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FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (3 Viewers)

Raider Nation said:
Friday Sharps:

Sharps haven’t been particularly pleased with their early results in the 2014 Preseason. Their huge support of Buffalo in the Hall of Fame game wasn’t rewarded. Nor was their heavy investments in the Seattle Seahawks Thursday Night in Denver (though there was some buy back before kickoff). Plus, the “blanket” coverage for Overs has been a poor choice to this point. Though, the biggest move to the Over Thursday in the Cincy/Kansas City game proved to be a very easy winner.Let’s see how the Wise Guys have been betting Friday’s sextet of NFL exhibition games. We’ll take them in schedule rotation order…

MIAMI AT ATLANTA: not much interest here, as Atlanta is still on the opener of -3, and the total has only lifted from 36.5 up to 37. Typically, home field advantage isn’t given the full three points in August. So, it’s a bit telling that sharps AREN’T betting Miami on the key number. Yes, three is less of a key number in the Preseason because teams try more two-point conversions. But, a lack of interest on a dog at +3 is an indictment of that dog. Pass for the Wise Guys, at least as of press time.

BUFFALO AT CAROLINA: Huge move here on Buffalo, which isn’t surprising given their head start last week vs. the Giants. Carolina opened at -2, with oddsmakers hedging some already off of what would be a regular season line up near a touchdown. Sources tell us sharps doubled down on the perceived advantage in quarterback depth, and were very happy to get Buffalo with points, at pick-em, and even at -1. We’re now seeing Buffalo -1.5. The Over/Under is up from 36 to 37, with indicators that it may go even higher by kickoff.

TAMPA BAY AT JACKSONVILLE: Most of the interest here has been on the total, with an opener of 35.5 being bet up to 37. There’s also a possibility of 37.5 here based on what we’re hearing. That’s a bit more than the general blanket support for Overs out of the gate. The team side has moved slightly toward the host, as an opener of pick-em is now Jacksonville -1. That’s a tentative endorsement at best in a matchup of losing teams from 2013.

NEW ORLEANS AT ST. LOUIS: This is the live TV game on the NFL Network. Not surprising that the home team has been bet up from -2.5 to -3 in that light. Oddsmakers know that the public likes betting home teams on TV, particularly at lines below a field goal. Some of that move was sharps taking early position. Were the game to move to St. Louis -3.5, we’re hearing that some sharps would come back over the top on the dog around the key number. The total is up from 37 to 38 indoors on a fast track in a TV game.

PHILADELPHIA AT CHICAGO: Huge move on the total here, with a pair of offensive-minded head coaches. The opener of 38.5 has been bet all the way up to 42.5. That’s a stunningly low opener for a game that might be up around 48-50 if it were in the regular season. The team side keeps hopping between Philly +2 and Chicago -1.5. Both are popular betting teams in Las Vegas, and that see-saw effect has been influenced by square money. The Wise Guys are on Over anything at 42 or less, and are largely passing the team side.

OAKLAND AT MINNESOTA: Another home team that’s been bet from -2.5 up to the key number of three…and another game where the Over/Under moved up a point (from 36.5 to 37.5 in this case) because of blanket support for the theme of additional scoring in August from sharps. We can tell you that more than a few Wise Guys are high on Teddy Bridgewater as a player who can have a positive impact quickly at this level. That’s worth remembering because the same guys loved Russell Wilson as a rookie.

The most popular team side of the night from the sharps is Buffalo, and the Over in Eagles/Bears is the most popular total.
Click to expand...
Click to expand...
:excited:

 
John Bender said:
Long Ball Larry said:
I guess that I shouldn't be surprised, but I noticed yesterday that there are lines on the NFL preseason games.

Any of you actually bet these? Seems crazy to me.
Click to expand...
Lost a 3 game wong teaser last night on the NFL. :sadbanana:
Click to expand...
Pre-season NFL is brutal man, worse than MLB pre-season.

I got slaughtered last summer on NFL pre-season playing the beatwriter tips/updates on starter playing time. I might dabble for action here and there this summer, but I'll generally stay away from any more than 1/2 unit action plays here and there.

 
Tiger Fan said:
If anyone is looking for a lean on something to bet on tonight, I'd look Rams 1h. Game is on NFLN. I haven't seen a line on SB yet, but Brees won't be playing and neither will Evans or Grubbs on the Oline. Also, Greg Williams, new DC for STL, will likely bring it sending a message in his first game.

:shrug:
Click to expand...
FWIW, I took STL 1H -1 for a half unit.

 
Tiger Fan said:
Tiger Fan said:
If anyone is looking for a lean on something to bet on tonight, I'd look Rams 1h. Game is on NFLN. I haven't seen a line on SB yet, but Brees won't be playing and neither will Evans or Grubbs on the Oline. Also, Greg Williams, new DC for STL, will likely bring it sending a message in his first game.

:shrug:
Click to expand...
FWIW, I took STL 1H -1 for a half unit.
Click to expand...
I paid the $1.25 and took em straight up

 
Burnett over 5 -150 Winner

Colon under 5.5 -135 Loser

Sanchez over 5 -125 Loser

Dickey under 5 (E) Loser

 
Last edited by a moderator:
swirvenirvin said:
For those still looking or thinking about doing the bovada prop bonus thing.

