D-BO
Footballguy
Those are good. I was looking at OKC but my book has at +525.I may put a unit on Brandon Knight +800 for ROY. Pistons fan here and he's going to get a chance to shine.
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FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (1 Viewer)
- Thread starter John Bender
- Start date
BRONG
FOR A LIMITED TIME ONLY
This is exactly where I stand on Boise/ASU, I think I posted about it awhile back. Boise should still relish squashing a Pac10 team on national television. BUT...I just hate, hate, hate how so many people like it. This was partly why I loved LaTech last night. Go check out our Bowl Pickem pool. 31 out of 35 were on TCU. 31 out of 35 are on Boise tonight.The difference between Boise and a team like TCU is, Boise seems to take all these games extremely seriously. Dogs are 4-1 going into this game for the bowl season but chalk will rise the next two games IMO, Boise should probably put it on ASU. Plus Erickson coached teams play undisiplined and sloppy games, just what Boise State feeds off of. 45-21 BoiseAND everyone is on Boise and the Over.
ETA: I just looked for my LaTech post and found it another thread, btw. 
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Raider Nation
Devil's Advocate
Texans -3.5 (1H)
JaxBill
Footballguy
Trailing this and adding Texans total points ov 23.5
![[icon]](/data/avatars/m/5/5167.jpg?1660313464){kind=avatar}
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Insoxicated
Well... at FIRST glance that seems to be a pretty good call.
Raider Nation
Devil's Advocate
Pretty good start for the over.
cstu
Footballguy
Parlayed Texans -4 and Over 20 (1H)
cstu
Footballguy
FG Colts, TD Texans by halftime. TIA.
Raider Nation
Devil's Advocate
Thanks Adam!
Doctor Detroit
Please remove your headgear
This is embarrassing.
Raider Nation
Devil's Advocate
And Mario.
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Insoxicated
Well now I have 2u on LSU at +6 and +7 thus far... for ####s and giggles this year I am going to tie a bunch of my bowl plays as teasers into the LSU +7 play. Figure it could be a fun way to get a sizeable sum on the NC game with some extra points. I know the "never tease NCAAF crew are probably rolling their eyes... 
Good Posting Judge
Footballguy
NBA win totals are up on SB.
GSW u 32.5 -120. 2u.
GSW u 32.5 -120. 2u.
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Raider Nation
Devil's Advocate
If Ben does indeed sit, methinks the under 37 in STL/PIT is a Christmas gift.
The Steelers will rush the ball 40 times (Rams rank dead last against the run) and St. Loo might not score 6 points.
The Steelers will rush the ball 40 times (Rams rank dead last against the run) and St. Loo might not score 6 points.
Doctor Detroit
Please remove your headgear
On teasers this week I like the Titans and Chargers.
Looking for a third team.
Bills +8.5
Oakland +8.5
Giants +9
Panthers -1.5
Eagles +7
Anyone have real strong feelings on any of those?
Looking for a third team.
Bills +8.5
Oakland +8.5
Giants +9
Panthers -1.5
Eagles +7
Anyone have real strong feelings on any of those?
cstu
Footballguy
The Panthers recently crushed TB on the road and now they get them at home. It shouldn't be close.I like Oakland too, the Chiefs coming off a huge win are due for a letdown. KC could win but I don't see them doing it by more than a TD.
Raider Nation
Devil's Advocate
Of the ones you listed, Carolina.Be careful with Tennessee. They can't stop the run, and they happen to be facing the league's leading rusher this week. Also, while Jacksonville's back end is banged up, I'm not sure Hasselbeck is equipped to take advantage of them given his physical condition.
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Doctor Detroit
Please remove your headgear
Will go with Panthers since you and CSTU like them, they would have been my 2nd choice on that list.Would the Raiders be a better play than the Titans IYO?
Raider Nation
Devil's Advocate
HELL no. I wouldn't count on the Raiders for chit. They have one good game followed by three disappointing ones. The way KC's defense is playing, a Chiefs 27-13 win isn't out of the question at all.
cstu
Footballguy
So they're due!
Doctor Detroit
Please remove your headgear
Ok, thanks.
cstu
Footballguy
Chris Johnson hurt his ankle at the end of the Colts game and while he'll play I don't trust him. The Titans should still win but I'm not putting money on it.
cstu
Footballguy
Ryan Mathews is +2500 to have the most rushing yards. He's on a roll and faces the weak Lions rush defense. Ray Rice vs. the Browns is the obvious favorite and is +400.
Arian Foster, Michael Turner, Roy Helu aren't listed.
Edit: I ended up putting 1u each on Mathews (+2500), McCoy (+1800), ADP (+1500) and Rice (+400).
Arian Foster, Michael Turner, Roy Helu aren't listed.
Edit: I ended up putting 1u each on Mathews (+2500), McCoy (+1800), ADP (+1500) and Rice (+400).
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xulf
Footballguy
Big thanks to a fellow boston terrier owner. Scared the crap out of me that they leaned on addai so much early. But this saved my night since hou is balls
xulf
Footballguy
with cj2k huting, id stay far away from ten. Phi i like, a lot. If nyg win in the early game, dal has nothing left to play for and felix has hammy issues. I know its not kosher, but adding in NE -4 seems safer than some of these.
