FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (10 Viewers)

[The Ref]

I want to know if we are going to see this number move before kickoff. There is a lot of patriot money out there right now and the line has barely budged.

 

[Doctor Detroit]

Most of the pundits, Steve Czaban said 80%, are on the Pats and what seems like the under.

Maple Leafs +150

Bruins/Habs +210

 

[The Ref]

I was thinking of you guys in here the other day and had to laugh while listening to Mike Francesa, who as most of you know, is wrong about everything.

A guy calls up asking Mike about Super Bowl props. He goes on this rant about how props are sucker bets and you cannot beat them. Yeah, pretty close. Props are the ONLY thing you can beat. It must actually be quite soothing to go through life with an empty head.

I never get tired of him.

So, of course, after screaming on Wednesday about how props bets are sucker bets, he spends an entire segment today giving us his Super Bowl prop bets. These come after five seconds of exhaustive research. He starts us off with the "Supabow MVP awds." This entire clip is pure gold.

[thinks to himself out loud] ... "Edelman, 6 and a half..... Edelman, 6 and a half...... YES!"

Yes WHAT?

20/90..... That's your number.

 

[modogg]

Woodley -110

for UFC card tomorrow. line is moving fast, already missed him as the dog

 

[pack100]

If the valve is 90 degrees ypu should be ok. Do the lighter test.... GAs sniffers are expensive

 

[tonydead]

Thanks. It happens. Just needed a place to vent.

this is the best place to do it. i tried once, a few years ago, to explain to my wife why i was pissed about a CBB game. Learned quick only people who care/understand are others who gamble quite a bit

you guys

It's also why we ALL hate Mike's girlfriend in Rounders.

"So instead of coming home, you were out all night playing cards with some judge???"

Yes. I WAS OUT ALL NIGHT PLAYING CARDS INSTEAD OF COMING HOME TO YOUR DUMB ASS!!!

A couple times this week I had a mental picture about someone asking if you guys bet any money on the Super Bowl yet and asking what team you are rooting for. I could totally see someone in here with the 30-40 prop bets, but not having played a side yet trying to answer that question.

29 prop bets and I just bet the line for the first time today.

 

[tonydead]

If the valve is 90 degrees ypu should be ok. Do the lighter test.... GAs sniffers are expensive

......... Soapwater dude

 

[Raider Nation]

If the valve is 90 degrees ypu should be ok. Do the lighter test.... GAs sniffers are expensive

......... Soapwater dude

Yeah, I know about the trick to test for bubbles while it's connected. I'm just concerned about the interval from the time he takes the old one until the time the new one arrives. Even if the valve is off, the rigid pipe coming out of the wall is not connected to anything. No worries about that?

 

[tonydead]

If the valve is 90 degrees ypu should be ok. Do the lighter test.... GAs sniffers are expensive

......... Soapwater dude

Yeah, I know about the trick to test for bubbles while it's connected. I'm just concerned about the interval from the time he takes the old one until the time the new one arrives. Even if the valve is off, the rigid pipe coming out of the wall is not connected to anything. No worries about that?

You can run that same test for the temporary condition. The only difference is the valve is easy to hit/accidentally open without an appliance stop on the open end. Just make sure you keep it secure and you'll be ok.

 

[got_nugs]

I think I Saw chi+7 hit!

 

[Frostillicus]

Bulls! +7!

 

[Good Posting Judge]

Thanks. It happens. Just needed a place to vent.

this is the best place to do it. i tried once, a few years ago, to explain to my wife why i was pissed about a CBB game. Learned quick only people who care/understand are others who gamble quite a bit

you guys

It's also why we ALL hate Mike's girlfriend in Rounders.

"So instead of coming home, you were out all night playing cards with some judge???"

Yes. I WAS OUT ALL NIGHT PLAYING CARDS INSTEAD OF COMING HOME TO YOUR DUMB ASS!!!

A couple times this week I had a mental picture about someone asking if you guys bet any money on the Super Bowl yet and asking what team you are rooting for. I could totally see someone in here with the 30-40 prop bets, but not having played a side yet trying to answer that question.

