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FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (11 Viewers)

Tennessee sh*tt*ng the bed is a major headache, agreed. Not to mention Texas letting up on the gas late vs Oakland. Piss.

Still feel very good about Notre Dame and Villanova.

lumpy, I'm playing Texas A&M. Khris Middleton (A&m) should give the Aggies the edge in basically a Pick'm game with Chris Singleton either out or playing hurt.

I recommend staying off Duke today - their primary objective in this game, which they will easily win by 10+, is to get Kyrie Irving back on the floor, and get PT for their reserves. Hampton is a scrappy Team that should give 100% for a full 40 minutes. Expect Duke to win, but covring 24 points is silly with this big a card to choose from.

Same deal with Ohio State - Melvin Johnson III was the story in the First Four, but Devin Gibson gives UTSA a STUD to play with him. UTSA has heart. Again, OSU should easily win by more than 10, but I wouldn't bet -25.

I'm starting to dig on North Carolina, and I'm going in on Purdue and Xavier. Right now everything is 1u, but I may buck up before tip-off.

Night Caps: I'm leaning towards slamming UNLV. I like Washington and Syracuse as well, but I haven't decided how much.

Let's make it a great day! Good Luck!!!

 
Damn, BRONG THEORUM :excited: almost in effect on Nova there, but just outside my somewhat randomly selected window of 7-11, with a 6-point lead. We'll follow it anyway. ;) Opened at a pick.

ETA PK -105

ETA +1/2 -110

ETA Didn't pull the trigger. Only moved a 1/2 and lead not quite big enough imo.

 
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Illinois +2.5

The Illini have struggled mightily all year and have seriously underachieved, but they certainly do have talent. McCamey, Davis, and Tisdale are all seniors now and certainly remember their first round loss to Western Kentucky two years ago. If Illinois can get their three point shooting going, UNLV could be in serious trouble. I think this should be closer to Illinois -1.5

Georgia +5.5

Georgia is not getting a lot of respect from just about anyone talking about the tournament. They took both Notre Dame and Florida to overtime and beat Kentucky once (Washington lost to Kentucky). Washington really didn't have any impressive out of conference wins and their conference has looked very shaky in tourney competition so far. I don't think Georgia should be getting this many points.

 
Where the #### is my man BRONG to handicap this damn UNLV game? :confused: :blackdot: :popcorn:
Just sent you a PM, foo.Don't like the game because I don't know Illinois and UNLV is giving up more than they should, for sure. I will probably bet Illinois small. Oh wait, and then see if one of the teams is ahead by between 7-11 at half! :excited: :lmao:ETA: No play on game, just prop.
 
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Going with TreVon Willis of the Runnin Rebs over 23 points+rebounds+assists. Good luck everyone!
I like this. A lot. He was hurt and has been worked back in so his numbers are lower than they should be. Very good player who you'd think will shine tonight.
 
Ready for some NIT!?

Taking Colorado :bag: at half, Cal might be sucking wind towards the end. Pretty fast paced first half. Cal played on Wednesday night, a close one too, should help the cause.

ETA: ####, screwed up here. Anyway, I have Georgia, not like it matters, didn't know I was editing, thought I was posting about the Cal game. Took Colorado.

 
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Georgia +5.5

Georgia is not getting a lot of respect from just about anyone talking about the tournament. They took both Notre Dame and Florida to overtime and beat Kentucky once (Washington lost to Kentucky). Washington really didn't have any impressive out of conference wins and their conference has looked very shaky in tourney competition so far. I don't think Georgia should be getting this many points.
Backdoor! Thanks for this one, I like my 6-1 days because they don't come around that often. :banned:
 
Georgia +5.5

Georgia is not getting a lot of respect from just about anyone talking about the tournament. They took both Notre Dame and Florida to overtime and beat Kentucky once (Washington lost to Kentucky). Washington really didn't have any impressive out of conference wins and their conference has looked very shaky in tourney competition so far. I don't think Georgia should be getting this many points.
Backdoor! Thanks for this one, I like my 6-1 days because they don't come around that often. :banned:
It was my pep talk. RECOGNIZE!
 
