rockaction
Footballguy
is it - 7/8 wins?
It went from 8/9 to 7/8.
I won't quibble with six wins or so, but anything more than seven and you're stretching it.
is it - 7/8 wins?
I said "borderline playoff team at best" - so 7 to 9 wins.is it - 7/8 wins?
It went from 8/9 to 7/8.
I won't quibble with six wins or so, but anything more than seven and you're stretching it.
Hard to say if the OL is good or not, just like any team. PFF grades help to assess, but it's one of those things that requires a lot of coaching, chemistry, etc. Unless one REALLY knows their stuff and has inside information, I don't know if you have a good or bad line until you see it. I have some faith in the coaching staff - we'll see about the chemistry (and talent).I don't believe this is true - they're above average in 3/5 of the line.
They lost both their tackles. They have Fashanu, but he's an unknown and Mitchell is okay, I guess. He's pretty mediocre. Fashanu hopefully develops. Tackle is a pretty glaring position to be missing out on because you need absolute physical freaks to play it. They're not as bad off as they once were, but they could be a lot better.
?They have Fashanu, but he's an unknown
I feel confused -I don't believe this is true - they're above average in 3/5 of the line.
They lost both their tackles. They have Fashanu, but he's an unknown and Mitchell is okay, I guess. He's pretty mediocre. Fashanu hopefully develops. Tackle is a pretty glaring position to be missing out on because you need absolute physical freaks to play it. They're not as bad off as they once were, but they could be a lot better.
I feel confused -I don't believe this is true - they're above average in 3/5 of the line.
They lost both their tackles. They have Fashanu, but he's an unknown and Mitchell is okay, I guess. He's pretty mediocre. Fashanu hopefully develops. Tackle is a pretty glaring position to be missing out on because you need absolute physical freaks to play it. They're not as bad off as they once were, but they could be a lot better.
they lost AVT? He's a very solid OT and I believe he's still there.
Fashanu played and played well after injuries hit the line.
Thanks. I feel like there's been a lot of misinformation in here the last two pages and it all started with the "Jets can't develop QBs" bunk, which has been true in the past of course, but I'm not sure how that's relevant with a brand new staff in place, I mean coaching staffs turn teams around all the time. Will this one? I don't know for sure but lets give them a chance at least.Some interesting posts - some thoughts
The woody angle is overplayed and just easy popshots. Sure the guy is a clown but so are many owners. Look at his history tho - he spends money and lets his people do their jobs for a few years. Where he runs into trouble is when things dont turn around instead of cleaning house he gets itchy trigger finger. As a 50+ yr fan Woody is not in my top 10 of concerns right now
OL is not a weakness at all. They are in much better shape than most of the league. Fashnu is not an unknown - he played quite a bit last year and more than held his own. LT is locked in with a solid player for the forseeable future., AVT is finally healthy and playing above avg guard. Simpson is a solid but not spectacular guard. they have a great young center in Tippman. So they lost a 37 yr old RT - I think they will grab a hold the fort guy in FA and draft a RT relatively high - maybe even at #7.
#2 Wr is definitely an issue but GWill is all world. Most QBs dont have a weapon approaching his level - I anticipate theyll bring in a cheap hole the fort #2 like Patrick and then add another in day 1 or 2 of draft. Also dont count out Corley - guy has skills and just got buried in last regime - if he works hard he could be a weapon - add a very nice trio of RBs and Fields is set up pretty nice.
As for laughing at Jets being a fringe playoff team - they had a QB who couldnt move who had at least 3 last drives to win games and blew it.....the kicker lost another 3 by himself - with good coaching and a kicker the Jets would have won 8-9 games last year. If this coaching regime is the real deal as we hope - I think they will definitely be in the mix if they can get Fields to play decent ball.
As for fantasy - based on "Jet bias" - Id be buying Wilson and Hall.
Sorry I confused OT and OG in my head - yes, he's a OG.I feel confused -I don't believe this is true - they're above average in 3/5 of the line.
They lost both their tackles. They have Fashanu, but he's an unknown and Mitchell is okay, I guess. He's pretty mediocre. Fashanu hopefully develops. Tackle is a pretty glaring position to be missing out on because you need absolute physical freaks to play it. They're not as bad off as they once were, but they could be a lot better.
they lost AVT? He's a very solid OT and I believe he's still there.
Fashanu played and played well after injuries hit the line.
They bumped AVT back to tackle? He's a guard, man. He only bumped to tackle in 2023 for a bit. He played all of last year at right guard. I think.
Sorry I confused OT and OG in my head - yes, he's a OG.I feel confused -I don't believe this is true - they're above average in 3/5 of the line.