29 prop bets and I just bet the line for the first time today.

SEA ML was my first bet.

 

[Good Posting Judge]

I was thinking of you guys in here the other day and had to laugh while listening to Mike Francesa, who as most of you know, is wrong about everything.

A guy calls up asking Mike about Super Bowl props. He goes on this rant about how props are sucker bets and you cannot beat them. Yeah, pretty close. Props are the ONLY thing you can beat. It must actually be quite soothing to go through life with an empty head.

I never get tired of him.

So, of course, after screaming on Wednesday about how props bets are sucker bets, he spends an entire segment today giving us his Super Bowl prop bets. These come after five seconds of exhaustive research. He starts us off with the "Supabow MVP awds." This entire clip is pure gold.

[thinks to himself out loud] ... "Edelman, 6 and a half..... Edelman, 6 and a half...... YES!"

Yes WHAT?

"Brady is 1-1 (????) and Wilson is.....(OH MY GOD SO MUCH DEAD AIR!!!!)...Wilson is....3-1!"

 

[Frostillicus]

I did a bunch of teasers on both sides so I'm set up so I win money no matter what and if the game is within 7 either way I win boatloads. It was a good time to get hot at college hoops.

 

[Frostillicus]

Plus way too many props.

 

[Frostillicus]

Or not enough.

 

[Doctor Detroit]

I was thinking of you guys in here the other day and had to laugh while listening to Mike Francesa, who as most of you know, is wrong about everything.

A guy calls up asking Mike about Super Bowl props. He goes on this rant about how props are sucker bets and you cannot beat them. Yeah, pretty close. Props are the ONLY thing you can beat. It must actually be quite soothing to go through life with an empty head.

I never get tired of him.

So, of course, after screaming on Wednesday about how props bets are sucker bets, he spends an entire segment today giving us his Super Bowl prop bets. These come after five seconds of exhaustive research. He starts us off with the "Supabow MVP awds." This entire clip is pure gold.

[thinks to himself out loud] ... "Edelman, 6 and a half..... Edelman, 6 and a half...... YES!"

Yes WHAT?

"Brady is 1-1 (????) and Wilson is.....(OH MY GOD SO MUCH DEAD AIR!!!!)...Wilson is....3-1!"

Yeah I might up on Wilson +350 just because I want him to win it so bad.

 

[Raider Nation]

I was thinking of you guys in here the other day and had to laugh while listening to Mike Francesa, who as most of you know, is wrong about everything.

A guy calls up asking Mike about Super Bowl props. He goes on this rant about how props are sucker bets and you cannot beat them. Yeah, pretty close. Props are the ONLY thing you can beat. It must actually be quite soothing to go through life with an empty head.

I never get tired of him.

So, of course, after screaming on Wednesday about how props bets are sucker bets, he spends an entire segment today giving us his Super Bowl prop bets. These come after five seconds of exhaustive research. He starts us off with the "Supabow MVP awds." This entire clip is pure gold.

[thinks to himself out loud] ... "Edelman, 6 and a half..... Edelman, 6 and a half...... YES!"

Yes WHAT?

"Brady is 1-1 (????) and Wilson is.....(OH MY GOD SO MUCH DEAD AIR!!!!)...Wilson is....3-1!"

Whatever issue you bring up about this clown, I've already got it covered in the Funhouse archives.

 

[Good Posting Judge]

from another board

I am writing this to urge prop betters to keep a close eye on the inactive list for the following reason:

Those of us who watch the Patriots play every week know that when the Pats go run-heavy -- as they did with Indy -- they activate Cameron Fleming to serve as an extra lineman on heavy sets. The thing is: if they don't plan on using that set, his roster spot goes to someone else (maybe an extra WR like Brian Tyms, or a special teamer like Chris White).

So before placing prop bets on several key rushing props, look at the inactive list.