Georgia +5.5

Georgia is not getting a lot of respect from just about anyone talking about the tournament. They took both Notre Dame and Florida to overtime and beat Kentucky once (Washington lost to Kentucky). Washington really didn't have any impressive out of conference wins and their conference has looked very shaky in tourney competition so far. I don't think Georgia should be getting this many points.
Backdoor! Thanks for this one, I like my 6-1 days because they don't come around that often. :banned:
:thumbup:
 
Georgia +5.5

Georgia is not getting a lot of respect from just about anyone talking about the tournament. They took both Notre Dame and Florida to overtime and beat Kentucky once (Washington lost to Kentucky). Washington really didn't have any impressive out of conference wins and their conference has looked very shaky in tourney competition so far. I don't think Georgia should be getting this many points.
Backdoor! Thanks for this one, I like my 6-1 days because they don't come around that often. :banned:
It was my pep talk. RECOGNIZE!
I was 2-0 in pucks too, maybe you're my slumpbuster. :banned:
 
WE DID IT!! :clap: What a day, my god. Did anybody touch the Colorado Mountain High 2nd Half NIT Theory? Easy money.

:banned: :banned:

 
I took a Grade-A horse whipping yesterday. I made my early calls, went out to watch the games, have some afternoon beers, began losing, eventually lost computer access (nowhere to plug in, battery ran down), had my watching interrupted by issues between fiancee and the father of her son, which became very distracting. Was bleeding money early, and unfortunately fell in to the age-old trap of making impulsive betting decisions on the fly trying to work things back to the nice creamy middle while not focusing on the business at hand. Dumb, dumb, dumb rookie move. So much easier to bail on the day due to life when you're up, but I'm a bitter loser, because I put work into my picks, and when I'm off like that, well, to me it means I'm working hard, not smart...wrap up: yesterday was a complete disaster for me, I apologize to those of you who tailed and failed...and if you're gonna go down, you might as well go down hard, and go down hard I did.

The bright side is this: I seem to do better work when I'm in a hole, and even the best, (read: honest) handicappers in the business admit that a winning percentage between 55-62.5% is where they make their money. There are hot streaks and cold streaks, and if you tailed me Thursday and took WVU for plenty of units, and Florida for slightly less but still a bundle, you hopefully only lost what you made on Thursday, at most...

Finally, I didn't post last night when I was on tilt, so I didn't take any of you down into the abyss with me. Unfortunately for me, I didn't tail any of you, and there were some solid takes on the night games here, that it would have been wise to heed.

Garrett - very nice job with selections and analysis with Georgia and Illinois. Solid.

I've spent the AM looking at things, and there's only one game I feel strongly enough about to start digging out of the hole, and that's Florida -5.5.

Even more so than BYU playing in Denver and SDSU playing in Tucson, this is a 'true' home game for #2 Seed Florida, and the homecourt advantage is tangible. Maybe even amped up if the fellow SEC fans from Kentucky stick around to catch the late game. 2nd Game in a row vs a West Coast Team playing across the country at a time when they've never played a basketball game all season, even on their coast - this is an 11 AM start for them. Crowd and time aside, though, Tournament play can usually be scouted via Coaching and Backcourt. Billy Donovan has the edge over Ben Howland, and while the guard play of both Teams can be inconsistent, Florida has the better athletes and is deeper, has a deeper bench and a better and tougher group of bigs. UCLA has been trademark inconsistent all Season, and several things had to break just right for them to stave off that late Mich St. rally, otherwise we'd be discussing a different matchup.

Every line over 2 looks huge to me right now after the shellacking I took yesterday, but from an objective standpoint 5.5 is fair and 6 is probably just south of about right. The matchup indicates to me that Florida could win this one by just over double digits.

Again, let's make sure we watch how the early games play out before fully committing on the late ones. I always believe the late Teams are watching the same games we are, and the better Coaches find ways to use them to their advantage.

Good Luck!!!

 
I took a Grade-A horse whipping yesterday. I made my early calls, went out to watch the games, have some afternoon beers, began losing, eventually lost computer access (nowhere to plug in, battery ran down), had my watching interrupted by issues between fiancee and the father of her son, which became very distracting. Was bleeding money early, and unfortunately fell in to the age-old trap of making impulsive betting decisions on the fly trying to work things back to the nice creamy middle while not focusing on the business at hand. Dumb, dumb, dumb rookie move. So much easier to bail on the day due to life when you're up, but I'm a bitter loser, because I put work into my picks, and when I'm off like that, well, to me it means I'm working hard, not smart...wrap up: yesterday was a complete disaster for me, I apologize to those of you who tailed and failed...and if you're gonna go down, you might as well go down hard, and go down hard I did.

