Angry Beavers
Footballguy
Congrats!thatta boy webb...i want to hit my middleETA: oh well, bears complete the 11/12 teaser weekend, i'm going to miss the nfl...what a cash cow this year.
Congrats!thatta boy webb...i want to hit my middleETA: oh well, bears complete the 11/12 teaser weekend, i'm going to miss the nfl...what a cash cow this year.
Huge play:I agree with your pick as well, and I'm looking at Dallas this way too. Arizona has been floundering like a fish out of water lately. Dallas has way too much talent and I think the books are feeling stingy on Dallas after being let down by Wade PhillipsYou can get the Colts this week -3 at plus money. Do it. Now.
This is exactly the type of game where the Raiders piss down their leg. 27-13 Indy.
agree with both...but I'm gonna wait on Utah. I see 17.5 popped up at Bodog, and I can see people piling on BSU when they realize they are playing.did anyone get a chance to get down on my Italian Serie B draw bet yesterday. I don't want to say the fix was in.....but normally a draw bet odds are between +180 on up to +400. I'd venture to say that 75-85% of draw lines are between +200- +250, so +180 is quite low which is what I was getting in at. Pinny odds on the draw were at -150, and there was something like 4.2 million matched on European exchanges on the draw line, pushing it as low as -180 on some places. To put it in perspective Everton/Man City entire handle was about 2.5 million.....Played southern miss ML tonight, 1/2u +125 and 1/2u +130Utah +17 tomorrow nightETA: tailing another poster on southern miss....utah is my play, i think it's real hard for boise to get up for this game. college kids looking at a definite BCS bowl, possible national championship appearance to the MAACO bowl
I usually love jumping on your soccer plays, but couldn't find it How does that work? Both teams agree to not score?agree with both...but I'm gonna wait on Utah. I see 17.5 popped up at Bodog, and I can see people piling on BSU when they realize they are playing.did anyone get a chance to get down on my Italian Serie B draw bet yesterday. I don't want to say the fix was in.....but normally a draw bet odds are between +180 on up to +400. I'd venture to say that 75-85% of draw lines are between +200- +250, so +180 is quite low which is what I was getting in at. Pinny odds on the draw were at -150, and there was something like 4.2 million matched on European exchanges on the draw line, pushing it as low as -180 on some places. To put it in perspective Everton/Man City entire handle was about 2.5 million.....Played southern miss ML tonight, 1/2u +125 and 1/2u +130Utah +17 tomorrow nightETA: tailing another poster on southern miss....utah is my play, i think it's real hard for boise to get up for this game. college kids looking at a definite BCS bowl, possible national championship appearance to the MAACO bowl
Can I please talk you out of this one? "Systems" are nice, but you have to make exceptions sometimes. OAK +9 sucks. They count on controlling the game with the run. Once Manning gets up a couple of scores - and he will - you are now relying on Jason Campbell.lumpy19 said:Can't wait for next week in the NFL, teaser legs
Jax
SF
NE
Oak
Den
SD
NO
7 qualifiers already and still waiting on 3 more lines
No you can't. The fact that you even want to discuss this is ridiculous. How awesome have teasers been this entire NFL season....every week you pick and choose and every week I try and figure out how i'm going to get all this money offline. The number falls in the range, I'm playin it, even if God himself told me it was going to lose.Can I please talk you out of this one? "Systems" are nice, but you have to make exceptions sometimes. OAK +9 sucks. They count on controlling the game with the run. Once Manning gets up a couple of scores - and he will - you are now relying on Jason Campbell.lumpy19 said:Can't wait for next week in the NFL, teaser legs
Jax
SF
NE
Oak
Den
SD
NO
7 qualifiers already and still waiting on 3 more lines
You're assuming they will abandon the run. The Colts run defense is terrible. I don't care how many TDs Peyton throws, if the Raiders stick with the run they will hang.Can I please talk you out of this one? "Systems" are nice, but you have to make exceptions sometimes. OAK +9 sucks. They count on controlling the game with the run. Once Manning gets up a couple of scores - and he will - you are now relying on Jason Campbell.lumpy19 said:Can't wait for next week in the NFL, teaser legs
Jax
SF
NE
Oak
Den
SD
NO
7 qualifiers already and still waiting on 3 more lines
You're assuming Oakland's coaching staff is smart.You're assuming they will abandon the run. The Colts run defense is terrible. I don't care how many TDs Peyton throws, if the Raiders stick with the run they will hang.Can I please talk you out of this one? "Systems" are nice, but you have to make exceptions sometimes. OAK +9 sucks. They count on controlling the game with the run. Once Manning gets up a couple of scores - and he will - you are now relying on Jason Campbell.lumpy19 said:Can't wait for next week in the NFL, teaser legs
Jax
SF
NE
Oak
Den
SD
NO
7 qualifiers already and still waiting on 3 more lines
Completely agree with your angle here. Louisville is absolutely going to bring everything tonight. Its rare that I'm not sure if a CUSA school can match the energy of any BCS school head to head, but that will be the case tonight.Louisville 31-7 IMOLeroy Hoard said:I always like chalks that can think like underdogs, and a 6-6 bowl team can fit into that mindset. Better SOS puts the Cards in line.
