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Fred Jackson & C.J. Spiller, RBs, Buffalo Bills (1 Viewer)

Here's snap % followed by carries and reception targets.

C.J Spiller

Week 4 - 45% - 8 - 2

Fred Jackson

Week 4 - 49% - 13 - 3

Jackson was indeed utilized more last week, it'll be interesting to see how this plays out going forward.

 
I think I gotta wait 1 more week to throw spiller back in there.
Especially against SF. If it was a juicy match-up, I'd be tempted.
Wouldn't Spiller be the guy though against a better D? He has more chance to get in space and break one whereas Jackson as a more straight ahead guy should struggle against a stout D.
You'd think. But isn't Jackson the better blocker vs. that killer D?
by far. he also made a beautiful catch downfield against the Patriots despite tough coverage.
 
Here's snap % followed by carries and reception targets.C.J SpillerWeek 4 - 45% - 8 - 2Fred JacksonWeek 4 - 49% - 13 - 3Jackson was indeed utilized more last week, it'll be interesting to see how this plays out going forward.
I wouldn't put too much weight on the disparity in touches. Jackson and Spiller rotated offensive series evenly against New England (and they took all of the situational snaps in "their" series, ie passing downs, short-yardage etc). The fact that Jackson touched the ball more was probably due more to sheer randomness than anything else. I would expect an even split moving forward.
 
I think I gotta wait 1 more week to throw spiller back in there.
Especially against SF. If it was a juicy match-up, I'd be tempted.
Wouldn't Spiller be the guy though against a better D? He has more chance to get in space and break one whereas Jackson as a more straight ahead guy should struggle against a stout D.
You'd think. But isn't Jackson the better blocker vs. that killer D?
by far. he also made a beautiful catch downfield against the Patriots despite tough coverage.
Yeah, I read that in Bloom's report.While it seems Jackson's the more well-rounded RB, it seems reasonable to assume that Spiller could still put up solid RB2 numbers post-49ers.
 
Thought this was an interesting tidbit by Ken Daube over at ESPN today:

Scared of slotting a Buffalo Bills running back into your starting lineup this week because of their matchup? Don't be. The Bills are most effective this season when running up the middle as evidenced by their 328 rushing yards attained on those runs. The soft spot in the San Francisco 49ers' run defense is the middle, where they have allowed more than half of their total rushing yardage (179 yards).

 
Thought this was an interesting tidbit by Ken Daube over at ESPN today:

Scared of slotting a Buffalo Bills running back into your starting lineup this week because of their matchup? Don't be. The Bills are most effective this season when running up the middle as evidenced by their 328 rushing yards attained on those runs. The soft spot in the San Francisco 49ers' run defense is the middle, where they have allowed more than half of their total rushing yardage (179 yards).
This is interesting. But I just don't like the Bills this week.
 
Solid RB2 numbers? Why should we be expecting much less than he was doing his first couples weeks, once he's back healthy?

He didn't need a full workload to do what he did, he averaged something like 15 touches. I don't see Fred changing that much.

 
Solid RB2 numbers? Why should we be expecting much less than he was doing his first couples weeks, once he's back healthy?He didn't need a full workload to do what he did, he averaged something like 15 touches. I don't see Fred changing that much.
Depends on whether you mean 15 carries or touches. Touches I could definitely see, especially if they are in pass-happy mode. 15 carries may be tougher to come by when you factor in Fred's usage, unless you think they'll be running the ball all day long against the Niners. I think it's safe to say that run-centric mode won't be there.
 
Solid RB2 numbers? Why should we be expecting much less than he was doing his first couples weeks, once he's back healthy?He didn't need a full workload to do what he did, he averaged something like 15 touches. I don't see Fred changing that much.
b/c the 49ers are probably going to shut down the Bills offense?if you're expecting him to continue averaging 10 yards per carry like he did early on, it seems you might be setting yourself up for disappointment.
 
