Alex P Keaton
Footballguy
Brutal analysis in this link
Brutal analysis in this link
They've had decades to build a new refinery and chose not to. That's not a Biden admin problem.You’re creating a straw man that Biden’s war in fossil fuels should somehow lead to US gas prices being the highest in the world? I never said that and no one else said that. US gas prices will never be as high as European countries, no matter how badly Biden screws it up. The US is the largest oil producing country in the world - and it’s not even close. We produce 80% more oil than the #2 country - Saudi Arabia.
The problem in the US is lack of refining capacity. We should be building a new refinery right now. But the oil companies aren’t going to invest billions of dollars when Biden and the Democrats are hell bent on moving away from fossil fuels - even if we aren’t ready for it. That’s the issue. Not the Putin Price Hike.
?The US is the largest oil producing country in the world - and it’s not even close. We produce 80% more oil than the #2 country - Saudi Arabia.
The Saudi calendar has 200 fewer days.?
The U.S. produced 11M bpd in 2021. Russia 10M. Saudi 9.3M.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_oil_production
We also shouldn't confuse "lack of refinery capacity" with "no new refineries being built". We have expanded refining capacity without building entirely new facilities. It's true that the last major refinery built went on line in 1977. At that time it's capacity was 200k bpd. It can now do 600k bpd. So they have effectively built two more of those refineries through expansion/increased efficiencies. And this is just one facility.A (partial) list of US presidents in office with no new refineries being built:
Yet, lack of refinery capacity is attributed to the man who has been in office for less than two years?
- Ronald Reagan
- George H W Bush
- Bill Clinton
- George W Bush
- Barack Obama
- Donald Trump
- Joe Biden
lets do more of that.We also shouldn't confuse "lack of refinery capacity" with "no new refineries being built". We have expanded refining capacity without building entirely new facilities. It's true that the last major refinery built went on line in 1977. At that time it's capacity was 200k bpd. It can now do 600k bpd. So they have effectively built two more of those refineries through expansion/increased efficiencies.
Always retrofitting. Build a new one. From scratch. Modern tech.We also shouldn't confuse "lack of refinery capacity" with "no new refineries being built". We have expanded refining capacity without building entirely new facilities. It's true that the last major refinery built went on line in 1977. At that time it's capacity was 200k bpd. It can now do 600k bpd. So they have effectively built two more of those refineries through expansion/increased efficiencies.
So if I'm understanding you correctly, Big Oil, airlines, I assume Republicans, etc are all working to keep gas prices high, simply because it makes Biden look bad. I'm not going to argue but that's a pretty sorry state of affairs.
Cards on the table - I'm a guy who believes we need to transition away from fossil fuels. I assumed (wrongly, it seems) that people smarter than me had a smoother transition in mind besides "force the issue by restricting supply and raising prices"...but maybe this really is the only way. You clearly can't do it legislatively because some 30% of Americans (and the majority of one party) refuse to believe in Climate Change.
He may be talking about total hydrocarbons.?
The U.S. produced 11M bpd in 2021. Russia 10M. Saudi 9.3M.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_oil_production
They've had decades to build a new refinery and chose not to. That's not a Biden admin problem.
It was OPEC cutting production in mid 2020.Gas averaged $2.42 in Feb 2021. It had moved to $3.61 by the time Russia invaded Ukraine at the end of February. We are at $5.03 by June. No doubt the Russian invasion impacted things, but we had a pretty big issue ongoing prior to that. It's fine to say Russia made it worse, it's obvious that was not the initial driver and even without that we were on a trajectory to be well over $4.00 during the summer of '22. Again, not everything in that was Biden's fault. My grievance is every instinct they have is to jerk the wheel in the wrong direction to correct the problem. It's not a quick solution either.
https://investingnews.com/daily/resource-investing/energy-investing/oil-and-gas-investing/top-oil-producing-countries/?
The U.S. produced 11M bpd in 2021. Russia 10M. Saudi 9.3M.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_oil_production
Refineries have been expanding over the years to accommodate the increases in demand.moleculo said:A (partial) list of US presidents in office with no new refineries being built:
Yet, lack of refinery capacity is attributed to the man who has been in office for less than two years?
