FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (5 Viewers)

[Aaron Rudnicki]

these look like good plays tonight at SB:

Senators O32.5 (-120)

Canadiens O28.5 (-120)

Lightning O32.5 (-120)

Maple Leafs U28.5 (-120)

like these a little less:

Sabres O27.5 (-120)

Predators O28.5 (EV)

 

[modogg]

I don't think so. I say this because I know many, many small guys and net losers that have been cut. I believe the reason is because the book comes to the conclusion that you are doing either 1 of 2 things that they heavily frowned upon. They think you are either 1) part of a betting syndicate. Even if you are betting small(ish), you are contributing to uneven bet distributions. Not many (if any) people are betting Gordon u 11.5 pts today. Assuming there are 15 people from here betting on it, in addition to hundreds/thousands of other people creating one-sided action, they get tired of it and will cut the big guys and the syndicates/betting clubs/cheaters. 2) They think that you have found a way to gain access to multiple accounts. If 5-10 people are playing the same things every single day, the book thinks that one person is controlling the action on all of the accounts. They strictly prohibit people from having more than 1 account. If the same bets are played on multiple accounts, the "line manager" suspects foul play.

GR, how do you think Frosty could get around this? i've played maybe 5 of the props all year, but wondering if Frosty posts player props once a week on random days if that would work better, or not really. spread over a few books is probably best, but no way to guarantee that

ETA: how about number of plays? better to play a bunch or only like 3 of them. if he posts 3 and plays 10 does he avoid some of the attn?

 

[swirvenirvin]

these look like good plays tonight at SB:

Senators O32.5 (-120)

Canadiens O28.5 (-120)

Lightning O32.5 (-120)

Maple Leafs U28.5 (-120)

like these a little less:

Sabres O27.5 (-120)

Predators O28.5 (EV)

interesting none moved today

 

[swirvenirvin]

Napier (uconn) Under 16.5p -130

Jackson (cin) Under 11.5p -130

O'Bryant (lsu) Over 15.5p -130

Gaines (uga) Over 11.5p -120

Young (ore) Under 15.5p -120

Young (ore) Under 1.5 made 3s +110

Johnson (ari) Over 16.5p -110

Gordon (ari) Over 11.5p -130

Gordon (ari) Over 8 rebs -120

Harris (msu) Over 18.5p -120

Appling (msu) Over 8.5r+a -120

Frosty.... thanks for these.

To everyone else..... by all means continue to play these, but try and break it up a bit and play half of this list. If everyone in here plays the same stuff for the same amounts each night I guarantee you will get cut. Just a word to the wise from experience (on the hockey stuff).

been playing for very small.. Like to win $20 on these... Dont want to draw attention

I don't play very big either because I have a pretty small bankroll. If everyone is pretty light on these we should be ok, yes?

I don't think so. I say this because I know many, many small guys and net losers that have been cut. I believe the reason is because the book comes to the conclusion that you are doing either 1 of 2 things that they heavily frowned upon. They think you are either 1) part of a betting syndicate. Even if you are betting small(ish), you are contributing to uneven bet distributions. Not many (if any) people are betting Gordon u 11.5 pts today. Assuming there are 15 people from here betting on it, in addition to hundreds/thousands of other people creating one-sided action, they get tired of it and will cut the big guys and the syndicates/betting clubs/cheaters. 2) They think that you have found a way to gain access to multiple accounts. If 5-10 people are playing the same things every single day, the book thinks that one person is controlling the action on all of the accounts. They strictly prohibit people from having more than 1 account. If the same bets are played on multiple accounts, the "line manager" suspects foul play.

Thanks for your thoughts.

Keep posting, buddy. We can all go down together if it comes to that.

Agreed

 

[got_nugs]

Should we institute FrostyFade® to throw them off the scent? My tiny unit may be just what they're looking for.

