'Fensalk said:
The 49ers average 13 points allowed at home. They average 28 points scored per home game. They average 20 points scored on the road. The 49ers offense for some reason explodes at home. Their offense has yet to score under 20 points at home, but has only scored more than 20 points twice on the road.
The Giants average 27 points scored on the road, but only 23 points at home. They allow 26 points on the road, and 20 points at home.
So the 49ers score 28 points at home, and the Giants give up 26 points on the road. The real difference is on the other side, where the 49ers allow 13 points at home, but the Giants score 28 points on the road.
If the 49ers can score 27 points Sunday, what are the chances the Giants can win? Not very good at all...
You kinda have to look at how those points were scored and also when. Against SEA, they had Ginn score on 2 returns for TD's while the 49ers had only one rush TD from Smith (with no passing TDs thrown). The other part of the scoring was Akers on FG's. They smoked TB so bad that Kaep even led a scoring drive. They are far from explosive, being that Akers is their leading scorer in the regular season. SF plays it close and then ramps the offense up for a drive or two, then goes conservative given the circumstance. The game against NO they jumped out early and had 5 TO's but only had 17 points to show for it, then burst out late. They played SEA, DAL, TB, CLE, NYG, AZ, PIT and STL this season at home. Akers scored 87 out of the 211 points scored at home. Take that FWIW.