If Fleming is active (I suspect he will, but only the Pats know for sure)

Blount Over 14.5 carries

Blount OVER rushing yards (forget the number off the top of head)

Edelman OVER .5 carries (they almost always run a reverse once defense starts biting toward the Fleming side of the line -- 11/16 games this year Edelman has a carry, and it is often out of this heavy set.)

Hooman -- over 6.5 yards receiving -- hooman will get a lot of snaps if they run heavy formation a lot.

Also, know that having these extra lineman was a key part of Belichick's inielgible, eligible stuff -- So I do suspect Fleming will be active.

But, if Fleming is inactive...

I would bet the UNDER on those Blount/Edelman rushing/carries stuff.

Plus, I will strongly consider betting :

OVER for Vereen carries

OVER Vereen yards

Over Vereen catches

as without the heavy set, he will get twice as many snaps, and thus, likely more yards, carries and catches.

I really think this provides an edge to close observers of the Pats -- and hopefully one the books are not too keen on -- that is the beauty of props (and hence the harsh maximum bet restrictions.

Pat's fans -- am I right here? Am I missing anything?

Someone noted in that forum that Fleming had missed a good chunk of season with an ankle injury, it looks like he's been active for most of the games he's been healthy.

 

[Good Posting Judge]

I was thinking of you guys in here the other day and had to laugh while listening to Mike Francesa, who as most of you know, is wrong about everything.

A guy calls up asking Mike about Super Bowl props. He goes on this rant about how props are sucker bets and you cannot beat them. Yeah, pretty close. Props are the ONLY thing you can beat. It must actually be quite soothing to go through life with an empty head.

I never get tired of him.

So, of course, after screaming on Wednesday about how props bets are sucker bets, he spends an entire segment today giving us his Super Bowl prop bets. These come after five seconds of exhaustive research. He starts us off with the "Supabow MVP awds." This entire clip is pure gold.

[thinks to himself out loud] ... "Edelman, 6 and a half..... Edelman, 6 and a half...... YES!"

Yes WHAT?

"Brady is 1-1 (????) and Wilson is.....(OH MY GOD SO MUCH DEAD AIR!!!!)...Wilson is....3-1!"

Whatever issue you bring up about this clown, I've already got it covered in the Funhouse archives.

#######it, now I'm going to watch 6 minutes of Francesa doing MLB over/under predictions.

ETA:

Nats over, hit.

Padres over, miss.

Mets over, HIT!

Reds under, HIT!

Pirates under, NO!!!!!

Rangers under, CRUSHED!!!!!

4-2!!!!

 

[Hoos First]

<-------

 

[Frostillicus]

<-------

Betting against them tomorrow. 6 seems like too many.

 

[Good Posting Judge]

NV sportsbooks made 40% more money on football in 2014 than 2013. So yeah, doubling up on that Las Vegas handle bet.

 

[Billy Bats]

In case anyone wanted to tail Artie Lange:

https://mobile.twitter.com/artiequitter/status/561440780125224960

 

[comfortably numb]

In case anyone wanted to tail Artie Lange:

https://mobile.twitter.com/artiequitter/status/561440780125224960

Well I'll be...thought he was dead

 

[JaxBill]

West Ham +0.5 +140

Sund/Burn ov 2.5 +115

 

[JaxBill]

half unit parlay at +475

Everton/CP Draw +225

Stoke/QPR UNDER 2.5 -129

 

[comfortably numb]

Stoke -.5 -145

ManU -1.5 -110

 

[Frostillicus]

Duke +6

Notre Dame -5.5

St. Johns -3

Kansas -12

Butler -2.5

Nebraska +8.5

TAMU -5.5

Pepperdine +8

St Bonny -2.5

That really escalated quickly.

Duke/UVA o 126

Wisky/Iowa o 130

Prov/St Johns o 134

Vandy/TAMU u 128

 

[Dan Lambskin]

Apparently I've played these the last few days

YES Kearse TD +215

Brady -9.5 pass yards 1q -120

Blount o14.5 Rush attempts -115

Lynch over 19.5 rec yards -125

Edelman -2 rec over LaFell -140

Gronk -2 rec over Lafell -115

Edelman catch pass before Lafell -140

 

[Dan Lambskin]

Also just realized I have about 80 units on this game (mostly props but still )

 

[Frostillicus]

Also just realized I have about 80 units on this game (mostly props but still )

Big whoop. I know a guy who throws down 1,000 units on a single play.

