What's new
Fantasy Football - Footballguys Forums

This is a sample guest message. Register a free account today to become a member! Once signed in, you'll be able to participate on this site by adding your own topics and posts, as well as connect with other members through your own private inbox!

GM's thread about nothing (22 Viewers)

kevzilla needs to meet me at orvis for a flyfishing class at 8am - odds he makes it?

In his defense I just left him a vm about it 10 min ago,
Hey, I just remembered I was supposed to call you...still need some Homer phone-lovin?
Nah, I was just wanting to do a refernce check on TU, but that weak-willed ******* bailed on the cosbeta about 20 hours after begging to get in.
Probably scared of strangers.

 
Oh I see you liking that cosjobs. But really I didn't have a babysitter for coshole.
Wan;t connected to that, but now that you mention it...

btw, I wish no one would ever call me cosjobs again

Call me cos or Damon
Why?
:

less formal
Fair enough.

BTW, I have enough movies for one more shipment for you, but they've changed everything up at work so this might be the last one. :sadface:

 
kevzilla needs to meet me at orvis for a flyfishing class at 8am - odds he makes it? In his defense I just left him a vm about it 10 min ago,
Hey, I just remembered I was supposed to call you...still need some Homer phone-lovin?
Nah, I was just wanting to do a refernce check on TU, but that weak-willed ******* bailed on the cosbeta about 20 hours after begging to get in.
Probably scared of strangers.
Do you have carpets in hallways or stairs?
 
Oh I see you liking that cosjobs. But really I didn't have a babysitter for coshole.
Wan;t connected to that, but now that you mention it...

btw, I wish no one would ever call me cosjobs again

Call me cos or Damon
Why?
:

less formal
Fair enough.

BTW, I have enough movies for one more shipment for you, but they've changed everything up at work so this might be the last one. :sadface:
It was a run. And appreciated more than I can say

 
kevzilla needs to meet me at orvis for a flyfishing class at 8am - odds he makes it? In his defense I just left him a vm about it 10 min ago,
Hey, I just remembered I was supposed to call you...still need some Homer phone-lovin?
Nah, I was just wanting to do a refernce check on TU, but that weak-willed ******* bailed on the cosbeta about 20 hours after begging to get in.
Probably scared of strangers.
Do you have carpets in hallways or stairs?
I don't get it.

 
kevzilla needs to meet me at orvis for a flyfishing class at 8am - odds he makes it?

In his defense I just left him a vm about it 10 min ago,
Hey, I just remembered I was supposed to call you...still need some Homer phone-lovin?
Nah, I was just wanting to do a refernce check on TU, but that weak-willed ******* bailed on the cosbeta about 20 hours after begging to get in.
Gotcha. We shall mock him proportionally from here on out. :thumbup:

 
If you want to beat Orb, you have some solid options and if he gets beat, the payday will be really nice. However, history really favors him. Derby winners that come to Baltimore as heavy favorites tend to do rather well....except for Barbaro, but there's a reason for that. So you almost have to include him.

Something like 9 of the last 11 Preakness races have had new horses in the field hit the board. That bodes well for the newbies, but which one? Departing and Governor Charlie make the most sense to me.

Then it's finding the Derby Horses that can maybe factor in the money...Itsmyluckyday was my Derby horse, but he pooped the bed. I'm not sure he can win this, but if he can find the form he had in Florida, he can hit the board. Mylute intrigues me with that finish and that jockey. Will Take Charge was running stride for stride with Orb, but got checked in the stretch by Veranzano and had to alter course.

Goldencents I can't get a good read on. Fired a 105 Beyer, which is fantastic. But just sucked eggs in the Derby. Flash in the pan or dangerous horse? Don't really know.

If it is wet tomorrow, I think the syndicate should huddle up on chat.

 
How is Orb this big of a favorite based on one race? Especially one on a muddy track? The field at even money to win seems sensible here.
Wait, the field is even money!?!?!
Horse racing baffles me.
shocking
Quiet, you.

I'm a degenerate gambler but have avoided any kind of horse betting for decades. That's something I don't even want to give myself a chance to like.

But just to be clear, if I give a buddy $100 tomorrow before he goes to the OTB and I bet the field...I'm betting on every horse except the one that came out of nowhere at the derby. Or does the field take out a certain number of horses?

 
How is Orb this big of a favorite based on one race? Especially one on a muddy track? The field at even money to win seems sensible here.
Wait, the field is even money!?!?!
Horse racing baffles me.
shocking
Quiet, you.

I'm a degenerate gambler but have avoided any kind of horse betting for decades. That's something I don't even want to give myself a chance to like.

But just to be clear, if I give a buddy $100 tomorrow before he goes to the OTB and I bet the field...I'm betting on every horse except the one that came out of nowhere at the derby. Or does the field take out a certain number of horses?
shocking

 
How is Orb this big of a favorite based on one race? Especially one on a muddy track? The field at even money to win seems sensible here.
Derby winners who win as odds on favorite (if Orb wasn't the favorite, he was close) almost always enter Pimlico as heavy favorites. And they tend to do quite well. Smarty Jones, Big Brown come to mind. And the Florida Derby has traditionally been a great prep race, which Orb won. He has been strong all year and winning on a wet track is nothing to sneeze at. He's won at dry tracks. His works have been sharp. He's going to command a crap ton of wagering action from Joe Six Pack.

History is really in his corner here. But I'm with Cosjobs....there's no value and no fun in just betting heavy chalk. That said, he's going to be really hard to beat tomorrow and I will include him in the exotics.

 

Users who are viewing this thread

Back
Top