- Ronald Reagan
- George H W Bush
- Bill Clinton
- George W Bush
- Barack Obama
- Donald Trump
- Joe Biden
Refinery expansion also costs money and investment. When the Democrats and President Biden so hostile to fossil fuels, no one in their right mind is going to invest.moleculo said:lets do more of that.
From todays Wall St. Journal:Maurile Tremblay said:The people doing the sarcastic repeating are usually trying to mock Biden, as if Biden is really the one responsible for high gas prices.
Yes, that's what I said on page one.From todays Wall St. Journal:
Bidenomics 101 - The President doesn’t appear to know anything about how the private economy works.
I like how they throw that in as an afterthought, because brands are what really control the whole retail market. If you want reliable supply, you sign up under a brand. This may be the actual refiner, or it may be a middle man. Typically these are 10 year contracts. Under that contract you are required to sell their fuel exclusively, and you pay their price, whatever they say it is. You have no negotiating ability whatsoever within the term of your contract. Selling unbranded fuel through your pumps is immediate breach of contract. So whether they own the stations or not, the major oil companies absolutely control the street price to a large extent.You’d think that the President’s Ivy League-educated economic advisers would have informed him that large refiners own fewer than 5% of all gas stations in America. More than 60% are operated by an individual or family that owns a single store, and the rest are independently owned chains or grocery stores that sell fuel. Many license brands from refiners.
The best response to Biden’s tweet was this one from the US Oil and Gas Industry:Do we think Biden even sees the tweets before they go out
That’s not a good response. Given the fact that we give these folks millions every year in subsidies and tax write-offs that’s a terrible response.The best response to Biden’s tweet was this one from the US Oil and Gas Industry:
“Working on it Mr. President. In the meantime - have a Happy 4th and please make sure the WH intern who posted this tweet registers for Econ 101 for the fall semester...”
We gave subsidies to mom and pop gas station owners?That’s not a good response. Given the fact that we give these folks millions every year in subsidies and tax write-offs that’s a terrible response.
https://www.forbes.com/sites/rrapier/2022/04/24/if-oil-companies-control-prices-why-do-they-ever-lose-money/?sh=3c6be022cf9dBiden may be wrong, but I don’t think he needs to be lectured to by people who take tons of my tax money every year. #### them.
What does one have to do with the other. It was a stupid statement.That’s not a good response. Given the fact that we give these folks millions every year in subsidies and tax write-offs that’s a terrible response.
Weird. Other articles discuss a big YoY drop of 2019 to 2020, but still claim there was a 4 Billion dollar profit in 2020.https://www.forbes.com/sites/rrapier/2022/04/24/if-oil-companies-control-prices-why-do-they-ever-lose-money/?sh=3c6be022cf9d
Consider that in the past 10 years, major oil and gas companies suffered tremendous losses in 2014, 2015, and 2020. In fact, in 2020 the five integrated supermajors (i.e., “Big Oil”) – ExxonMobil, BP, Shell, Chevron, and Total – lost $76 billion. Oil prices plunged into negative territory in 2020.
you mean 4, right?Weird. Other articles discuss a big YoY drop of 2019 to 2020, but still claim there was a 5Billion dollar profit in 2020.
https://www.cnbc.com/2021/02/09/total-earnings-q4-full-year-2020.html
I’m not sure it was stupid. I don’t necessarily agree with it but I can appreciate the sentiment.What does one have to do with the other. It was a stupid statement.
Correct. Got the big 5 and the profit number mixed. I will edit.you mean 4, right?
We have also built re-refineries which allow refineries to make more virgin products.parrot said:We also shouldn't confuse "lack of refinery capacity" with "no new refineries being built". We have expanded refining capacity without building entirely new facilities. It's true that the last major refinery built went on line in 1977. At that time it's capacity was 200k bpd. It can now do 600k bpd. So they have effectively built two more of those refineries through expansion/increased efficiencies. And this is just one facility.
