on more than 50% of my entries, but otherwise I tend to be fairly diversified.
It's very impressive that you've been able keep such a high winning percentage with the diversification indicated. I usually do very similiarly - with the players that I like the most for a given week appearing on somewhere between 30% and 75% of my entries. However, I haven't been winning at the same rate you have. I'm winning a little more than 60% of my entries so far (almost entirely H2H's and 50/50's).
Well there's surely a component of luck to it as well. I mean, I identified Forte as a value last week, enough to put him on ~65% of my entries, but obviously I had no idea he'd score 3 TDs. Who knows what my win rate would've been if he'd just had a "good" day as opposed to a "great" day? My win rate is somewhere in the 68-70% range, but to be perfectly honest, the difference between my 70% win rate and your 60% win rate is probably mostly attributable to good fortune on my part. I don't expect to continue to win this much, which is fine. When I was modeling a strategy earlier in the season I was assuming a much lower, more reasonable win rate, and I'm sure I'll regress to the mean at some point.

 
Well there's surely a component of luck to it as well. I mean, I identified Forte as a value last week, enough to put him on ~65% of my entries, but obviously I had no idea he'd score 3 TDs. Who knows what my win rate would've been if he'd just had a "good" day as opposed to a "great" day? My win rate is somewhere in the 68-70% range, but to be perfectly honest, the difference between my 70% win rate and your 60% win rate is probably mostly attributable to good fortune on my part. I don't expect to continue to win this much, which is fine. When I was modeling a strategy earlier in the season I was assuming a much lower, more reasonable win rate, and I'm sure I'll regress to the mean at some point.
There's no doubt that luck plays a considerable role.

I was actually thinking that you were the person that posted that they were something like 90-3 in H2H's. 68-70% is very impressive; 97% is ridiculous. Any idea who that was?

 
Just went in and threw up some 50/50 Thursday fades to realize I still have 2 live entries (Sun/Mon/Thu night game contests) with the Reverse Thursday fade. Sitting in 1st w/ 124 (done) and 2nd w/ 110 (+ Carolina) just from the two other primetime games. Should be easy wins tonight.

Like alot of the picks for this week that are getting mentioned. Gonna be heavy on that Wash/Den game, a pricey defense for the juicy matchups, Reed/Clay on these fade lineups (will prob mix in another TE or 2 for Sunday games), mix in Hillis on the Peyton lineups, etc.

 
Well there's surely a component of luck to it as well. I mean, I identified Forte as a value last week, enough to put him on ~65% of my entries, but obviously I had no idea he'd score 3 TDs. Who knows what my win rate would've been if he'd just had a "good" day as opposed to a "great" day? My win rate is somewhere in the 68-70% range, but to be perfectly honest, the difference between my 70% win rate and your 60% win rate is probably mostly attributable to good fortune on my part. I don't expect to continue to win this much, which is fine. When I was modeling a strategy earlier in the season I was assuming a much lower, more reasonable win rate, and I'm sure I'll regress to the mean at some point.
There's no doubt that luck plays a considerable role.I was actually thinking that you were the person that posted that they were something like 90-3 in H2H's. 68-70% is very impressive; 97% is ridiculous. Any idea who that was?
Oh, lol, no that's not me. Not sure who claimed that but a 97% win rate is either 97% luck or 100% bull####.

 
Anyone think Helu is sneaky at 5700? They are going to use that formation alot this weekend. I don't see many RBs priced around there that have his potential. I know the 3 TD game was flukey, but it seems to me like he could hit 10+ rather easily.

 
Anyone think Helu is sneaky at 5700? They are going to use that formation alot this weekend. I don't see many RBs priced around there that have his potential. I know the 3 TD game was flukey, but it seems to me like he could hit 10+ rather easily.
Penciled him in, he might see play in 5% of my lineups, and only if I dabble in tournaments yet again (like the idiot self I am).

I think Moreno is the back to have in this matchup, but he is $2K more expensive. What do you gain from starting Helu? Is the extra you save going to net you enough points to risk flirting with laying an egg?

 
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Discuss this roster:

QB

Eli Manning
NYG @ PHI
RB

Frank Gore
SF @ JAC
RB

Le'Veon Bell
PIT @ OAK
WR

Calvin Johnson
DET v DAL
WR

Pierre Garcon
WAS @ DEN
WR

Eric Decker
DEN v WAS
TE

Jordan Reed
WAS @ DEN
K

Dan Bailey
DAL @ DET
D

Seattle Seahawks
SEA @ STL
Im loving it, and is being used in all my H2H's this week.