The bright side is this: I seem to do better work when I'm in a hole, and even the best, (read: honest) handicappers in the business admit that a winning percentage between 55-62.5% is where they make their money. There are hot streaks and cold streaks, and if you tailed me Thursday and took WVU for plenty of units, and Florida for slightly less but still a bundle, you hopefully only lost what you made on Thursday, at most...

Finally, I didn't post last night when I was on tilt, so I didn't take any of you down into the abyss with me. Unfortunately for me, I didn't tail any of you, and there were some solid takes on the night games here, that it would have been wise to heed.

Garrett - very nice job with selections and analysis with Georgia and Illinois. Solid.

I've spent the AM looking at things, and there's only one game I feel strongly enough about to start digging out of the hole, and that's Florida -5.5.

Even more so than BYU playing in Denver and SDSU playing in Tucson, this is a 'true' home game for #2 Seed Florida, and the homecourt advantage is tangible. Maybe even amped up if the fellow SEC fans from Kentucky stick around to catch the late game. 2nd Game in a row vs a West Coast Team playing across the country at a time when they've never played a basketball game all season, even on their coast - this is an 11 AM start for them. Crowd and time aside, though, Tournament play can usually be scouted via Coaching and Backcourt. Billy Donovan has the edge over Ben Howland, and while the guard play of both Teams can be inconsistent, Florida has the better athletes and is deeper, has a deeper bench and a better and tougher group of bigs. UCLA has been trademark inconsistent all Season, and several things had to break just right for them to stave off that late Mich St. rally, otherwise we'd be discussing a different matchup.

Every line over 2 looks huge to me right now after the shellacking I took yesterday, but from an objective standpoint 5.5 is fair and 6 is probably just south of about right. The matchup indicates to me that Florida could win this one by just over double digits.

Again, let's make sure we watch how the early games play out before fully committing on the late ones. I always believe the late Teams are watching the same games we are, and the better Coaches find ways to use them to their advantage.

Good Luck!!!
If someone hits at that rate they'd be millionares in no time. If you can hit at 53-55% you're doing a fantastic job.
 
I'd like to thank week 4 of the NFL preseason for this, my basement for march madnesshttp://yfrog.com/h0y5ugoj
Either you aren't married, or your wife is an absolute saint.Looks nice.Garrett>I like the write-up on Illinios but Nittanylion said he might go big on UNLV so I'm torn. Really want to follow someone on this... :unsure:
I have a very tolerant wife....she knew what she was marrying before she committed :D
 
I'd like to thank week 4 of the NFL preseason for this, my basement for march madnesshttp://yfrog.com/h0y5ugoj
very nice. You wire it all up yourself lump?
Yeah the wiring was easy because the basement wasn't finished. Now I just battle my remote, it controls all 5 directv receivers but sometimes it lags, sometimes it takes a single button press and multiplies(ex hit 2 and it goes 222222). I also haven't figured out a way to control the tv functions with 1 remote, all tv's are samsung so power on turns on all 5 and vol up/down does the same.
 
I'd like to thank week 4 of the NFL preseason for this, my basement for march madnesshttp://yfrog.com/h0y5ugoj
very nice. You wire it all up yourself lump?
Yeah the wiring was easy because the basement wasn't finished. Now I just battle my remote, it controls all 5 directv receivers but sometimes it lags, sometimes it takes a single button press and multiplies(ex hit 2 and it goes 222222). I also haven't figured out a way to control the tv functions with 1 remote, all tv's are samsung so power on turns on all 5 and vol up/down does the same.
I had this issue when I had the 10 TVs set up together... (not all of them were HDTVs) :hot:What you have to do is decide which TV you want to "hear"... then you put a small piece of electrical tape over the remote IR censor on all of the other TVs. So when you hit the remote, only the TV you are listening to will respond. So if one of the other TVs has a controversy with the refs or something, and you want to hear what's going on, you can also put that game on the TV where the volume is for a minute.Nice setup bro! Have fun with it. :thumbup:
 
Florida -6

UCLA has been horrible away from home.

Loss against Villanova, VCU, and Oregon at neutral sites. Loss at Kansas, at Washington (twice), at Arizona, at California, and at USC.

Their biggest win away from home was BYU and I am not even really sure what that counts for. Beyond that, you will not find anything too impressive. They are a 7-8 team away from home.

