FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (4 Viewers)

[Raider Nation]

i'll be spreading them around to any +180 3 teamer shops that i can find.

I'll take a PM please when/if you find any reliable ones.

 

[culdeus]

I'm going local for my teasers. Actually taking "investors" into a syndicate so I have to watch the lines a lot closer. Should be interesting. I doubt the wheels get off the ground by the preseason, but we'll see.

I'm down on this year....looking over my records last year was so far above the previous years it was ridiculous. I had 4 reg season sweeps last year PLUS the gigantic preseason week 4 sweep. In the previous 4 years I didn't have a single sweep and I played LESS teams. In 2008 and 2009 seasons I was break even on teasers. Small sample size and all that but I just can't comprehend ever seeing another year like last year.

I think the teams with this CBA are converging. At least that's the logic I'm going to run with for the time being. The FA pool is also playing into this. There is always some give and take with this system, and monitoring where the lines are set to avoid the teasers will be key at some point. This is basically all I do anymore, once the 180 ship sales I'm retired for good.

 

[lumpy19]

i'll be spreading them around to any +180 3 teamer shops that i can find.

I'll take a PM please when/if you find any reliable ones.

Here's my initial plan and the order I trust themcaribsports.comsportsbook.comBETUS.comthats all i have, bookmaker and betonline are both at +160 but I feel safe having my entire bankroll at either of those shops

 

[lumpy19]

I'm going local for my teasers. Actually taking "investors" into a syndicate so I have to watch the lines a lot closer. Should be interesting. I doubt the wheels get off the ground by the preseason, but we'll see.

I'm down on this year....looking over my records last year was so far above the previous years it was ridiculous. I had 4 reg season sweeps last year PLUS the gigantic preseason week 4 sweep. In the previous 4 years I didn't have a single sweep and I played LESS teams. In 2008 and 2009 seasons I was break even on teasers. Small sample size and all that but I just can't comprehend ever seeing another year like last year.

I think the teams with this CBA are converging. At least that's the logic I'm going to run with for the time being. The FA pool is also playing into this. There is always some give and take with this system, and monitoring where the lines are set to avoid the teasers will be key at some point. This is basically all I do anymore, once the 180 ship sales I'm retired for good.

Well +100 2 teamers went a few years ago, +180 3 teamers are next....which will force me to move to +300 4 teamers and a nasty ride on the variance train.

 

[Raider Nation]

i'll be spreading them around to any +180 3 teamer shops that i can find.

I'll take a PM please when/if you find any reliable ones.

Here's my initial plan and the order I trust themcaribsports.comsportsbook.comBETUS.comthats all i have, bookmaker and betonline are both at +160 but I feel safe having my entire bankroll at either of those shops

Any idea why some shops are running scared from U.S. clients, while a few others are standing firm?

 

[culdeus]

i'll be spreading them around to any +180 3 teamer shops that i can find.

I'll take a PM please when/if you find any reliable ones.

Here's my initial plan and the order I trust themcaribsports.comsportsbook.comBETUS.comthats all i have, bookmaker and betonline are both at +160 but I feel safe having my entire bankroll at either of those shops

Any idea why some shops are running scared from U.S. clients, while a few others are standing firm?

Probably because their principals are US based and want to be able to go home for Thanksgiving every year.

 

[lumpy19]

i'll be spreading them around to any +180 3 teamer shops that i can find.

I'll take a PM please when/if you find any reliable ones.

Here's my initial plan and the order I trust themcaribsports.comsportsbook.comBETUS.comthats all i have, bookmaker and betonline are both at +160 but I feel safe having my entire bankroll at either of those shops

Any idea why some shops are running scared from U.S. clients, while a few others are standing firm?

Spiro who runs greek supposedly has enough money that he just didn't feel like dealing with the US anymore, article on espn about him "retiring" since he's a grandpa now.The US government has made it incredibly difficult for these offshore shops to receive and send out money. I don't see it getting any better in the near future. This country is a long way from allowing sports betting online, a LONG way.

 

[lumpy19]

If you have a betonline acct, these NFL RSW are WAY off $250 max

Cincy u6.5 -110

Washington u6.5 -125

Seattle u7 -120

Chicago u9.5 -130

Minnesota o6.5 -125

They were the first online book to release lines last Thursday I believe. I've been waiting for them to increase to $500 but with all the other books putting out lines yesterday I can't wait anymore

 

[bmj87]

1u Chicago Cubs +130

1u Washington -107

YTD 57-57 +4.29u

 

[Sonny Lubick Blowup Doll]

Anybody see anything? I'm not paying attention yet...

Sep 08 11001 CARDINALS TOTAL RSW o7-105

8:00 PM 11002 CARDINALS TOTAL RSW u7-135

Sep 08 11003 FALCONS TOTAL RSW o10-150

8:00 PM 11004 FALCONS TOTAL RSW u10+110

Sep 08 11005 RAVENS TOTAL RSW o10½-110

8:00 PM 11006 RAVENS TOTAL RSW u10½-130

Sep 08 11007 BILLS TOTAL RSW o5½-105

8:00 PM 11008 BILLS TOTAL RSW u5½-135

Sep 08 11009 PANTHERS TOTAL RSW o4½-135

8:00 PM 11010 PANTHERS TOTAL RSW u4½-105

Sep 08 11011 BEARS TOTAL RSW o8½-135

8:00 PM 11012 BEARS TOTAL RSW u8½-105

Sep 08 11013 BENGALS TOTAL RSW o5½-130

8:00 PM 11014 BENGALS TOTAL RSW u5½-110

Sep 08 11015 BROWNS TOTAL RSW o6½-125

8:00 PM 11016 BROWNS TOTAL RSW u6½-115

Sep 08 11017 COWBOYS TOTAL RSW o9-120

8:00 PM 11018 COWBOYS TOTAL RSW u9-120

Sep 08 11019 BRONCOS TOTAL RSW o5½-135

8:00 PM 11020 BRONCOS TOTAL RSW u5½-105

Sep 08 11021 LIONS TOTAL RSW o8EV

8:00 PM 11022 LIONS TOTAL RSW u8-140

Sep 08 11023 PACKERS TOTAL RSW o11½-105

8:00 PM 11024 PACKERS TOTAL RSW u11½-135

Sep 08 11025 TEXANS TOTAL RSW o8½-120

8:00 PM 11026 TEXANS TOTAL RSW u8½-120

Sep 08 11027 COLTS TOTAL RSW o10-105

8:00 PM 11028 COLTS TOTAL RSW u10-135

Sep 08 11029 JAGUARS TOTAL RSW o6½-105

8:00 PM 11030 JAGUARS TOTAL RSW u6½-135

Sep 08 11031 CHIEFS TOTAL RSW o8-105

8:00 PM 11032 CHIEFS TOTAL RSW u8-135

Sep 08 11033 DOLPHINS TOTAL RSW o8+115

8:00 PM 11034 DOLPHINS TOTAL RSW u8-155

Sep 08 11035 VIKINGS TOTAL RSW o7½+125

8:00 PM 11036 VIKINGS TOTAL RSW u7½-165

Sep 08 11037 PATRIOTS TOTAL RSW o11½-135

8:00 PM 11038 PATRIOTS TOTAL RSW u11½-105

Sep 08 11039 SAINTS TOTAL RSW o10-135

8:00 PM 11040 SAINTS TOTAL RSW u10-105

Sep 08 11041 GIANTS TOTAL RSW o9½-105

8:00 PM 11042 GIANTS TOTAL RSW u9½-135

Sep 08 11043 JETS TOTAL RSW o10-135

8:00 PM 11044 JETS TOTAL RSW u10-105

Sep 08 11045 RAIDERS TOTAL RSW o7-115

8:00 PM 11046 RAIDERS TOTAL RSW u7-125

Sep 08 11047 EAGLES TOTAL RSW o10½-135

8:00 PM 11048 EAGLES TOTAL RSW u10½-105

Sep 08 11049 STEELERS TOTAL RSW o10½-120

8:00 PM 11050 STEELERS TOTAL RSW u10½-120

Sep 08 11051 CHARGERS TOTAL RSW o10-120

8:00 PM 11052 CHARGERS TOTAL RSW u10-120

Sep 08 11053 49ERS TOTAL RSW o8EV

8:00 PM 11054 49ERS TOTAL RSW u8-140

Sep 08 11055 SEAHAWKS TOTAL RSW o6-120

8:00 PM 11056 SEAHAWKS TOTAL RSW u6-120

Sep 08 11057 RAMS TOTAL RSW o7½-130

8:00 PM 11058 RAMS TOTAL RSW u7½-110

Sep 08 11059 BUCCANEERS TOTAL RSW o8-130

8:00 PM 11060 BUCCANEERS TOTAL RSW u8-110

Sep 08 11061 TITANS TOTAL RSW o7+115

8:00 PM 11062 TITANS TOTAL RSW u7-155

Sep 08 11063 REDSKINS TOTAL RSW o6EV

8:00 PM 11064 REDSKINS TOTAL RSW u6-140

 

[bmj87]

Holy #### we've won 3 in a row ... maybe we're back

1u Washington +137

 