TheWick
Footballguy
I wasn't expecting Addai to be that involved either. Perhaps we stole that one
Gotta love those bostons!
The Ref
Footballguy
off the board at sportsbook
CletiusMaximus
Footballguy
25% bonus at Sportsbook - must be used by the end of the day Christmas day.
promocode: HOL25
max bonus is $250
promocode: HOL25
max bonus is $250
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Insoxicated
Hell, I'm trying to get some money OUT of that place.... Have a 2500k Check coming out that's been "Pending" for about 30 days. Talked to Tech Support yesterday and they informed me they're now at "6-8 Weeks" on payouts.
I would expect 2500k checks to take that long at any book.Hell, I'm trying to get some money OUT of that place.... Have a 2500k Check coming out that's been "Pending" for about 30 days. Talked to Tech Support yesterday and they informed me they're now at "6-8 Weeks" on payouts.
TheWick
Footballguy
Just got one from 11-14, still waiting for 2 from 11-27keep me posted on your progress...certainly seems like its taking them longer and longer.Hell, I'm trying to get some money OUT of that place.... Have a 2500k Check coming out that's been "Pending" for about 30 days. Talked to Tech Support yesterday and they informed me they're now at "6-8 Weeks" on payouts.
Dexter Manley
Footballguy
After Houston played like a steaming pile last night I did some thinking, and this was almost certainly one of my worst bets of the year based on the following:
- Houston was favored by 8 points or so in their first game at home against Indy. I know they were in the Wong teaser zone. Foster didn't play. And they absolutely destroyed Indy that game.
- Fast forward to last night. I bet Houston at -6.5 and I believe the line closed at 7 (someone correct me if I'm wrong).
- Now let's compare value. When factoring in HFA, Houston was actually favored by about 5 more points last night than they were in the first game. They did have Foster last night when they didn't have him the first game. But they started their 3rd string rookie qb instead of Schaub. They didn't have AJ last night. Their best defensive player, Super Mario, is gone for the year now. The biggest reason for their defensive turnaround, Wade Phillips, was mia in the hospital. And the Colts started a better qb than they did in the first game.
- Conclusion: the value play last night was clearly Indy +7. Houston shouldn't have been favored by more than 4 or 5 points tops (Not sure what the line opened at. The first # I saw on Monday was Houston -5.5).
- Houston was favored by 8 points or so in their first game at home against Indy. I know they were in the Wong teaser zone. Foster didn't play. And they absolutely destroyed Indy that game.
- Fast forward to last night. I bet Houston at -6.5 and I believe the line closed at 7 (someone correct me if I'm wrong).
- Now let's compare value. When factoring in HFA, Houston was actually favored by about 5 more points last night than they were in the first game. They did have Foster last night when they didn't have him the first game. But they started their 3rd string rookie qb instead of Schaub. They didn't have AJ last night. Their best defensive player, Super Mario, is gone for the year now. The biggest reason for their defensive turnaround, Wade Phillips, was mia in the hospital. And the Colts started a better qb than they did in the first game.
- Conclusion: the value play last night was clearly Indy +7. Houston shouldn't have been favored by more than 4 or 5 points tops (Not sure what the line opened at. The first # I saw on Monday was Houston -5.5).
Kubes
Footballguy
Waiting on 1k. Same deal.Hell, I'm trying to get some money OUT of that place.... Have a 2500k Check coming out that's been "Pending" for about 30 days. Talked to Tech Support yesterday and they informed me they're now at "6-8 Weeks" on payouts.
derek245583
Footballguy
Why are you guys cashing out fractions of units?
hooter311
Footballguy
Easy to do this after the fact though. I played Houston because I thought their line would be able to run all over Indy. With Tate behind Foster I thought they had a pretty good chance of putting up 200 yards rushing. Of course that didn't happen.Loved Orlovski in college but I haven't seen one positive thing said about him in the big leagues before last night.
Doctor Detroit
Please remove your headgear
It opened at 5.5 and some places didn't have it listed until it passed seven.Be very afraid.
TheWick
Footballguy
I was worried if I pulled out all eleventy billion it might have some tax implications
Doctor Detroit
Please remove your headgear
Good thinking here
derek245583
Footballguy
Dexter Manley
Footballguy
Actually, this analysis would of been easy to do before the game was played. I was just lazy. And Orlovski has been a significant upgrade over Collins/Painter believe it or not (even prior to last night). Whenever I lose a bet, I'll take a look at things to try and figure out if I was on the right side, wrong side, or if the line was too good to offer any value. For example, when I bet on Oregon in the bcs game last year against Auburn, I know I was on the right side even though they didn't cover. There's no doubt in my mind that my bet on last night's game was either on the wrong side or not a good bet because I wasn't getting any value. I'm leaning towards the former as the Texans jumped out to an early td lead, Yates actually had a good game, the Colts missed a pretty easy fg, yet the Colts won outright (even though they won with the aid of a fluky interception in the 4th quarter). I certainly didn't expect the Colts to control the ball like they did last night. That was the biggest deciding factor in the game, imo.