After 2 days $18 in casino credits. Should be a decent little chunk to mess around with when all done
Click to expand...
also if lazy and or dont want to bet you could always make the minimum wager on a guy who isn't in the lineup so no risk of losing but still get casino credit

Mike Trout total bases today

 
Last edited by a moderator:
swirvenirvin said:
swirvenirvin said:
For those still looking or thinking about doing the bovada prop bonus thing.

After 2 days $18 in casino credits. Should be a decent little chunk to mess around with when all done
Click to expand...
also if lazy and or dont want to bet you could always make the minimum wager on a guy who isn't in the lineup so no risk of losing but still get casino creditMike Trout total bases today
Click to expand...
I think the fine print says 'no action' bets don't count.

 
regularguy said:
swirvenirvin said:
swirvenirvin said:
For those still looking or thinking about doing the bovada prop bonus thing.

After 2 days $18 in casino credits. Should be a decent little chunk to mess around with when all done
Click to expand...
also if lazy and or dont want to bet you could always make the minimum wager on a guy who isn't in the lineup so no risk of losing but still get casino creditMike Trout total bases today
Click to expand...
I think the fine print says 'no action' bets don't count.
Click to expand...
Yep

 
Frostillicus said:
regularguy said:
swirvenirvin said:
swirvenirvin said:
For those still looking or thinking about doing the bovada prop bonus thing.

After 2 days $18 in casino credits. Should be a decent little chunk to mess around with when all done
Click to expand...
also if lazy and or dont want to bet you could always make the minimum wager on a guy who isn't in the lineup so no risk of losing but still get casino creditMike Trout total bases today
Click to expand...
I think the fine print says 'no action' bets don't count.
Click to expand...
Yep
Click to expand...
ahhhh

 
swirvenirvin said:
Frostillicus said:
regularguy said:
swirvenirvin said:
swirvenirvin said:
For those still looking or thinking about doing the bovada prop bonus thing.

After 2 days $18 in casino credits. Should be a decent little chunk to mess around with when all done
Click to expand...
also if lazy and or dont want to bet you could always make the minimum wager on a guy who isn't in the lineup so no risk of losing but still get casino creditMike Trout total bases today
Click to expand...
I think the fine print says 'no action' bets don't count.
Click to expand...
Yep
Click to expand...
ahhhh
Click to expand...
That's why if you're just making one $25 bet to qualify you need to pay attention, because if you play somebody under 2 h+r+bi and they land on two that's no action and no bonus.

 
APB out on Nugs :banned:

We aren't starting officially until Monday.

If you're comfortable with the folks on both side of you in the draft, feel free to PM your number to them for text prompting to make sure we get this wrapped up in time.

 
Raider Nation said:
Friday Sharps:

Sharps haven’t been particularly pleased with their early results in the 2014 Preseason. Their huge support of Buffalo in the Hall of Fame game wasn’t rewarded. Nor was their heavy investments in the Seattle Seahawks Thursday Night in Denver (though there was some buy back before kickoff). Plus, the “blanket” coverage for Overs has been a poor choice to this point. Though, the biggest move to the Over Thursday in the Cincy/Kansas City game proved to be a very easy winner.Let’s see how the Wise Guys have been betting Friday’s sextet of NFL exhibition games. We’ll take them in schedule rotation order…

MIAMI AT ATLANTA: not much interest here, as Atlanta is still on the opener of -3, and the total has only lifted from 36.5 up to 37. Typically, home field advantage isn’t given the full three points in August. So, it’s a bit telling that sharps AREN’T betting Miami on the key number. Yes, three is less of a key number in the Preseason because teams try more two-point conversions. But, a lack of interest on a dog at +3 is an indictment of that dog. Pass for the Wise Guys, at least as of press time.

BUFFALO AT CAROLINA: Huge move here on Buffalo, which isn’t surprising given their head start last week vs. the Giants. Carolina opened at -2, with oddsmakers hedging some already off of what would be a regular season line up near a touchdown. Sources tell us sharps doubled down on the perceived advantage in quarterback depth, and were very happy to get Buffalo with points, at pick-em, and even at -1. We’re now seeing Buffalo -1.5. The Over/Under is up from 36 to 37, with indicators that it may go even higher by kickoff.

TAMPA BAY AT JACKSONVILLE: Most of the interest here has been on the total, with an opener of 35.5 being bet up to 37. There’s also a possibility of 37.5 here based on what we’re hearing. That’s a bit more than the general blanket support for Overs out of the gate. The team side has moved slightly toward the host, as an opener of pick-em is now Jacksonville -1. That’s a tentative endorsement at best in a matchup of losing teams from 2013.

NEW ORLEANS AT ST. LOUIS: This is the live TV game on the NFL Network. Not surprising that the home team has been bet up from -2.5 to -3 in that light. Oddsmakers know that the public likes betting home teams on TV, particularly at lines below a field goal. Some of that move was sharps taking early position. Were the game to move to St. Louis -3.5, we’re hearing that some sharps would come back over the top on the dog around the key number. The total is up from 37 to 38 indoors on a fast track in a TV game.

