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FFA Weather Reports (1 Viewer)

Brony said:
Buying tons of alcohol just in case. What is the forecast btw? 
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2.5 bottles of brown.  3 bottles of red.  2 bottles of white.  Fridge full of beer.  Plus an extra couple dozen that are just sitting in the garage without a home.  Got everything we need for ribs, beans, and slaw.  Chicken & butternut squash too.  And pancakes and bacon for the kids.  Just need a couple things for chili and we're ready.  :football:

 
MAC_32 said:
Are you going to be in a place that will ensure clear roads despite 6-12" plus of snow, possibly ice, then immediately followed by frigid temperatures and howling wind?  I know some of the Poconos involves main roads in which this will probably be managed fine, but some of those side roads...
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Going to kalahari.

Pretty much main interstate highways

 
TheIronSheik said:
A weekend rain storm for SE PA.  Which is nice because it's been forever since we've seen rain on a weekend.
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I feel that.  I mean WTF wants sunny skies anyway?  Maybe some hippie in California, but not this guy. 

 
The high Saturday here in North Florida is supposed to be an unseasonable 80. Then a front moves through and the low late Sunday night/Monday morning is 31.

 
you're skeptical of fantasy footballs? 

(eta: this was just sitting here in the reply box- no memory of what it means, but it seems important).

 
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About 4-5" in poconos turned to rain now so we have an icy coating.

Breakfast and we will head out by 11.

Looking like it will be at 36 around here then the steep drop off starts. 

 
Great weather upcoming if you like the chances of getting sick.  8 degrees today with a windchill of -20.  Wednesday up to near 50 and rain.  Then crashing back down to freezing for a weekend system.

 
arrow1 said:
Why would this make you sick?
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When temps go from cold to warm to cold, it's great for lowering the body's immune system.  Lower immune system means that if you come in contact with a sickness, you are more susceptible to contract it. 

 
TheIronSheik said:
arrow1 said:
Why would this make you sick?
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When temps go from cold to warm to cold, it's great for lowering the body's immune system.  Lower immune system means that if you come in contact with a sickness, you are more susceptible to contract it. 
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he might be asking because some news report came out today calling that and others (going out into the cold with wet hair) an old wive's tale- citing spread of germs as the primary cause. but I'm with you- even if the science hasn't backed it up yet (according to this article)... makes too much sense for it not to make sense.

 
El Floppo said:
he might be asking because some news report came out today calling that and others (going out into the cold with wet hair) an old wive's tale- citing spread of germs as the primary cause. but I'm with you- even if the science hasn't backed it up yet (according to this article)... makes too much sense for it not to make sense.
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While it's true that those things don't cause sickness, they do lower the immune systems ability to fend of sickness.  

 
TheIronSheik said:
While it's true that those things don't cause sickness, they do lower the immune systems ability to fend of sickness.  
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Ehhhh I've always heard it's the lack of sunlight (uv) killing the germs and temperature being generally accommodating to germs that drives this. 

 
culdeus said:
Ehhhh I've always heard it's the lack of sunlight (uv) killing the germs and temperature being generally accommodating to germs that drives this. 
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Both uv and lower immune systems contribute to the problem.  I hadn't heard of the last part before though.

 
heckmanm said:
Yeah, currently forcasted low -11 here next Tuesday and Wednesday AM. But not looking like any snow to be shoveled.
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Depending on where you are, apparently the euro has been consistently saying even colder temps than that forecast.  Our locals that seem to know what they're doing and aren't just whoring for clicks typically don't settle on numbers til 2-3 days out.  When they start laying out the warning signs a week in advance like they are now there's usually a reason for that - and one of them has mentioned the euro more than a couple of times.

 
MAC_32 said:
Depending on where you are, apparently the euro has been consistently saying even colder temps than that forecast.  Our locals that seem to know what they're doing and aren't just whoring for clicks typically don't settle on numbers til 2-3 days out.  When they start laying out the warning signs a week in advance like they are now there's usually a reason for that - and one of them has mentioned the euro more than a couple of times.
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NE Indiana (Fort Wayne).  Yeah we had a local guy last week saying he wasn't jumping on the 18" snow bandwagon because the model predicting that (may have been the euro) was typically close for temps but tended to way overestimate snowfall.

 
heckmanm said:
NE Indiana (Fort Wayne).  Yeah we had a local guy last week saying he wasn't jumping on the 18" snow bandwagon because the model predicting that (may have been the euro) was typically close for temps but tended to way overestimate snowfall.
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I think it's funny that there has been this weird shift over the past 5-7 years with snow forecasting.  

