FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (6 Viewers)

[Frostillicus]

Nervous now

 

[Frostillicus]

Never a doubt

 

[Raider Nation]

Steve Stevens logic ... explaining why he just told his client to bet the under 61 in the UW/UCLA game:

"UCLA has a great pass rush. I don't see Washington scoring AT... ALL....!"

UCLA was only laying 3.

If you don't see Washington scoring AT... ALL...., why not just bet UCLA -3?

Final score: UCLA 41, Washington 31

 

[Raider Nation]

I'm not even halfway through yet, but some bullet points I don't want to forget:

"Out of a hundred games, I'm gonna hit 66 of 'em!"

Steve's incompetent friend/employee: "My boss, uhhh, Steve Stevens, he, uhhhh, talks to scouts."

On a personal note, his blonde bookkeeper must have been a smokeshow in her early 20s.

 

[Raider Nation]

OMG, I'm in tears. Pirelli's latest "big client" comes into town. He came with $1,000 and already lost half of it on blackjack.

"He's got $500, so I figure why not put it all on the first game!"



Best.... show.... EVER!!!

 

[Raider Nation]

You guys got anything in these two hideous day games? I'm not laying -240 with the Tigers, so that leaves us with Masterson or one of the totals.

 

[Raider Nation]

Here I sit, roughly 7-hours prior to the beginning of The Players Championship, settling in to give you what it is that I have come up with, and believe me, I am going to save the pomp and circumstance and get right to the nuts and bolts.Great tournament. 5th Major. Probably the best field of any event in the world all year. Greens are in crappy shape due to the very cold and wet winter back east this year. Three holes; 4, 11, and 12, were not even available to play during practice rounds as they tried to salvage as much as possible with each and every putting surface on the golf course. Ball striking. Greens In Regulation. Driving accuracy. Scrambling. This is not a Bubba Watson paradise, this is more of a water and bunker laden Florida test of small Pete Dye greens, island greens even as we all so well know about the famous 17th hole. Look for players that did well at another coastal Pete Dye design with small greens, a.k.a. Harbour Town just a few weeks back, to also do well at this semi-coastal Dye masterpiece.. and with the greens being pretty shabby, I am not leaning as much on putting as I am on experience and knowing what these greens are supposed to do. So here are my plays and I while I do consider these top plays, I am not putting up a Premium Package for this because my time has been stretched and I also put up a goose egg on the diamonds today. I owe y'all some winners. Here we go..

Head to Head Match Ups for the whole tournament..

Jordan Spieth (-115) over Bubba Watson

Luke Donald (-105) over Justin Rose

Sergio Garcia (-140) over Phil Mickelson

Jim Furyk (-130) over Phil Mickelson

Henrik Stenson (+100) over Justin Rose

I also considered Kevin Na over Jason Dufner and JB Holmes over Patrick Reed but I am staying away from both of these.

If I had to make a future play, I would take a shot with Jim Furyk and roughly 30-1.

Thank you and have fun, Gang.

Brady Kannon

@lasvegasgolfer

 

[swirvenirvin]

You guys got anything in these two hideous day games? I'm not laying -240 with the Tigers, so that leaves us with Masterson or one of the totals.

Tigers have to lose eventually right?

 

[Whomper]

I'm going to play it. Rangers over 4.5

Winds blowing in/cross at 20mph worry you at all? Just curious.

sorry man. I thought we had a shot to break it open in the 6th with bases loaded but we came up empty

 

[NIU Kicker]

I wish they had a will the patriots trade back prop for tonight. I'd say that's a lock.

 

[Tiger Fan]

Sorry. Thought it was posted.

I guess that was just a super subscriber play.

I can bitcoin you some $ for the premium picks

 

[NIU Kicker]

Steve Stevens logic ... explaining why he just told his client to bet the under 61 in the UW/UCLA game:

"UCLA has a great pass rush. I don't see Washington scoring AT... ALL....!"

UCLA was only laying 3.

If you don't see Washington scoring AT... ALL...., why not just bet UCLA -3?

Final score: UCLA 41, Washington 31

If I remember right half this thread was on the over. The Washington QB broke his leg and this still went way over.

 

[Raider Nation]

Steve Stevens logic ... explaining why he just told his client to bet the under 61 in the UW/UCLA game:

"UCLA has a great pass rush. I don't see Washington scoring AT... ALL....!"

UCLA was only laying 3.

If you don't see Washington scoring AT... ALL...., why not just bet UCLA -3?

Final score: UCLA 41, Washington 31

If I remember right half this thread was on the over. The Washington QB broke his leg and this still went way over.

We're always on the over.

 

[tonydead]

Johnny Football fade is in play.

o 3.5 +110 50/55

o 4.5 -135 675/500

o 4.5 -135 675/500

o 4.5 -135 270/200

o 5.5 +110 200/220

o 3.5 -140 700/500

o 4.5 +100 500/500

o 4.5 -120 600/500

o 5.5 +210 500/1050

o 5.5 +240 500/1200

Sweet

o 5.5 back down to -200 at SB. Thank you to whomever started that Jacksonville rumor.