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Solid RB2 numbers? Why should we be expecting much less than he was doing his first couples weeks, once he's back healthy?He didn't need a full workload to do what he did, he averaged something like 15 touches. I don't see Fred changing that much.
b/c the 49ers are probably going to shut down the Bills offense?if you're expecting him to continue averaging 10 yards per carry like he did early on, it seems you might be setting yourself up for disappointment.
I thought the same thing, Aaron, but it's important to note that he was talking about solid RB2 numbers POST-49'ers.
 
Solid RB2 numbers? Why should we be expecting much less than he was doing his first couples weeks, once he's back healthy?He didn't need a full workload to do what he did, he averaged something like 15 touches. I don't see Fred changing that much.
b/c the 49ers are probably going to shut down the Bills offense?if you're expecting him to continue averaging 10 yards per carry like he did early on, it seems you might be setting yourself up for disappointment.
I thought the same thing, Aaron, but it's important to note that he was talking about solid RB2 numbers POST-49'ers.
thanks, I missed that.Most of Spiller's early season production came with Fred Jackson out of the lineup. It's certainly looking like a 50/50 split or something very similar at this point. Yes he doesn't need the ball a lot to put up good numbers, but I think RB2-level production is a pretty reasonable expectation as long as there is a time share going on.
 
Solid RB2 numbers? Why should we be expecting much less than he was doing his first couples weeks, once he's back healthy?He didn't need a full workload to do what he did, he averaged something like 15 touches. I don't see Fred changing that much.
Depends on whether you mean 15 carries or touches. Touches I could definitely see, especially if they are in pass-happy mode. 15 carries may be tougher to come by when you factor in Fred's usage, unless you think they'll be running the ball all day long against the Niners. I think it's safe to say that run-centric mode won't be there.
The post I referred to specifically said that he could see solid RB2 numbers post-49ers. That seems super pessimistic.
 
Solid RB2 numbers? Why should we be expecting much less than he was doing his first couples weeks, once he's back healthy?He didn't need a full workload to do what he did, he averaged something like 15 touches. I don't see Fred changing that much.
b/c the 49ers are probably going to shut down the Bills offense?if you're expecting him to continue averaging 10 yards per carry like he did early on, it seems you might be setting yourself up for disappointment.
I thought the same thing, Aaron, but it's important to note that he was talking about solid RB2 numbers POST-49'ers.
Exactly.
 
Solid RB2 numbers? Why should we be expecting much less than he was doing his first couples weeks, once he's back healthy?He didn't need a full workload to do what he did, he averaged something like 15 touches. I don't see Fred changing that much.
I own Spiller, so obviously I am rooting for him. But the Bills clearly favor Jackson. I think that Spiller owners are hoping for a 50/50 split. But the Bills have never conveyed that kind of workshare with any of their actions or rhetoric.
 
Solid RB2 numbers? Why should we be expecting much less than he was doing his first couples weeks, once he's back healthy?He didn't need a full workload to do what he did, he averaged something like 15 touches. I don't see Fred changing that much.
b/c the 49ers are probably going to shut down the Bills offense?if you're expecting him to continue averaging 10 yards per carry like he did early on, it seems you might be setting yourself up for disappointment.
I thought the same thing, Aaron, but it's important to note that he was talking about solid RB2 numbers POST-49'ers.
thanks, I missed that.Most of Spiller's early season production came with Fred Jackson out of the lineup. It's certainly looking like a 50/50 split or something very similar at this point. Yes he doesn't need the ball a lot to put up good numbers, but I think RB2-level production is a pretty reasonable expectation as long as there is a time share going on.
At this juncture, any Spiller owner that's expecting anything more than a 50/50 split is just wishful thinking.
 
This is a difficult situation for the Bills. Fred has been the heart of this team, both performance and leadership wise, for the past 4 years. CJ is a talent that cannot be denied. How will the Bill's coaches manage this situation?

This will either end badly or be a shining example of what a team should be.