I think Georgia vs Washington was a pretty good barometer to compare the schedules Florida and UCLA have played. Those teams looked fairly even last night. Florida beat Georgia twice and UCLA lost to Washington twice. This line should be Florida -9.5

 
I've been fading the Pac-10 in every game so far and will continue, so I of course am on board with MFG's pick. Granted Wash and Az weren't as bad as I thought they might be and the covers could have gone either way. But those two are also head and shoulders above the rest of them so again, I like the Florida call a lot more than the other 2nd round Pac-10 matchups.

Speaking of fades, going against BYU again (where's our BYU fantoutboy Tonydead?), but I'm also sold on the way Gonzaga is playing now and they are all about the stage, whereas BYU has yet to prove that in the tourney. That Gonzaga frontcourt should expose the Davies loss today, the reason I keep fading them, so perfect. These two will be the biggest plays.

Not sure I'll be around so here's what I think I'm doing:

Pitt

Cinci

Head

Temple (could see a guy getting sauced and going with his heart here however)

K-State

Oh, and Lump, killer basement setup, good for you man...GL ALL! :banned:

 
I took a Grade-A horse whipping yesterday. I made my early calls, went out to watch the games, have some afternoon beers, began losing, eventually lost computer access (nowhere to plug in, battery ran down), had my watching interrupted by issues between fiancee and the father of her son, which became very distracting. Was bleeding money early, and unfortunately fell in to the age-old trap of making impulsive betting decisions on the fly trying to work things back to the nice creamy middle while not focusing on the business at hand. Dumb, dumb, dumb rookie move. So much easier to bail on the day due to life when you're up, but I'm a bitter loser, because I put work into my picks, and when I'm off like that, well, to me it means I'm working hard, not smart...wrap up: yesterday was a complete disaster for me, I apologize to those of you who tailed and failed...and if you're gonna go down, you might as well go down hard, and go down hard I did.The bright side is this: I seem to do better work when I'm in a hole, and even the best, (read: honest) handicappers in the business admit that a winning percentage between 55-62.5% is where they make their money. There are hot streaks and cold streaks, and if you tailed me Thursday and took WVU for plenty of units, and Florida for slightly less but still a bundle, you hopefully only lost what you made on Thursday, at most...Finally, I didn't post last night when I was on tilt, so I didn't take any of you down into the abyss with me. Unfortunately for me, I didn't tail any of you, and there were some solid takes on the night games here, that it would have been wise to heed.
Don't sweat it too much bud, I am pretty sure everyone in this thread has been down this road before. Yes, pretty crappy feeling when you see that money leave your hands, but there is something to being able to get it back when you are down so low. I think it was 2 years ago, when i got destroyed in my accounts for about a month or so (due to poor money mgmt and the usual) and was really low. I have to thank Lumpy again, because i was able to build back from very little, and a lot of what i built back on was Lumpy's baseball props that were + odds. So you'll get it back, just one day at a time. It is a marathon, not a sprint, though I would love it if it were a sprint some days
 
I'd like to thank week 4 of the NFL preseason for this, my basement for march madnesshttp://yfrog.com/h0y5ugoj
very nice. You wire it all up yourself lump?
Yeah the wiring was easy because the basement wasn't finished. Now I just battle my remote, it controls all 5 directv receivers but sometimes it lags, sometimes it takes a single button press and multiplies(ex hit 2 and it goes 222222). I also haven't figured out a way to control the tv functions with 1 remote, all tv's are samsung so power on turns on all 5 and vol up/down does the same.
I can only imagine. I recently buried all my AV stuff in a closet. Running it to 1 TV, IR setup, ect. was a PITA. Can't imagine with 5. ool.### teasers
 
Temple +5.5 (buddy's pick and with BRONG liking them also this seems like a smart tail)

K-State +2.5 (I'm in love with K-State)

K-State ML +150 (after line moved to +3.5 thought this was worth it)

Richmond -3.5 (Morehead blew their load v the Ville, Richmond should roll by 10)

Pittsburgh -7 (A lot of people talking this week about Butler's seed being too high and them not being what they were a year ago. Pittsburgh isn't going to take Butler lightly and they are just too good so covering the spread should be pretty likely)

Probably no hockey today, lines are real tight right now and I'm focused on this hoops stuff.

 
Even more so than BYU playing in Denver
You bring this up a lot, I'd be careful goin with that, especially on this matchup.. Lotta folks in Co do not like BYU, at all. Sure, BYU will have their fans, but most everybody else will be rooting for the Zags. It's nothing to focus on anyway; it's all about the teams themselves. I actually think you are overemphasizing this home court stuff in general, with a few exceptions, sure. This isn't the NIT.
 