LOUISVILLE -2.5
The NFL market is much smarter than you or I. These teasers take advantage of the fact that the books lines are efficient. Unless you have a better argument than "I'm a raiders fan and they always choke in this situation" there's nothing to listen to. This money train isn't going to last forever, we're already seeing the demise with larger books preventing teases and adjusting the odds in their favor."Every week" is a bit of an exaggeration. I was concerned about K.C. last week if Croyle started. He didn't, so it was a moot point.I think I only mentioned a game I would lay off one other time. Giants maybe, a few weeks ago? Anyway, good luck.
Fair enough.... you would probably know better than me on that one.You're assuming Oakland's coaching staff is smart.You're assuming they will abandon the run. The Colts run defense is terrible. I don't care how many TDs Peyton throws, if the Raiders stick with the run they will hang.Can I please talk you out of this one? "Systems" are nice, but you have to make exceptions sometimes. OAK +9 sucks. They count on controlling the game with the run. Once Manning gets up a couple of scores - and he will - you are now relying on Jason Campbell.lumpy19 said:Can't wait for next week in the NFL, teaser legs
Jax
SF
NE
Oak
Den
SD
NO
7 qualifiers already and still waiting on 3 more lines
Are you teasing all these together? What's the strategy you guys are using in here?lumpy19 said:Can't wait for next week in the NFL, teaser legsJaxSFNEOakDenSDNO7 qualifiers already and still waiting on 3 more lines
I have been doing 3 game teasers - which pay +180 at sportsbook.com - so for 7 games you would make 35 bets to cover all combinations. I think most people in this thread are doing 3 gamers or 2 gamers. You can't just follow lumpy's list blindly though - not all these games are in the basic system range at sportsbook.com (but they have the Bengals at +7.5, which would qualify - total of 4 games now in the range).Are you teasing all these together? What's the strategy you guys are using in here?lumpy19 said:Can't wait for next week in the NFL, teaser legsJaxSFNEOakDenSDNO7 qualifiers already and still waiting on 3 more lines
31-7? I know very little about these two teams but it's hard not to tail on all these Louisville picks.Completely agree with your angle here. Louisville is absolutely going to bring everything tonight. Its rare that I'm not sure if a CUSA school can match the energy of any BCS school head to head, but that will be the case tonight.Louisville 31-7 IMOLeroy Hoard said:I always like chalks that can think like underdogs, and a 6-6 bowl team can fit into that mindset. Better SOS puts the Cards in line.
LOUISVILLE -2.5
Agreed, I'm in.31-7? I know very little about these two teams but it's hard not to tail on all these Louisville picks.Completely agree with your angle here. Louisville is absolutely going to bring everything tonight. Its rare that I'm not sure if a CUSA school can match the energy of any BCS school head to head, but that will be the case tonight.Louisville 31-7 IMOLeroy Hoard said:I always like chalks that can think like underdogs, and a 6-6 bowl team can fit into that mindset. Better SOS puts the Cards in line.
