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Is Weather Already Factored Into the Weekly Rankings? (1 Viewer)
- Thread starter Hugonel
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Breesisdaman
Footballguy
I dont think it is really. Dawson is still pretty high in the rankings and I usually drop kickers that will be in bad weather.
(unwelcomed)GUEST
Footballguy
It's probably factored in late in the week. Weather is too unpredictable to factor in 4 days out. FWIW Cooley has had some big games in poor weather. I think the QB change may have more to do with Cooley's stats than the weather.
NCPanthersFan
Footballguy
In my eyes, nothing is final until Sunday and that is when I would think weather affecting rankings is reflected. Just guessing....
Burning Sensation
Footballguy
They have Roethlisberger #19 against the 27th ranked pass defense, weather is the only explanation i can come up with.
Kuz
Footballguy
or the fact the Football guys don't really like him.. They always have him rated pretty low...
Ozymandias
Footballguy
Burning Sensation
Footballguy
Actually, he was ranked 19 Wednesday morning, before that info was available. He is now ranked 12.
madd futher
Footballguy
On this site, perhaps a little, but I doubt it because nobody know the weather for sure until right before the game. On virtually all of the other sites, weather is not a factor in weekly projections.
I think that relying on any ONE site to set your line-ups is foolish. I use Fantasy Sports Central's average weekly projections as a Starting Point. But then it pays to go to the individual sites. Many will give their reasoning as to why they have a certain player rated high or low.
Using web-site weekly projections is totally fruitless when it comes down to injury situations where who gets playing time is not determined until just before game time.
Bottom line: Take any ONE site projection with lots of scepticism; consider the Average weekly projections as a concensus that does NOT factor in weather and late injury implications; and always consider the MINORITY viewpoint against the average. In other words, if one site has a certain player rated vastly different than the concensus, go to that site and see if you can find out what their thinking is.
You do all that and make YOUR best decisions. And then of course your key player still gets knocked out of the game after two minutes in the first quarter and your opponent plays the 47th rated WR who goes off for 20 points anyway.
That is why we love fantasy football!
I think that relying on any ONE site to set your line-ups is foolish. I use Fantasy Sports Central's average weekly projections as a Starting Point. But then it pays to go to the individual sites. Many will give their reasoning as to why they have a certain player rated high or low.
Using web-site weekly projections is totally fruitless when it comes down to injury situations where who gets playing time is not determined until just before game time.
Bottom line: Take any ONE site projection with lots of scepticism; consider the Average weekly projections as a concensus that does NOT factor in weather and late injury implications; and always consider the MINORITY viewpoint against the average. In other words, if one site has a certain player rated vastly different than the concensus, go to that site and see if you can find out what their thinking is.
You do all that and make YOUR best decisions. And then of course your key player still gets knocked out of the game after two minutes in the first quarter and your opponent plays the 47th rated WR who goes off for 20 points anyway.
That is why we love fantasy football!
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supersecretid
Footballguy
Madd, I agree with most of what you're saying, but none of it changes the fact that we need to be told if they are factoring in weather. It's a vastly different set of information based on what they tell us in regards to this.
Polish Hammer
made of glass
Has anyone tried the simple method of PMing/emailing some staff members to ask this? (I think Dodds does the projections, no?)
Exactly. I rely very little on rankings, but if it's a close call between two players I consider the rankings.This major weather system really puts an unusual twist on things. The rankings are worthless between two close players if weather isn't considered and one player is in good weather and the other in 4 inches of snow.
I can't speak for Dodds, but I will wait until tomorrow morning when the weather forecast is more certain to factor weather into my projections.
kawaihae
Footballguy
Thanks Scruffy Washington. Classic!
madd futher
Footballguy
to supersecretid: My point was if you think any site CAN validly factor in weather conditions even a day or two ahead of gametime, then you are living in FANTASYLAND (pun intended). Sites cannot factor in weather conditions or game day injury decisions with ANY degree of accuracy. You are over-relying on site projections if you seriously think your question is relevant to setting your starting line-up.
There is just no way to know what the field conditions are gonna be in Pittsburg until just before gametime. There is a HUGE difference in whether it is snowing basically dry snow (almost no impact on the game) or whether it is rain and/or sleet which could have a huge impact.
There is no way of knowing right now whether the wind in Cleveland will be a relatively constant 15 mph from the NW, or whether it will be a swirling 10 mph with gusts up to 25? This makes a huge difference in the kicking and passing games, and these can only be accounted for right before gametime.
regarding my method of using site projections to help set my starting line-up, I inadvertantly left out one important source that I listen to EVERY week - The Audible - you guys kick ask!
There is just no way to know what the field conditions are gonna be in Pittsburg until just before gametime. There is a HUGE difference in whether it is snowing basically dry snow (almost no impact on the game) or whether it is rain and/or sleet which could have a huge impact.
There is no way of knowing right now whether the wind in Cleveland will be a relatively constant 15 mph from the NW, or whether it will be a swirling 10 mph with gusts up to 25? This makes a huge difference in the kicking and passing games, and these can only be accounted for right before gametime.
regarding my method of using site projections to help set my starting line-up, I inadvertantly left out one important source that I listen to EVERY week - The Audible - you guys kick ask!
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Das Boot
Footballguy
Some people have players in tonight's game they have to decide on.I understand waiting to see exactly what the weather forecasts will be on gameday, but we already know the general conditions will be bad for a lot of the east coast games and it would be helpful if that could be factored in now.
Part of the problem is that weather is a variable factor. The games where everyone lays eggs because the field is nearly unplayable stick out in everyone's minds, but there have been great games in bad conditions, and within one weather system there can be pockets of relative calmness among the storms - a game played at 1 EST can be fine and 4 EST terrible in the same stadium. So, I try not to overreact to weather when the matchup is otherwise good unless there is a definitive report near game time that the weather at the site is horrendous. Sorry I cant give a better answer, but you can bet Ill be paying close attention tomorrow morning.
I haven't seen any rankings out on any fantasy sites adjusted for weather......that I could tell anyway.(Like Brady not having the #1 QB ranking, that is the easy way to tell if the rankings are adjusted) If he is the top fantasy producer with the current forecast and the weather really turns out like that......man that would be crazy, but I doubt it.
Trust your gut .........and the morning weather forecast.
Good luck!!
Trust your gut .........and the morning weather forecast.
Good luck!!
supersecretid
Footballguy
Well, Vegas is still projecting the Pats to score more than anyone tomorrow. And they usually pass more than anyone. So that would lead one to believe Brady is still #1. Of course, excessive winds could mean more of the run game. But then, lots of snow could mean the opposite (it's much harder to run block in the snow than to pass block).
andy_b
Footballguy
I am sitting 15 minutes from the stadium.Their will be rain, mixed with a very strong wind during most of the Pats game according to the up to the second weather report I just watched.
I think you're right, they have Phil Dawson as the #6 kicker - if weather was taken into account I highly doubt he would be that high.
Projections updated for weather.
An email would get a lot more response than one of 10,000 threads. But yes, the weather is always factored.J
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