Wow. When Boynton went down with the ankle, my heart was in my throat. Walker sure came to play today, though. Chomp, chomp, chomp. :gatorclap:

I was in 'tournament mode', with that play: Win you go on, lose you go home. That cover, backed up by some Florida ML as well, won back almost 50% of the damage I did to myself yesterday. Otherwise, no more action 'til Football.

Now I'm going to decompress and watch what should be a hell of a game between Richmond and Morehead St., and I'll take a 2nd look at the rest of today's slate. I'll most likely hold off until tomorrow...I really want to dissect some of the Teams again that I missed so badly on yesterday, and maybe turn a profit Sunday to end the week on the upswing.

Shooting all that positive karma right back atcha, Fellas...let's go deep in the black today!!!

 
K-State +2.5 (I'm in love with K-State)K-State ML +150 (after line moved to +3.5 thought this was worth it)
Any concern at all about Pullen being reported to have the flu during the first round game? I never really got an update on how he was doing. The uncertainty around him is making it hard for me to get a good handle on that game. Pullen is a guy who, at his best, can really take Wisconsin out of their system, which is the only way to beat them.
 
K-State +2.5 (I'm in love with K-State)K-State ML +150 (after line moved to +3.5 thought this was worth it)
Any concern at all about Pullen being reported to have the flu during the first round game? I never really got an update on how he was doing. The uncertainty around him is making it hard for me to get a good handle on that game. Pullen is a guy who, at his best, can really take Wisconsin out of their system, which is the only way to beat them.
Couple of articles are saying he had the flu which was at its worst on Wednesday and he should be fine tonight.
 
Something to consider in the upcoming matchup between the Aztecs and Owls.

Penn State took Temple down to the wire. What folks who didn't watch the game may not know is that they did this without their 2nd leading scorer and leading rebounder on the floor for most of the game.

Jeff Brooks got in early foul trouble and played only 9 minutes in the first half. A minute into the 2nd half, he dislocated his shoulder blocking a shot, and was done for the day.

Temple has nice guards, better than SDSU, but not by much, and the Coaches are roughly a push, although the Aztecs Fisher is a better Tournament Coach than Fran Dunphy, but SDSU has a MASSIVE advantage up front, especially with Scootie Randall banged up for the Owls.

I just dodged a kill shot on a 5.5 point spread, so maybe to me it looks bigger than it is, but SDSU looks like something worth considering here.

 
Even more so than BYU playing in Denver
You bring this up a lot, I'd be careful goin with that, especially on this matchup.. Lotta folks in Co do not like BYU, at all. Sure, BYU will have their fans, but most everybody else will be rooting for the Zags. It's nothing to focus on anyway; it's all about the teams themselves. I actually think you are overemphasizing this home court stuff in general, with a few exceptions, sure. This isn't the NIT.
I know I bring it up, but I try not to unless I think it could actually play a role. With Gainsville just over 100 miles away from Tampa, I very much think it played a role in capping Florida Thursday and today. What I'm hearing from out your way, and you'd obviously know better than me, is that BYU brought a HUGE group down, and with today's game falling on Saturday, rather than Sunday, the BYU folks were showing up en force last night and this AM. I can understand that folks living in Colorado might not be too high on BYU, but we're talking about folks who will actually be attending the Games, and my understanding is that typically on Day 2 of these things, folks with a regional rooting interest are much stronger in attendance than folks who living in the area that don't have a dog in the fight. Has something to do with price of tickets going up in relation to seeing games where the winner actually advances to the Sweet 16, and actual fans of those Teams being willing to pay more to see it happen, pricing out the local casual basketball fans. I have no idea where or when I saw that, but I'm not just pulling it out of my ###. Gonzaga's geographical proximity to Denver allows that their fans will make a strong showing as well, but (and take this with a grain of salt), you get the God-squad fired up behind their chosen one Fredette, and it's going to be like a tent revival inside that field house, and the betting man in me says stay out of this one, because that's an intangible I'm not interested in speculating against....but you are absolutely right in that it shouldn't be overly emphasized in most cases, and that it plays a much bigger role in Tourney's like the NIT where games are played on home courts. Points well taken.One game I guarantee it will play a role in: tomorrow's bout in Charlotte between Duke and Michigan. I think Duke is going to treat the locals to a show tomorrow, and absolutely torch and torture the Wolverines, and for good reason. That's Coach K and Duke Basketball for you, for sure.
 