Let's hope it's the latter :thumbup:

 
Solid RB2 numbers? Why should we be expecting much less than he was doing his first couples weeks, once he's back healthy?He didn't need a full workload to do what he did, he averaged something like 15 touches. I don't see Fred changing that much.
b/c the 49ers are probably going to shut down the Bills offense?if you're expecting him to continue averaging 10 yards per carry like he did early on, it seems you might be setting yourself up for disappointment.
I thought the same thing, Aaron, but it's important to note that he was talking about solid RB2 numbers POST-49'ers.
thanks, I missed that.Most of Spiller's early season production came with Fred Jackson out of the lineup. It's certainly looking like a 50/50 split or something very similar at this point. Yes he doesn't need the ball a lot to put up good numbers, but I think RB2-level production is a pretty reasonable expectation as long as there is a time share going on.
At this juncture, any Spiller owner that's expecting anything more than a 50/50 split is just wishful thinking.
As my 4th RB taken in the draft, I was not even expecting a 50/50 split. I'm just fine with what I got in the 8th round. RB's taken by other teams in the 7th/8th prior to my Spiller pick? Vereen, Helu, Redman, B Wells, Gerhart.
 
Solid RB2 numbers? Why should we be expecting much less than he was doing his first couples weeks, once he's back healthy?He didn't need a full workload to do what he did, he averaged something like 15 touches. I don't see Fred changing that much.
b/c the 49ers are probably going to shut down the Bills offense?if you're expecting him to continue averaging 10 yards per carry like he did early on, it seems you might be setting yourself up for disappointment.
I thought the same thing, Aaron, but it's important to note that he was talking about solid RB2 numbers POST-49'ers.
thanks, I missed that.Most of Spiller's early season production came with Fred Jackson out of the lineup. It's certainly looking like a 50/50 split or something very similar at this point. Yes he doesn't need the ball a lot to put up good numbers, but I think RB2-level production is a pretty reasonable expectation as long as there is a time share going on.
At this juncture, any Spiller owner that's expecting anything more than a 50/50 split is just wishful thinking.
As my 4th RB taken in the draft, I was not even expecting a 50/50 split. I'm just fine with what I got in the 8th round. RB's taken by other teams in the 7th/8th prior to my Spiller pick? Vereen, Helu, Redman, B Wells, Gerhart.
:thumbup:
 
Spiller (shoulder) is not listed on Thursday's practice injury report, meaning he's practicing fully for a second straight day.

Recommendation: Like teammate Fred Jackson, Spiller will be listed as probable for Week 5 or not on the injury report at all. Now that both players are approaching decent health again, we'll be watching the carry/touches/snap split on a game-by-game basis.

(Rotowire.com)

 
Spiller (shoulder) is not listed on Thursday's practice injury report, meaning he's practicing fully for a second straight day.Recommendation: Like teammate Fred Jackson, Spiller will be listed as probable for Week 5 or not on the injury report at all. Now that both players are approaching decent health again, we'll be watching the carry/touches/snap split on a game-by-game basis. (Rotowire.com)
I going start R.Williams over both these guys along with McCoy. My hope is that we will know more over next couple weeks. I ok with starting Doug Martin week 6 and 7 with the cupcakes he will be playing. Buf SOS is rather nice after there bye.
 
Seems like most of the current discussion is an either/or Split % discussion. I recall some preseason talk about finding ways to have both these guys on the field at the same time. CJ moving from the backfield and going in motion would give him some of the additional space to make the big plays.

Does anyone see this situation moving in the "both playing" direction any time soon?

 
Seems like most of the current discussion is an either/or Split % discussion. I recall some preseason talk about finding ways to have both these guys on the field at the same time. CJ moving from the backfield and going in motion would give him some of the additional space to make the big plays. Does anyone see this situation moving in the "both playing" direction any time soon?
I don't think Spiller was fully healthy last week, but I think the Bills would be smart to use them both together. Spiller has lined up as a receiver in this scheme before so he's familiar with it. With TJ Graham and Brad Smith as his main competition for WR3 and WR4 snaps, it shouldn't be that tough.
 
