Tennessee_ATO
Footballguy
I'm going to panic-react. Because that's what I do.Not gonna react to the inactive
Sticking with my original LUs
I'm going to panic-react. Because that's what I do.Not gonna react to the inactive
Sticking with my original LUs
Just coming here to #####. Hurt his finger in the layup line.Paso gets hurt in war UPS
Great
And David Lee is 4-4 w/ 6 boards. That's translates to 8-8 w/ 9 boards for Gasol. Damnit. He was very lightly owned too.Paso gets hurt in war UPS
Great
Quinn doesn't do #### last night and tonite Hermangormez hasn't seen a minute. Got burned on Parker scratch after lock and then Gasol. This crap is getting to the point that craps would be a better investment.And David Lee is 4-4 w/ 6 boards. That's translates to 8-8 w/ 9 boards for Gasol. Damnit. He was very lightly owned too.
Chandler...the late scratch from a few nights ago.Should have gone Chandler over godfather I'd be having a great night
Don't get too down -- it happens. Build good lineups and over the long haul it'll be ok. You can't get too stressed over the short term -- though it's real tempting at times.Quinn doesn't do #### last night and tonite Hermangormez hasn't seen a minute. Got burned on Parker scratch after lock and then Gasol. This crap is getting to the point that craps would be a better investment.
Yeah Quinn screwed me too last night, missed cashing by 1.7 points.Quinn doesn't do #### last night and tonite Hermangormez hasn't seen a minute. Got burned on Parker scratch after lock and then Gasol. This crap is getting to the point that craps would be a better investment.
But where the heck did Hermangomez come from last night. I read nothing but Quinn and everyone had him projected through the roof. The big winners last night had him. Dumb luck or inside info?Don't get too down -- it happens. Build good lineups and over the long haul it'll be ok. You can't get too stressed over the short term -- though it's real tempting at times.
I actually like Hernangomez as a young player. That's a "hot hand" situation. I chased the O'Quinn points last night myself, but knew better. Way too much risk there for cash lineups.But where the heck did Hermangomez come from last night. I read nothing but Quinn and everyone had him projected through the roof. The big winners last night had him. Dumb luck or inside info?
I avoided Kuz when I saw Porzingis was a go late and so much other value on the board like Gasol and Parker (vs. Denver).And FWIW I chased points w/ Kuz tonight too. It's a tough line between ID'ing a guy on an upward trend and chasing points. Typically role guys who get hot can't sustain it for long. Efficiency is tough to sustain over more minutes a night and over the long haul. There's a reason journeymen starters get big contracts -- guys who can contribute 30+ minutes every night aren't commonplace.
I generally avoid all non-Kawhi and Gasol Spurs unless it's a punt, at least in cash. I even have to have Megla talk me in to Kawhi when I do play him. That team just isn't reliable in terms of DFS points outside of those 2. Gasol had a GREAT spot tonight IMO. I was shocked his ownership was so low.I avoided Kuz when I saw Porzingis was a go late and so much other value on the board like Gasol and Parker (vs. Denver).
Of course I I have Mills in my late lineups and he has a 1/2 point. WTF.
These two LUs could lead me to my best NBA night of my DSF playing daysEarly look GPP LUs
Bleds/Felton
Barton/Booker
Mello/Porter
Jokic/Markif
Chandler
Also have this with Rivers replacing Felton
Congrats Megla, really nice.That was fun, at one point my winnings read $11,147.00
And then AJordan and KAT went to work
Oh well, $42 in $658 out, not my best NBA night but nice none the less
Yea, Gasol torpedoed about a third of my LUs as wellVery nice, Megla. I haven't rung the bell in a while.
Im going to blame Gasol's freak injury for my loss, but the truth is I would have needed a monster from him to cash (45 would probably have done it). So I'm just going to assume he would have had at least 50, which seems very reasonable.
Got a question for you, do you pay Mikeman via a paypal account? If so would you consider taking a money order from me and paying for me as well? Don't really want to creat a paypal account just for that.Very nice, Megla. I haven't rung the bell in a while.
Im going to blame Gasol's freak injury for my loss, but the truth is I would have needed a monster from him to cash (45 would probably have done it). So I'm just going to assume he would have had at least 50, which seems very reasonable.
PM me the address and I will get it out this weekend so I can get Feb/March/AprilI'm fine w/ that. He asks for $10 a month, so $30 is 3 months' worth. I'll just pass it through to him.
