Good Posting Judge
Footballguy
I could feel it coming. Everything fell my way and I killed the proverbial sheep. Whoops.
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FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (4 Viewers)
- Thread starter John Bender
- Start date
gmbacm
Footballguy
I tried my best to give a bunch back on Monday to avoid this. Loaded up on Seattle and went with GB at other books in live betting to "transfer" funds. That Seattle TD put an end to that plan. Between that score and my prop profits Im expecting the cut any day now.
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Good Posting Judge
Footballguy
In chat with SB mgmt:
Raider Nation
Devil's Advocate
Did that tactic work, Jeff?
Good Posting Judge
Footballguy
The Ref
Footballguy
As Mr Ref always said to me..... I'll give you three guesses......... and the first two dont count."
Raider Nation
Devil's Advocate
Sweet. When I exhaust all of my ploys, I usually ask what she's wearing.
Good Posting Judge
Footballguy
If anyone wants soccer game props that are apparently good enough to get me cut, feel free to PM me your email address. First ones will probably be out for this weekend. I'm not charging, but will accept donations if we do well.
-Jeff
-Jeff
Raider Nation
Devil's Advocate
Bender, pls incorporate "Good Posting Jeff" into the subtitle somehow. Thx.
ChainsawU
Footballguy
Seriously??
Good Posting Judge
Footballguy
No footy props over there.
Raider Nation
Devil's Advocate
Have you ever seen Costa Rican wimmins?
Good Posting Judge
Footballguy
GB is going to make picks for me, in exchange for 5% of winnings. Good deal. 
derek245583
Footballguy
Virgin SB accountI still have a virgin SB account. I just play at 5D and RB and I have been subscribed to GR since November.
I own one cause of my sig
TheGooRoo
Footballguy
I know it sounds like a broken record, and I know last nights Espinoza no run prop was a dog, but still
Great job bud. Thanks for posting this, I get a tremendous amount of satisfaction hearing these stories!
lumpy19
Footballguy
5dimes cut my props to $50 a few weeks ago
Tor Bal?
The Ref
Footballguy
Well last week really set me back on College ball for the year. But as we say "We move on". Only two bets I like on the card so far this week.I booked Clemson -10 for 4 units. Of course it's alrady been bet down to -9.5. FMLI also Booked 2 units of Oregon/Wazzou over 71.5
The Ref
Footballguy
Wow. Up to -240. Hope you bought big.
Good Posting Judge
Footballguy
I was on weeks ago at -130.
'bmj87 said:
nice job
modogg
Footballguy
Does anybody see any reason not to max a teaser of the Giants +8.5 and Green Bay -1.5? Hard to envision a scenario where the Eagles could possibly beat the Giants by more than a TD, especially with the way Eli has been playing at the end of games. I think teasing the Giants with everything is a good call. The weakness of the leg is the Packers because you are playing against a team on a short week that included travel, and I hate going against winless teams. However, i think the Saints are not a team on the rise at this point, and they are still set-up to be much better at home on the turf than on the road. So talk me out of this one a bit...
modogg
Footballguy
I didn't tail bmj today, but that is a nice job. Also nice job to Chainsaw with TB, and potentially to gussy with his Sea and the over calls'bmj87 said:
ChainsawU
Footballguy
Hell no dude. The fact that the Giants are underdogs is +2 points of bait for the public. Think about their secondary compared to what the Eagles have faced so far this year. Add to that the fact you have to trust Eli on the other side of the ball and that bet seems dangerous to me.
ChainsawU
Footballguy
Thanks dude. I hit that one pretty hard. Like I told a buddy of ours, those home runs in the fifth couldn't have been any sweeter if they were hit into a field of corn.I didn't tail bmj today, but that is a nice job. Also nice job to Chainsaw with TB, and potentially to gussy with his Sea and the over calls'bmj87 said:
modogg
Footballguy
the line did seem suspicious to me too. I am in it for a quite a bit already, and i am glad it is the Sunday night game, because if all goes well i have plenty of opportunity to hedge out before the game starts. Eagles are great at looking horrible, and then when you expect them to lose they all of a sudden click. Reid has also always put a ton of emphasis on winning the division games, and you know they have planned for the Giants well. But, their OL is still crap, and i don't think it will be any better this week coming up. For those of you who can find prop bets (bastards!), Vick ov rushing yards or over sacks for the game are probably solid bets. Of course since i think that is the way it will go, Reid will probably run the ball 30 times and screw all of it up, so on 2nd thought maybe skip those first props and McCoy over.
modogg
Footballguy
Alright, could really use everybody's help in here. I am in a survivor league and am down to only one pick left. Fortunately, the league went from 15,000 to about 1,000 now. As you can imagine, the payout for this bad boy is some wonderful money.
