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FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (15 Viewers)
- Thread starter John Bender
- Start date
lumpy19
Footballguy
modogg
Footballguy
Angry Beavers
Footballguy
Light day for me.
Need the usc/zona over 66 to round out the only play of the day. A 3 team parlay. I could lock in some profit but what fun is that?
Need the usc/zona over 66 to round out the only play of the day. A 3 team parlay. I could lock in some profit but what fun is that?
Billy Bats
Footballguy
Dallas gets throttled tomorrow, doubling down my losing Saturday on Seattle.
modogg
Footballguy
that is interesting. I didn't think GB would be that much of a public play, but impressive all 5 on Miami. I do like the Buff call though. Anybody taking Carolina?
swirvenirvin
Footballguy
doesnt help when the ref makes up an offsides on the onside kick they recovered. Good ol Michigan home cooking.
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John Bender
Footballguy
First night in about 10 that I didn't lose 800 bucks to Otis in poker, slap it high?
modogg
Footballguy
regularguy
Footballguy
lumpy19
Footballguy
regularguy
Footballguy
Oh, well. I didn't like my chances at halftime, but I believed again until that 3rd and long conversion.OooofHad under 47.
Frostillicus
Footballguy
Good Posting Judge
Footballguy
Good Posting Judge
Footballguy
Nugs?
U
Good Posting Judge
Footballguy
BTW, aforementioned pucks system picked out Caps +149 tonight. Probably Leafs tomorra.
got_nugs
Footballguy
Told you the entire time this was a lock. Should listen to me and my elite basAball knowledge brohan.
Billy Bats
Footballguy
Good Posting Judge
Footballguy
https://www.sportsinsights.com/blog/2014-15-nhl-betting-public-report/Pucks system?!How did I miss it??!
modogg
Footballguy
hmm. I don't see the angle with Miami, but I guess it could make sense with Miami coming off a bye and Green Bay on the road after 2 divisional opponents. But Green Bay just seems to be hitting their stride. I thought Bengals were the pay last week with 2 weeks to prepare for New England too.
All I know is go Cincy!! I will be a sad little pup when i lose out of this survivor contest i am in like every year.
Billy Bats
Footballguy
91 degrees and humid in Miami tomorrow too. Could be a factor.
Raider Nation
Devil's Advocate
The folks who never contribute anything seem to be the most critical. Keep adding to my like-count though.
I post my leans, but generally don't back them up with stats unless I have them. Guys in here doing the lord's work pouring over stats and trends that are meaningful and have won over time, don't dismiss their hard work in here please.
Raider Nation
Devil's Advocate
Good Posting Judge
Footballguy
Jalapanose has posted two plays in here total and has one win (an early season Jays game) and one loss (Zona -3 in the tourney against Wisky). Much more time spent in his 40 total posts being generally ####ty and disagreeing with other people, including calling lumpy a shill for encouraging people to cash in on free bets/bonuses.The folks who never contribute anything seem to be the most critical. Keep adding to my like-count though.
I post my leans, but generally don't back them up with stats unless I have them. Guys in here doing the lord's work pouring over stats and trends that are meaningful and have won over time, don't dismiss their hard work in here please.
Put yr dukes down, dude. It's OK to disagree with people without being a ####-mouth. TIA.
Raider Nation
Devil's Advocate
Passive-aggressively liking my posts where I lament losing a play is such a cowardly, weasel move. If you have something to say, say it.
Or FOAD... either way works.
Or FOAD... either way works.
mquinnjr
Footballguy
this play, in for 2U. -8 is generally a sort of scary number to lay in the NFL, but it doesn't scare me in this case. Could see Romo having a total melt down in CenturyLink against that defense, and Wilson running all over that defense.
I thought lumpy was the only guy who likes that jalapanose guy. Apparently, he's super sharp but prefers to #### on everybody than post anything helpful.
Dickie Dunn
Footballguy
Wow, nice bounce for 'Zona.
Raider Nation
Devil's Advocate
Good Posting Judge
Footballguy
Goddamit, I hate Chris Brody. 
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modogg
Footballguy
I've been spending the last 20 minutes trying to figure out how to pronounce his name, and then trying to figure out what it means. I'm still working on it..............
mquinnjr
Footballguy
Jalapenos, like the hot as hell pepper in plural. All I got.
Mo, praying your avatar can miracle his way into cashing that OROTY, holding hope!
modogg
Footballguy
Yeah same here. Alos just joined you and Billy on Seattle. Got them in a bunch of teasers and other random things, but joined straight against the spread too.
As for OROTY - i don't know if anyone has done much to lay claim to it yet. I think if you had to give it to someone right now I think my 2nd biggest pick, Kelvin Benjamin gets it. After that, I think still wide open. Teddy makes me nervous because he has a lot of media love, and has weapons there too. Still not too worried about any of the RBs, but i keep hearing how Watkins, Cook and Odell Beckham are still the favorites. So, just silly talk so far. we will see in the coming weeks. Carr is due to start getting some wins. Stealing that one from New England would have been clutch
mquinnjr
Footballguy
Great post, I'm with you man. Teddy scares me the most with the QB bias in voting on OROTY, think if he plays well he's a lock. RB/WR no one has separated clearly from the pack yet, lots of time left though. Still awesomeness that Carr is the clear Week 1 guy and getting all the game experience, hope it ramps into something to keep up with Teddy.
ChainsawU
Footballguy
Sup Mo. The situation is Green Bay coming of three division games and travelling to play out of conference (Sharps Report>Hi). Since 1996 that situation results in: 20-35-0 SU (.364) and 24-30-1 ATS (.444) against an average line of 2.6. Narrowed down to the favorites you get 8-8 SU and 6-10 ATS (avg line -4.2). And then you have Green Bay's history playing in Florida:
It's definitely a weird situation, but I think you might be right and wouldn't fade the Packers - people might be reading too much into the situation. It's also easy to fade the Pack because you always see them on TV playing in the snow. I think Miami off the bye probably holds more weight than anything, but haven't done anything to be able to back that up. And again, like Sharps Report said, public love Rogers at the low price. We will know soon enough though.
ChainsawU
Footballguy
Explains why the ML magically disappears when the line drops below 2 at some places.
swirvenirvin
Footballguy
nice to have gotten arizona +2.5 early
swirvenirvin
Footballguy
yeah i thought i heard both of these over the course of the week. gb let down in non division game and something about rodgers record in florida not being great
swirvenirvin
Footballguy
would have to think benjamin has the early lead and WIDE open after that. Sankey could start sneaking into the picture this week as he might finally have a chance to do something. ####### Wisenhunt with his footwork
swirvenirvin
Footballguy
not sure what the closing lines were but the ones made from friday night were 1-2 in rush system and 1-3 for the week with BYU loss on Thursday
Texas - Win
Wyoming - Loss
Northwestern - Loss
Texas - Win
Wyoming - Loss
Northwestern - Loss
The Ref
Footballguy
Seems like the main take away is there is some value in blind betting lines of +2.5
Billy Bats
Footballguy
<blockquote class='ipsBlockquote'data-author="Good Posting Judge" data-cid="17341229" data-time="1413085538"><p><p><blockquote class="ipsBlockquote" data-author="Billy Bats" data-cid="17341217" data-time="1413085301"><p> Thanks gpj..Eta: whoa, what's that mess?!.
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