Yes and No. Can they lower the price... Yes. Will they suffer a financial loss... Also yes.
The problem from the O&G CEO perspective is that the Biden administration is committed to phasing out oil and gas. The fact that oil companies can't get any long term guarantees or stability means they are less likely to invest in themselves or grow current operations.
You're not going to throw a ton of money into an old car to make it run better if you've already committed to a new car. This is the same principle.
Oh, I'm no educator. I'm a controller at an educational institution. I think where a lot of my questions come from become crystal clear once in that context. I'm in a world of irrespinsible spenders (libs), but the problem is the alternatives are too. It's who we are.GordonGekko said:Biden shut down the US economy. Then he started printing money to provide a "stimulus" because politically if Trump did one, he was going to do one. That's it. That's the entire reason for it. For a political talking point. Do you know the other time Biden wanted a "talking point" Well it was the withdrawal from Afghanistan so he could get a "political win", except he armed terrorists all over the world with our tax dollars, turn 19 million women and little girls into sexual slaves, ended up starving that entire country, and gave the CCP, our largest natural threat, basically one of the largest caches of lithium in the entire world, which is used to make EV car batteries that Biden is forcing onto all Americans.
By shutting down the economy and doing lock downs and closing down schools for COVID19, Biden Administration caused irreparable damage to the diesel industry ( among tons of other industries). That's a larger push/pull factor for inflation than the gasoline crisis, which is bad enough on it's own. I have an entire top level thread topic just on diesel alone.
Failing to drill domestically also hampers natural gas production, which powers over a third of our current energy grid. Biden's policies aren't also insane, and threaten our national security, but he's making it impossible to charge those electric cars he's demanding everyone buy instead where 64 percent of Americans are living check to check and a month and a half away from being homeless and can't afford them.
You can't lock down the US economy and print money like it's going out of style and not destroy our entire economy. DO NOT TRY TO PASS ALL THIS ONTO OTHER ADMINISTRATIONS PRIOR.
I have nothing against you MAC32, but you are an educator, I'm sure you are great at that job and career path, but this is an entirely different animal. You are asking questions for the sole purpose to say "Blame Everyone" when much of this, in context, is not the case. Everything Biden touches gets worse to the point of catastrophic. If you want to deny that, go ahead, the problem is the stacking threat to our national security. That means your children are less safe. That means your children are under threat. You are selectively applying context. You'll say apply context here in that many of these problems extend beyond this administration without applying context under the inexplicable failures of this administration that violates even the most understanding of practical economic policy.
For every parent here, the Obama/Biden/Harris/Rice regime made it easier for your children to be under threat, suffer and die. That's it. Everything these people touch turns to chaos and destroys the stability of our great nation.
Part of the context you are ignoring is that none of the other administrations enacted these kind of lock downs, while also printing money at this kind of rate and refused to project the demand curve for oil once the economy was turned on back again. This is the same with the baby formula situation and the same with Afghanistan and everywhere else. Failure to be proactive, failure to avoid self inflicting more problems, failure to react properly. These are fundamental leadership failures.
You are defending the pathway that makes your children less safe and under more threat.
I can't control that. It's your free speech. And I don't think you are a bad poster at all. Most of the time, I see you as pretty reasonable. But ask yourself why you are doing that.
Tim, you’re worrying about climate control, and wanting cheap gas also.It’s always amazing to me that many of the same people who are constantly complaining that illegal immigrants are costing us money (they’re not) seem to have no problem with the robber barons of the oil industry that have taken billions from the taxpayers. Maybe worry a little less about the border and more about the corrupt folks already here?
"Up like a rocket, down like a feather."I ask this question with 100% sincerity. I've asked many knowledgeable people over the years and generally get the same answer, but it's obviously wrong.
So here it is. Oil went down roughly 9% yesterday. The price at pump didn't change. However on the oil price spike over the last several months it went up almost instantaneously as it always does. I've been told the reason for this phenomenon is because of oil futures that service stations are always buying so that they will continue to have inventory and that cost needs to be passed to the consumer. That made sense but when there is a precipitatious move as there was yesterday the price of gasoline doesn't move. Why?