I drafted both these guys based on the fact that last year they were a top 5 rushing attack (Fbguys had an article on it)...

Now I feel like I have two roster pots with 1a/1b options..anyone considering starting both these guys going forward (after the SF matchup obviously)??

 
I imagine due to injuries/byes, many folks will be forced to play one (or both) of Spiller and Fred this weekend.

While looks like a 50/50 split, what are people's thoughts about who is more valuable near-term in both standard and TD-heavy scoring formats?

Near term, my gut says Spiller in yardage-heavy leagues, but Fred in TD-heavy leagues since he is likely to get the goal line love. Longer term, I'm wondering if we've seen the best already out of Fred, and Spiller starts getting more time.

Thoughts?

 
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I imagine due to injuries/byes, many folks will be forced to play one (or both) of Spiller and Fred this weekend.While looks like a 50/50 split, what are people's thoughts about who is more valuable near-term in both standard and TD-heavy scoring formats?Near term, my gut says Spiller in yardage-heavy leagues, but Fred in TD-heavy leagues since he is likely to get the goal line love. Longer term, I'm wondering if we've seen the best already out of Fred, and Spiller starts getting more time.Thoughts?
That's tough. I think I mostly agree with you. I see Fred being the "main" back for the ground and pound, but Spiller definitely has the best big play ability. Either way, not a great matchup for them this week.
 
I imagine due to injuries/byes, many folks will be forced to play one (or both) of Spiller and Fred this weekend.While looks like a 50/50 split, what are people's thoughts about who is more valuable near-term in both standard and TD-heavy scoring formats?Near term, my gut says Spiller in yardage-heavy leagues, but Fred in TD-heavy leagues since he is likely to get the goal line love. Longer term, I'm wondering if we've seen the best already out of Fred, and Spiller starts getting more time.Thoughts?
I'm starting Spiller over Fred, but obviously not loving the situation going into this weekend. We all know Spiller's big-play ability, so I think I'd regret sitting Spiller if he goes off more than I'd regret sitting Fred if he goes off. If Fred goes off, then great...but I won't kick myself if he's on my bench when he does. I WILL kick myself if Spiller is on my bench and he goes off like he did in the first couple weeks. Gotta go with the upside play this week until we see the distribution now that both are healthy.
 
Since Spiller is a 1st round draft pick and much younger he is obviously the future in Buffalo. I think the Packers should make a play for Fred Jackson. On that team Fred will thrive. Win win for both backs.

 
Since Spiller is a 1st round draft pick and much younger he is obviously the future in Buffalo. I think the Packers should make a play for Fred Jackson. On that team Fred will thrive. Win win for both backs.
The Bills just signed him to a contract extension this off season. They clearly don't want to let him go.
 
Since Spiller is a 1st round draft pick and much younger he is obviously the future in Buffalo. I think the Packers should make a play for Fred Jackson. On that team Fred will thrive. Win win for both backs.
what would the Packers give up for a 31yo RB? I don't think he's going anywhere.
 
'zamboni said:
I imagine due to injuries/byes, many folks will be forced to play one (or both) of Spiller and Fred this weekend.While looks like a 50/50 split, what are people's thoughts about who is more valuable near-term in both standard and TD-heavy scoring formats?Near term, my gut says Spiller in yardage-heavy leagues, but Fred in TD-heavy leagues since he is likely to get the goal line love. Longer term, I'm wondering if we've seen the best already out of Fred, and Spiller starts getting more time.Thoughts?
I have a feeling that both RBs' fortunes will rise and fall given the opponent defenses. I think both will be startable against weak opponents as solid flex players.
 
'zamboni said:
I imagine due to injuries/byes, many folks will be forced to play one (or both) of Spiller and Fred this weekend.While looks like a 50/50 split, what are people's thoughts about who is more valuable near-term in both standard and TD-heavy scoring formats?Near term, my gut says Spiller in yardage-heavy leagues, but Fred in TD-heavy leagues since he is likely to get the goal line love. Longer term, I'm wondering if we've seen the best already out of Fred, and Spiller starts getting more time.Thoughts?
I have a feeling that both RBs' fortunes will rise and fall given the opponent defenses. I think both will be startable against weak opponents as solid flex players.
Makes sense, but unfortunately the matchup game often doesn't work out like one would think. Hate to see anyone get hurt, but situation clarity is probably the only way that there will be big-time value for either one.
 