They lost both their tackles. They have Fashanu, but he's an unknown and Mitchell is okay, I guess. He's pretty mediocre. Fashanu hopefully develops. Tackle is a pretty glaring position to be missing out on because you need absolute physical freaks to play it. They're not as bad off as they once were, but they could be a lot better.
they lost AVT? He's a very solid OT and I believe he's still there.
Fashanu played and played well after injuries hit the line.
They bumped AVT back to tackle? He's a guard, man. He only bumped to tackle in 2023 for a bit. He played all of last year at right guard. I think.
But then how did they lose both OTs since Fashanu played LT and RT last season?
He did step in last season and by all accounts he played very well. Smith missed a big chunk of the season.One hopes Fashanu will step in, but who knows how effective he'll be. His PFF grade was low (if you put stock in that).
It doesn't. It's a lazy narrative, IMO.The development of a QB is a recurring theme but again how does that apply to this regime?
I feel like there's been a lot of misinformation in here the last two pages and it all started with the "Jets can't develop QBs" bunk
We’ll agree to disagree. The Jets are not some living breathing entity - the organization changes with each new regime.I feel like there's been a lot of misinformation in here the last two pages and it all started with the "Jets can't develop QBs" bunk
They can't and they haven't changed their structure enough to where it seems like they're bringing in guys or making a concerted effort to help QBs out. If there has been something, I haven't heard it and I follow this team pretty well. Any organization headed by Woody Johnson is subject to his vagaries and whims, and I haven't heard about structural changes or guys coming in to help the QB position out. Think about it this way: who is their QB coach? Charles London. There, I've provided the answer for you. Know what position he played in college and was the coach of until the year 2020? Running back. From 2006-2020 he was a running backs coach who has never played the QB position and only started coaching it in 2021 with Atlanta, before he moved on to Tennessee in 2023 as passing game coordinator, and then in 2024 was Seattle's quarterbacks coach.
So you tell me, what exact structure is in place to coach Justin Fields? There is no new one. This is not lazy analysis nor misinformation. Instead, it's same ****-different day.
To address other specifics: GWil is not all-world. He's not even All-Pro. He's not even Pro Bowl. Tim Patrick is not a worthy number two by any stretch of the imagination, and Malachi Corley is a gadget player that nobody in the league takes seriously (yet). Their WR room is a joke of a room.
As for OL, they're rated good at right guard, good at center, and barely average at left guard. I don't know where this "the line is awesome" comes from. Fashanu graded out poorly at PFF, although some places and content creators think he did well. We will see how they develop. It doesn't bode well for the Jets that one of Fields's problems (and there is plenty of criticism about this) is that he holds the ball too long.
Anyway, I want the Jets to do well. I just don't see how the past two pages have been "misinformation" at all.
I don’t know if this new regime will be better and neither do you. If Fields does fail it’s not because “the Jets” failed him, it will be on this coaching staff.
Ok then we’ll disagree on that.I don’t know if this new regime will be better and neither do you. If Fields does fail it’s not because “the Jets” failed him, it will be on this coaching staff.
We can't even agree on this, so I guess we'll just wait. So long as the "Jets" are owned by the same guy, then yes, "the Jets" will have failed him because the guy who does the hiring ****ed up again.
No offense meant towards you, just saying most of it is endless arguing about meaningless minutia and I feel this is heading in that direction.
OkNo offense meant towards you, just saying most of it is endless arguing about meaningless minutia and I feel this is heading in that direction.
We don't disagree on minutiae; our disagreements are about entire chunks of logic and the basic building units of a football team. LOL.
I would be surprised if anyone here thinks he's going to turn into Jalen Hurts in the next two years but he has the physical ability to be that style of player so it's worth a shot to see if you can maximize it when you don't have any other options worth trying. I am with the others that disagree with you on Fashanu. Once he took over at LT the line play overall was much better. Nothing is guaranteed but I am pretty comfortable with him as the LT moving forward. Olu, AVT and Tipperman make up a pretty good young core to the OL and Simpson is fine as the 2nd guard. Find a RT in FA or the draft and they'll have a line that can be pretty solid provided they stay healthy which is never a given for the Jets. I am also willing to bet that just removing the hated Keith Carter will do wonders for the line play.I think it's the best move they had available, but that doesn't mean I'm sanguine about it working out. They did the best they could for this year and next.
Believe me, I hope Fields turns the corner and becomes a competent passer. That would be wonderful. But the Jets don't have a very good line right now and they've got one good receiver. That's it. This is going to be a really tough year for them, IMO. Then after this tough year, they have to try to re-sign Wilson and Sauce (if they decide to go that route). I hope they save their 2026 picks because they're going to need them and they'll be most likely picking from a good position.