"Up like a rocket, down like a feather."
I think the general industry line is that the current price of oil is not indicative necessarily of what the product in your tank cost to make/supply at any point in time. When prices rise they talk about replacement cost - "We're going to have to pay more to replace that product..." - and when prices drop they talk about actual cost - "Those gallons cost us X so we have to sell them for X+...". It's a bit of a shell game/moving goal post honestly.
There is also a theory that there is more comparison shopping during rising prices but once they level off or start falling people become less price sensitive so you don't have to be in a hurry to drop your price.
The real reason of course is once your margin has been squeezed by rising prices you're not going to be in a huge hurry to drop your price once you start getting some margin again. And you're hoping no one else is either.
Now you sound like me talking about my personal income taxesBiden may be wrong, but I don’t think he needs to be lectured to by people who take tons of my tax money every year. #### them.
I brought it up way earlier in the thread and it was ignored mostly.I don't know why no one talks about or reports on this, maybe it doesn't have any affect but I think it's notable that oil prices are down almost 30% over the last 3 weeks and that lines up almost EXACTLY with Trump's mid-covid OPEC deal expiring.
When oil crashed during covid Trump signed a deal with Opec to LIMIT oil production and RAISE oil prices. For some reason they signed that deal for 2 years. It just recently expired almost to the day that oil prices recently started dropping back down pretty substantially.
I brought it up way earlier in the thread and it was ignored mostly.
I'm not saying Joe is perfect, but Trump owns more of the present high prices than he does IMO.
Trump literally pressured Saudi Arabia into the agreement to cut production.When oil went negative in 2020 the government should have offered to take every barrel free of charge.
Instead we got another "two weeks".
Drowning in crude, U.S. drillers say Trump strategic reserve plan is no lifeline
Then there's this from another far left publication
“So after 50 years of being virtually empty, I built up our oil reserves during my administration, and low energy prices, to 100% full. It’s called the Strategic National Reserves, and it hasn’t been full for many decades. In fact, it’s been mostly empty.”
There’s just nothing about that statement that is true. As you can see in the graphic below, the SPR levels have never fallen below 500,000 thousand (i.e., 500 million) barrels of crude oil since the 1980s
Right, you're referring to the negative priced oil timeline. The Saudi's can ramp up production with a snap of the finger. They have way more excess capacity than we do. If you recall, at the levels we were at in 2020, many US producers were going under and we were going to lose many more. Sometimes cutting production is a good thing, sometimes raising it is a good thing. Doing those things for OPEC, in particular the Saudis, can be done easily within their capacity.(HULK) said:It was OPEC cutting production in mid 2020.
Reduce supply >> increase in price assuming demand remains flat.
Thing is, demand increased as people started going about their normal life.
That's the start of the current price situation. Russian/Ukraine was the proverbial gasoline on the fire.
Yes, I remember and thought it was one of the very few good things he did. Biden does something similar and according to the far right it is more proof he's so full of dementia he needs to be removed from office.Trump literally pressured Saudi Arabia into the agreement to cut production.
Maurile Tremblay said:I don't understand how this became something everybody repeats sarcastically.
Somebody earlier in the thread said to google why gas prices are so high, so I did. From the first result not behind a paywall: "Geopolitical instability has added to crude oil price volatility. At the end of May, the European Union announced it would ban around 90% of oil imports from Russia due to the war in Ukraine—and it continues to rattle crude oil markets and keep prices far above pre-pandemic levels."
Of course the Russia-Ukraine conflict has significantly affected gas prices. There is nothing more obvious than that, right?
The people doing the sarcastic repeating are usually trying to mock Biden, as if Biden is really the one responsible for high gas prices. But gas prices in the U.S. are cheaper than just about anywhere else in the world (besides Russia and Japan). Is Biden the president of all of western Europe?
It's a super weird thing to use a sarcastic tone about.
I guess this is the right thread for this. Easily the best commercial I've seen in years:
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