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'zamboni said:
I imagine due to injuries/byes, many folks will be forced to play one (or both) of Spiller and Fred this weekend.While looks like a 50/50 split, what are people's thoughts about who is more valuable near-term in both standard and TD-heavy scoring formats?Near term, my gut says Spiller in yardage-heavy leagues, but Fred in TD-heavy leagues since he is likely to get the goal line love. Longer term, I'm wondering if we've seen the best already out of Fred, and Spiller starts getting more time.Thoughts?
I have a feeling that both RBs' fortunes will rise and fall given the opponent defenses. I think both will be startable against weak opponents as solid flex players.
Makes sense, but unfortunately the matchup game often doesn't work out like one would think. Hate to see anyone get hurt, but situation clarity is probably the only way that there will be big-time value for either one.
Sure. I've said all along that it makes sense for Buff to use both RB a lot. While that helps the Bills, fantasy owners will be disappointed.
 
Since Spiller is a 1st round draft pick and much younger he is obviously the future in Buffalo. I think the Packers should make a play for Fred Jackson. On that team Fred will thrive. Win win for both backs.
The Bills just signed him to a contract extension this off season. They clearly don't want to let him go.
The guaranteed money is low though. In 2013, he's due $2.15 million in salary plus a $300K March roster bonus, plus weekly roster bonuses of $150K for a total potential salary of $4.85 million. I think there's a chance they may not want to be paying a 32 year old RB that kind of money.
 
Since Spiller is a 1st round draft pick and much younger he is obviously the future in Buffalo. I think the Packers should make a play for Fred Jackson. On that team Fred will thrive. Win win for both backs.
The Bills just signed him to a contract extension this off season. They clearly don't want to let him go.
If I recall the contract is based on playing incentives. Very low in terms of guaranteed money. He's getting paid based on his health and his age. Where as franchise RBs get a ton of up front guaranteed money.
 
Since Spiller is a 1st round draft pick and much younger he is obviously the future in Buffalo. I think the Packers should make a play for Fred Jackson. On that team Fred will thrive. Win win for both backs.
The Bills just signed him to a contract extension this off season. They clearly don't want to let him go.
The guaranteed money is low though. In 2013, he's due $2.15 million in salary plus a $300K March roster bonus, plus weekly roster bonuses of $150K for a total potential salary of $4.85 million. I think there's a chance they may not want to be paying a 32 year old RB that kind of money.
FWIW, the $150,000 in weekly roster bonuses is the total for the year, not the amount of the bonus each week. Fred Jackson's total compensation for 2013 (before incentives) is $2.60 million, not $4.85 million.
 
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seems that both backs being "healthy" is bad news for FF owners, dont seem like either can get in a rhythm and spiller only having 1 catch in 2 games is just dumb play calling

Buffalo Bills head coach Chan Gailey said it is a challenge distributing carries between RBs Fred Jackson and C.J. Spiller. In Week 5, both backs had almost an identical snap count; 24 for Spiller and 22 for Jackson. The week prior, it was 36 for Jackson and 31 for Spiller. Both backs have struggled recently. Jackson has 58 rushing yards on 22 carries since returning from a sprained knee that caused him to miss two games, in addition to four receptions for 55 yards. Spiller has just 57 yards on 15 carries during the team's two-game losing streak, with only one catch for 5 yards in that span. There have been a couple of factors contributing to the run game's problems. One of those is the shuffling of the offensive line due to injuries. Another is the score, especially in the second half of the past two games; the Bills fell so far behind they had no choice but to abandon the run.
 
and spiller only having 1 catch in 2 games is just dumb play calling
Seems likely that his shoulder still wasn't 100%. I think Spiller should be held onto unless another owner is willing to overpay you for him. He could easily be a difference maker during the playoffs. I think a 50/50 split is tougher news for Fred. I own both and it would take a lot to get Spiller from me, but I would easily give up Fred for someone like BenJarvus Green-Ellis (though I'd bet my chances of finding such a trade are slim).
 