I think Geno is a very good QB that will give Las Vegas what it needs - some organizational stability.If you got Darnold or Geno you are marrying yourself to them for the next 3 years
is it - 7/8 wins?But yes, there's still a lot of work to do - right now, at best, they are a borderline playoff team
That is very optimistic.
They won 5 games last season with a defense that gave up after Salah was fired and with Rodgers playing very poorly for a large part of the season. I'm not proclaiming them a playoff team, I just think they should be in the mix (they're not close to legit title contenders).
Obviously the projection I'm making requires Fields to improve as a passer - and he's shown small steps each season on that. Fields was 4-2 as a starter last season, and it's not like that was some great roster either as evidenced by what happened the rest of the season. Say what you will about his passing, but Fields rushing ability can be a nightmare for DCs.
is it - 7/8 wins?But yes, there's still a lot of work to do - right now, at best, they are a borderline playoff team
That is very optimistic.
They won 5 games last season with a defense that gave up after Salah was fired and with Rodgers playing very poorly for a large part of the season. I'm not proclaiming them a playoff team, I just think they should be in the mix (they're not close to legit title contenders).
Obviously the projection I'm making requires Fields to improve as a passer - and he's shown small steps each season on that. Fields was 4-2 as a starter last season, and it's not like that was some great roster either as evidenced by what happened the rest of the season. Say what you will about his passing, but Fields rushing ability can be a nightmare for DCs.
I think maybe the disconnect is 7 wins and borderline playoff team.
The worst teams in last year's playoffs had 10 wins.
I think it's better to say as you did the number of wins you're projecting.
Are you saying 7.5?
is it - 7/8 wins?But yes, there's still a lot of work to do - right now, at best, they are a borderline playoff team
That is very optimistic.
They won 5 games last season with a defense that gave up after Salah was fired and with Rodgers playing very poorly for a large part of the season. I'm not proclaiming them a playoff team, I just think they should be in the mix (they're not close to legit title contenders).
Obviously the projection I'm making requires Fields to improve as a passer - and he's shown small steps each season on that. Fields was 4-2 as a starter last season, and it's not like that was some great roster either as evidenced by what happened the rest of the season. Say what you will about his passing, but Fields rushing ability can be a nightmare for DCs.
I think maybe the disconnect is 7 wins and borderline playoff team.
The worst teams in last year's playoffs had 10 wins.
I think it's better to say as you did the number of wins you're projecting.
Are you saying 7.5?
I’m not interested in a semantics argument as to what “borderline” means. I said what I said (and gave numbers) and I’m not sure there was any disconnect on that.
is it - 7/8 wins?But yes, there's still a lot of work to do - right now, at best, they are a borderline playoff team
That is very optimistic.
They won 5 games last season with a defense that gave up after Salah was fired and with Rodgers playing very poorly for a large part of the season. I'm not proclaiming them a playoff team, I just think they should be in the mix (they're not close to legit title contenders).
Obviously the projection I'm making requires Fields to improve as a passer - and he's shown small steps each season on that. Fields was 4-2 as a starter last season, and it's not like that was some great roster either as evidenced by what happened the rest of the season. Say what you will about his passing, but Fields rushing ability can be a nightmare for DCs.
I think maybe the disconnect is 7 wins and borderline playoff team.
The worst teams in last year's playoffs had 10 wins.
I think it's better to say as you did the number of wins you're projecting.
Are you saying 7.5?
I’m not interested in a semantics argument as to what “borderline” means. I said what I said (and gave numbers) and I’m not sure there was any disconnect on that.
He's not talking about semantics. He's asking for a number of wins. If you want to say 7-9 and feel good about that call, then far be it from me to tell you what to do, but that's two numbers in the range where they're not a borderline playoff team and recent history backs that up.
So that's why there's "disconnect" and why Joe might be pointing out that calling them a seven win team and saying they're "borderline" is pretty much mutually exclusive.
is it - 7/8 wins?But yes, there's still a lot of work to do - right now, at best, they are a borderline playoff team
That is very optimistic.
They won 5 games last season with a defense that gave up after Salah was fired and with Rodgers playing very poorly for a large part of the season. I'm not proclaiming them a playoff team, I just think they should be in the mix (they're not close to legit title contenders).
Obviously the projection I'm making requires Fields to improve as a passer - and he's shown small steps each season on that. Fields was 4-2 as a starter last season, and it's not like that was some great roster either as evidenced by what happened the rest of the season. Say what you will about his passing, but Fields rushing ability can be a nightmare for DCs.
