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FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (6 Viewers)

Duke (-9.5) has received less than 30% of spread bets twice in the last decade but currently getting just 25% vs. Notre Dame.

Virginia Tech has failed to cover as a favorite in 14 consecutive conference games going back to 2010-2011. Currently -1 vs. FSU today.

 
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So I am sitting at a kid tournament entering 20 hoops plays from Frosty thinking I am a degenerate while the other parents talk and sip coffee and look at me kinda sideways while I read from a holiday inn scratch pad.. But all I can think is ... Eff them I've got Frosty Plays! :shrug:

 
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So I am sitting at a kid tournament entering 20 hoops plays from Frosty thinking I am a degenerate while the other parents talk and sip coffee and look at me kinda sideways while I read from a holiday inn scratch pad.. But all I can think is ... Eff them I've got Frosty Plays! :shrug:
You're on your sportsbook...they are on their facebook.

F em

 
So I am sitting at a kid tournament entering 20 hoops plays from Frosty thinking I am a degenerate while the other parents talk and sip coffee and look at me kinda sideways while I read from a holiday inn scratch pad.. But all I can think is ... Eff them I've got Frosty Plays! :shrug:
Now just waiting for those player props.
 
Frostillicus said:
WVU -3.5

Seton Hall -6

Creighton +7.5

Notre Dame +9.5

Memphis -1.5

Tennessee +7

Iowa State -16.5

St. Bonnie +3

Arkansas -12.5

Wisconsin -19

Auburn +5

Northern Iowa -17

Kentucky -7.5 (favorite bet of the day)

What? There's a lot of games tomorrow.
Illinois/Michigan State o 132

Georgia/Tennessee u 127

Georgetown/Villanova o 131

Purdue/Minnesota o 134.5

TAMU/Mizzou u 120

Louisville/Virginia o 117.5

UCLA//Cal o 138

This is gonna be great.

 
Frostillicus said:
WVU -3.5

Seton Hall -6

Creighton +7.5

Notre Dame +9.5

Memphis -1.5

Tennessee +7

Iowa State -16.5

St. Bonnie +3

Arkansas -12.5

Wisconsin -19

Auburn +5

Northern Iowa -17

Kentucky -7.5 (favorite bet of the day)

What? There's a lot of games tomorrow.
Illinois/Michigan State o 132

Georgia/Tennessee u 127

Georgetown/Villanova o 131

Purdue/Minnesota o 134.5

TAMU/Mizzou u 120

Louisville/Virginia o 117.5

UCLA//Cal o 138

This is gonna be great.
Bovada:

Connaughton (nd) u 2.5 made 3s

Okafor (duke) o 9.5r

Ellis (ku) o 13.5p

Nash (okst) u 15.5p

Smith-Rivera (gtown) u 6.5r+a

Johnson (zona) o 14.5p

Rozier (lville) u 17.5p

Harrell (lville) u 23.5p+r

Anderson (uva) u 13.5p

 
Frostillicus said:
WVU -3.5

Seton Hall -6

Creighton +7.5

Notre Dame +9.5

Memphis -1.5

Tennessee +7

Iowa State -16.5

St. Bonnie +3

Arkansas -12.5

Wisconsin -19

Auburn +5

Northern Iowa -17

Kentucky -7.5 (favorite bet of the day)

What? There's a lot of games tomorrow.
Illinois/Michigan State o 132

Georgia/Tennessee u 127

Georgetown/Villanova o 131

Purdue/Minnesota o 134.5

TAMU/Mizzou u 120

Louisville/Virginia o 117.5

UCLA//Cal o 138

This is gonna be great.
Bovada:

Connaughton (nd) u 2.5 made 3s

Okafor (duke) o 9.5r

Ellis (ku) o 13.5p

Nash (okst) u 15.5p

Smith-Rivera (gtown) u 6.5r+a

Johnson (zona) o 14.5p

Rozier (lville) u 17.5p

Harrell (lville) u 23.5p+r

Anderson (uva) u 13.5p
sportsbetting:

Okafor (duke) o 26.5p+r

Dunn (prov) o 28.5p+r+a

 
Nashville coming off a stink bomb at home vs Ducks. NYR second game without king henrik. Preds bounce back, Rangers come to grips with life relying on a tandem of Talbot and Skapski as their goalies for the next month. This has all the makings of a 1-0 or 2-1 game, as both teams try to tighten up defensively.

u5 (+110) for 1u

Preds (-145) for 1u

 
Looking at the Preds you see that since 2006 they are 22-3 SU as the home favorite with a B2B road game the next day. However, advocating for the devil, since last season when both teams have B2B the next day with the home team needing to travel, the visitor is 44-32 SU (.579), 10-4 SU on Saturday, and 5-0 SU this season so far.