So, it is a survivor league, but instead being only able to pick a team once, it is set-up where each week the top x number of favorites are removed. This week it is Baltimore, Houston, and Atlanta, so I can't pick either of those 3. I can pick anybody else, and it won't effect any pick next week or for the rest of the turns.
I'm real pissed I am down to 1 pick left. Lost with Indy, Detroit, and Redskins last week, and chose not to take Atlanta or Houston because of the spreads or some other dumb thing i overheard. So, I would love to hear any and all advice here, who should i choose:
NO - Green Bay - they are the next highest favorite at -7.5. i wrote about them earlier, the game looks like a possible trap, but i don't know. Seems to be the pick a lot of people will pick too.
SF-NYJ - this one tempts me a lot too, with SF going off a loss and no Revis for the Jets. i don't see how New York can score on SF, so i think i am leaning SF here.
We have SD @ KC, where KC should do very well in this one, We have the Giants on a tear playing an Eagles team with half an OL and looking horrible against Cle and Ari. Also have Mia @ Ari, where it would seem reasonable Arizona wins this, same idea with SEA @ STL
SO help a brother who has been around here for a long time finally win a big pot. . My wife hates football, but she enjoys this one, and this is the only one she likes because she can dream about the money we can make. I think it is over $200,000. Money neither of us will likely ever see. So, help a brother out please...
So, it is a survivor league, but instead being only able to pick a team once, it is set-up where each week the top x number of favorites are removed. This week it is Baltimore, Houston, and Atlanta, so I can't pick either of those 3. I can pick anybody else, and it won't effect any pick next week or for the rest of the turns.
I'm real pissed I am down to 1 pick left. Lost with Indy, Detroit, and Redskins last week, and chose not to take Atlanta or Houston because of the spreads or some other dumb thing i overheard. So, I would love to hear any and all advice here, who should i choose:
NO - Green Bay - they are the next highest favorite at -7.5. i wrote about them earlier, the game looks like a possible trap, but i don't know. Seems to be the pick a lot of people will pick too.
SF-NYJ - this one tempts me a lot too, with SF going off a loss and no Revis for the Jets. i don't see how New York can score on SF, so i think i am leaning SF here.
We have SD @ KC, where KC should do very well in this one, We have the Giants on a tear playing an Eagles team with half an OL and looking horrible against Cle and Ari. Also have Mia @ Ari, where it would seem reasonable Arizona wins this, same idea with SEA @ STL
SO help a brother who has been around here for a long time finally win a big pot.
. My wife hates football, but she enjoys this one, and this is the only one she likes because she can dream about the money we can make. I think it is over $200,000. Money neither of us will likely ever see. So, help a brother out please...
Good Posting Judge
Footballguy
Let's say you're stuck in a car with your family on the mountain. There are several roads down, none of which are guaranteed to give you safe passage. Some of the roads have different characteristics, but you have a tool that allows you to determine (within a few percentage points) the probability that you will not die on each respective road.So one road gives you a 75% chance of living, one gives you a 33% chance of living, one gives you a 50% chance of living, one a 48% chance of living, one gives you a 70% chance of living, and one gives you a 55% chance of living. Do you even think twice before you take the 75% chance road? And would you kick yourself less as you were falling to your death on the 75% road than on any of the other roads?Alright, could really use everybody's help in here. I am in a survivor league and am down to only one pick left. Fortunately, the league went from 15,000 to about 1,000 now. As you can imagine, the payout for this bad boy is some wonderful money.
So, it is a survivor league, but instead being only able to pick a team once, it is set-up where each week the top x number of favorites are removed. This week it is Baltimore, Houston, and Atlanta, so I can't pick either of those 3. I can pick anybody else, and it won't effect any pick next week or for the rest of the turns.
I'm real pissed I am down to 1 pick left. Lost with Indy, Detroit, and Redskins last week, and chose not to take Atlanta or Houston because of the spreads or some other dumb thing i overheard. So, I would love to hear any and all advice here, who should i choose:
NO - Green Bay - they are the next highest favorite at -7.5. i wrote about them earlier, the game looks like a possible trap, but i don't know. Seems to be the pick a lot of people will pick too.
SF-NYJ - this one tempts me a lot too, with SF going off a loss and no Revis for the Jets. i don't see how New York can score on SF, so i think i am leaning SF here.
We have SD @ KC, where KC should do very well in this one, We have the Giants on a tear playing an Eagles team with half an OL and looking horrible against Cle and Ari. Also have Mia @ Ari, where it would seem reasonable Arizona wins this, same idea with SEA @ STL
SO help a brother who has been around here for a long time finally win a big pot.
My strategy for any survivor pools or any brackets is to make the percentage play. If I lose, I
(of course) and move on.
Good Posting Judge
Footballguy
538 has adjusted Obama's win% up to 66.9%, and I think that's still fairly cautious.