I absolutely hate owning both of these backs in a 2 RB league with no flex. They're basically taking up 2 roster spots while providing no production.

 
Spiller had 110 yards and a TD and Jackson had 80 yards and a TD. Seems like nice production to me.
True, but unless you're starting both it's a total guessing game as to who to slot in at RB2. And when you have a solid option available at that slot who is the lead back for his team it makes starting Spiller/FJax pretty unfeasible.
 
I absolutely hate owning both of these backs in a 2 RB league with no flex. They're basically taking up 2 roster spots while providing no production.
No production? This week in my .5 PPR league (with 3/4 of the Sunday night game done):Spiller is the #4 RB this week.Fred is the #13 RB this week.
 
I absolutely hate owning both of these backs in a 2 RB league with no flex. They're basically taking up 2 roster spots while providing no production.
No production? This week in my .5 PPR league (with 3/4 of the Sunday night game done):Spiller is the #4 RB this week.Fred is the #13 RB this week.
Yeah, unless they have a tough matchup like last week vs SF, I think most people would be happy to start both on a weekly basis when both are healthy.Gator> thats your own fault for playing in a league where you can only start 2 RB's. The vast majority of even basic leagues allow you to start 3, hell, in all of my money leagues I can start 4 and I dont think that is all that uncommon.
 
I absolutely hate owning both of these backs in a 2 RB league with no flex. They're basically taking up 2 roster spots while providing no production.
No production? This week in my .5 PPR league (with 3/4 of the Sunday night game done):Spiller is the #4 RB this week.

Fred is the #13 RB this week.
Yeah, unless they have a tough matchup like last week vs SF, I think most people would be happy to start both on a weekly basis when both are healthy.Gator> thats your own fault for playing in a league where you can only start 2 RB's. The vast majority of even basic leagues allow you to start 3, hell, in all of my money leagues I can start 4 and I dont think that is all that uncommon.
:unsure:
 
The writing is on the wall. With 3 offensive linemen down we all know Gailey has to use Spiller more. Spiller can create on his own with mediocre run blocking. Fred Jackson cannot. Pass protection is also an issue as Fitzpatrick doesn't have time to make plays. They are going to lean on the run game for a while until their regular offensive linemen returns.

 
The writing is on the wall. With 3 offensive linemen down we all know Gailey has to use Spiller more. Spiller can create on his own with mediocre run blocking. Fred Jackson cannot. Pass protection is also an issue as Fitzpatrick doesn't have time to make plays. They are going to lean on the run game for a while until their regular offensive linemen returns.
This favors Jackson.
 
Fjax looked ordinary yesterday. That td he scored was on spiller's legs. Spiller brought them down the field and they they threw in fjax to pop it in.

Spiller on the other hand looked dynamic...like he was in the first 3 games.

Chan gailey needs to sway this rbbc towards spiller.

 
Fjax looked ordinary yesterday. That td he scored was on spiller's legs. Spiller brought them down the field and they they threw in fjax to pop it in. Spiller on the other hand looked dynamic...like he was in the first 3 games. Chan gailey needs to sway this rbbc towards spiller.
F Jax is a great back and he's getting healthier every week. They have no reason to sway one way or another. Both are great weapons.
 
Fjax looked ordinary yesterday. That td he scored was on spiller's legs. Spiller brought them down the field and they they threw in fjax to pop it in. Spiller on the other hand looked dynamic...like he was in the first 3 games. Chan gailey needs to sway this rbbc towards spiller.
F Jax is a great back and he's getting healthier every week. They have no reason to sway one way or another. Both are great weapons.
you again?
 

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