 
Looking at the Wild you see that since 2012 when a team has already shut out their opponent in the L2 meetings this season, that team has gone 13-2 SU and 10-2-3 O/U (9-0-2 O/U L11) in the third meeting. However, advocating for the devil, since last season the Wild have had six four-game winning streaks to their credit but were only able to get that fifth game once in five tries so far. One of those missed opportunities was last season on Jan 11, a Saturday, in a home game versus the Avs.

Looking at the Habs you see that in the regular season since 2007 they are 8-2 to the over when they play the Bruins the next night (5-0 home). I am unable to advocate for the Devils, however, since they are only 1-9 SU in a B2B situation after a win since 2014.

 
Habs 6-2 SU and 6-0-2 O/U at home this season when the opponent is on B2B. The Habs won those games by margins of 2,4,3,4,3,2. It must be noted that, like tonight, in the two losses they were lined heavy favorites of -245 and -301, which is only a slight advocation for the Devils.

 
Tiger Fan said:
just checking...are these official chainsaw endorsed plays or you just posting data?
All of the officially endorsed plays are available through the newsletter. You guys PM TJ your info and he can get you set up with either a 3-day FUNPASS or 7-day VIP (BEST VALUE).

 
Couple horse plays today

Race 13 @ Gulfstream (Donn Handicapp) - Gulfstream usually plays like a conveyor belt and there are a few quality speed horses here. I'll take the longer priced #2 Commisoner at 4-1 ML over 9/5 #4 Lea (Lea is very good, but going with the value here). they could get run down by the #1 Constitution but I don't see it. The 10 could hit the board as a longshot

Win - #2

Exacta - 2,4 w 2,4,10

Race 5 @ Santa Anita (Robert Lewis) - short field with only 5 horses. The 6 Dortmund is heavily favored at 4/5 and trainer Bob Baffert owns Santa Anita but the #2 Rock Shandy is very intriguing at 6-1. Excellent breeding and increasing speed figures make him one to watch going forward

Win - #2

Exacta - 2 w 4,6 and 6 w 2,4

Race 8 - Santa Anita (San Antonio) - excellent race here with Horse of the Year California Chrome (#8) going up against #5 Shared Belief (3rd in voting). both are very good horses but I see some value in #1 Hoppertunity at 4-1. I was ready to make him my Derby Winner last until he got banged up and he's since come back with a couple Graded wins (G1 Clark at Churchill Downs and a Grade 2 at Santa Anita)

he may not win but you're not going to make money long term betting chalk all the time so I think he's worth a stab as the other 2 will take the bulk of the money

Win - #1

Exacta - 1 w 5,8

 
I've never had a +EV year to report. :shrug:
doesn't matter in the eyes of the IRS...technically you are supposed to report all winnings, and then you are allowed to deduct losses up to that amount.

but you cant just go an report the net win/loss
hmm

ive never received a package :butthead leaugh:

I guess I'll look into
I've only reported when I get a W2-G for horse racing. I don't think I'm at high risk for audit either, so I'm willing to take my chances and I'm not raking in big dollars like some of these guys...just saying the law says you should report any and all winnings

 
I've never had a +EV year to report. :shrug:
doesn't matter in the eyes of the IRS...technically you are supposed to report all winnings, and then you are allowed to deduct losses up to that amount.

but you cant just go an report the net win/loss
So it's illegal unless the IRS collects their share?
cant remember if Lumpy linked this before or not, but I think it covers it pretty well

http://www.forbes.com/sites/anthonynitti/2013/09/08/the-nfl-is-back-the-tax-consequences-of-sports-gambling/

 

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