Leroy Hoard
Footballguy
GB it is.Let's say you're stuck in a car with your family on the mountain. There are several roads down, none of which are guaranteed to give you safe passage. Some of the roads have different characteristics, but you have a tool that allows you to determine (within a few percentage points) the probability that you will not die on each respective road.So one road gives you a 75% chance of living, one gives you a 33% chance of living, one gives you a 50% chance of living, one a 48% chance of living, one gives you a 70% chance of living, and one gives you a 55% chance of living. Do you even think twice before you take the 75% chance road? And would you kick yourself less as you were falling to your death on the 75% road than on any of the other roads?Alright, could really use everybody's help in here. I am in a survivor league and am down to only one pick left. Fortunately, the league went from 15,000 to about 1,000 now. As you can imagine, the payout for this bad boy is some wonderful money.
So, it is a survivor league, but instead being only able to pick a team once, it is set-up where each week the top x number of favorites are removed. This week it is Baltimore, Houston, and Atlanta, so I can't pick either of those 3. I can pick anybody else, and it won't effect any pick next week or for the rest of the turns.
I'm real pissed I am down to 1 pick left. Lost with Indy, Detroit, and Redskins last week, and chose not to take Atlanta or Houston because of the spreads or some other dumb thing i overheard. So, I would love to hear any and all advice here, who should i choose:
NO - Green Bay - they are the next highest favorite at -7.5. i wrote about them earlier, the game looks like a possible trap, but i don't know. Seems to be the pick a lot of people will pick too.
SF-NYJ - this one tempts me a lot too, with SF going off a loss and no Revis for the Jets. i don't see how New York can score on SF, so i think i am leaning SF here.
We have SD @ KC, where KC should do very well in this one, We have the Giants on a tear playing an Eagles team with half an OL and looking horrible against Cle and Ari. Also have Mia @ Ari, where it would seem reasonable Arizona wins this, same idea with SEA @ STL
SO help a brother who has been around here for a long time finally win a big pot.
My strategy for any survivor pools or any brackets is to make the percentage play. If I lose, I
The Z Machine
Footballguy
Haven't searched the thread because I'm lazy.
What's the best book out there for variety of betting options, ease of payment / cash-out, and best lines? How does one go about funding such an account?
What's the best book out there for variety of betting options, ease of payment / cash-out, and best lines? How does one go about funding such an account?
The Ref
Footballguy
Updated Card for the weekend. I was able to buy a new box of chalk.
4 Units Clemson -10
2 Units Over Ducks 71.5
1 Unit Ducks -29
1 Unit TCU -16
1 Unit UCLA -19.5
1 Unit Fla St -17
1 Unit Nebraska -11.5
I also have the Ravens tonight -12 for a unit, and Atlanta/GB 6 point for a unit.
4 Units Clemson -10
2 Units Over Ducks 71.5
1 Unit Ducks -29
1 Unit TCU -16
1 Unit UCLA -19.5
1 Unit Fla St -17
1 Unit Nebraska -11.5
I also have the Ravens tonight -12 for a unit, and Atlanta/GB 6 point for a unit.
TheWick
Footballguy
Stick with home teams Denver, GB, or ArizonaAlright, could really use everybody's help in here. I am in a survivor league and am down to only one pick left. Fortunately, the league went from 15,000 to about 1,000 now. As you can imagine, the payout for this bad boy is some wonderful money.
So, it is a survivor league, but instead being only able to pick a team once, it is set-up where each week the top x number of favorites are removed. This week it is Baltimore, Houston, and Atlanta, so I can't pick either of those 3. I can pick anybody else, and it won't effect any pick next week or for the rest of the turns.
I'm real pissed I am down to 1 pick left. Lost with Indy, Detroit, and Redskins last week, and chose not to take Atlanta or Houston because of the spreads or some other dumb thing i overheard. So, I would love to hear any and all advice here, who should i choose:
NO - Green Bay - they are the next highest favorite at -7.5. i wrote about them earlier, the game looks like a possible trap, but i don't know. Seems to be the pick a lot of people will pick too.
SF-NYJ - this one tempts me a lot too, with SF going off a loss and no Revis for the Jets. i don't see how New York can score on SF, so i think i am leaning SF here.
We have SD @ KC, where KC should do very well in this one, We have the Giants on a tear playing an Eagles team with half an OL and looking horrible against Cle and Ari. Also have Mia @ Ari, where it would seem reasonable Arizona wins this, same idea with SEA @ STL
SO help a brother who has been around here for a long time finally win a big pot.
ChainsawU
Footballguy
I agree with you on the divisional rivalry angle. And the Giants D-line is still pretty scary for anyone to try to block, but truth is they only have 6 sacks on the year.I am waiting to lock it in because, and this may sound like I am mentally handicapped, but I think there is a chance we might be able to get Philly at +money come Sunday. And by mentally handicapped I mean that I can do anything.
John Bender
Footballguy