I think maybe the disconnect is 7 wins and borderline playoff team.
The worst teams in last year's playoffs had 10 wins.
I think it's better to say as you did the number of wins you're projecting.
Are you saying 7.5?
I’m not interested in a semantics argument as to what “borderline” means. I said what I said (and gave numbers) and I’m not sure there was any disconnect on that.
He's not talking about semantics. He's asking for a number of wins. If you want to say 7-9 and feel good about that call, then far be it from me to tell you what to do, but that's two numbers in the range where they're not a borderline playoff team and recent history backs that up.
So that's why there's "disconnect" and why Joe might be pointing out that calling them a seven win team and saying they're "borderline" is pretty much mutually exclusive.
In the post he quoted I said 7/8 wins. Then he pointed out how teams in last years’s playoffs all won at least 10 games. That’s not the case every season and even if it was, 8 wins would be considered a “borderline” playoff team imo.
That’s semantics.
Agreed. This year it was 10 wins but in 2023 there was a 9 win wild card team (plus the NFC south winner had 9 wins) and in 2022, which is definitely recent history, 8 wins won the NFC South. In 2020, WAS won the NFC East with 7 wins and CHI was an 8 win wild card team.is it - 7/8 wins?But yes, there's still a lot of work to do - right now, at best, they are a borderline playoff team
That is very optimistic.
They won 5 games last season with a defense that gave up after Salah was fired and with Rodgers playing very poorly for a large part of the season. I'm not proclaiming them a playoff team, I just think they should be in the mix (they're not close to legit title contenders).
Obviously the projection I'm making requires Fields to improve as a passer - and he's shown small steps each season on that. Fields was 4-2 as a starter last season, and it's not like that was some great roster either as evidenced by what happened the rest of the season. Say what you will about his passing, but Fields rushing ability can be a nightmare for DCs.
I think maybe the disconnect is 7 wins and borderline playoff team.
The worst teams in last year's playoffs had 10 wins.
I think it's better to say as you did the number of wins you're projecting.
Are you saying 7.5?
I’m not interested in a semantics argument as to what “borderline” means. I said what I said (and gave numbers) and I’m not sure there was any disconnect on that.
He's not talking about semantics. He's asking for a number of wins. If you want to say 7-9 and feel good about that call, then far be it from me to tell you what to do, but that's two numbers in the range where they're not a borderline playoff team and recent history backs that up.
So that's why there's "disconnect" and why Joe might be pointing out that calling them a seven win team and saying they're "borderline" is pretty much mutually exclusive.
In the post he quoted I said 7/8 wins. Then he pointed out how teams in last years’s playoffs all won at least 10 games. That’s not the case every season and even if it was, 8 wins would be considered a “borderline” playoff team imo.
That’s semantics.
I learned a new word! I've heard the term before but never looked it up and found it's real meaning.It's actually pragmatics, not semantics.
Agreed. This year it was 10 wins but in 2023 there was a 9 win wild card team (plus the NFC south winner had 9 wins) and in 2022, which is definitely recent history, 8 wins won the NFC South. In 2020, WAS won the NFC East with 7 wins and CHI was an 8 win wild card team.is it - 7/8 wins?But yes, there's still a lot of work to do - right now, at best, they are a borderline playoff team
That is very optimistic.
They won 5 games last season with a defense that gave up after Salah was fired and with Rodgers playing very poorly for a large part of the season. I'm not proclaiming them a playoff team, I just think they should be in the mix (they're not close to legit title contenders).
Obviously the projection I'm making requires Fields to improve as a passer - and he's shown small steps each season on that. Fields was 4-2 as a starter last season, and it's not like that was some great roster either as evidenced by what happened the rest of the season. Say what you will about his passing, but Fields rushing ability can be a nightmare for DCs.
I think maybe the disconnect is 7 wins and borderline playoff team.
The worst teams in last year's playoffs had 10 wins.
I think it's better to say as you did the number of wins you're projecting.
Are you saying 7.5?
I’m not interested in a semantics argument as to what “borderline” means. I said what I said (and gave numbers) and I’m not sure there was any disconnect on that.
He's not talking about semantics. He's asking for a number of wins. If you want to say 7-9 and feel good about that call, then far be it from me to tell you what to do, but that's two numbers in the range where they're not a borderline playoff team and recent history backs that up.
So that's why there's "disconnect" and why Joe might be pointing out that calling them a seven win team and saying they're "borderline" is pretty much mutually exclusive.
In the post he quoted I said 7/8 wins. Then he pointed out how teams in last years’s playoffs all won at least 10 games. That’s not the case every season and even if it was, 8 wins would be considered a “borderline” playoff team imo.