[Joe Summer]

Over/Unders that I like:

BUF under 5 (they'll be lucky to win 1)

CIN under 6.5 (LOCK OF THE YEAR)

CLE under 6.5 (DOUBLE LOCK OF THE YEAR)

DET over 7.5 (gonna flirt with .500)

HOU under 8 (like clockwork for them)

TEN under 6.5 (it's Hasselbeck, people)

MIN under 6.5 (they are falling apart)

SF under 8 (they haven't improved last year's 6 win team)

SEA under 7 (TRIPLE LOCK OF THE YEAR)

WAS under 6.5 (Rex Grossman??)

 

[nittanylion]

What this Thread is doing on Page 4, I don't know...

I've been trailing baseball plays all season (thanks bmj and others)...along the way, I've tried to learn a few things, and for the most part I'm making more good choices than bad ones when venturing out on my own. No one in their right mind should trail my baseball plays, because I'm purely a novice at this, but I'm bored and need something to wager on so I am playing:

8:05 PM: Cleveland Indians @ Texas Rangers (-1.5 +135)

Derek Holland is pretty hot pitching for the Rangers. His 1st several starts at home, he wasn't very good, but the last 2, he's had consecutive solid performances. Great road pitcher, looks like he's in a decent groove now wherever he pitches, and his confidence is brimming...right before the trade deadline, the Indians acquired P Ubaldo Jiminez from the Rockies. He was a solid pitcher the last few years, but this season he's struggled, and his velocity is definitely down. He's very eager for a fresh start in the AL, and I think he might be a victim tonight of 'trying too hard' in his 1st start for his new Team, playing on the road and going against a hot pitcher. His stuff shouldn't be too hard for the Ranger bats to figure out, and on the flipside, the Indians bats have to go up against a hot lefty who's started to realize that he can win games not only relying on his arm, but by on the defense behind him. At least that's what it looks like to me, which doesn't mean squat.

 

[JerseyToughGuys]

Over/Unders that I like:BUF under 5 (they'll be lucky to win 1)CIN under 6.5 (LOCK OF THE YEAR)CLE under 6.5 (DOUBLE LOCK OF THE YEAR)DET over 7.5 (gonna flirt with .500)HOU under 8 (like clockwork for them)TEN under 6.5 (it's Hasselbeck, people)MIN under 6.5 (they are falling apart)SF under 8 (they haven't improved last year's 6 win team)SEA under 7 (TRIPLE LOCK OF THE YEAR)WAS under 6.5 (Rex Grossman??)

that is a lot of unders. Have you projected the rest of the teams to make sure it all balances out? (seems like a lot of OVERs would be needed)

 

[Sonny Lubick Blowup Doll]

Over/Unders that I like:BUF under 5 (they'll be lucky to win 1)CIN under 6.5 (LOCK OF THE YEAR)CLE under 6.5 (DOUBLE LOCK OF THE YEAR)DET over 7.5 (gonna flirt with .500)HOU under 8 (like clockwork for them)TEN under 6.5 (it's Hasselbeck, people)MIN under 6.5 (they are falling apart)SF under 8 (they haven't improved last year's 6 win team)SEA under 7 (TRIPLE LOCK OF THE YEAR)WAS under 6.5 (Rex Grossman??)

that is a lot of unders. Have you projected the rest of the teams to make sure it all balances out? (seems like a lot of OVERs would be needed)

Doesn't matter, if he's getting those lines still (doubt it), bet 'em.