Might hit a tourney or two with it

 
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Thoughts on this 50/50 lineup beginning tonite?

RG3, James, Lynch, Welker, Decker, Woods, Gronk Bailey, KC

James seems like a pretty decent value.

 
Anyone think Helu is sneaky at 5700? They are going to use that formation alot this weekend. I don't see many RBs priced around there that have his potential. I know the 3 TD game was flukey, but it seems to me like he could hit 10+ rather easily.
Penciled him in, he might see play in 5% of my lineups, and only if I dabble in tournaments yet again (like the idiot self I am).

I think Moreno is the back to have in this matchup, but he is $2K more expensive. What do you gain from starting Helu? Is the extra you save going to net you enough points to risk flirting with laying an egg?
Diversifies my Peyton lineup and it would hedge Hillis, who really opens up possibilities on that lineup. I definitely have to play around with the Helu lineup more because it's just not where I want it to be right now.

Here are two examples:

QB Peyton Manning
DEN v WAS
RB Peyton Hillis
NYG @ PHI
RB Eddie Lacy
GB @ MIN
WR Pierre Garcon
WAS @ DEN
WR Eric Decker
DEN v WAS
WR Calvin Johnson
DET v DAL
TE Charles Clay
MIA @ NE
K David Akers
DET v DAL
D Seattle Seahawks
SEA @ STL
QB Peyton Manning
DEN v WAS
RB Roy Helu
WAS @ DEN
RB Frank Gore
SF @ JAC
WR Denarius Moore
OAK v PIT
WR Jordy Nelson
GB @ MIN
WR Pierre Garcon
WAS @ DEN
TE Charles Clay
MIA @ NE
K David Akers
DET v DAL
D San Francisco 49ers
SF @ JAC
 
Here are a couple line-ups I am going with in tourney mode starting tonight:

QB
Robert Griffin III
WAS @ DEN
RB
Knowshon Moreno
DEN v WAS
RB
Frank Gore
SF @ JAC
WR
Eric Decker
DEN v WAS
WR
Pierre Garcon
WAS @ DEN
WR
Jarrett Boykin
GB @ MIN
TE
Tony Gonzalez
ATL @ ARI
K
Alex Henery
PHI v NYG
D
Kansas City Chiefs
KC v CLE


QB
Eli Manning
NYG @ PHI
RB
Marshawn Lynch
SEA @ STL
RB
Frank Gore
SF @ JAC
WR
Jordy Nelson
GB @ MIN
WR
Victor Cruz
NYG @ PHI
WR
Rueben Randle
NYG @ PHI
TE
Tony Gonzalez
ATL @ ARI
K
Alex Henery
PHI v NYG
D
Kansas City Chiefs
KC v CLE


QB
Terrelle Pryor
OAK v PIT
RB
Eddie Lacy
GB @ MIN
RB
Giovani Bernard
CIN v NYJ
WR
Calvin Johnson
DET v DAL
WR
Dez Bryant
DAL @ DET
WR
Pierre Garcon
WAS @ DEN
TE
Andrew Quarless
GB @ MIN
K
Alex Henery
PHI v NYG
D
Kansas City Chiefs
KC v CLE

Thought I would try 1 balanced, 1 RB heavy and 1WR heavy to see what happens. It is only a $1 tourney so I am not out much.


 
Well there's surely a component of luck to it as well. I mean, I identified Forte as a value last week, enough to put him on ~65% of my entries, but obviously I had no idea he'd score 3 TDs. Who knows what my win rate would've been if he'd just had a "good" day as opposed to a "great" day? My win rate is somewhere in the 68-70% range, but to be perfectly honest, the difference between my 70% win rate and your 60% win rate is probably mostly attributable to good fortune on my part. I don't expect to continue to win this much, which is fine. When I was modeling a strategy earlier in the season I was assuming a much lower, more reasonable win rate, and I'm sure I'll regress to the mean at some point.
There's no doubt that luck plays a considerable role.I was actually thinking that you were the person that posted that they were something like 90-3 in H2H's. 68-70% is very impressive; 97% is ridiculous. Any idea who that was?
Oh, lol, no that's not me. Not sure who claimed that but a 97% win rate is either 97% luck or 100% bull####.
That was probably me, although I think I was closer to 92% than 97%. I also only play the ($5/$10/$25) 50/50s for the most part

It was also before week 7 in which I went 13 wins & 29 losses. The Eagles/Cowboys game killed me this week with a mixture of Foles/McCoy & Romo. I still had a chance to pull out another 15 or so wins when Reggie Wayne couldn't catch that poor throw & went down with the injury.