That’s semantics.
Agreed. This year it was 10 wins but in 2023 there was a 9 win wild card team (plus the NFC south winner had 9 wins) and in 2022, which is definitely recent history, 8 wins won the NFC South. In 2020, WAS won the NFC East with 7 wins and CHI was an 8 win wild card team.is it - 7/8 wins?But yes, there's still a lot of work to do - right now, at best, they are a borderline playoff team
That is very optimistic.
They won 5 games last season with a defense that gave up after Salah was fired and with Rodgers playing very poorly for a large part of the season. I'm not proclaiming them a playoff team, I just think they should be in the mix (they're not close to legit title contenders).
Obviously the projection I'm making requires Fields to improve as a passer - and he's shown small steps each season on that. Fields was 4-2 as a starter last season, and it's not like that was some great roster either as evidenced by what happened the rest of the season. Say what you will about his passing, but Fields rushing ability can be a nightmare for DCs.
I think maybe the disconnect is 7 wins and borderline playoff team.
The worst teams in last year's playoffs had 10 wins.
I think it's better to say as you did the number of wins you're projecting.
Are you saying 7.5?
I’m not interested in a semantics argument as to what “borderline” means. I said what I said (and gave numbers) and I’m not sure there was any disconnect on that.
He's not talking about semantics. He's asking for a number of wins. If you want to say 7-9 and feel good about that call, then far be it from me to tell you what to do, but that's two numbers in the range where they're not a borderline playoff team and recent history backs that up.
So that's why there's "disconnect" and why Joe might be pointing out that calling them a seven win team and saying they're "borderline" is pretty much mutually exclusive.
In the post he quoted I said 7/8 wins. Then he pointed out how teams in last years’s playoffs all won at least 10 games. That’s not the case every season and even if it was, 8 wins would be considered a “borderline” playoff team imo.
That’s semantics.
is it - 7/8 wins?But yes, there's still a lot of work to do - right now, at best, they are a borderline playoff team
That is very optimistic.
They won 5 games last season with a defense that gave up after Salah was fired and with Rodgers playing very poorly for a large part of the season. I'm not proclaiming them a playoff team, I just think they should be in the mix (they're not close to legit title contenders).
Obviously the projection I'm making requires Fields to improve as a passer - and he's shown small steps each season on that. Fields was 4-2 as a starter last season, and it's not like that was some great roster either as evidenced by what happened the rest of the season. Say what you will about his passing, but Fields rushing ability can be a nightmare for DCs.
I think maybe the disconnect is 7 wins and borderline playoff team.
The worst teams in last year's playoffs had 10 wins.
I think it's better to say as you did the number of wins you're projecting.
Are you saying 7.5?
I’m not interested in a semantics argument as to what “borderline” means. I said what I said (and gave numbers) and I’m not sure there was any disconnect on that.
I never consider Las Vegas in anything I say or do so that wasn't at all in my thinking. The point is that saying "borderline playoff team" is the same thing as saying 7-9 wins. There was no need for you to mention this in the 1st place.Agreed. This year it was 10 wins but in 2023 there was a 9 win wild card team (plus the NFC south winner had 9 wins) and in 2022, which is definitely recent history, 8 wins won the NFC South. In 2020, WAS won the NFC East with 7 wins and CHI was an 8 win wild card team.is it - 7/8 wins?But yes, there's still a lot of work to do - right now, at best, they are a borderline playoff team
That is very optimistic.
They won 5 games last season with a defense that gave up after Salah was fired and with Rodgers playing very poorly for a large part of the season. I'm not proclaiming them a playoff team, I just think they should be in the mix (they're not close to legit title contenders).
Obviously the projection I'm making requires Fields to improve as a passer - and he's shown small steps each season on that. Fields was 4-2 as a starter last season, and it's not like that was some great roster either as evidenced by what happened the rest of the season. Say what you will about his passing, but Fields rushing ability can be a nightmare for DCs.
I think maybe the disconnect is 7 wins and borderline playoff team.
The worst teams in last year's playoffs had 10 wins.
I think it's better to say as you did the number of wins you're projecting.
Are you saying 7.5?
I’m not interested in a semantics argument as to what “borderline” means. I said what I said (and gave numbers) and I’m not sure there was any disconnect on that.
He's not talking about semantics. He's asking for a number of wins. If you want to say 7-9 and feel good about that call, then far be it from me to tell you what to do, but that's two numbers in the range where they're not a borderline playoff team and recent history backs that up.
So that's why there's "disconnect" and why Joe might be pointing out that calling them a seven win team and saying they're "borderline" is pretty much mutually exclusive.