I know, but I'm not finding a ton of value there. Maybe Beverly? Harden is obviously always a possibility, but he's $12,200 so he has to frigging go off to justify that price. I like Ariza, but there are SFs I like better (Butler and Gordon and maybe Durant). Other than Durant, I'm reluctant to pay premium pricing for players on GS when they could all just be "meh" and still score 120.Damn, Wash/Houst at 237
See above.Alright ATO help me decipher some of Mikemans stuff
What does Low 70 and high 70 mean? Those are the lineups for the "highest floor" and "highest ceiling" scenarios based on his 70% range (basically 1 standard deviation). Low 70 is a low-risk lineup, High 70 is a high-risk lineup
On the Player LU Preview what does the column (CPP) stand for? Cost per point? Yes, cost per point
Are the columns 2014 FD, 2015 FD the average FD points that player score in that year? Yes
What do L7 Min represent? Average minutes played over the last 7 days (not games -- days)
I assume the 70% Range is the floor and ceiling points wise for that player
? That's the range that represents a 70% confidence level for that player per the math -- basically a standard deviation. That's closely tied to "risk". As "risk" approaches "0" that range gets tighter. As "risk" approaches "10" (the highest", that range gets much wider. Actually the cause is the range and the effect is the risk assessment, but they are directly related.
Got it, thanksSee above.
Yep. You can filter games by start time for smaller slates on the night. I go ahead and jettison players who are dead to me as well.Got it, thanks
I took his Player LU Preview and cut and pasted it into an excel spreadsheet by position so I could manipulate it based on how I wanted it sorted, I assume you do the same thing?
LOLI go ahead and jettison players who are dead to me as well.
I've also started using Mike thanks to @Tennessee_ATO. my first day using his projections I hit big (for me anyways) $18in, $90 out.Got a question for you, do you pay Mikeman via a paypal account? If so would you consider taking a money order from me and paying for me as well? Don't really want to creat a paypal account just for that.
I will send you a $30 money order and then you can PM me the password once you get my MO
I like Morris a ton if KCP sits. Also like Goran, Tobias, Parker quite a bit. SA offers a rare chance at value if Brooklyn can keep it close for awhile. I'm looking at 2 lineups tonight, 1 Spur-centric, 1 not. When I feel ok w/ them I'll post them.Rolling with 4 GPP LUs tonight, no cash,
Irv/Holid/Klay/EGord/Otto/MMorris/Love/ThadY/DJordan-
Dragic/Rivers/Hard/Ant/Ingles/MMorris/DLee/Tobia/Pachulla-
Drag/Felton/DMurray/Beal/Kawi/Otto/Love/Parker/MTurn- #2 LU
Teague/Drag/Batum/Waiters/Ingles/Otto/Love/Kanter/DJordan- #1 LU
Felt/Mills/Hard/Batum/Mello/Ingles/Parker/Tobia/MTurn- #3 LU
Starting Kanter assuming Adams sits
If KCP starts may have to move off MMorris
Any thoughts?
Ingles and Murray are getting (or should get) bigger minutes than normal due to injuries.I'm new to Bball myself but it looks pretty solid. Not sure about Ingles and Murray as Ive never really heard of them but like I said I'm new to NBA. Is this for cash or gpp? I seem to be terrible at 50/50s for NBA--never know who the chalky or must play guys are-- so just do $1 gpps here and there.
The Spurs can be worrisome for a couple reasons: Brooklyn really sucks and Pop will rest guys. Murray and Lee are probably reasonably safe to get minutes tho. I like Gortat tonight. I'm currently using Jordan everywhere but will likely get some Gortat in there as an alternative. Don't really see anyone talking up Kemba, but he's at home and always apt to shoot well there.Some of you know me and some of you don't, but I am thinking about giving basketball a try again. Anyways I haven't watched any basketball this year so anyone want to give me pointers on this lineup?
PG Goran Dragic
PG Kemba Walker
SG James Harden
SG Dejounte Murray
SF Joe Ingles
SF Paul George
PF David Lee
PF LaMarcus Aldridge
C Marcin Gortat
Dont Like George and I hate LA, dont trust any SA other that Kai and that is limitedSome of you know me and some of you don't, but I am thinking about giving basketball a try again. Anyways I haven't watched any basketball this year so anyone want to give me pointers on this lineup?
PG Goran Dragic
PG Kemba Walker
SG James Harden
SG Dejounte Murray
SF Joe Ingles
SF Paul George
PF David Lee
PF LaMarcus Aldridge
C Marcin Gortat