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Sanchez Under 215.5 Yards Passing -115On this one for 2 units. I think the Jets know they have to run the ball to stay in this game. I think they know Sanchez sucks in the cold weather, especially in New England. I think LT and Greene will get a pretty serious workout.
Perfect, cuz if I (the average fan) was thinking over with some basic info, and you like the under, that makes even more sense! 204 for 4 units.Gonna wait and bet the side (Denver) at half, if things set up right....
you're ahead of most other sports bettors
Do you have a link for this? I don't think it's true.
I was going by something posted in the shark pool so you may be right.
Oof. Now I remember why I quit betting college B-ball. At least Minny had my back.
useful. And thanks.
Well, you could always become a bookie.
that is one helluva Free Roll.
Golden State 9-7 at homeClippers 3-11 on the road
I'm on the clippers, opened at 4 on pinny and almost immediately went to 3.5, found a slow book and jumped in at 4. Excluding my man crush on Blake I like this team, fun team to watch.ETA: moving to 3 now, jump in at 3.5 while you can
FWIW, the 2007 NE Patriots also looked unstoppable and were crushing people in the regular season. They were double digit favorites most of the 2nd half of the year. Their results in the playoffs: They won their playoff games by 11 points vs. Jax and 9 points vs. San Diego. Not a perfect dataset, but when NE was last "rolling", they didn't have a blowout in the playoffs. I'm still on NE -8.5.Not when the Patriots win by 20 you don't. Patriots are in that mode where they just keep scoring early and often. Good luck with the run after that happens. And I wish Jets backers even more luck with Sanchez trying to bring them back, in Foxboro.This team's pretty lucky to be here when you think about it...and now go up against an absolute buzzsaw. For all their talk, even the Jets D wasn't as great as it was supposed to be this year...and certainly nothing that BnB won't have a problem with. Jets are about half as good as they think they are; they come crashing down on Sunday.I do see your point though, just trying to get RN to make the right choice.
I wasn't predicting a blowout necessarily, I was just responding to how RN can lose a teaser to the Jets (you edited that out). I was painting a scenario in which it could happen. And suggesting he take the Patriots side (-2.5), instead.That said, I obviously like Patriots. You bring up 2007 which is not that relevant, but even so, it's funny that both games would have covered the 8.5, which is you and I both care about anwyay. I don't want to get into it right now - other things to do on a Friday - but I would argue NE was definitely showing cracks late that year (remember the Baltimore game they should've lost?), which was further validated by the SB defeat. That quest for a perfect season took it's toll. Whereas this year, they are actually peaking with a young team. Again, it's something not worth focusing on really, so let's (WE) MOVE ON.ODoyleRules said:FWIW, the 2007 NE Patriots also looked unstoppable and were crushing people in the regular season. They were double digit favorites most of the 2nd half of the year. Their results in the playoffs: They won their playoff games by 11 points vs. Jax and 9 points vs. San Diego. Not a perfect dataset, but when NE was last "rolling", they didn't have a blowout in the playoffs. I'm still on NE -8.5.Not when the Patriots win by 20 you don't. Patriots are in that mode where they just keep scoring early and often. Good luck with the run after that happens. And I wish Jets backers even more luck with Sanchez trying to bring them back, in Foxboro.This team's pretty lucky to be here when you think about it...and now go up against an absolute buzzsaw. For all their talk, even the Jets D wasn't as great as it was supposed to be this year...and certainly nothing that BnB won't have a problem with. Jets are about half as good as they think they are; they come crashing down on Sunday.
I do see your point though, just trying to get RN to make the right choice.
Said I'd get back to this so here goes. The Ravens going in last year is again, a pretty dissimilar situation, in that you are talking about two different teams, along with a Patriots team who I think is also different (improved). I could be wrong, we'll see soon enough, but they look scary to me. Brady is in another world right now (he was not last year), and I don't see him being stopped. If I'm wrong, I lose, fair enough, but I have zero problem paying a premium for him/them in this one. I also think Sanchez is a joke, the disparity there is so large you couldn't pay me to take the Jets. If Sanchez was Earl Doofenshmutz from Tennessee Chattanooga, he'd be benched by now.