In the post he quoted I said 7/8 wins. Then he pointed out how teams in last years’s playoffs all won at least 10 games. That’s not the case every season and even if it was, 8 wins would be considered a “borderline” playoff team imo.
That’s semantics.
Yes. It's why talking about actual numbers is so much better.
And why Las Vegas won't let you put $100 down on the Jets being a borderline playoff team this year.![]()
is it - 7/8 wins?But yes, there's still a lot of work to do - right now, at best, they are a borderline playoff team
That is very optimistic.
They won 5 games last season with a defense that gave up after Salah was fired and with Rodgers playing very poorly for a large part of the season. I'm not proclaiming them a playoff team, I just think they should be in the mix (they're not close to legit title contenders).
Obviously the projection I'm making requires Fields to improve as a passer - and he's shown small steps each season on that. Fields was 4-2 as a starter last season, and it's not like that was some great roster either as evidenced by what happened the rest of the season. Say what you will about his passing, but Fields rushing ability can be a nightmare for DCs.
I think maybe the disconnect is 7 wins and borderline playoff team.
The worst teams in last year's playoffs had 10 wins.
I think it's better to say as you did the number of wins you're projecting.
Are you saying 7.5?
I’m not interested in a semantics argument as to what “borderline” means. I said what I said (and gave numbers) and I’m not sure there was any disconnect on that.
I agree. To me, saying "borderline playoff team" in the thread during the offseason is not so much projecting wins, but the old "playing meaningful games" in the second half of the season.
The O-line is decent. Add a WR/pass catching TE, and I think the Jets can definitely be competitive and even surprising. No need to spreadsheet it up or make a win prediction.
I never consider Las Vegas in anything I say or do so that wasn't at all in my thinking. The point is that saying "borderline playoff team" is the same thing as saying 7-9 wins. There was no need for you to mention this in the 1st place.Agreed. This year it was 10 wins but in 2023 there was a 9 win wild card team (plus the NFC south winner had 9 wins) and in 2022, which is definitely recent history, 8 wins won the NFC South. In 2020, WAS won the NFC East with 7 wins and CHI was an 8 win wild card team.is it - 7/8 wins?But yes, there's still a lot of work to do - right now, at best, they are a borderline playoff team
That is very optimistic.
They won 5 games last season with a defense that gave up after Salah was fired and with Rodgers playing very poorly for a large part of the season. I'm not proclaiming them a playoff team, I just think they should be in the mix (they're not close to legit title contenders).
Obviously the projection I'm making requires Fields to improve as a passer - and he's shown small steps each season on that. Fields was 4-2 as a starter last season, and it's not like that was some great roster either as evidenced by what happened the rest of the season. Say what you will about his passing, but Fields rushing ability can be a nightmare for DCs.
I think maybe the disconnect is 7 wins and borderline playoff team.
The worst teams in last year's playoffs had 10 wins.
I think it's better to say as you did the number of wins you're projecting.
Are you saying 7.5?
I’m not interested in a semantics argument as to what “borderline” means. I said what I said (and gave numbers) and I’m not sure there was any disconnect on that.
He's not talking about semantics. He's asking for a number of wins. If you want to say 7-9 and feel good about that call, then far be it from me to tell you what to do, but that's two numbers in the range where they're not a borderline playoff team and recent history backs that up.
So that's why there's "disconnect" and why Joe might be pointing out that calling them a seven win team and saying they're "borderline" is pretty much mutually exclusive.
In the post he quoted I said 7/8 wins. Then he pointed out how teams in last years’s playoffs all won at least 10 games. That’s not the case every season and even if it was, 8 wins would be considered a “borderline” playoff team imo.
That’s semantics.
Yes. It's why talking about actual numbers is so much better.
And why Las Vegas won't let you put $100 down on the Jets being a borderline playoff team this year.![]()
I learned a new word! I've heard the term before but never looked it up and found it's real meaning.It's actually pragmatics, not semantics.
CHI was an 8 win wild card team in 2020. I don't think BUF will win 8 or 9 games and win the division but crazier things have happened. The point is that both division winners and wild card teams in the past 5 years have been as low as 7 wins and and most years there's been 9 wins or less to get into the playoffs, including as a wild card team. Even though 10 wins was the minimum this year, it will probably be more normal if that goes down next year. However, as I said before, saying "borderline playoff team" is the same thing as saying 7-9 wins as recent history has shown.Agreed. This year it was 10 wins but in 2023 there was a 9 win wild card team (plus the NFC south winner had 9 wins) and in 2022, which is definitely recent history, 8 wins won the NFC South. In 2020, WAS won the NFC East with 7 wins and CHI was an 8 win wild card team.is it - 7/8 wins?But yes, there's still a lot of work to do - right now, at best, they are a borderline playoff team
That is very optimistic.
They won 5 games last season with a defense that gave up after Salah was fired and with Rodgers playing very poorly for a large part of the season. I'm not proclaiming them a playoff team, I just think they should be in the mix (they're not close to legit title contenders).
Obviously the projection I'm making requires Fields to improve as a passer - and he's shown small steps each season on that. Fields was 4-2 as a starter last season, and it's not like that was some great roster either as evidenced by what happened the rest of the season. Say what you will about his passing, but Fields rushing ability can be a nightmare for DCs.
I think maybe the disconnect is 7 wins and borderline playoff team.
The worst teams in last year's playoffs had 10 wins.
I think it's better to say as you did the number of wins you're projecting.
Are you saying 7.5?
I’m not interested in a semantics argument as to what “borderline” means. I said what I said (and gave numbers) and I’m not sure there was any disconnect on that.
He's not talking about semantics. He's asking for a number of wins. If you want to say 7-9 and feel good about that call, then far be it from me to tell you what to do, but that's two numbers in the range where they're not a borderline playoff team and recent history backs that up.
So that's why there's "disconnect" and why Joe might be pointing out that calling them a seven win team and saying they're "borderline" is pretty much mutually exclusive.
In the post he quoted I said 7/8 wins. Then he pointed out how teams in last years’s playoffs all won at least 10 games. That’s not the case every season and even if it was, 8 wins would be considered a “borderline” playoff team imo.
That’s semantics.
Almost all those exceptions are division winners aside from the one WC team that still won nine games. Do you think Buffalo wins less than nine games next year? I don't see that happening.
And why Las Vegas won't let you put $100 down on the Jets being a borderline playoff team this year.![]()
I kind of get that, although I don't gamble so I don't think about things like that, so maybe I'm a little out of touch in that regard. This is a different conversation, but gambling has become way too much lately IMO. Companies like Draft Kings are so predatory. I don't want to delve into this conversation at this point, but just saying why I don't think about gambling and over/under when talking about anything.is it - 7/8 wins?But yes, there's still a lot of work to do - right now, at best, they are a borderline playoff team
That is very optimistic.
They won 5 games last season with a defense that gave up after Salah was fired and with Rodgers playing very poorly for a large part of the season. I'm not proclaiming them a playoff team, I just think they should be in the mix (they're not close to legit title contenders).
Obviously the projection I'm making requires Fields to improve as a passer - and he's shown small steps each season on that. Fields was 4-2 as a starter last season, and it's not like that was some great roster either as evidenced by what happened the rest of the season. Say what you will about his passing, but Fields rushing ability can be a nightmare for DCs.
I think maybe the disconnect is 7 wins and borderline playoff team.
The worst teams in last year's playoffs had 10 wins.
I think it's better to say as you did the number of wins you're projecting.
Are you saying 7.5?
I’m not interested in a semantics argument as to what “borderline” means. I said what I said (and gave numbers) and I’m not sure there was any disconnect on that.
I agree. To me, saying "borderline playoff team" in the thread during the offseason is not so much projecting wins, but the old "playing meaningful games" in the second half of the season.
The O-line is decent. Add a WR/pass catching TE, and I think the Jets can definitely be competitive and even surprising. No need to spreadsheet it up or make a win prediction.
Thanks. Over / Under on wins is a pretty universal and well understood way to discuss teams though.
I find that kind of precision way more helpful to understand where people see teams. It's also way harder to talk as actual numbers put a point on it.
As for record - Im with Doc - nothing wrong with saying borderline playoff team. To me that isnt about record but playing meaningful games in December
on the flip side there is the Gase years where most of us were resigned to the fact that it was a lousy team with awful coaching/GM - Jet fans are very self aware when the team is awful. I think its fair to say that most thought the team would do much better during the Rodgers years so we were as shocked as everyone else when the bottom fell out - I mean they had a ton of prime time games the past 2 years - owners/networks/experts obviously didnt think they would not even make the playoffs.As for record - Im with Doc - nothing wrong with saying borderline playoff team. To me that isnt about record but playing meaningful games in December
That is obviously what I meant by it. I think they have a chance to compete for a playoff slot. Thar's a "borderline" playoff team. I'm not sure why that's controversial or required addiitonal scrutiny but I'm used to it here.