Even more so than BYU playing in Denver
You bring this up a lot, I'd be careful goin with that, especially on this matchup.. Lotta folks in Co do not like BYU, at all. Sure, BYU will have their fans, but most everybody else will be rooting for the Zags. It's nothing to focus on anyway; it's all about the teams themselves. I actually think you are overemphasizing this home court stuff in general, with a few exceptions, sure. This isn't the NIT.
I know I bring it up, but I try not to unless I think it could actually play a role. With Gainsville just over 100 miles away from Tampa, I very much think it played a role in capping Florida Thursday and today. What I'm hearing from out your way, and you'd obviously know better than me, is that BYU brought a HUGE group down, and with today's game falling on Saturday, rather than Sunday, the BYU folks were showing up en force last night and this AM. I can understand that folks living in Colorado might not be too high on BYU, but we're talking about folks who will actually be attending the Games, and my understanding is that typically on Day 2 of these things, folks with a regional rooting interest are much stronger in attendance than folks who living in the area that don't have a dog in the fight. Has something to do with price of tickets going up in relation to seeing games where the winner actually advances to the Sweet 16, and actual fans of those Teams being willing to pay more to see it happen, pricing out the local casual basketball fans. I have no idea where or when I saw that, but I'm not just pulling it out of my ###. Gonzaga's geographical proximity to Denver allows that their fans will make a strong showing as well, but (and take this with a grain of salt), you get the God-squad fired up behind their chosen one Fredette, and it's going to be like a tent revival inside that field house, and the betting man in me says stay out of this one, because that's an intangible I'm not interested in speculating against....but you are absolutely right in that it shouldn't be overly emphasized in most cases, and that it plays a much bigger role in Tourney's like the NIT where games are played on home courts. Points well taken.One game I guarantee it will play a role in: tomorrow's bout in Charlotte between Duke and Michigan. I think Duke is going to treat the locals to a show tomorrow, and absolutely torch and torture the Wolverines, and for good reason. That's Coach K and Duke Basketball for you, for sure.
Dude, you're overanalyzing the crowd aspect, I'm telling you. If you can point to anywhere in that UCLA game that some Florida group of fans made any difference in the outcome I'll eat my shoe on youtube right now. They didn't. The reason Florida had an advantage was the distance and the time zone. And again, I said there are exceptions, that being one. It wasn't the noise, no way. And do you think any of this is lost on oddsmakers? Come on.And why you are so concerned with this Mormon contingent crossing the continental divide I have no idea. This isn't a war they are going to; nor will they be on the floor. And you're wrong about thinking there are only a few folks in Colorado that don't like BYU. And, that they won't be at the game. People all over Colorado have had tickets to this for awhile. Not only do many of them not like BYU, but even moreso now, after leaving the Mountain West Conference (3 schools within an hour and a ton of alumni in Denver - with tickets). Add the fact that Gonzaga is a very well liked/followed team and I am telling you the bystanders will overwhelmingly be for them and/or against BYU. Bottom line is, in this one, that it is all next to meaningless in the bigger scheme of things. And so the F what if BYU fans end up louder. In the PEPSI CENTER? Whoopie! That's all I'm trying to emphasize here, don't let it be such a big part of your focus man, get off that. Anyway, I'm done with this. You're a nice guy nl, GL whatever you do, I mean it. :thumbup:
 
I did not play the SDSU game, it started on me with that overlap I forgot about it. But I'm kinda glad, because I feel good about them now. Sizable SDSU -2 -115 halftime play. LET'S DO THIS!!

 
BYU - PICK

This isn't handicapping the teams as much as handicapping bettors. If I see/hear 75% of people talking about taking one team, I'll be on the other side. I know that is useless and superstitious reasoning but is it what I do sometimes. My gut just tells me that Gonzaga is getting too much hype after one win in the tournament. Just a little over a month ago, Gonzaga was in the midst of a 2-4 rut and setting this matchup as a PICK would have been laughable. I know things have changed, but I think we might be over estimating how much. Good luck.

 
Sorry to have not been posting as many hockey props this past week. Sportsbook has with-out-a-doubt tightened up on moving odds and lines on the hockey props of late. A few big plays we have had this past week have moved the line 2 ponts and the odds up to -140.

At any rate we have our action in for tonight and like both the Blues and the Ducks under (both 28.5). Of course the line is up to -130 and -135, so it comes at a larger risk now. Best of luck.

 

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