The scary thing is, I really liked the line-ups last week, more so than week 5 or 6. I was so tempted to bet my whole bankroll, but I stuck with the plan.

Still, a six week win total of 103-33.

 
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Well there's surely a component of luck to it as well. I mean, I identified Forte as a value last week, enough to put him on ~65% of my entries, but obviously I had no idea he'd score 3 TDs. Who knows what my win rate would've been if he'd just had a "good" day as opposed to a "great" day? My win rate is somewhere in the 68-70% range, but to be perfectly honest, the difference between my 70% win rate and your 60% win rate is probably mostly attributable to good fortune on my part. I don't expect to continue to win this much, which is fine. When I was modeling a strategy earlier in the season I was assuming a much lower, more reasonable win rate, and I'm sure I'll regress to the mean at some point.
There's no doubt that luck plays a considerable role.I was actually thinking that you were the person that posted that they were something like 90-3 in H2H's. 68-70% is very impressive; 97% is ridiculous. Any idea who that was?
Oh, lol, no that's not me. Not sure who claimed that but a 97% win rate is either 97% luck or 100% bull####.
That was probably me, although I think I was closer to 92% than 97%. I also only play the ($5/$10/$25) 50/50s for the most part

It was also before week 7 in which I went 13 wins & 29 losses. The Eagles/Cowboys game killed me this week with a mixture of Foles/McCoy & Romo. I still had a chance to pull out another 15 or so wins when Reggie Wayne couldn't catch that poor throw & went down with the injury.

The scary thing is, I really liked the line-ups last week, more so than week 5 or 6. I was so tempted to bet my whole bankroll, but I stuck with the plan.

Still, a six week win total of 103-33.
Gotcha. So you were 90-4. Almost 96% is still pretty incredible. You're still sitting above 75%.

It is to tempting to bet more than you should. How much of your bankroll do you normally have in play each week? I try to keep mine to 25% - 35%, and I play H2H's and 50/50's almost exclusively.

How do you think the competition in the $5/$10/$25 50/50's compares to that in the $2 50/50's?

 
Well there's surely a component of luck to it as well. I mean, I identified Forte as a value last week, enough to put him on ~65% of my entries, but obviously I had no idea he'd score 3 TDs. Who knows what my win rate would've been if he'd just had a "good" day as opposed to a "great" day? My win rate is somewhere in the 68-70% range, but to be perfectly honest, the difference between my 70% win rate and your 60% win rate is probably mostly attributable to good fortune on my part. I don't expect to continue to win this much, which is fine. When I was modeling a strategy earlier in the season I was assuming a much lower, more reasonable win rate, and I'm sure I'll regress to the mean at some point.
There's no doubt that luck plays a considerable role.I was actually thinking that you were the person that posted that they were something like 90-3 in H2H's. 68-70% is very impressive; 97% is ridiculous. Any idea who that was?
Oh, lol, no that's not me. Not sure who claimed that but a 97% win rate is either 97% luck or 100% bull####.
That was probably me, although I think I was closer to 92% than 97%. I also only play the ($5/$10/$25) 50/50s for the most part

It was also before week 7 in which I went 13 wins & 29 losses. The Eagles/Cowboys game killed me this week with a mixture of Foles/McCoy & Romo. I still had a chance to pull out another 15 or so wins when Reggie Wayne couldn't catch that poor throw & went down with the injury.

The scary thing is, I really liked the line-ups last week, more so than week 5 or 6. I was so tempted to bet my whole bankroll, but I stuck with the plan.

Still, a six week win total of 103-33.
Gotcha. So you were 90-4. Almost 96% is still pretty incredible. You're still sitting above 75%.

It is to tempting to bet more than you should. How much of your bankroll do you normally have in play each week? I try to keep mine to 25% - 35%, and I play H2H's and 50/50's almost exclusively.

How do you think the competition in the $5/$10/$25 50/50's compares to that in the $2 50/50's?
I play the Sunday only 50/50s. In the early weeks the lineups were much more diversified than they have been in the last 2 or 3 weeks. As has been discussed, everyone is now getting their info from the same sources. I think the sources are also now leaching off of each other.

I started out with $50 in week 2 & played 100% the first 3 weeks with a single lineup. Going into my 4th week I started playing 2/3rds of my bankroll & also started using multiple lineups (mostly rotating in 2 QBs/2 Def/2 Kickers & 4-5 WRs.) Last week I think I used too many lineups & I'll probably cut it back down to just a few at each position again.