 

[tonydead]

Johnny Football fade is in play.

o 3.5 +110 50/55

o 4.5 -135 675/500

o 4.5 -135 675/500

o 4.5 -135 270/200

o 5.5 +110 200/220

o 3.5 -140 700/500

o 4.5 +100 500/500

o 4.5 -120 600/500

o 5.5 +210 500/1050

o 5.5 +240 500/1200

Sweet

o 5.5 back down to -200 at SB. Thank you to whomever started that Jacksonville rumor.

Will the Goo be locking in some profits?

 

[Frostillicus]

MIN u 3.5

HOU u 3.5

 

[John Bender]

OMG, I'm in tears. Pirelli's latest "big client" comes into town. He came with $1,000 and already lost half of it on blackjack.

"He's got $500, so I figure why not put it all on the first game!"



Best.... show.... EVER!!!

FAIR ENOUGH?!

 

[hagmania]

If your book offers e-sports betting, I'm fading C9 all weekend of the League of Legends All-Star Invitational.

:degenerate:

 

[got_nugs]

I'm going to play it. Rangers over 4.5

Winds blowing in/cross at 20mph worry you at all? Just curious.

sorry man. I thought we had a shot to break it open in the 6th with bases loaded but we came up empty

No apologies allowed....unless you personally left those bases jacked in the 6th. If that was you, then OK I accept.

Keep 'em coming.

 

[Aaron Rudnicki]

If your book offers e-sports betting, I'm fading C9 all weekend of the League of Legends All-Star Invitational.

:degenerate:

I have no idea what any of these things are

e-sports

C9

League of Legends All Star Invitational

 

[hagmania]

If your book offers e-sports betting, I'm fading C9 all weekend of the League of Legends All-Star Invitational.

:degenerate:

I have no idea what any of these things are

e-sports

C9

League of Legends All Star Invitational

Well, you see, Cloud 9 is the best North American LoL team and playing against international competition without their team captain this weekend.

 

[Aaron Rudnicki]

my book offers g-betting and I'm fading B6 this weekend.

 

[Frostillicus]

TOR u 4.5

KC/SEA u 7

 

[Good Posting Judge]

MIght put some money on OMG. Xiyang is one of the best Mids in the world right now.

http://na.leagueoflegends.com/en/news/esports/esports-event/omg-chinas-men-black

 

[Good Posting Judge]

Looks like Cool is on the DL for OMG.

 

[hagmania]

MIght put some money on OMG. Xiyang is one of the best Mids in the world right now.

http://na.leagueoflegends.com/en/news/esports/esports-event/omg-chinas-men-black

If there was a good + bet, it'd be OMG over SKT. Most of the rest is chalk. TPA is the best of a terrible region, Fnatic and C9 just don't measure up, plus Hai is missing from C9.

 

[Good Posting Judge]

Doing some scouting from last year's worlds:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oh20LYRUHrU

 

[hagmania]

Thank you for pitying me. I'm terrible at actual sports prediction.

 

[hagmania]

(btw, you'd only be able to scout mechanical skill of individual laners with last year's footage. This is a completely different patch/style of play)

 

[Aaron Rudnicki]

Vegas is kind of stupid.

according to twitter, Caesars has the odds on US winning the World Cup posted at 7/1

they are 255:1 at 5d

AnonymousGamblr ‏@AnonymousGamblr 3m
Think of it like this, for the uninformed. For every $1 that Caesars takes on #USMNT they owe $8 should #USMNT win (use your imagination)

AnonymousGamblr ‏@AnonymousGamblr 2m
Now, Caesars can take that $1 risked, and reinvest it in England (they have properties there) at a minimum of 125/1.

AnonymousGamblr ‏@AnonymousGamblr 51s
So #USMNT wins, Caesars owes Gambler A $8, while random Euro Sportsbook owes Caesars $126.

 

[Frostillicus]

I quit

 

[Raider Nation]

OMG, I'm in tears. Pirelli's latest "big client" comes into town. He came with $1,000 and already lost half of it on blackjack.

"He's got $500, so I figure why not put it all on the first game!"



Best.... show.... EVER!!!

FAIR ENOUGH?!

Bottom line.

 

[Aaron Rudnicki]

Covers.com ‏@Covers 1h

Per @Sportsbook_com In the past 24 hours 79 % of the action is on Johnny Maziel to go 6th or later in tonight's draft

 

[Raider Nation]

ESPN's Adam Schefter reports the Texans are no longer looking to trade down, and are "locked in on (their) player" at No. 1 overall.

Translation: no teams would meet their laughable asking price.

 

[lumpy19]

ESPN's Adam Schefter reports the Texans are no longer looking to trade down, and are "locked in on (their) player" at No. 1 overall.

Translation: no teams would meet their laughable asking price.

So clowney goes number 1 right?

 

[Whomper]

I like Colorado over 4 tonight -120

 

[Raider Nation]

ESPN's Adam Schefter reports the Texans are no longer looking to trade down, and are "locked in on (their) player" at No. 1 overall.

Translation: no teams would meet their laughable asking price.

So clowney goes number 1 right?

That's the belief.