When I said the Jets are lucky to be there, I am talking about my opinion, not a couple of plays. Things like those 2 OT wins and getting to feast on Indy Light this year have made them look like a fortunate team, to me. I am just not impressed. They get so much press, this circus that is the Jets these days, that I think it has them a little overrated, especially with all the expectations that carried over. But ON the field, I'm not really seeing it. They're good, okay, but I don't think they're close to where the Patriots ended up, along with their cherished "2 weeks and Bill B".
:( tailed you here, thanks. Wish i would have put as little on the ML too.
I wasn't disagreeing with you (I don't think). In any case, 2 games in 2007 isn't a ton to go on as you point out. I wasn't just looking for instances in which NE was heavily favored in a home playoff game and what the result was.I wasn't predicting a blowout necessarily, I was just responding to how RN can lose a teaser to the Jets (you edited that out). I was painting a scenario in which it could happen. And suggesting he take the Patriots side (-2.5), instead.That said, I obviously like Patriots. You bring up 2007 which is not that relevant, but even so, it's funny that both games would have covered the 8.5, which is you and I both care about anwyay. I don't want to get into it right now - other things to do on a Friday - but I would argue NE was definitely showing cracks late that year (remember the Baltimore game they should've lost?), which was further validated by the SB defeat. That quest for a perfect season took it's toll. Whereas this year, they are actually peaking with a young team. Again, it's something not worth focusing on really, so let's (WE) MOVE ON.ODoyleRules said:FWIW, the 2007 NE Patriots also looked unstoppable and were crushing people in the regular season. They were double digit favorites most of the 2nd half of the year. Their results in the playoffs: They won their playoff games by 11 points vs. Jax and 9 points vs. San Diego. Not a perfect dataset, but when NE was last "rolling", they didn't have a blowout in the playoffs. I'm still on NE -8.5.Not when the Patriots win by 20 you don't. Patriots are in that mode where they just keep scoring early and often. Good luck with the run after that happens. And I wish Jets backers even more luck with Sanchez trying to bring them back, in Foxboro.
I do see your point though, just trying to get RN to make the right choice.
****.... :jealous:
No idea what the hell happened there to be honest - I'm staying w/ my play, but I would stay away if you haven't already put it in.
BALTIMORE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field this season.
FACTIf Sanchez was Earl Doofenshmutz from Tennessee Chattanooga, he'd be benched by now.
Jesus... hook off a tie (not onto a tie ) costs 25 CENTS?! (BAL +3 +105 at SB)
If you're trying to get from +2.5 to +3 I can MAYBE see paying that price... but to get off a push that seems like a VERY steep price. Am I ######ed here?(BTW you MIGHT get that hook free in a minute at SB. -125/+105
I played it at SB. Had to make a play now or never. Probably going to miss most of the first half because I'm at work.Jesus... hook off a tie (not onto a tie ) costs 25 CENTS?! (BAL +3 +105 at SB)
Where u at? I'm in venitian.
lucky *******
Next time (first time) i cornhole with either of you I'm going to punch you in the ####### jaw. I'm just sayin.
That's correct. I should have more specifically pointed out 'big' games and 'quality' opponents, which is relevant to today's matchup...Take a look inside the numbers when it comes to the Ravens and their success on the road, especially in 'big' games and against 'quality' opponents. Which is the situation they find themselves in today.I think you'll find invariably that they when they win those games, it's because they are able to establish the run early, and continue to pound away with great success through the course of the game, and that Flacco (who, don't get me wrong, I like, and feel he's developing into a quality NFL QB), posts average to below average stats in those situations relative to completion percentage, TD/INT ratio, yards per pass attempt and success of 3rd down conversions when a pass play is called.Establishing and maintaining the run is what wins games on the road for the Ravens, and when it comes to big games vs quality opponents on the road, if the Ravens don't do this, and the game is put in Flacco's hands, he doesn't perform well.The Ravens are very unlikely to establish and maintain a successful running game today vs the Steelers D, which is trouble for them, and when the Steelers have the ball, they are going to try like hell to put the Ravens in a position as early as possible to abandon the run and force Flacco to win the game, which he will likely struggle to do.Like I said, my heart is with the Ravens, but I don't see any way the Ravens win, or cover as a dog unless worked into a Teaser that gets them to more than +10, unless ties don't lose or push for you.Good Luck!BALTIMORE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field this season.