 

[Dan Lambskin]

#### off LSU

 

[got_nugs]

#### off LSU

least they're not in the parlay.

wait

 

[lumpy19]

Napier (uconn) Under 16.5p -130

Jackson (cin) Under 11.5p -130

O'Bryant (lsu) Over 15.5p -130

Gaines (uga) Over 11.5p -120

Young (ore) Under 15.5p -120

Young (ore) Under 1.5 made 3s +110

Johnson (ari) Over 16.5p -110

Gordon (ari) Over 11.5p -130

Gordon (ari) Over 8 rebs -120

Harris (msu) Over 18.5p -120

Appling (msu) Over 8.5r+a -120

Frosty.... thanks for these.

To everyone else..... by all means continue to play these, but try and break it up a bit and play half of this list. If everyone in here plays the same stuff for the same amounts each night I guarantee you will get cut. Just a word to the wise from experience (on the hockey stuff).

You can also play 95% of them at sportsbetting.ag and betonline.ag(ETA don't max bet them at both places, it'll cause problems)

today they're only missing Appling o8.5ra

I've been cut at bodog/bovada

Where are the props at betonline.ag? Looking at it now and I don't see them.

Under futures/props last category...bottom left

 

[swirvenirvin]

Payne in but Appling out. Like that Harris bet now

http://www.freep.com/article/20140206/SPORTS07/302060147/michigan-state-penn-state-game-thread

 

[swirvenirvin]

Tonight's starters for MSU: Trice, Harris, Valentine, Kaminski & Costello. Izzo says that Payne will be one of the first guys off the bench.

 

[swirvenirvin]

penn st +13.5

 

[Raider Nation]

Shabazz tried his best to f--k us at the buzzer.

:frosty five:

 

[got_nugs]

OILERS! +170!!

I used the good Dr like Pete Rose...when he didn't play Ny I figured that meant to fade them.

 

[Doctor Detroit]

OILERS! +170!!

I used the good Dr like Pete Rose...when he didn't play Ny I figured that meant to fade them.

lol, good hit. Scrivens is playing like a man on fire seeking that fat goalie contract.

 

[Frostillicus]

Well we probably won't all get cut tomorrow.

 

[Raider Nation]

Well we probably won't all get cut tomorrow.

I only played Shabazz because the rest of your numbers were all beaten up. I take it things went ugly?

 

[Doctor Detroit]

SENS-ATIONAL!!!!!

 

[got_nugs]

Well we probably won't all get cut tomorrow.

I only played Shabazz because the rest of your numbers were all beaten up. I take it things went ugly?

WE'RE NOT GIVING UP YET!

 

[Man In The Box]

OILERS! +170!!

I used the good Dr like Pete Rose...when he didn't play Ny I figured that meant to fade them.

lol, good hit. Scrivens is playing like a man on fire seeking that fat goalie contract.

Also saved me a half a buck. Owe you a drink sometime DD.

 

[Raider Nation]

these look like good plays tonight at SB:

Senators O32.5 (-120)

Canadiens O28.5 (-120)

Lightning O32.5 (-120)

Maple Leafs U28.5 (-120)

Montreal and Tampa Bay each go over with literally seconds remaining.

 

[got_nugs]

c'mon Bruins...this is our ####### ceeedy

 

[swirvenirvin]

these look like good plays tonight at SB:

Senators O32.5 (-120)

Canadiens O28.5 (-120)

Lightning O32.5 (-120)

Maple Leafs U28.5 (-120)

like these a little less:

Sabres O27.5 (-120)

Predators O28.5 (EV)

interesting none moved today

 

[Raider Nation]

I'm tellin ya, if B&M casinos in Vegas start taking these props, I'm moving into a big suite with Rude and Ref and we'll get manicures and sip banana daiquiris by the pool all day.

 

[got_nugs]

Those Nets scared me for a bit...but we ended up pulling away in the end. Hooray!

 

[Raider Nation]

Got a few units on CBJ u27.5 SOG to cap off a good night.