LOUISVILLE -2.5
In.Agreed, I'm in.31-7? I know very little about these two teams but it's hard not to tail on all these Louisville picks.Completely agree with your angle here. Louisville is absolutely going to bring everything tonight. Its rare that I'm not sure if a CUSA school can match the energy of any BCS school head to head, but that will be the case tonight.Louisville 31-7 IMOLeroy Hoard said:I always like chalks that can think like underdogs, and a 6-6 bowl team can fit into that mindset. Better SOS puts the Cards in line.
LOUISVILLE -2.5
I thought Lumpy and I were going to be the only ones on Southern Miss. I have em in a carry over teaser @ +8.5, a carryover parlay with them on the ml, and a straight play -2.5.College hoops tonight I like UNLV +3.5 and OK ST. -9.5. Austin Peay looks like a decent play too. Going the other way on Northwestern. I like the Johnnies -3. UCDAVIS for a small play as well.Double down on southern mississippi +2.5, too many people taking cardinals but line is moving other way.
Will update as the Night Progresses1st Half Lines:NCAA Football:Louisville -1NCAA Basketball:Cincinnati -4.5Lets see how the following plays do tonight:Full Game LinesNCAA Football:Louisville -2NCAA Basketball:Northwestern +3Austin Peay -21st Half Lines:NCAA Football:Louisville -1NCAA Basketball:Cincinnati -4.5
OOF?I loved watching S. Miss. and playing overs in that conference all year. Fun football... fast break offense at it's best.
But I think the Cardinals have better athletes on defense than what USM is used to seeing in C-USA.
Oops. Now praying for OVER.In.Agreed, I'm in.31-7? I know very little about these two teams but it's hard not to tail on all these Louisville picks.Completely agree with your angle here. Louisville is absolutely going to bring everything tonight. Its rare that I'm not sure if a CUSA school can match the energy of any BCS school head to head, but that will be the case tonight.Louisville 31-7 IMOLeroy Hoard said:I always like chalks that can think like underdogs, and a 6-6 bowl team can fit into that mindset. Better SOS puts the Cards in line.
LOUISVILLE -2.5
I'm out...lville -1.5 2h for me, hope lville doesn't win by 1I thought Lumpy and I were going to be the only ones on Southern Miss. I have em in a carry over teaser @ +8.5, a carryover parlay with them on the ml, and a straight play -2.5.College hoops tonight I like UNLV +3.5 and OK ST. -9.5. Austin Peay looks like a decent play too. Going the other way on Northwestern. I like the Johnnies -3. UCDAVIS for a small play as well.Double down on southern mississippi +2.5, too many people taking cardinals but line is moving other way.
Safety?Imagine if this game stays under 59 after 42 points in the 1H.
Well it wasn't 31-7 but since I had -2.5, 31-28 is just as good.LET'S GO VILLE!!!!!!!
espn's take:WHO TO WATCH: Utah quarterback Terrance Cain. Sure, we could have listed Kellen Moore or Austin Pettis or Titus Young. But the story of the game could be how Cain performs as the starting quarterback in place of Jordan Wynn, who is out with a shoulder injury. Cain is 9-1 as a starter and more than capable of leading this team. He is more athletic than Wynn and could be a threat to run. But he also looked shaky in relief of Wynn against BYU in the regular-season finale, throwing two interceptions in eight pass attempts. WHAT TO WATCH: Tempers. The two teams already tangled during one pregame welcoming dinner, and Utah receiver DeVonte Christopher referred to Boise State as "Girlse State" on Twitter. So we should watch early in the game for any chippy play. It seems both teams are feeling a bit disrespected going into this game: Utah because it is the underdog; Boise State because it had no shot at getting an at-large BCS berth despite being ranked in the top 10 with only one loss. Both teams are going to have to be in control of their emotions from the beginning.BSU is 0-2 against non BCS schools in bowl games.Backup QB in for UtahI can't imagine Peterson doesn't have his team up for this game after that Nevada debacle. Yes they had BCS aspirations but I can't see him allowing the team to lay an egg.This is such a tough one to call and 17 points is a lot, but BSU is the better football team for certain.
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