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Where is the steam coming from?
Nice call on the Boldin Angle.
Thanks I guess. Didn't expect the game to be played the way it did. Lost some real heartbreakers today...
Yeah, that line started acting like a Bowl game. Speaking of which, which we do we see this BC/Nevada going, if any?
The line was down to 1 for about 5 minutes. I ended up jumping on philly once it poped back to 1.5. Playing this for a middle.
Pitt -3 -125 at 5 dimes. I think it's about right, I made it between 3.5 and 4.
I guess it's a short week to go on the road. That probably is worth something.
Yes, the teams are even. 3 pts for home field. An extra point for the extra week off?
Yeah, something like that. Seattle/Chicago will be a sharps dream. They shade this too low to get away from the public and they get lit up.
A regular season game coming off a win over NO this is 11.5 at the worst. They have to protect middles on the 10. I think they start it as close to that as they can and pray.
I don't understand?
Thanks for the input, love it when people explain their logic here, it only helps. So, the crowd thing, don't get it at all. Again, point me to ANY Bowl game that this has made a difference, much less one like this. All it says to me is that the school/team will be up for it, but we already know this about Nevada. I also don't get paying all the extra juice to get the line down, at all. I know you realize you can't win making a practice of that. No offense bud, but it makes even less sense with such a high-scoring offense and a game that's lined at 54. I know you have your reasons, just my .02, let's talk about the game more...I've watched Nevada plenty and know how good they are. This game's interesting to me in that it's kind of BC who can really prove something, just the opposite of what you'd think. Nevada made their statement time and again this year and everybody knows about Kaepernick. I don't know a ton about BC so I would love to hear more. I do know this -- back when they came out west and played CSU in PacBell Park, they really came to play. Sonny Lubick
was playing younger players and stuff and BC was all business and it showed. Do they still have the same coach and are they fired up for this? I would think they'd be. They know everybody's watching and all...kind of a unique date/time for a lesser bowl and what a great spot against the #13 team who took down Boise State...and even a little east/west/conference or whatever thing. Lotta motivating factors there and nothing to lose, gotta love it, as long as they are taking it seriously. Really smells like an outright upset to me... Anybody have more on BC? 
Also love the winning streak coming in and the defense looked pretty stout during that stretch, something Nevada hasn't had to deal with... I'm obviously on BC tonight but thinking about going big, so would love to hear other takes.Football winding down and all, man this is fun 
I think you have the book on BC Down. Good Front 7 on D. Good O line (they are O-Line U). No Skill what-so-ever other then Harris. QB is a disaster - thats the reason why an ACC team is down more then a TD vs a non BCS conferance team. I'd take BC before Nevada, just because I don't see a Nevada 17 point plus Blowout and I think its more likely that BC can hang with these guys. I think Nevada/Over and BC/Under is the way to play it.Thanks for the input, love it when people explain their logic here, it only helps. So, the crowd thing, don't get it at all. Again, point me to ANY Bowl game that this has made a difference, much less one like this. All it says to me is that the school/team will be up for it, but we already know this about Nevada. I also don't get paying all the extra juice to get the line down, at all. I know you realize you can't win making a practice of that. No offense bud, but it makes even less sense with such a high-scoring offense and a game that's lined at 54. I know you have your reasons, just my .02, let's talk about the game more...I've watched Nevada plenty and know how good they are. This game's interesting to me in that it's kind of BC who can really prove something, just the opposite of what you'd think. Nevada made their statement time and again this year and everybody knows about Kaepernick. I don't know a ton about BC so I would love to hear more. I do know this -- back when they came out west and played CSU in PacBell Park, they really came to play. Sonny Lubickwas playing younger players and stuff and BC was all business and it showed. Do they still have the same coach and are they fired up for this? I would think they'd be. They know everybody's watching and all...kind of a unique date/time for a lesser bowl and what a great spot against the #13 team who took down Boise State...and even a little east/west/conference or whatever thing. Lotta motivating factors there and nothing to lose, gotta love it, as long as they are taking it seriously. Really smells like an outright upset to me... Anybody have more on BC?
I think this is a perfect storm for Vegas.People already underlay Chicago. They haven't bought them all year. They were already going to have to shade for the public there. Now they get a team that comes off a DD line winning SU and looked good in doing so over the super bowl champ. This will have tremendous public sway as well.Where this line opens will say a heck of a lot about who runs the town in the playoffs.
So what will be the sharp play?
Well done bmj
If Detroit actually got him, that team will be a monster, even with their schedule. Only thing left would be Stafford not staying healthy. Crazy, that Detroit is this close finally, but they are.Just read some numbers on free agent to be CB Nnamdi Asomugha of the Raiders. Check out these numbers:14 Games Played (2010 season)Thrown at 33 times (2.35 times per game)Allowed 13 completions (.93 completions per game)Allowed 205 yds (14.64 yards per game)Allowed 0 TD'sDetroit Lions starting CB 2011
-1 -125 at the greekPack will be pretty teasable unless they hold this on 1.
They gave it all back to the public today. I didn't hear one person all week who liked the Chiefs, and nobody liked Philly other than Sonny.
There were probably a ton of KC teasers and most of the people I work with thought the Eagles would win this weekend. Not saying they make up the gambling public, but I'd guess books didn't get beat up too bad on the Eagles.
I did.
asking just because I don't know: any idea what percentage of the handle is straight bets versus parlays and teasers? it seems to me that the vast majority of the money would be on sides.
Just read some numbers on free agent to be CB Nnamdi Asomugha of the Raiders. Check out these numbers:14 Games Played (2010 season)Thrown at 33 times (2.35 times per game)Allowed 13 completions (.93 completions per game)Allowed 205 yds (14.64 yards per game)Allowed 0 TD'sDetroit Lions starting CB 2011
Sorry bud, but I think Nnamdi will look just fine lining up across from Asaunte Samuel, asnd Demetri patterson can go back to being a dime back. i don't know if the Eagles will have the money needed for this, but it is certainly a need and would be fun for Nnamdi because teams would have to throw to him sometimes
Yeah the Ravens were VERY one-sided until the very late buyback on all the good +3.5 numbers to create middles.
That's what I get for not doing my homework and drinking. And drinking.
This was a glorified spring game for the Eagles and their freshman QB. Mismatch on the O-line and they abandon the run down 10 in the third quarter. At least the under is there, but BC should be within 7 at this juncture. Only hope is a backdoor cover on the 8.5Wait a minute.
This is what happens when teams have 40 days off, Nevada doesn't look a lot better. This game was there for BC's taking, they just don't have any kind of execution.