 

[swirvenirvin]

sb.ag is the opposite of my local or your guys Kurt

 

[Frostillicus]

11-36 combined shooting from three of my overs doesn't help.

 

[Raider Nation]

Jackets/Kings

 

[Aaron Rudnicki]

I'm tellin ya, if B&M casinos in Vegas start taking these props, I'm moving into a big suite with Rude and Ref and we'll get manicures and sip banana daiquiris by the pool all day.

Currently on a 32-5 run in saves props. Even when I whiff like I did on Bishop Under tonight, he leaves with an injury after the 2nd period. Had a bunch of close wins along the way too that I had to sweat pretty hard. Feeling very lucky right now but also like it when so many games go as expected.

 

[got_nugs]

I need whiskey. Jameis just said he's staying for 2 more years.

 

[Aaron Rudnicki]

Got a few units on CBJ u27.5 SOG to cap off a good night.

Tough game. I went Over 27.5 for a max bet of $3.60 to win $3. Gllll

 

[Raider Nation]

Got a few units on CBJ u27.5 SOG to cap off a good night.

Tough game. I went Over 27.5 for a max bet of $3.60 to win $3. Gllll

It was a Ref special. CBJ getting an early lead doesn't hurt.

 

[swirvenirvin]

I need whiskey. Jameis just said he's staying for 2 more years.

he would be #1 now, and should be #1 next yr. Will be hard to stay

 

[Frostillicus]

And Gordon leaves with an injury. :gunshot:

 

[Good Posting Judge]

And Gordon leaves with an injury. :gunshot:

He went to the same HS as my wife.

 

[Frostillicus]

And Gordon leaves with an injury. :gunshot:

He went to the same HS as my wife.

Is she a huge #####?

 

[swirvenirvin]

And Gordon leaves with an injury. :gunshot:

back in action

 

[got_nugs]

@ Golden State. Dumpster fire. I want to live bet them...but I just can't do it.

 

[Raider Nation]

Columbus with a SOG every time down the ice. Good times. I thought it was curious that a number on the Kings hadn't moved all day.

 

[swirvenirvin]

penn st +13.5

almost backdoored it stupid walk-on from state draining a 3

 

[Aaron Rudnicki]

Columbus with a SOG every time down the ice. Good times. I thought it was curious that a number on the Kings hadn't moved all day.

Did you see their numbers lately?Went over the number in 9 of their last 10 games while averaging 33+. Not many tough road games in there so it's definitely inflated a bit.

Kings are tough at home so I get the play but the Jackets are playing better.

 

[swirvenirvin]

gordon is 2 for ####ing 11 from FT's <_<

 

[Frostillicus]

gordon is 2 for ####ing 11 from FT's <_<

Sure is.

 

[Frostillicus]

Nicky!!

 

[got_nugs]

big Johnson covers!

 

[Frostillicus]

3-6-2 on props and 2-1 on sides. I've done worse.

 

[Doctor Detroit]

Can't believe Jeremy(chisto tm) Iginla missed the open net for the win, ugh.

Anteaters or bust now.

 

[Raider Nation]

Columbus with a SOG every time down the ice. Good times. I thought it was curious that a number on the Kings hadn't moved all day.

Did you see their numbers lately?

Went over the number in 9 of their last 10 games while averaging 33+. Not many tough road games in there so it's definitely inflated a bit.

Kings are tough at home so I get the play but the Jackets are playing better.

Yeah, they've been playing well. Two shots in the final 8:00 of the 1st makes it a ballgame again.

 

[Doctor Detroit]

Got a few units on CBJ u27.5 SOG to cap off a good night.

Tough game. I went Over 27.5 for a max bet of $3.60 to win $3. Gllll

You're rich in spirit Rude, always remember that.

 

[Aaron Rudnicki]

Can't believe Jeremy(chisto tm) Iginla missed the open net for the win, ugh.:

Yeah that sucked.