FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (4 Viewers)

[Raider Nation]

Ohhhhhh Joe Nathan.

Yeah....loved seeing this as I had grabbed the Tigers +130 in live betting and thought to my self when I turned away from my computer...watch him give up a 2 run bomb.

Pretty sure the Indians are all out of relievers. So you're in good shape if this goes awhile.

Or Not....lol

Disregard.

Phil Coke happened.

 

[Raider Nation]

Walk-off balk. Yep.

 

[ScoobySnack]

FML

Ohhhhhh Joe Nathan.

Yeah....loved seeing this as I had grabbed the Tigers +130 in live betting and thought to my self when I turned away from my computer...watch him give up a 2 run bomb.

Pretty sure the Indians are all out of relievers. So you're in good shape if this goes awhile.

Or Not....lol

Disregard. Phil Coke happened.

 

[Dan Lambskin]

Walk-off balk. Yep.

 

[Raider Nation]

Tigers haven't won since getting stranded in Boston.

 

[Good Posting Judge]

Thought of this very specific angle the other day: What about fading curveball-reliant starters who are going in Coors? I believe that research (and anecdotal evidence) has shown that curveballs really aren't that effective up there, whereas sliders/cutters aren't hurt as badly.

Either a curve-reliant guy is going to have worse curves, or he's going to go away from it and rely more on his lesser pitches. Will do some more digging on this later, but it's something that's probably too granular for books to take into account. I hope.

 

[Raider Nation]

Had I followed my initial instinct and put big money on Max today, I cannot even fathom how pissed I'd be losing in that fashion.

- Miggy gets thrown out of the game.

- Nathan with a blown save up by 2.

- Coke with a blown save a few innings later.

- Balk ends the game.

 

[Tiger Fan]

Had I followed my initial instinct and put big money on Max today, I cannot even fathom how pissed I'd be losing in that fashion.

- Miggy gets thrown out of the game.

- Nathan with a blown save up by 2.

- Coke with a blown save a few innings later.

- Balk ends the game.

I just followed by "tail Chainsaw" instinct and all of that #### worked in my favor

 

[Raider Nation]

 

[got_nugs]

Had I followed my initial instinct and put big money on Max today, I cannot even fathom how pissed I'd be losing in that fashion.

- Miggy gets thrown out of the game.

- Nathan with a blown save up by 2.

- Coke with a blown save a few innings later.

- Balk ends the game.

I just followed by "tail Chainsaw" instinct and all of that #### worked in my favor

GeckoSaw lives!!!!!!!!

So I heard hockey and over basketball is happnin tonight. Whatchoo got puckfaces?

 

[Aaron Rudnicki]

I'm on the under in pucks tonight. Might play the Hawks too, but I'm already invested in Kings futures.

 

[got_nugs]

Tjs plays:______?

 

[Good Posting Judge]

Interesting read re: Coors and pitch types:

http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=20069

 

[tjnc09]

My plays in 30 minutes:

STL -1.5 +140

KC CWS o8 -109

Didn't get a chance to post 4pm plays

GL

 

[fantasycurse42]

Any thoughts on Spurs/Thunder? Spurs giving 5.5. Not really confident enough on anything here. Might like the over at 210, but not that excited about it...

Indy looks decent plus 7 on Saturday. Really hoping this goes 7 so I can lay a monster on Miami that game.

 

[Raider Nation]

Buchholz used to be good or something, right?

 

[LOCO]

Thunder and pts.

 

[Raider Nation]

Never thought I would see the name PHIL HUGHES next to a 6.5 total.

 

[fantasycurse42]

Thunder and pts.

Took SAS and over... Small bets

 

[got_nugs]

Thunder and pts.

Took SAS and over... Small bets

I took the over and over.

 

[fantasycurse42]

Thunder and pts.

Took SAS and over... Small bets

I took the over and over.

I took OKC, it was an accident... Long day.

 

[Raider Nation]

Thunder and pts.

Took SAS and over... Small bets

I took the over and over.

What are we talkin here.... 1H, full game, team totals.... ALL of it?

 

[ChainsawU]

Never thought I would see the name PHIL HUGHES next to a 6.5 total.

It's the first time it's ever happened.

 

[ChainsawU]

Chicks make the time pass by fast. You should have seen the tall girl at the gym today. She is probably 6'2" around 160-170 lbs. Low body fat, but thick throughout her hips and legs. She has toned shoulders and a butt that she barely covers up with her little daisy duke sport shorts. You can almost make out the crease at the bottom of the butt cheek. She is all business too, which is sexy. With a tall girl like that you just kind of sit back and wonder how far up in there you think you can get.

 

[got_nugs]

Thunder and pts.

Took SAS and over... Small bets

I took the over and over.

What are we talkin here.... 1H, full game, team totals.... ALL of it?

I took the 1q/1h/1g over and the SA tt over.

 

[Raider Nation]

Never thought I would see the name PHIL HUGHES next to a 6.5 total.

It's the first time it's ever happened.