 

[gussy]

NYI/Wings O5.5 -115

 

[Frostillicus]

Duke +6

Notre Dame -5.5

St. Johns -3

Kansas -12

Butler -2.5

Nebraska +8.5

TAMU -5.5

Pepperdine +8

St Bonny -2.5

That really escalated quickly.

Duke/UVA o 126

Wisky/Iowa o 130

Prov/St Johns o 134

Vandy/TAMU u 128

Bovada:

Henton (prov) u 20.5p

Portis (ark) u 15.5p

 

[Aaron Rudnicki]

Bridgewater beat out Beckham for OROTY?

 

[The Ref]

Bridgewater beat out Beckham for OROTY?

QB bias is real!

 

[Frostillicus]

Bridgewater beat out Beckham for OROTY?

WE DID IT?

 

[The Ref]

Bridgewater beat out Beckham for OROTY?

WE DID IT?

I did it, but only at 8-1. He was at 12-1 about two weeks later

 

[Tiger Fan]

Bridgewater won the "Pepsi Rookie of the Year" The official NFL awards are tonight

http://nypost.com/2015/01/31/odell-beckhams-competition-for-offensive-rookie-of-the-year/

 

[Leroy Hoard]

Bridgewater won the "Pepsi Rookie of the Year" The official NFL awards are tonight

http://nypost.com/2015/01/31/odell-beckhams-competition-for-offensive-rookie-of-the-year/

I wonder if Teddy will be doing ads for Pepsi.

 

[Frostillicus]

Bridgewater won the "Pepsi Rookie of the Year" The official NFL awards are tonight

http://nypost.com/2015/01/31/odell-beckhams-competition-for-offensive-rookie-of-the-year/

Dammit. I have him at that 12/1 ref mentioned. So many awards, so confuse.

 

[Frostillicus]

Duke +6

Notre Dame -5.5

St. Johns -3

Kansas -12

Butler -2.5

Nebraska +8.5

TAMU -5.5

Pepperdine +8

St Bonny -2.5

That really escalated quickly.

Duke/UVA o 126

Wisky/Iowa o 130

Prov/St Johns o 134

Vandy/TAMU u 128

Bovada:

Henton (prov) u 20.5p

Portis (ark) u 15.5p

Okafor (duke) o 8.5r

Harrell (lville) u 13.5p

Pangos (gonz) u 13.5p

Spangler (ok) o 19.5p+r

Gathers (bay) u 21.5p+r

Holmes (tex) u 13.5p

 

[Frostillicus]

sportsbetting: Anderson (tcu) o 16p+a -125

This is my biggest prop bet of the year.

 

[Frostillicus]

sportsbetting: Anderson (tcu) o 16p+a -125

This is my biggest prop bet of the year.

On my own, not counting goo roo or swirv's stuff.

 

[Tiger Fan]

cleavage down to +350 at SB

+275

 

[Frostillicus]

sportsbetting: Anderson (tcu) o 16p+a -125

This is my biggest prop bet of the year.

Carlino (marq) o 19.5p+r+a

This is another bad line.

 

[ChainsawU]

The Super Bowl since 2001 (entire database), filtered by underdog: link
SU: 7-6-0 (3.85, 53.8%)
ATS: 10-3-0 (9.92, 76.9%) avg line: 6.1
O/U: 6-7-0 (1.04, 46.2%) avg total: 47.3

Patriots Super Bowls have ended in margins of 4,3,3,3,3 since 2001. link

 

[ChainsawU]

I have Teddy, too. That was not cool, guys.

 

[got_nugs]

Carr is still alive !! Ugh!

 

[Aaron Rudnicki]

I didn't know it was a different award. I saw a news blurb that said Pepsi and the NFL announce Bridgewater wins blah blah blah. Pretty stupid to give Pepsi their own award.