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FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (10 Viewers)

these look like good plays tonight at SB:

Senators O32.5 (-120)

Canadiens O28.5 (-120)

Lightning O32.5 (-120)

Maple Leafs U28.5 (-120)

like these a little less:

Sabres O27.5 (-120)

Predators O28.5 (EV)

 
TheGooRoo said:
I don't think so. I say this because I know many, many small guys and net losers that have been cut. I believe the reason is because the book comes to the conclusion that you are doing either 1 of 2 things that they heavily frowned upon. They think you are either 1) part of a betting syndicate. Even if you are betting small(ish), you are contributing to uneven bet distributions. Not many (if any) people are betting Gordon u 11.5 pts today. Assuming there are 15 people from here betting on it, in addition to hundreds/thousands of other people creating one-sided action, they get tired of it and will cut the big guys and the syndicates/betting clubs/cheaters. 2) They think that you have found a way to gain access to multiple accounts. If 5-10 people are playing the same things every single day, the book thinks that one person is controlling the action on all of the accounts. They strictly prohibit people from having more than 1 account. If the same bets are played on multiple accounts, the "line manager" suspects foul play.
Click to expand...
GR, how do you think Frosty could get around this? i've played maybe 5 of the props all year, but wondering if Frosty posts player props once a week on random days if that would work better, or not really. spread over a few books is probably best, but no way to guarantee that

ETA: how about number of plays? better to play a bunch or only like 3 of them. if he posts 3 and plays 10 does he avoid some of the attn?

 
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Warsteinner said:
Frostillicus said:
TheGooRoo said:
Frostillicus said:
swirvenirvin said:
The Ref said:
Frostillicus said:
Napier (uconn) Under 16.5p -130

Jackson (cin) Under 11.5p -130

O'Bryant (lsu) Over 15.5p -130

Gaines (uga) Over 11.5p -120

Young (ore) Under 15.5p -120

Young (ore) Under 1.5 made 3s +110

Johnson (ari) Over 16.5p -110

Gordon (ari) Over 11.5p -130

Gordon (ari) Over 8 rebs -120

Harris (msu) Over 18.5p -120

Appling (msu) Over 8.5r+a -120
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Frosty.... thanks for these.

To everyone else..... by all means continue to play these, but try and break it up a bit and play half of this list. If everyone in here plays the same stuff for the same amounts each night I guarantee you will get cut. Just a word to the wise from experience (on the hockey stuff).
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been playing for very small.. Like to win $20 on these... Dont want to draw attention
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I don't play very big either because I have a pretty small bankroll. If everyone is pretty light on these we should be ok, yes?
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I don't think so. I say this because I know many, many small guys and net losers that have been cut. I believe the reason is because the book comes to the conclusion that you are doing either 1 of 2 things that they heavily frowned upon. They think you are either 1) part of a betting syndicate. Even if you are betting small(ish), you are contributing to uneven bet distributions. Not many (if any) people are betting Gordon u 11.5 pts today. Assuming there are 15 people from here betting on it, in addition to hundreds/thousands of other people creating one-sided action, they get tired of it and will cut the big guys and the syndicates/betting clubs/cheaters. 2) They think that you have found a way to gain access to multiple accounts. If 5-10 people are playing the same things every single day, the book thinks that one person is controlling the action on all of the accounts. They strictly prohibit people from having more than 1 account. If the same bets are played on multiple accounts, the "line manager" suspects foul play.
Click to expand...
Thanks for your thoughts.
Click to expand...
Keep posting, buddy. We can all go down together if it comes to that.
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Agreed

 
"Good said:
lumpy19 said:
The Ref said:
Frostillicus said:
Napier (uconn) Under 16.5p -130

Jackson (cin) Under 11.5p -130

O'Bryant (lsu) Over 15.5p -130

Gaines (uga) Over 11.5p -120

Young (ore) Under 15.5p -120

Young (ore) Under 1.5 made 3s +110

Johnson (ari) Over 16.5p -110

Gordon (ari) Over 11.5p -130

Gordon (ari) Over 8 rebs -120

Harris (msu) Over 18.5p -120

Appling (msu) Over 8.5r+a -120
Click to expand...
Frosty.... thanks for these.

To everyone else..... by all means continue to play these, but try and break it up a bit and play half of this list. If everyone in here plays the same stuff for the same amounts each night I guarantee you will get cut. Just a word to the wise from experience (on the hockey stuff).
Click to expand...
You can also play 95% of them at sportsbetting.ag and betonline.ag(ETA don't max bet them at both places, it'll cause problems)

today they're only missing Appling o8.5ra

I've been cut at bodog/bovada
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Where are the props at betonline.ag? Looking at it now and I don't see them.
Click to expand...
Under futures/props last category...bottom left

 
Tonight's starters for MSU: Trice, Harris, Valentine, Kaminski & Costello. Izzo says that Payne will be one of the first guys off the bench.

 
I'm tellin ya, if B&M casinos in Vegas start taking these props, I'm moving into a big suite with Rude and Ref and we'll get manicures and sip banana daiquiris by the pool all day.

 
Raider Nation said:
I'm tellin ya, if B&M casinos in Vegas start taking these props, I'm moving into a big suite with Rude and Ref and we'll get manicures and sip banana daiquiris by the pool all day.
Click to expand...
Currently on a 32-5 run in saves props. Even when I whiff like I did on Bishop Under tonight, he leaves with an injury after the 2nd period. Had a bunch of close wins along the way too that I had to sweat pretty hard. Feeling very lucky right now but also like it when so many games go as expected.

 
Columbus with a SOG every time down the ice. Good times. I thought it was curious that a number on the Kings hadn't moved all day.

 
Raider Nation said:
Columbus with a SOG every time down the ice. Good times. I thought it was curious that a number on the Kings hadn't moved all day.
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Did you see their numbers lately?Went over the number in 9 of their last 10 games while averaging 33+. Not many tough road games in there so it's definitely inflated a bit.

Kings are tough at home so I get the play but the Jackets are playing better.

 
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Aaron Rudnicki said:
Raider Nation said:
Columbus with a SOG every time down the ice. Good times. I thought it was curious that a number on the Kings hadn't moved all day.
Click to expand...
Did you see their numbers lately?

Went over the number in 9 of their last 10 games while averaging 33+. Not many tough road games in there so it's definitely inflated a bit.

Kings are tough at home so I get the play but the Jackets are playing better.
Click to expand...
Yeah, they've been playing well. Two shots in the final 8:00 of the 1st makes it a ballgame again.

 
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