 

[regularguy]

I've been pleasantly surprised by the line shopping opportunities on the draft props. One could definitely lock in some profits.

 

[TheGooRoo]

Johnny Football fade is in play.

o 3.5 +110 50/55

o 4.5 -135 675/500

o 4.5 -135 675/500

o 4.5 -135 270/200

o 5.5 +110 200/220

o 3.5 -140 700/500

o 4.5 +100 500/500

o 4.5 -120 600/500

o 5.5 +210 500/1050

o 5.5 +240 500/1200

Sweet

o 5.5 back down to -200 at SB. Thank you to whomever started that Jacksonville rumor.

Will the Goo be locking in some profits?

No sir. I believe I have a good bet(s) and I'm sticking with it.

 

[tonydead]

Will the Goo be locking in some profits?

No sir. I believe I have a good bet(s) and I'm sticking with it.

In Goo We TrustTM

 

[Good Posting Judge]

I think I'm going to be more nervous about Goo's bets than Goo's going to be nervous about Goo's bets.

 

[mquinnjr]

Taking 1U on both Watkins O4.5 +240 and RB in the 1st round +510 just to have some dogs to root for and hoping something crazy happens to cash one of those. Also going 2U on the Phils +132 tonight, AJ's looked solid so far, RAD not so much, and hopefully the Phils get their heads out of the sand tonight and avoid a sweep.

 

[got_nugs]

Johnny Football fade is in play.

o 3.5 +110 50/55

o 4.5 -135 675/500

o 4.5 -135 675/500

o 4.5 -135 270/200

o 5.5 +110 200/220

o 3.5 -140 700/500

o 4.5 +100 500/500

o 4.5 -120 600/500

o 5.5 +210 500/1050

o 5.5 +240 500/1200

Sweet

o 5.5 back down to -200 at SB. Thank you to whomever started that Jacksonville rumor.

Will the Goo be locking in some profits?

No sir. I believe I have a good bet(s) and I'm sticking with it.

The correct answer is: "I locked in profits when I made these bets". YWIW HTH #hashtag

 

[got_nugs]

Taking 1U on both Watkins O4.5 +240 and RB in the 1st round +510 just to have some dogs to root for and hoping something crazy happens to cash one of those. Also going 2U on the Phils +132 tonight, AJ's looked solid so far, RAD not so much, and hopefully the Phils get their heads out of the sand tonight and avoid a sweep.

I have been looking at the .5 RB line for 2 days. Also starting to really consider under 3.5 QBs in round 1.

I suppose Ruds has a leg up in this area, why don't you urinate on us the knowledge about these 2 plays sir if you don't mind.

 

[John Bender]

Any props from RB look playable?

NFL draft

 

[Aaron Rudnicki]

I have been looking at the .5 RB line for 2 days. Also starting to really consider under 3.5 QBs in round 1.

I suppose Ruds has a leg up in this area, why don't you urinate on us the knowledge about these 2 plays sir if you don't mind.

I've done way less draft research this year than ever before. I don't know but it does seem like no RBs in round 1 is likely to me. As for QBs, seems pretty likely that Manziel, Bridgewater, and Bortles will go in round 1. Then you're left sweating whether someone likes Carr enough to take him late in the round.

John Clayton seems to think there will be 4 taken: http://espn.go.com/nfl/draft2014/story/_/id/10891552/2014-nfl-draft-expect-big-trades-plenty-qb-drama

 

[mquinnjr]

Taking 1U on both Watkins O4.5 +240 and RB in the 1st round +510 just to have some dogs to root for and hoping something crazy happens to cash one of those. Also going 2U on the Phils +132 tonight, AJ's looked solid so far, RAD not so much, and hopefully the Phils get their heads out of the sand tonight and avoid a sweep.

I have been looking at the .5 RB line for 2 days. Also starting to really consider under 3.5 QBs in round 1.

I suppose Ruds has a leg up in this area, why don't you urinate on us the knowledge about these 2 plays sir if you don't mind.

All I got is that I've seen Hyde as high as 35, so I'll take 5/1+ there. I don't think it's too much of a reach to see Watkins go to Oakland at 5, thus cashing the Watkins bet if Clowney, Robinson, Mack go in order and Cleveland takes Johnny Hero or Mathews. Or a trade of some sort shakes things up, long shot odds for a reason but it's really a bet on the draft not going as everyone expects.

 

[Good Posting Judge]

I'm seeing No RB at -750 now.

 

[NIU Kicker]

Johnny Football fade is in play.

o 3.5 +110 50/55

o 4.5 -135 675/500

o 4.5 -135 675/500

o 4.5 -135 270/200

o 5.5 +110 200/220

o 3.5 -140 700/500

o 4.5 +100 500/500

o 4.5 -120 600/500

o 5.5 +210 500/1050

o 5.5 +240 500/1200

Sweet

o 5.5 back down to -200 at SB. Thank you to whomever started that Jacksonville rumor.

Will the Goo be locking in some profits?

No sir. I believe I have a good bet(s) and I'm sticking with it.

Good for you boss... I love this for you.

 

[got_nugs]

I'm seeing No RB at -750 now.

It's -525 at BOL/Sbetting