Professional mets have started to poo poo anyone who used long range models for forecasting.  (Not saying this is the situation above.) They go out of their way to make sure the public knows that they don't believe the models and they'll wait until 24 hours prior to the storm to talk about it.  But this is stupid.  And I blame it on people wanting exact snow totals 7 days out.

Here in the northeast, we got hit with a storm in November and it shut the city down to a standstill.  And the main reason why is because forecasters refused to talk about the fact there was a small possibility that it had the chance to be something big.  I really think forecasters would be better off if they went over every possibility for a storm instead of trying to be the one outlet that called the snowfall totals correct.

Two days before that storm hit, I told my wife there was a small chance the forecasters were underplaying the potential of the snow.  We both ended up working from home.  But I didn't get the call right because I'm smarter than the pros.  (I mean, I'm sure it played a small part.)  I got it "right" because I didn't put all my eggs in the "70% chance it's not that bad" basket.  Everyone who was following that storm knew there was a chance that the temps never got above freezing.  And that there might not be a changeover midway through the storm.  But they were so worried about picking the "right" outcome, they neglected to tell the public there was a good chance it could be a much bigger storm.  

It's just strange to me.

 
TheIronSheik said:
I think it's funny that there has been this weird shift over the past 5-7 years with snow forecasting.  

Professional mets have started to poo poo anyone who used long range models for forecasting.  (Not saying this is the situation above.) They go out of their way to make sure the public knows that they don't believe the models and they'll wait until 24 hours prior to the storm to talk about it.  But this is stupid.  And I blame it on people wanting exact snow totals 7 days out.

Here in the northeast, we got hit with a storm in November and it shut the city down to a standstill.  And the main reason why is because forecasters refused to talk about the fact there was a small possibility that it had the chance to be something big.  I really think forecasters would be better off if they went over every possibility for a storm instead of trying to be the one outlet that called the snowfall totals correct.

Two days before that storm hit, I told my wife there was a small chance the forecasters were underplaying the potential of the snow.  We both ended up working from home.  But I didn't get the call right because I'm smarter than the pros.  (I mean, I'm sure it played a small part.)  I got it "right" because I didn't put all my eggs in the "70% chance it's not that bad" basket.  Everyone who was following that storm knew there was a chance that the temps never got above freezing.  And that there might not be a changeover midway through the storm.  But they were so worried about picking the "right" outcome, they neglected to tell the public there was a good chance it could be a much bigger storm.  

It's just strange to me.
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I overheard someone last week referring to them as "getting paid to lie", as if they really know exactly what's coming, but deliberately go on the air and present false info as fact. 

:rolleyes:

 
heckmanm said:
I overheard someone last week referring to them as "getting paid to lie", as if they really know exactly what's coming, but deliberately go on the air and present false info as fact. 

:rolleyes:
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One of our local TV stations has a call in # and once a week they air some of the recordings 

I remember once when a woman called in and complained that the weatherman made it rain on the weekends instead of weekdays 

:oldunsure:

 
Hoping it's a "Work From Home" Tuesday tomorrow.  I have an all day meeting, so the criteria will be slightly higher than a normal day.   :angry:

 
Forecast here for Wednesday Morning  -27F ...

High Wednesday of -13F

Thursday Morning -33F

Forecast has Wind chills both mornings to be -45F to -55F. 

Layer up!!  :oldunsure:

 
Winter Weather Advisories now up in SE PA.  NWS has my area in the 3-6 range.  My personal thoughts are that that seems high.  But I'm hoping they're right.

 
Oh look it's 68 and partly cloudy here in Boringsville, CA.  

Yeah I know, could be a LOT worse.  I spent 2 horrible winters in the Twin Cities.  

 
Just left Minneapolis. Love that town but the high was like 8 the entire time I was there. My lashes froze together. WTMF people.

 
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