PHILADELPHIA AT CHICAGO: Huge move on the total here, with a pair of offensive-minded head coaches. The opener of 38.5 has been bet all the way up to 42.5. That’s a stunningly low opener for a game that might be up around 48-50 if it were in the regular season. The team side keeps hopping between Philly +2 and Chicago -1.5. Both are popular betting teams in Las Vegas, and that see-saw effect has been influenced by square money. The Wise Guys are on Over anything at 42 or less, and are largely passing the team side.

OAKLAND AT MINNESOTA: Another home team that’s been bet from -2.5 up to the key number of three…and another game where the Over/Under moved up a point (from 36.5 to 37.5 in this case) because of blanket support for the theme of additional scoring in August from sharps. We can tell you that more than a few Wise Guys are high on Teddy Bridgewater as a player who can have a positive impact quickly at this level. That’s worth remembering because the same guys loved Russell Wilson as a rookie.

The most popular team side of the night from the sharps is Buffalo, and the Over in Eagles/Bears is the most popular total.
Click to expand...
Click to expand...
Regarding the line in red, 35 points before halftime in CHI, and the Bills are up by 7.

 
-2 for the half?

eta I had -2/h for Vikings and -.5 for STL from betonline or RB, -2 seems deep. Sorry bud.

 
Last edited by a moderator:
Raider Nation said:
Raider Nation said:
Friday Sharps:

Sharps haven’t been particularly pleased with their early results in the 2014 Preseason. Their huge support of Buffalo in the Hall of Fame game wasn’t rewarded. Nor was their heavy investments in the Seattle Seahawks Thursday Night in Denver (though there was some buy back before kickoff). Plus, the “blanket” coverage for Overs has been a poor choice to this point. Though, the biggest move to the Over Thursday in the Cincy/Kansas City game proved to be a very easy winner.Let’s see how the Wise Guys have been betting Friday’s sextet of NFL exhibition games. We’ll take them in schedule rotation order…

MIAMI AT ATLANTA: not much interest here, as Atlanta is still on the opener of -3, and the total has only lifted from 36.5 up to 37. Typically, home field advantage isn’t given the full three points in August. So, it’s a bit telling that sharps AREN’T betting Miami on the key number. Yes, three is less of a key number in the Preseason because teams try more two-point conversions. But, a lack of interest on a dog at +3 is an indictment of that dog. Pass for the Wise Guys, at least as of press time.

BUFFALO AT CAROLINA: Huge move here on Buffalo, which isn’t surprising given their head start last week vs. the Giants. Carolina opened at -2, with oddsmakers hedging some already off of what would be a regular season line up near a touchdown. Sources tell us sharps doubled down on the perceived advantage in quarterback depth, and were very happy to get Buffalo with points, at pick-em, and even at -1. We’re now seeing Buffalo -1.5. The Over/Under is up from 36 to 37, with indicators that it may go even higher by kickoff.

TAMPA BAY AT JACKSONVILLE: Most of the interest here has been on the total, with an opener of 35.5 being bet up to 37. There’s also a possibility of 37.5 here based on what we’re hearing. That’s a bit more than the general blanket support for Overs out of the gate. The team side has moved slightly toward the host, as an opener of pick-em is now Jacksonville -1. That’s a tentative endorsement at best in a matchup of losing teams from 2013.

NEW ORLEANS AT ST. LOUIS: This is the live TV game on the NFL Network. Not surprising that the home team has been bet up from -2.5 to -3 in that light. Oddsmakers know that the public likes betting home teams on TV, particularly at lines below a field goal. Some of that move was sharps taking early position. Were the game to move to St. Louis -3.5, we’re hearing that some sharps would come back over the top on the dog around the key number. The total is up from 37 to 38 indoors on a fast track in a TV game.

PHILADELPHIA AT CHICAGO: Huge move on the total here, with a pair of offensive-minded head coaches. The opener of 38.5 has been bet all the way up to 42.5. That’s a stunningly low opener for a game that might be up around 48-50 if it were in the regular season. The team side keeps hopping between Philly +2 and Chicago -1.5. Both are popular betting teams in Las Vegas, and that see-saw effect has been influenced by square money. The Wise Guys are on Over anything at 42 or less, and are largely passing the team side.

OAKLAND AT MINNESOTA: Another home team that’s been bet from -2.5 up to the key number of three…and another game where the Over/Under moved up a point (from 36.5 to 37.5 in this case) because of blanket support for the theme of additional scoring in August from sharps. We can tell you that more than a few Wise Guys are high on Teddy Bridgewater as a player who can have a positive impact quickly at this level. That’s worth remembering because the same guys loved Russell Wilson as a rookie.

The most popular team side of the night from the sharps is Buffalo, and the Over in Eagles/Bears is the most popular total.
Click to expand...
Click to expand...
Regarding the line in red, 35 points before halftime in CHI, and the Bills are up by 7.
Click to expand...
On both :thumbup:

 
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