 

[JerseyToughGuys]

Over/Unders that I like:BUF under 5 (they'll be lucky to win 1)CIN under 6.5 (LOCK OF THE YEAR)CLE under 6.5 (DOUBLE LOCK OF THE YEAR)DET over 7.5 (gonna flirt with .500)HOU under 8 (like clockwork for them)TEN under 6.5 (it's Hasselbeck, people)MIN under 6.5 (they are falling apart)SF under 8 (they haven't improved last year's 6 win team)SEA under 7 (TRIPLE LOCK OF THE YEAR)WAS under 6.5 (Rex Grossman??)

that is a lot of unders. Have you projected the rest of the teams to make sure it all balances out? (seems like a lot of OVERs would be needed)

Doesn't matter, if he's getting those lines still (doubt it), bet 'em.

wow, good pt. I didn't even bother to look at the lines after I saw 9/10 unders

 

[lumpy19]

Over/Unders that I like:BUF under 5 (they'll be lucky to win 1)CIN under 6.5 (LOCK OF THE YEAR)CLE under 6.5 (DOUBLE LOCK OF THE YEAR)DET over 7.5 (gonna flirt with .500)HOU under 8 (like clockwork for them)TEN under 6.5 (it's Hasselbeck, people)MIN under 6.5 (they are falling apart)SF under 8 (they haven't improved last year's 6 win team)SEA under 7 (TRIPLE LOCK OF THE YEAR)WAS under 6.5 (Rex Grossman??)

that is a lot of unders. Have you projected the rest of the teams to make sure it all balances out? (seems like a lot of OVERs would be needed)

Doesn't matter, if he's getting those lines still (doubt it), bet 'em.

wow, good pt. I didn't even bother to look at the lines after I saw 9/10 unders

I disagree with buffalo at 5(especially when 5.5 is widely available) Min, hou, and det

 

[Sonny Lubick Blowup Doll]

BTW, I briefly cross-checked with my list and it was looking like every one was higher. Like I said though, I have not looked into anything yet. Lumpy, does anything from my list stand out to you, line-wise?

 

[lumpy19]

BTW, I briefly cross-checked with my list and it was looking like every one was higher. Like I said though, I have not looked into anything yet. Lumpy, does anything from my list stand out to you, line-wise?

Those lines look pretty good, hard to beat anything with a 40 cent line. The only one even close is det u8 -140 but -140 is terrible

 

[Sonny Lubick Blowup Doll]

BTW, I briefly cross-checked with my list and it was looking like every one was higher. Like I said though, I have not looked into anything yet. Lumpy, does anything from my list stand out to you, line-wise?

Those lines look pretty good, hard to beat anything with a 40 cent line. The only one even close is det u8 -140 but -140 is terrible

Forget the spread, I don't pay that, it's just a new site he's using.

 

[Leroy Hoard]

Sounds like a good year to short the entire state of Ohio.

 

[lumpy19]

BTW, I briefly cross-checked with my list and it was looking like every one was higher. Like I said though, I have not looked into anything yet. Lumpy, does anything from my list stand out to you, line-wise?

Those lines look pretty good, hard to beat anything with a 40 cent line. The only one even close is det u8 -140 but -140 is terrible

Forget the spread, I don't pay that, it's just a new site he's using.

Add Indy u10 and NYG u9.5 then

 

[lumpy19]

Preseason week 1 lines are out......lets get this party started, highest total is 36, i'm teasing every damn game

 

[bmj87]

1u kc +171

1u oak +127

1u nym +102

 

[bmj87]

Preseason week 1 lines are out......lets get this party started, highest total is 36, i'm teasing every damn game

Let's do it

 

[hooter311]

Ufc 133 card props (starts 5 pm central)

Card props:

Hallman submission of the night+725

Evans KO of the night +750

Mendes Ko of the night +1400

Natal has quickest Submission +1100

Write ups on every fight in the MMA wagering thread.

 

[JerseyToughGuys]

 

[Tiger Fan]

So question for futures guys. The Saints and Philly are both +450 to win the NFC (GB is +200). Philly is +750 to win the SB and the Saints are +1600 (GB is +650).

Maybe I'm stupid, but something is seriously off on the Saints SB line (in a good way if you want to play it), no?

 

[Raider Nation]

Preseason week 1 lines are out......lets get this party started, highest total is 36, i'm teasing every damn game

I didn't follow your system last year. I'm assuming you tease all the totals UP then play all unders?

 

[lumpy19]

Preseason week 1 lines are out......lets get this party started, highest total is 36, i'm teasing every damn game

I didn't follow your system last year. I'm assuming you tease all the totals UP then play all unders?

I don't tease totals

 

[Raider Nation]

Preseason week 1 lines are out......lets get this party started, highest total is 36, i'm teasing every damn game

I didn't follow your system last year. I'm assuming you tease all the totals UP then play all unders?

I don't tease totals

Oh, gotcha. By noting the low totals, you mean the games are expected to be close, and therefore there is value teasing the dogs?Do I have that right?

 

[lumpy19]

Preseason week 1 lines are out......lets get this party started, highest total is 36, i'm teasing every damn game

I didn't follow your system last year. I'm assuming you tease all the totals UP then play all unders?

I don't tease totals

Oh, gotcha. By noting the low totals, you mean the games are expected to be close, and therefore there is value teasing the dogs?Do I have that right?

Exactly, +9 in a game totaled 33 is a completely different bet than +9 in a game totaled 48

 

[Raider Nation]

^

I know this is asking a lot, but is there a site that takes those plays AND takes American customers AND accepts credit cards?

I have a better chance of finding a unicorn, right?

 

[hooter311]

^I know this is asking a lot, but is there a site that takes those plays AND takes American customers AND accepts credit cards?I have a better chance of finding a unicorn, right?

I'm gonna go ahead and answer, not any more.

 

[Raider Nation]

^I know this is asking a lot, but is there a site that takes those plays AND takes American customers AND accepts credit cards?I have a better chance of finding a unicorn, right?

I'm gonna go ahead and answer, not any more.

How about the first two things + Western Union/MoneyGram?

 

[hooter311]

^I know this is asking a lot, but is there a site that takes those plays AND takes American customers AND accepts credit cards?I have a better chance of finding a unicorn, right?

I'm gonna go ahead and answer, not any more.

How about the first two things + Western Union/MoneyGram?

5 dimes would be #1 on my list.

 

[Raider Nation]

^I know this is asking a lot, but is there a site that takes those plays AND takes American customers AND accepts credit cards?I have a better chance of finding a unicorn, right?

I'm gonna go ahead and answer, not any more.

How about the first two things + Western Union/MoneyGram?

5 dimes would be #1 on my list.

Thanks. Haven't played with them in awhile but I know their rep is solid. Not feeling this Heritage book at all. Dunno why.

 

[lumpy19]

5dimes is a terrible book for teasers, they shade their lines so that they're not tease-able.

I experimented last night and heritage is also terrible, they're at +160 for 3 teamers even though their payout chart shows +180 so don't load up there for teasers either.

 

[nittanylion]

I'd be interested in knowing if any of you have any experience with this site, and whether you do or not, what you all think after taking a look at it...

First Fidelity / wager7.eu

www.wager7.eu/

 

[lumpy19]

Interesting note this morning from Peter King on NFL training camps

I think the defense is ahead of the offense in the camps I've seen. In some cases, far ahead. The Eagle D was devouring the offense in the Friday morning practice, two days after the Jets offense (minus a few first-teamers) could get very little done against the defense.From what I hear, that's common around the league. It's easier to throw your body around on defense than it is to do something a little more in-sync, like have 11 people moving in the right direction on a pass play that might be complicated for players who haven't studied it very thoroughly yet.

Looking at teasers for week 1x I think in addition to the standard 6pt 3 teamers it might be smart to play some of the more exotic teasers 3 team 10 pointers and some sites even offer 13 pointers. All dogs. The 13 point teasers work well on games lined at 1/1.5 and 4/4.5Getting 13pts in games with totals at 35ish is nuts, example cincy +17.5 when the game total is 35.5ETA: I also might play these now instead of waiting til wednesday. I think most of the dogs are going to get bet with the short training camp.

 

[JerseyToughGuys]

Interesting note this morning from Peter King on NFL training camps

I think the defense is ahead of the offense in the camps I've seen. In some cases, far ahead. The Eagle D was devouring the offense in the Friday morning practice, two days after the Jets offense (minus a few first-teamers) could get very little done against the defense.From what I hear, that's common around the league. It's easier to throw your body around on defense than it is to do something a little more in-sync, like have 11 people moving in the right direction on a pass play that might be complicated for players who haven't studied it very thoroughly yet.

Looking at teasers for week 1x I think in addition to the standard 6pt 3 teamers it might be smart to play some of the more exotic teasers 3 team 10 pointers and some sites even offer 13 pointers. All dogs. The 13 point teasers work well on games lined at 1/1.5 and 4/4.5Getting 13pts in games with totals at 35ish is nuts, example cincy +17.5 when the game total is 35.5

are you waiting as long as possible to lock these in?

 

[Tiger Fan]

So is anyone rolling with Heritage? Or is 5 dimes the only legit place now?

 

[optionmaven]

So is anyone rolling with Heritage? Or is 5 dimes the only legit place now?

I have money with them still. Not a substantial amount though. Sportsbook is my primary place though. My limits have never been cut, unlike alot of others here. Perhaps because I'm kind enough to give them a few bucks back in the casino from time to time playing craps or 3 card poker.

 

[bmj87]

1u Kansas City +144

YTD 61-59 +6.88u

 

[Raider Nation]

Okay, I guess I'll get sucked into the donk play of the night...

Doc -151 vs. a team that can't hit.

 

[bmj87]

1u Colorado +115

YtD 61-60 +5.88u

 

[Man In The Box]

Playing LAA +112 tonight(assuming they get the game in, the weather here stinks). Burnett will drive me up a wall, as usual. No sense in passing up a chance to make some money in the process.

 

[sts911911]

Interesting note this morning from Peter King on NFL training camps

I think the defense is ahead of the offense in the camps I've seen. In some cases, far ahead. The Eagle D was devouring the offense in the Friday morning practice, two days after the Jets offense (minus a few first-teamers) could get very little done against the defense.From what I hear, that's common around the league. It's easier to throw your body around on defense than it is to do something a little more in-sync, like have 11 people moving in the right direction on a pass play that might be complicated for players who haven't studied it very thoroughly yet.

Looking at teasers for week 1x I think in addition to the standard 6pt 3 teamers it might be smart to play some of the more exotic teasers 3 team 10 pointers and some sites even offer 13 pointers. All dogs. The 13 point teasers work well on games lined at 1/1.5 and 4/4.5Getting 13pts in games with totals at 35ish is nuts, example cincy +17.5 when the game total is 35.5ETA: I also might play these now instead of waiting til wednesday. I think most of the dogs are going to get bet with the short training camp.

I would really like to tail you but am wondering what 3 teams you are including in your parlay. Mind sharing where you are leaning?

 

[Raider Nation]

You guys might wanna fade the Arizona Cardinals in the preseason. Sirius NFL Radio was at their camp today and they had a long conversation with Kevin Kolb. His head is SPINNING trying to learn Wiz's offense, and he readily admitted it. The short camp means he has to cram a lot of new plays into a very tight schedule. The offense he's in now is nothing like the offense he ran under Andy Reid.

Probably a good idea to fade any QB learning a new system this summer, for that matter.

 

[lumpy19]

You guys might wanna fade the Arizona Cardinals in the preseason. Sirius NFL Radio was at their camp today and they had a long conversation with Kevin Kolb. His head is SPINNING trying to learn Wiz's offense, and he readily admitted it. The short camp means he has to cram a lot of new plays into a very tight schedule. The offense he's in now is nothing like the offense he ran under Andy Reid.

Probably a good idea to fade any QB learning a new system this summer, for that matter.

Mort was on the radio this morning and said that usually the first few weeks of the regular season we see some pretty ugly football. I've never noticed it but I'm usually so excited for football that I could care less. He then went on to say that he talked to the hoodie and NE has 9 plays they're currently comfortable running in their offense. 9 plays.