As for record - Im with Doc - nothing wrong with saying borderline playoff team. To me that isnt about record but playing meaningful games in December
That is obviously what I meant by it. I think they have a chance to compete for a playoff slot. Thar's a "borderline" playoff team. I'm not sure why that's controversial or required addiitonal scrutiny but I'm used to it here.
I kind of get that, although I don't gamble so I don't think about things like that, so maybe I'm a little out of touch in that regard. This is a different conversation, but gambling has become way too much lately IMO. Companies like Draft Kings are so predatory. I don't want to delve into this conversation at this point, but just saying why I don't think about gambling and over/under when talking about anything.is it - 7/8 wins?But yes, there's still a lot of work to do - right now, at best, they are a borderline playoff team
That is very optimistic.
They won 5 games last season with a defense that gave up after Salah was fired and with Rodgers playing very poorly for a large part of the season. I'm not proclaiming them a playoff team, I just think they should be in the mix (they're not close to legit title contenders).
Obviously the projection I'm making requires Fields to improve as a passer - and he's shown small steps each season on that. Fields was 4-2 as a starter last season, and it's not like that was some great roster either as evidenced by what happened the rest of the season. Say what you will about his passing, but Fields rushing ability can be a nightmare for DCs.
I think maybe the disconnect is 7 wins and borderline playoff team.
The worst teams in last year's playoffs had 10 wins.
I think it's better to say as you did the number of wins you're projecting.
Are you saying 7.5?
I’m not interested in a semantics argument as to what “borderline” means. I said what I said (and gave numbers) and I’m not sure there was any disconnect on that.
I agree. To me, saying "borderline playoff team" in the thread during the offseason is not so much projecting wins, but the old "playing meaningful games" in the second half of the season.
The O-line is decent. Add a WR/pass catching TE, and I think the Jets can definitely be competitive and even surprising. No need to spreadsheet it up or make a win prediction.
Thanks. Over / Under on wins is a pretty universal and well understood way to discuss teams though.
I find that kind of precision way more helpful to understand where people see teams. It's also way harder to talk as actual numbers put a point on it.
just for fun - lets play the Vegas game.As for record - Im with Doc - nothing wrong with saying borderline playoff team. To me that isnt about record but playing meaningful games in December
That is obviously what I meant by it. I think they have a chance to compete for a playoff slot. Thar's a "borderline" playoff team. I'm not sure why that's controversial or required addiitonal scrutiny but I'm used to it here.
Not controversial. Just trying to be clear.
And not sure what you're "used to". I always try to be as clear as possible when talking about rankings or projecting teams and players.
Do you think the over-under for the Jets this year is 7.5? Which side of that would you take?
just for fun - lets play the Vegas game.As for record - Im with Doc - nothing wrong with saying borderline playoff team. To me that isnt about record but playing meaningful games in December
That is obviously what I meant by it. I think they have a chance to compete for a playoff slot. Thar's a "borderline" playoff team. I'm not sure why that's controversial or required addiitonal scrutiny but I'm used to it here.
Not controversial. Just trying to be clear.
And not sure what you're "used to". I always try to be as clear as possible when talking about rankings or projecting teams and players.
Do you think the over-under for the Jets this year is 7.5? Which side of that would you take?
Obviously the smart bet based on last 10 yrs would be to go for the under at 7.5 - however that means we could both be right - depending on timing and how things break, I could lose the bet but the team could still be in the mix for a playoff spot in December which would make it a successful 1st year for the regime to me.
Thats why I dont like those box ins - record to mean doesnt mean a lot until you examine how they got there. there have been 9 win seasons where the team completely collapsed and there is les hope for future....and there are 7 win season where they win the last 5 games and QB/team/staff looks like they figured it out and started to gel which makes it look not so bad.,
What if AG and staff look great, team is prepared and playing well, Fields goes nuts, looks like the real deal but the defense gets some injuries, gives up some close games and/or the kicker misses a few game winners.....Id take that if it finally solves the QB/HC dilemma.
As for record - Im with Doc - nothing wrong with saying borderline playoff team. To me that isnt about record but playing meaningful games in December
That is obviously what I meant by it. I think they have a chance to compete for a playoff slot. Thar's a "borderline" playoff team. I'm not sure why that's controversial or required addiitonal scrutiny but I'm used to it here.
Not controversial. Just trying to be clear.
And not sure what you're "used to". I always try to be as clear as possible when talking about rankings or projecting teams and players.
Do you think the over-under for the Jets this year is 7.5? Which side of that would you take?
At the bottom line, it's about being precise with words.
At the bottom line, it's about being precise with words.
I was precise with my words for the purpose of what I was trying to discuss. Others jumped in and started asking me for numbers and questioning my use of "borderline" - most seemed to get it.