I think the $2 compares well to the $5 in that you are playing in a 50 man league with a bunch of inexperienced players. The $10 & $25 (20 players) leagues there is less room for error. In the $5 leagues I would often end up in the top 20% whereas in the $10/$25 leagues there would be times that I would end just over the cut. Results were the same, I just felt like I was sweating a little more in the higher $$$ leagues.

 
I threw this one into one of the thurs night tourneys - TB has given up a ton of yards this year hope it continues tonight!

QB Cam Newton
CAR @ TB
RB Frank Gore
SF @ JAC
RB Eddie Lacy
GB @ MIN
WR Cecil Shorts
JAC v SF
WR Eric Decker
DEN v WAS
WR Victor Cruz
NYG @ PHI
TE Jason Witten
DAL @ DET
K Dan Bailey
DAL @ DET
D New England Patriots
NE v MIA
 
28 touches like the Bears game or 12 against Pats? Regardless, could do a lineup with each of them and still have 2 or 3 hundy leftover.
Always a risk.

I expect the Saints to win this comfortably...Vegas has them 11.5 point favorites...plenty of run out the clock time in the fourth quarter.

Helu with Redskins seems a little riskier with Shanahan.

 
For those interested in Condia: His lineup in a $10 H2H.

QB

Peyton Manning
WAS @ DEN 4:25pm
$10400 Salary

RB
Knowshon Moreno
WAS @ DEN 4:25pm
$7700 Salary

RB
Mike James
CAR 7 @ TB 3 1st
$5000 Salary

WR
Eric Decker
WAS @ DEN 4:25pm
$6500 Salary

WR
Marques Colston
BUF @ NO 1:00pm
$6400 Salary

WR
Victor Cruz
NYG @ PHI 1:00pm
$7200 Salary

TE
Tony Gonzalez
ATL @ ARI 4:25pm
$5600 Salary

K
Matt Prater
WAS @ DEN 4:25pm
$5600 Salary

D
Carolina Panthers
CAR 7 @ TB 3 1st
$5600 Salary

 
:banned: This round is on me boys...............just had the Fanduel weekend of my life. Turned $80 dollars worth of bets into $625.

4/7 h2h match ups........+.40 cents

4/4 50-50......................+4.80

1/1 10 player league.....+20.00

9/13 tournament...........+517.00

I'm just a little excited over here......and none of my friends get it, so I had to share it here.
Nice and congrats! It sure does feel good hitting the bigger bucks!
 
:banned: This round is on me boys...............just had the Fanduel weekend of my life. Turned $80 dollars worth of bets into $625.

4/7 h2h match ups........+.40 cents

4/4 50-50......................+4.80

1/1 10 player league.....+20.00

9/13 tournament...........+517.00

I'm just a little excited over here......and none of my friends get it, so I had to share it here.
Nice and congrats! It sure does feel good hitting the bigger bucks!
def congrats, good work :)

 
I have 20% of my Thurs bankroll in HTHs. Up against Cam in all of them :(

On the plus side, in the $55k, he picked Cotchery and McFadden which I see as very low value picks this week.

In the other, he loaded up on Gronk and picked Bowe as his low cost WR which on paper also looks like a horrid pick.

 
I have two expert lineups

Peyton

Lacy

Hillis

Decker

Moore

Beasley

Reed

Hauschka

KC

Swing for the fences against the Experts using QBs like Thad or Tannehill

Palmer

Lynch

Lacy

Decker

Moore

Beasley

Reed

Dawson

KC

Love this RB duo against most I will see in Expert. I like Beasley as a sneaky 6-8 point low cost play in Expert format with upside for a TD.

 
Got 8.4 on James as a value pick in an expert match. Not horrible, and might be interesting with a better matchup.
I think this is a fine score for a $5K RB.
I typically want all players to score at least 2 points for every $1000 in cost. That puts you @ 120 points, which is good enough for most 50/50s.
Right, but the point of the cheaper ones is to score enough points to average out to the 2pts per $1000

Spending 5k on Mike James means you get, say, 1800 (replacing Lacy) to spend on ___. If the more expensive players you select score 1.6 points more than the goal you've set, it was a good decision. If they don't, it goes to you picking non-optimally and not just Mike James' performance.

ETA: If James scored 0, you still have a shot with your extra cash to make up for the 10 points you expected to make with your $5K spent. I'm just saying, as far as goals and expectations, 8.4/10 is a good return for spending only $5K on the position. IMO, but I'm still learning.

 
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