No joke.

 

[ChainsawU]

That umpire in SD is 2-12 O/U in his career against a total of 6.5.

Twins are 5-0 L5 Hughes starts with opponent run totals of 3,3,2,1,3. The O/U in those games is 1-4. Average line in those five games: 137.8. Avg total: 8.1.

Since 2008 (entire database) the Twins are 4-0 SU at San Diego against an average line of 132.

They have played four games there since 2004: three in 2008 and then the one yesterday.

 

[tjnc09]

The internet going down last night screwed up my model. It takes a while to update.

Here were the totals vs. Pinnacle

Phi/Mia o7.5

Mil/Atl o7

CWS/KC o8 -109 played at 5d for 1/4u

Hou/LAA o7.5 -105 at 5d for 1/4u

Oak/TB o7.5

Tor/Bos u9

Bal/Pit o7.5

Det/Cle o7.5 (missed this morning)

Min/SD o6.5 +100 at 5d for 1/4u

need to see what sides besides the SEA/WAS losers this morning

ML/RL

Detroit -147, -1.5 +125 (Nathaned)

Washington -143, -1.5 +160 (loss loss)

Angels -170 (no play), played -1.5 +120 for 1/4u at 5d

Oakland -108, Oakland -1.5 +152

Seattle +132, Seattle -1.5 +190 (loss loss)

Miami -140, Miami -1.5 +151

StL -158 (no play), StL -1.5 +140

 

[ChainsawU]

Nugs I will play the o210 with you Brosefolosha.

 

[Raider Nation]

As I'm entering the bet, I get a line-change alert.

Was 210.5, o-110.

Now 209.5, o-105

 

[Raider Nation]

MOAR POINTZ!

 

[got_nugs]

It'll get better! 35% ish right now.

 

[Raider Nation]

It'll get better! 35% ish right now.

1Q over I mean.

 

[Raider Nation]

Both teams in the bonus shortly. That should get us close.

 

[got_nugs]

oh cool, Durant just missed 2 FT. He's only like 99.9999999999999% from that line.

 

[Raider Nation]

oh cool, Durant just missed 2 FT. He's only like 99.9999999999999% from that line.

Hard to believe!

 

[got_nugs]

I hate overs.

BUT I LOVE 5DIMES!

L-Basketball Props May 21 2014 - .Basketball - .SAN ANTONIO SPURS vs OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER - 1st Quarter - Total 47.5 Over 47.5 -108

 

[NIU Kicker]

Buchholz used to be good or something, right?

I don't know. I can say that I work for a company that donated more money to the Jimmy Fund then the other if company in Boston last year so they sent Clay over to give a little speech and sign some baseballs. The bad news was he gave a 30 second speech and had a difficult time dealing with people. The good news is his wife was a 11, stunning.

 

[Good Posting Judge]

Buchholz has masqueraded as a decent pitcher thanks to some oddly low LD%/BABIP rates up until 2013, when he was legit good AND lucky (4.5% HR/FB rate!). This year he's a little worse (K's and SwStrk% down), but his BABIP is crazy high.

He's not as bad as he looks, but he's not going to get back to his surface numbers last year either.

 

[ChainsawU]

Buchholz used to be good or something, right?

I don't know. I can say that I work for a company that donated more money to the Jimmy Fund then the other if company in Boston last year so they sent Clay over to give a little speech and sign some baseballs. The bad news was he gave a 30 second speech and had a difficult time dealing with people. The good news is his wife was a 11, stunning.

Dude. Cool. You met Lindsay Clubine. She had a show on HD Net called Get Out. I used to DVR and watch that #### all the time. link

 

[fantasycurse42]

The only way we get over is if KD doesn't let anyone else touch the ball.

 

[NIU Kicker]

Buchholz used to be good or something, right?

I don't know. I can say that I work for a company that donated more money to the Jimmy Fund then the other if company in Boston last year so they sent Clay over to give a little speech and sign some baseballs. The bad news was he gave a 30 second speech and had a difficult time dealing with people. The good news is his wife was a 11, stunning.

Dude. Cool. You met Lindsay Clubine. She had a show on HD Net called Get Out. I used to DVR and watch that #### all the time.

Yup - that was her. She was wearing a long white semi see through dress. She was a smoke show

 

[Raider Nation]

OKC ####### sucks.

 

[fantasycurse42]

OKC ####### sucks.

Terrible.Trending for about 200.5... If they can score 90, the over hits. They're pacing for 79

 

[got_nugs]

And that guy is the MVP over Lebron.

Right.

 

[Raider Nation]

Now that the pressure is totally off, KD is good for a few meaningless 3's.

 

[Raider Nation]

Are the scrubs on both of these teams capable of hanging a 57-point quarter? :(

 

[fantasycurse42]

The Spurs could win this game without scoring another basket.

 

[got_nugs]

They're not really gonna rest Westbrook and Durant, are they?

 

[Angry Beavers]

When did Hughes get good

:needSDasalastparlayleg: