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Jackson and Faulk (1 Viewer)

Take Jackson then, but you will get no value out of his ADP.
By that argument, you should never draft Tomlinson, since he can never outperform his draft position.
Actually, this is a true statement. LT has never ranked higher than 3rd but the past few seasons has gone first or second.However, getting that level of production that early in the draft is most likely a good thing, as getting a player that doesn't come close to earning back his elite draft status could kill your team.

 
I saw with my own eyes last year the difference between faulk and Sjax and it wasnt even close. Watching Faulk was just flat out painful, he looked like Eddie George with the Cowboys last year and all he is now is a year older. Im not buying the 50/50 split but if Martz is dumb enough to do that than he should be fired next year. Faulk quickness and power is gone. Stick a fork in him.

 
Take Jackson then, but you will get no value out of his ADP.
By that argument, you should never draft Tomlinson, since he can never outperform his draft position.Geez, guys, ADP value is a tool that you can use, but you have to be a bit realistic about putting actual FF points on the board at some time during the selection process.
Ponyboy makes an excellent point. At times it seems the "value" propasition is over estimated. I frequently read that guys base their picks on "value". While this is a good idea, at times it seems players are avoided because their value is not in line with a given draft position.This should be a different thread and discussion but it's worth metioning for Jackson. Yuds mentioned the limited the carries Jackson may be subject to based 2 factors:

1. Rams do not rush much.

2. Faulk will steal carries.

I think the Rams will rush a little more in order to create balance. In the past 3 years the Rams have been hampered by injuries at the RB position. I think this as much as any other reason has seen the rushing attempts drop. In an effort to protect Faulk from further injury and the fact they had no other real threat until last year, the Rams may have opted to pass more. And last year both Faulk & Jackson were dinged.

As for Faulk, this is the wild card. If healthy, he will have an impact on Jackson. If however he continues to be bothered by the kness then Jackson will do very well. Based on Faulk's knee history and his missing games the last 3 years because of his knees I think it's reasonable that his knees will continue to be problem. So I expect Jackson to see no less than 275 carries this season and that should be enough to get him around top 10.

 
Okay, who freakin' cares about carries? I posted earlier in this season that the Rams were a bottom feeder when it comes to RB carries.However, I thought we were talking about FF here. Isn't it a RB's FF performance that we are trying to argue, or have we made the common mistake of confusing actual NFL stats with FF performance?By our leagues FF points, the main STL RBs posted the following rankings at the RB position:2004Faulk #24Jackson #332003Faulk #17Harris #412002Faulk #14Gordon #48Johnson, L #49Now that may not seem great, but when you add the points of the top FF RBs together, you get that Rams' top RBs earned more FF points than solo top 10 RBs like Portis (#8) & R Johnson (#10) in 2004; Alexander (#7), Taylor (#8), & R Williams (#9) in 2003; and Tomlinson (#2), Williams (#3), McAllister (#4), & Alexander (#5).That means that the FF pts are available there for a Rams' RB to jump into the top 10 if they became the main focus of the running game (like Faulk was before 2002). With Jackson showing some traits of being a true monster RB & Faulk's age & carries catching up with him in a very fast way, if Jackson does get the lion's share of the work like some of us are expecting, there is no reason why he can't perform like a bottom #1/top #2 RB - with the upside to jump into the top 5-6 RBs if Faulk really is regressing as quickly as it appeared last year.No one is arguing that Jackson ought to be one of the first 5 RBs off the board this year, but I think we are losing sight of the fact that Rams' RBs can be very effective FF RBs.

 
Okay, who freakin' cares about carries? I posted earlier in this season that the Rams were a bottom feeder when it comes to RB carries.

However, I thought we were talking about FF here. Isn't it a RB's FF performance that we are trying to argue, or have we made the common mistake of confusing actual NFL stats with FF performance?

By our leagues FF points, the main STL RBs posted the following rankings at the RB position:

2004

Faulk #24

Jackson #33

2003

Faulk #17

Harris #41

2002

Faulk #14

Gordon #48

Johnson, L #49

Now that may not seem great, but when you add the points of the top FF RBs together, you get that Rams' top RBs earned more FF points than solo top 10 RBs like Portis (#8) & R Johnson (#10) in 2004; Alexander (#7), Taylor (#8), & R Williams (#9) in 2003; and Tomlinson (#2), Williams (#3), McAllister (#4), & Alexander (#5).

That means that the FF pts are available there for a Rams' RB to jump into the top 10 if they became the main focus of the running game (like Faulk was before 2002). With Jackson showing some traits of being a true monster RB & Faulk's age & carries catching up with him in a very fast way, if Jackson does get the lion's share of the work like some of us are expecting, there is no reason why he can't perform like a bottom #1/top #2 RB - with the upside to jump into the top 5-6 RBs if Faulk really is regressing as quickly as it appeared last year.

No one is arguing that Jackson ought to be one of the first 5 RBs off the board this year, but I think we are losing sight of the fact that Rams' RBs can be very effective FF RBs.
I think a couple of you are missing the point here. The Rams have not really rushed much the past 3 years but more importantly, the RBs have no been anywhere near as effective. The total workload of the running backs has been fairly constant but usage dipped about 10% the past three seasons. Here are the numbers.1999

388-1867-12 rushing

110-1268-7 receiving

498-3135-19 total

427.5 fantasy points

0.858 fantasy points per touch

2000

332-1687-25 rushing

102-959-9 receiving

434-2672-34 total

471.2 fantasy points

1.086 fantasy points per touch

2001

354-1870-19 rushing

105-957-10 receiving

459-2827-29 total

456.7 fantasy points

0.995 fantasy points per touch

2002

298-1236-9 rushing

124-895-4 receiving

422-2131-13 total

291.1 fantasy points

0.690 fantasy points per touch

2003

366-1370-15 rushing

68-451-1 receiving

434-1821-16 total

278.1 fantasy points

0.641 fantasy points per touch

2004

352-1516-8 rushing

84-614-1 receiving

436-2130-9 total

267 fantasy points

0.612 fantasy points per touch

I notice a substantial drop off in production, based largely due to much fewer TDs and lower receiving totals. Fewer touched + worse production, IMO does not = great fantasy production.

In the Rams' case, I see little that has changed to suggest that the team will function much differently. The coaching staff is the same (why, I don't know), the players are essentially the same, and the game plan on the surface appears to be based on airing it out.

Add in the Faulk factor (as I mentioned previously--if he's on the roster and some what healthy, I can't see him only holding a clipboard), and I don't see this as a breeding ground for great fantasy numbers.

Adding up ALL the touches and assigning them to a single RB, IMO, is not a valid argument. You could do that for ANY NFL team, and the result would be a Top 10 fantasy RB. I doubt Jackson (or 95% of all RBs) will get 435 carries on the season.

Unless the Rams redesign their game plan a decent amount AND they are a lot more effective using RBs to get in the end zone AND Faulk gets very little work, THEN Jackson would reap the benefits and be a top fantasy RB this season.

I wonder if that is really going to happen. Could it? Yes. Would I bet my team's success this season on it? I doubt it.

This could turn out to be a Barlow/Hearst, Dunn/Duckett, early Barber/Dayne, Staley/Bettis situation--and rarely does one party put up Top 10 numbers (if it did evolve to that).

 
Despite your excuses for him, the guy went 3 for 13 inside the 5 with a ridiculously low average, with all three successes coming early in the season. 3 for 13. 6 yards. Among guys with 10+ carries, he had the WORST ratio in the league. It take a pretty impressive spin to make that look good.
I'll agree with you that Jackson was better than Faulk inside the 5 last year. St. Louis had just 24 rushing attempts inside the 5 last year, Jackson had 8 of them, and he scored on three of them. But the sample size is very misleading. Steven Jackson scored four TDs, against two bottom ten defenses and two teams that had already clinched their exact playoff berth and had nothing to play for. He broke the 70 yard mark exactly twice last season, against San Francisco, one of the worst defenses in the league, and against a Philly team that had nothing to play for. His completion ratio statistics are in question because of the small sample size.

Marshall Faulk got stuffed against two top four defenses but scored during meaningful games. Again, the statistics you're throwing out are in question because of the small sample size. And while you're apparently not interested in the fact that Faulk got a receiving TD, I think it shows that he is still a threat to score both rushing and receiving from inside the ten on a team that has traditionally used short yardage passes to their running back to score inside the red zone. The fact that Jackson did not have one catch inside the ten yard line does not bode well for him taking that place.

Marsall Faulk held the single season TD record until Holmes broke it, because he caught eight TD passes along with his eighteen rushing TDs. He's still a threat in the red zone, and his versatility is why he will be in red zone and goal line packages. Steven Jackson appears to be the type of player that can run it in, but the quality of the competition against whom he's done it is suspect. I already conceded earlier in this thread that Jackson will probably get more goal line looks, but I think it's too early to discount Faulk entirely.

 
I plan on using Faulk in an offensive flex position....and don't fell bad about it....He will never be the same but he is not done producing yet in my opinion...and a situational Faulk can still be better than a lot of other players starting on Sunday.....time will tell :popcorn:

 
Okay, who freakin' cares about carries?  I posted earlier in this season that the Rams were a bottom feeder when it comes to RB carries.

However, I thought we were talking about FF here.  Isn't it a RB's FF performance that we are trying to argue, or have we made the common mistake of confusing actual NFL stats with FF performance?

By our leagues FF points,  the main STL RBs posted the following rankings at the RB position:

2004

Faulk #24

Jackson #33

2003

Faulk #17

Harris #41

2002

Faulk #14

Gordon #48

Johnson, L #49

Now that may not seem great, but when you add the points of the top FF RBs together, you get that Rams' top RBs earned more FF points than solo top 10 RBs like Portis (#8) & R Johnson (#10) in 2004; Alexander (#7), Taylor (#8), & R Williams (#9) in 2003; and Tomlinson (#2), Williams (#3), McAllister (#4), & Alexander (#5).

That means that the FF pts are available there for a Rams' RB to jump into the top 10 if they became the main focus of the running game (like Faulk was before 2002).  With Jackson showing some traits of being a true monster RB & Faulk's age & carries catching up with him in a very fast way, if Jackson does get the lion's share of the work like some of us are expecting, there is no reason why he can't perform like a bottom #1/top #2 RB - with the upside to jump into the top 5-6 RBs if Faulk really is regressing as quickly as it appeared last year.

No one is arguing that Jackson ought to be one of the first 5 RBs off the board this year, but I think we are losing sight of the fact that Rams' RBs can be very effective FF RBs.
I think a couple of you are missing the point here. The Rams have not really rushed much the past 3 years but more importantly, the RBs have no been anywhere near as effective. The total workload of the running backs has been fairly constant but usage dipped about 10% the past three seasons. Here are the numbers.1999

388-1867-12 rushing

110-1268-7 receiving

498-3135-19 total

427.5 fantasy points

0.858 fantasy points per touch

2000

332-1687-25 rushing

102-959-9 receiving

434-2672-34 total

471.2 fantasy points

1.086 fantasy points per touch

2001

354-1870-19 rushing

105-957-10 receiving

459-2827-29 total

456.7 fantasy points

0.995 fantasy points per touch

2002

298-1236-9 rushing

124-895-4 receiving

422-2131-13 total

291.1 fantasy points

0.690 fantasy points per touch

2003

366-1370-15 rushing

68-451-1 receiving

434-1821-16 total

278.1 fantasy points

0.641 fantasy points per touch

2004

352-1516-8 rushing

84-614-1 receiving

436-2130-9 total

267 fantasy points

0.612 fantasy points per touch

I notice a substantial drop off in production, based largely due to much fewer TDs and lower receiving totals. Fewer touched + worse production, IMO does not = great fantasy production.

In the Rams' case, I see little that has changed to suggest that the team will function much differently. The coaching staff is the same (why, I don't know), the players are essentially the same, and the game plan on the surface appears to be based on airing it out.

Add in the Faulk factor (as I mentioned previously--if he's on the roster and some what healthy, I can't see him only holding a clipboard), and I don't see this as a breeding ground for great fantasy numbers.

Adding up ALL the touches and assigning them to a single RB, IMO, is not a valid argument. You could do that for ANY NFL team, and the result would be a Top 10 fantasy RB. I doubt Jackson (or 95% of all RBs) will get 435 carries on the season.

Unless the Rams redesign their game plan a decent amount AND they are a lot more effective using RBs to get in the end zone AND Faulk gets very little work, THEN Jackson would reap the benefits and be a top fantasy RB this season.

I wonder if that is really going to happen. Could it? Yes. Would I bet my team's success this season on it? I doubt it.

This could turn out to be a Barlow/Hearst, Dunn/Duckett, early Barber/Dayne, Staley/Bettis situation--and rarely does one party put up Top 10 numbers (if it did evolve to that).
:goodposting: I would also add that the dropoff in the numbers from the running back position came as Faulk started to get hurt and his skills dropped off. But remember that the point they dropped off from was Faulk holding BOTH the total TDs record AND the total yards record. That's just ridiculous. It's unreasonable to expect than any running back - especially one with 134 career carries - is going to bring the Rams running back position back up to its 1999-2001 levels.

 
:whistle:
Marshall Faulk - STL - ADP: 95 overall, RB 39 3 votes Colin Dowling - I know Steven Jackson is going to get the bulk of the work out of the Rams backfield, and I’ve never been one for nostalgia, but come on! Marshall Faulk going as an RB4? The same Marshall Faulk that looked positively human in 2004, yet still finished the season with 50 receptions and four yards per carry? Truth is, Faulk was a disappointment in 2004 because he didn’t score many touchdowns. However, to think he is going to be put out to pasture just because Jackson is getting the bulk of the carries is faulty logic. While I don’t expect top-10 numbers, I would be surprised if Faulk didn’t outperform his draft spot. Andy Hicks - Steven Jackson has been announced as the starter, and Marshall Faulk has been told he’ll be the back up. While not the back he was in his dominating prime, Faulk deserves to be considered higher than he currently is. Steven Jackson has already suffered injuries in his short career, and Mike Martz has lost patience with other high picks in the past, notably Trung Canidate and Lamar Gordon. Faulk is still a brilliant receiver and capable runner, and if Martz loses fortitude with Jackson expect his old security blanket Marshall Faulk to see more action. Did I mention goalline back? Chris Smith - Faulk is certainly not the player he once was, but with Steven Jackson getting more of the work, Faulk should be fresh throughout the season and could get a lot of passes thrown his way. He’ll get his touches and certainly is worth more than the 42nd running back taken.
 
I know I've been arguing that Faulk is going to take away from Jackson, but I think 42nd is a decent ADP for him. He's going to score a lot more than most backups/#2 RBBC guys, and will probably finished ahead of RB42, but unlike other guys in his position, if Jackson gets hurt, Faulk probably doesn't become a true stud anymroe. He's a good guy to have if you need a spot start, and he could pull a Bettis after taking some carries off, but he doesn't seem to have as much upside as some of the other backups out there. But an interesting strategy in a start 2 league, would be to start with two top RBs, wait a while and take a Marshall Faulk as my RB3 and take a couple shots on Maurice Morris and Dominic Rhodes type guys who would be huge if anything happened to Alexander or Edge. Faulk's a decent bye week guy or emergency starter, but your lottery tickets should be guys who could step in and be top 10 guys right away.

 
Dont buy this at all. Jackson's play will force Martz to keep him on the field. The kids a stud who can do it all, and Faulk looked awful last year. I dont see Martz as a big "loyalty" guy.
Wonder if you'd be singing the same tune if you weren't a Jackson owner :rolleyes:

 
Agree with BF. I don't think Faulk has the upside of some bench-type guys, but I'd be a lot more comfortable using a roster spot on Faulk then guys that will ONLY get serious looks in the event of injury ahead of them (Like Mo Morris). Faulk should be a nice value-play as a Flex player in 12+ team leagues.COlin

 
Dont buy this at all.  Jackson's play will force Martz to keep him on the field.  The kids a stud who can do it all, and Faulk looked awful last year.  I dont see Martz as a big "loyalty" guy.
Wonder if you'd be singing the same tune if you weren't a Jackson owner :rolleyes:
I'm singing the same tune because of how pathetic faulk looked last year. :(
 
Dont buy this at all. Jackson's play will force Martz to keep him on the field. The kids a stud who can do it all, and Faulk looked awful last year. I dont see Martz as a big "loyalty" guy.
Wonder if you'd be singing the same tune if you weren't a Jackson owner :rolleyes:
I'm singing the same tune because of how pathetic faulk looked last year. :(
Exactly. Well that and the fact that its JUNE
 
As long as Jackson is healthy and starting, Im almost positive that he will perform at a level that will make it next to impossible to put him in a commitee scenario.
Actually this is something I'm worried about. Jackson had a hard time staying healthy last year. As a Rams homer, I'm avoiding these guys like the plague....
 
As long as Jackson is healthy and starting, Im almost positive that he will perform at a level that will make it next to impossible to put him in a commitee scenario.
Actually this is something I'm worried about. Jackson had a hard time staying healthy last year. As a Rams homer, I'm avoiding these guys like the plague....
This will be a change of pace but I agree with you fanatic. Jackson had his knee scoped twice in the past and now playing most of his games on turf I'm just wondering how durable he'll be. I do like his all around game and being a ram homer myself hope nothing but the best for him but I would be alittle worried if I was basing my whole season on him.
 
As long as Jackson is healthy and starting, Im almost positive that he will perform at a level that will make it next to impossible to put him in a commitee scenario.
Actually this is something I'm worried about. Jackson had a hard time staying healthy last year. As a Rams homer, I'm avoiding these guys like the plague....
This will be a change of pace but I agree with you fanatic. Jackson had his knee scoped twice in the past and now playing most of his games on turf I'm just wondering how durable he'll be. I do like his all around game and being a ram homer myself hope nothing but the best for him but I would be alittle worried if I was basing my whole season on him.
Well he wont be playing on turf anymore, so hopefully that helps the knees.
 
Dont buy this at all.  Jackson's play will force Martz to keep him on the field.  The kids a stud who can do it all, and Faulk looked awful last year.  I dont see Martz as a big "loyalty" guy.
Wonder if you'd be singing the same tune if you weren't a Jackson owner :rolleyes:
I'm singing the same tune because of how pathetic faulk looked last year. :(
I think that's the thing people aren't acknowledging. Even aside from all of the statistical evidence, anybody who watched Faulk last knows that he isn't the same guy.I had Jackson and Faulk in one dynasty league last year so I watched a fair amount St Louis games. So many times I saw a smaller RB in the game but couldn't see the number and said to myself, "Who do they have in there, because tht sure as Hell isn't Marshall Faulk". And it always turned out it WAS Faulk, or what is left of him. He has basically no explosion or quickness left to his game. He's still a smart veteran player and probably a great mentor (which is why he is still on the team at a reduced salary), but he really isn't an effective starting RB anymore. It doesn't matter if he is "fresh" or not, he isn't the same, and that's why I'm not too worried about it being a RBBC deal, or a situation where the shell of Faulk is going to replace an extremely effective, 233 pound Steven Jackson on the goal-line. Faulk still has his smarts and hands, which will make him an effective 3rd down back, but I also think the receiving game is one one of Jackson's strengths as well (though it hasn't shown yet), so he won't be pulled on ALL 3rd downs.

Does anyone here really think that if Marshall Faulk was anywhere NEAR the same back he used to be, that Steven Jackson would have been named the starter? The guy is a legend. If he could play, he would start. Since he can't, he'll mentor and fill-in from time to time, just like any other backup RB.

I dumped Faulk midway through the season in that league by the way.

 
As long as Jackson is healthy and starting, Im almost positive that he will perform at a level that will make it next to impossible to put him in a commitee scenario.
Actually this is something I'm worried about. Jackson had a hard time staying healthy last year. As a Rams homer, I'm avoiding these guys like the plague....
I worry about that as well. He's very young to have had a couple of cleanups done already, and considering his size, I'm concerned about a short career.But, you can say that about a lot of backs, and at some point if the rest of the picutre is in place (which I think it is for Jackson), you have to just hope for the best on the health front. RB is a tough place to stay healthy for anyone.

 
Does anyone here really think that if Marshall Faulk was anywhere NEAR the same back he used to be, that Steven Jackson would have been named the starter? The guy is a legend. If he could play, he would start. Since he can't, he'll mentor and fill-in from time to time, just like any other backup RB.
Yea and the decline has been evident, which is why St Louis took Jackson in the 1st rd last year, with big time needs on defense.
 
Ponyboy makes an excellent point. At times it seems the "value" propasition is over estimated. I frequently read that guys base their picks on "value". While this is a good idea, at times it seems players are avoided because their value is not in line with a given draft position.

This should be a different thread and discussion but it's worth metioning for Jackson. Yuds mentioned the limited the carries Jackson may be subject to based 2 factors:

1. Rams do not rush much.

2. Faulk will steal carries.

I think the Rams will rush a little more in order to create balance. In the past 3 years the Rams have been hampered by injuries at the RB position. I think this as much as any other reason has seen the rushing attempts drop. In an effort to protect Faulk from further injury and the fact they had no other real threat until last year, the Rams may have opted to pass more. And last year both Faulk & Jackson were dinged.

As for Faulk, this is the wild card. If healthy, he will have an impact on Jackson. If however he continues to be bothered by the kness then Jackson will do very well. Based on Faulk's knee history and his missing games the last 3 years because of his knees I think it's reasonable that his knees will continue to be problem. So I expect Jackson to see no less than 275 carries this season and that should be enough to get him around top 10.
What is leading you to believe they will go with a more balanced attack this year? Just a hunch? Cause there are no stats or facts to show me why Martz wouldn't continue with what he has done for ages now. Why all of a sudden in 2005, will they change? It seems you are basing Jackson having 275 carries and then being a Top 10 Rb heavily on a hunch that you think the Rams will run the ball more.No less than 275 carries for Jackson? Can you please show me your projections for Rams carries and the breakdown to each RB? I am very curious. You keep throwing out 275 carries, yet have not really backed it up. Do you realize how little the Rams run and how with 275 carries for Jackson, that would leave Faulk with ~65 carries. You honestly think Faulk will have a decline of 130 carries over one year? Even though he is going to be on the field lots on 3rd downs and 2 RB sets. You think with Faulk and Martz's relationship, that Faulk's contributions will diminish that much? I highly doubt it, and like Yuds said, if Faulk ws going to be a bonafide backup with ~65 carries that he would have retired.

 
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Ponyboy makes an excellent point. At times it seems the "value" propasition is over estimated. I frequently read that guys base their picks on "value". While this is a good idea, at times it seems players are avoided because their value is not in line with a given draft position.

This should be a different thread and discussion but it's worth metioning for Jackson. Yuds mentioned the limited the carries Jackson may be subject to based 2 factors:

1. Rams do not rush much.

2. Faulk will steal carries.

I think the Rams will rush a little more in order to create balance. In the past 3 years the Rams have been hampered by injuries at the RB position. I think this as much as any other reason has seen the rushing attempts drop. In an effort to protect Faulk from further injury and the fact they had no other real threat until last year, the Rams may have opted to pass more. And last year both Faulk & Jackson were dinged.

As for Faulk, this is the wild card. If healthy, he will have an impact on Jackson. If however he continues to be bothered by the kness then Jackson will do very well. Based on Faulk's knee history and his missing games the last 3 years because of his knees I think it's reasonable that his knees will continue to be problem. So I expect Jackson to see no less than 275 carries this season and that should be enough to get him around top 10.
What is leading you to believe they will go with a more balanced attack this year? Just a hunch? Cause there are no stats or facts to show me why Martz wouldn't continue with what he has done for ages now. Why all of a sudden in 2005, will they change? It seems you are basing Jackson having 275 carries and then being a Top 10 Rb heavily on a hunch that you think the Rams will run the ball more.No less than 275 carries for Jackson? Can you please show me your projections for Rams carries and the breakdown to each RB? I am very curious. You keep throwing out 275 carries, yet have not really backed it up. Do you realize how little the Rams run and how with 275 carries for Jackson, that would leave Faulk with ~65 carries. You honestly think Faulk will have a decline of 130 carries over one year? Even though he is going to be on the field lots on 3rd downs and 2 RB sets. You think with Faulk and Martz's relationship, that Faulk's contributions will diminish that much? I highly doubt it, and like Yuds said, if Faulk ws going to be a bonafide backup with ~65 carries that he would have retired.
Correct me if I'm wrong but isnt that what happens to RB's once they are the BACKUP? Doesn't that mean your carries will diminish drastically. Faulk was still the starter last season, with him now being the backup I would "assume" his carries would drop. :confused:
 
Ponyboy makes an excellent point. At times it seems the "value" propasition is over estimated. I frequently read that guys base their picks on "value". While this is a good idea, at times it seems players are avoided because their value is not in line with a given draft position.

This should be a different thread and discussion but it's worth metioning for Jackson. Yuds mentioned the limited the carries Jackson may be subject to based 2 factors:

1. Rams do not rush much.

2. Faulk will steal carries.

I think the Rams will rush a little more in order to create balance. In the past 3 years the Rams have been hampered by injuries at the RB position. I think this as much as any other reason has seen the rushing attempts drop. In an effort to protect Faulk from further injury and the fact they had no other real threat until last year, the Rams may have opted to pass more. And last year both Faulk & Jackson were dinged.

As for Faulk, this is the wild card. If healthy, he will have an impact on Jackson. If however he continues to be bothered by the kness then Jackson will do very well. Based on Faulk's knee history and his missing games the last 3 years because of his knees I think it's reasonable that his knees will continue to be problem. So I expect Jackson to see no less than 275 carries this season and that should be enough to get him around top 10.
What is leading you to believe they will go with a more balanced attack this year? Just a hunch? Cause there are no stats or facts to show me why Martz wouldn't continue with what he has done for ages now. Why all of a sudden in 2005, will they change? It seems you are basing Jackson having 275 carries and then being a Top 10 Rb heavily on a hunch that you think the Rams will run the ball more.No less than 275 carries for Jackson? Can you please show me your projections for Rams carries and the breakdown to each RB? I am very curious. You keep throwing out 275 carries, yet have not really backed it up. Do you realize how little the Rams run and how with 275 carries for Jackson, that would leave Faulk with ~65 carries. You honestly think Faulk will have a decline of 130 carries over one year? Even though he is going to be on the field lots on 3rd downs and 2 RB sets. You think with Faulk and Martz's relationship, that Faulk's contributions will diminish that much? I highly doubt it, and like Yuds said, if Faulk ws going to be a bonafide backup with ~65 carries that he would have retired.
Correct me if I'm wrong but isnt that what happens to RB's once they are the BACKUP? Doesn't that mean your carries will diminish drastically. Faulk was still the starter last season, with him now being the backup I would "assume" his carries would drop. :confused:
But is Faulk a true backup in the sense that he'll only play when Jackson is tired or the game is out of hand? That is a true backup and thinking that Faulk will be simply a backup is being pretty naiive.
 
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Ponyboy makes an excellent point. At times it seems the "value" propasition is over estimated. I frequently read that guys base their picks on "value". While this is a good idea, at times it seems players are avoided because their value is not in line with a given draft position.

This should be a different thread and discussion but it's worth metioning for Jackson. Yuds mentioned the limited the carries Jackson may be subject to based 2 factors:

1. Rams do not rush much.

2. Faulk will steal carries.

I think the Rams will rush a little more in order to create balance. In the past 3 years the Rams have been hampered by injuries at the RB position. I think this as much as any other reason has seen the rushing attempts drop. In an effort to protect Faulk from further injury and the fact they had no other real threat until last year, the Rams may have opted to pass more. And last year both Faulk & Jackson were dinged.

As for Faulk, this is the wild card. If healthy, he will have an impact on Jackson. If however he continues to be bothered by the kness then Jackson will do very well. Based on Faulk's knee history and his missing games the last 3 years because of his knees I think it's reasonable that his knees will continue to be problem. So I expect Jackson to see no less than 275 carries this season and that should be enough to get him around top 10.
What is leading you to believe they will go with a more balanced attack this year? Just a hunch? Cause there are no stats or facts to show me why Martz wouldn't continue with what he has done for ages now. Why all of a sudden in 2005, will they change? It seems you are basing Jackson having 275 carries and then being a Top 10 Rb heavily on a hunch that you think the Rams will run the ball more.No less than 275 carries for Jackson? Can you please show me your projections for Rams carries and the breakdown to each RB? I am very curious. You keep throwing out 275 carries, yet have not really backed it up. Do you realize how little the Rams run and how with 275 carries for Jackson, that would leave Faulk with ~65 carries. You honestly think Faulk will have a decline of 130 carries over one year? Even though he is going to be on the field lots on 3rd downs and 2 RB sets. You think with Faulk and Martz's relationship, that Faulk's contributions will diminish that much? I highly doubt it, and like Yuds said, if Faulk ws going to be a bonafide backup with ~65 carries that he would have retired.
Correct me if I'm wrong but isnt that what happens to RB's once they are the BACKUP? Doesn't that mean your carries will diminish drastically. Faulk was still the starter last season, with him now being the backup I would "assume" his carries would drop. :confused:
But is Faulk a true backup in the sense that he'll only play when Jackson is tired or the game is out of hand? That is a true backup and thinking that Faulk will be simply a backup is being pretty naiive.
Yep, that is the definition of a backup, and that is what Faulk will be, naive or not.
 
Ponyboy makes an excellent point. At times it seems the "value" propasition is over estimated. I frequently read that guys base their picks on "value". While this is a good idea, at times it seems players are avoided because their value is not in line with a given draft position.

This should be a different thread and discussion but it's worth metioning for Jackson. Yuds mentioned the limited the carries Jackson may be subject to based 2 factors:

1. Rams do not rush much.

2. Faulk will steal carries.

I think the Rams will rush a little more in order to create balance. In the past 3 years the Rams have been hampered by injuries at the RB position. I think this as much as any other reason has seen the rushing attempts drop. In an effort to protect Faulk from further injury and the fact they had no other real threat until last year, the Rams may have opted to pass more. And last year both Faulk & Jackson were dinged.

As for Faulk, this is the wild card. If healthy, he will have an impact on Jackson. If however he continues to be bothered by the kness then Jackson will do very well. Based on Faulk's knee history and his missing games the last 3 years because of his knees I think it's reasonable that his knees will continue to be problem. So I expect Jackson to see no less than 275 carries this season and that should be enough to get him around top 10.
What is leading you to believe they will go with a more balanced attack this year? Just a hunch? Cause there are no stats or facts to show me why Martz wouldn't continue with what he has done for ages now. Why all of a sudden in 2005, will they change? It seems you are basing Jackson having 275 carries and then being a Top 10 Rb heavily on a hunch that you think the Rams will run the ball more.No less than 275 carries for Jackson? Can you please show me your projections for Rams carries and the breakdown to each RB? I am very curious. You keep throwing out 275 carries, yet have not really backed it up. Do you realize how little the Rams run and how with 275 carries for Jackson, that would leave Faulk with ~65 carries. You honestly think Faulk will have a decline of 130 carries over one year? Even though he is going to be on the field lots on 3rd downs and 2 RB sets. You think with Faulk and Martz's relationship, that Faulk's contributions will diminish that much? I highly doubt it, and like Yuds said, if Faulk ws going to be a bonafide backup with ~65 carries that he would have retired.
Correct me if I'm wrong but isnt that what happens to RB's once they are the BACKUP? Doesn't that mean your carries will diminish drastically. Faulk was still the starter last season, with him now being the backup I would "assume" his carries would drop. :confused:
But is Faulk a true backup in the sense that he'll only play when Jackson is tired or the game is out of hand? That is a true backup and thinking that Faulk will be simply a backup is being pretty naiive.
Yep, that is the definition of a backup, and that is what Faulk will be, naive or not.
Wow. I didn't realize that's what you were saying. Do you have a link that says Faulk will only come in to spell Jackson? Because I haven't seen that at all.
 
Ponyboy makes an excellent point. At times it seems the "value" propasition is over estimated. I frequently read that guys base their picks on "value". While this is a good idea, at times it seems players are avoided because their value is not in line with a given draft position.

This should be a different thread and discussion but it's worth metioning for Jackson. Yuds mentioned the limited the carries Jackson may be subject to based 2 factors:

1. Rams do not rush much.

2. Faulk will steal carries.

I think the Rams will rush a little more in order to create balance. In the past 3 years the Rams have been hampered by injuries at the RB position. I think this as much as any other reason has seen the rushing attempts drop. In an effort to protect Faulk from further injury and the fact they had no other real threat until last year, the Rams may have opted to pass more. And last year both Faulk & Jackson were dinged.

As for Faulk, this is the wild card. If healthy, he will have an impact on Jackson. If however he continues to be bothered by the kness then Jackson will do very well. Based on Faulk's knee history and his missing games the last 3 years because of his knees I think it's reasonable that his knees will continue to be problem. So I expect Jackson to see no less than 275 carries this season and that should be enough to get him around top 10.
What is leading you to believe they will go with a more balanced attack this year? Just a hunch? Cause there are no stats or facts to show me why Martz wouldn't continue with what he has done for ages now. Why all of a sudden in 2005, will they change? It seems you are basing Jackson having 275 carries and then being a Top 10 Rb heavily on a hunch that you think the Rams will run the ball more.No less than 275 carries for Jackson? Can you please show me your projections for Rams carries and the breakdown to each RB? I am very curious. You keep throwing out 275 carries, yet have not really backed it up. Do you realize how little the Rams run and how with 275 carries for Jackson, that would leave Faulk with ~65 carries. You honestly think Faulk will have a decline of 130 carries over one year? Even though he is going to be on the field lots on 3rd downs and 2 RB sets. You think with Faulk and Martz's relationship, that Faulk's contributions will diminish that much? I highly doubt it, and like Yuds said, if Faulk ws going to be a bonafide backup with ~65 carries that he would have retired.
Correct me if I'm wrong but isnt that what happens to RB's once they are the BACKUP? Doesn't that mean your carries will diminish drastically. Faulk was still the starter last season, with him now being the backup I would "assume" his carries would drop. :confused:
But is Faulk a true backup in the sense that he'll only play when Jackson is tired or the game is out of hand? That is a true backup and thinking that Faulk will be simply a backup is being pretty naiive.
From what I saw from faulk last year it's pretty realistic. Martz DID name Sjax as the starter did he not?
 
Wow. I didn't realize that's what you were saying. Do you have a link that says Faulk will only come in to spell Jackson? Because I haven't seen that at all.
Well, on the first page of this thread, Martz was saying that Faulk would play a much greter role . . .
"Marshall's role will be very significant. It's not limited. But it's important for Marshall to get Steven in this role so that he can mentor him and they can kind of feed off each other. It allows us to use Marshall maybe even in a different role, too, out of the backfield. Maybe both of them in the backfield. But the whole idea here is, as soon as we made that decision, it's not an issue throughout the offseason for anybody." This could be a 50-50 deal throughout the season.
We'll have to see how it plays out, but I don't see Marshall sitting on the bench a ton if he can play and contribute. He won't be a majority ball carrier, but I don't see him getting 2 carries a game either.
 
Ponyboy makes an excellent point. At times it seems the "value" propasition is over estimated. I frequently read that guys base their picks on "value". While this is a good idea, at times it seems players are avoided because their value is not in line with a given draft position.

This should be a different thread and discussion but it's worth metioning for Jackson. Yuds mentioned the limited the carries Jackson may be subject to based 2 factors:

1. Rams do not rush much.

2. Faulk will steal carries.

I think the Rams will rush a little more in order to create balance. In the past 3 years the Rams have been hampered by injuries at the RB position. I think this as much as any other reason has seen the rushing attempts drop. In an effort to protect Faulk from further injury and the fact they had no other real threat until last year, the Rams may have opted to pass more. And last year both Faulk & Jackson were dinged.

As for Faulk, this is the wild card. If healthy, he will have an impact on Jackson. If however he continues to be bothered by the kness then Jackson will do very well. Based on Faulk's knee history and his missing games the last 3 years because of his knees I think it's reasonable that his knees will continue to be problem. So I expect Jackson to see no less than 275 carries this season and that should be enough to get him around top 10.
What is leading you to believe they will go with a more balanced attack this year? Just a hunch? Cause there are no stats or facts to show me why Martz wouldn't continue with what he has done for ages now. Why all of a sudden in 2005, will they change? It seems you are basing Jackson having 275 carries and then being a Top 10 Rb heavily on a hunch that you think the Rams will run the ball more.No less than 275 carries for Jackson? Can you please show me your projections for Rams carries and the breakdown to each RB? I am very curious. You keep throwing out 275 carries, yet have not really backed it up. Do you realize how little the Rams run and how with 275 carries for Jackson, that would leave Faulk with ~65 carries. You honestly think Faulk will have a decline of 130 carries over one year? Even though he is going to be on the field lots on 3rd downs and 2 RB sets. You think with Faulk and Martz's relationship, that Faulk's contributions will diminish that much? I highly doubt it, and like Yuds said, if Faulk ws going to be a bonafide backup with ~65 carries that he would have retired.
Correct me if I'm wrong but isnt that what happens to RB's once they are the BACKUP? Doesn't that mean your carries will diminish drastically. Faulk was still the starter last season, with him now being the backup I would "assume" his carries would drop. :confused:
But is Faulk a true backup in the sense that he'll only play when Jackson is tired or the game is out of hand? That is a true backup and thinking that Faulk will be simply a backup is being pretty naiive.
Yep, that is the definition of a backup, and that is what Faulk will be, naive or not.
Wow. I didn't realize that's what you were saying. Do you have a link that says Faulk will only come in to spell Jackson? Because I haven't seen that at all.
Don't need a "link". All you needed to do was watch Jackson and Faulk play last year, or compare the stats for both of them. Either activity would convince a reasonable person that Faulk will be a true backup in 2005. Doing both should convince ANYONE.I know, I know - Faulk is "healthy" and "fresh" this year and this is the "best he's felt" in forever. I heard that in 2003 and I head it again in 2004. Now I've heard it in 2005, but I doubt it's any more true than it was for the previous two years.

 
We'll have to see how it plays out, but I don't see Marshall sitting on the bench a ton if he can play and contribute. He won't be a majority ball carrier, but I don't see him getting 2 carries a game either.
Bold & italicized the key words. Guys who think it will be 50/50 or that Faulk will take a significant portion of work think Faulk can still play effectively at a starting RB level. Those who are pimping Jackson (like me) don't think Faulk can play at that level anymore.It's a damn shame, too. Faulk has been one of the best there ever was, but watching faulk play now is just as painful as watching Rice let a simple 10 yd out go right through his hands without ever touching it.

:no:

 
Don't need a "link". All you needed to do was watch Jackson and Faulk play last year, or compare the stats for both of them. Either activity would convince a reasonable person that Faulk will be a true backup in 2005. Doing both should convince ANYONE.I know, I know - Faulk is "healthy" and "fresh" this year and this is the "best he's felt" in forever. I heard that in 2003 and I head it again in 2004. Now I've heard it in 2005, but I doubt it's any more true than it was for the previous two years.
With all due respect, the only person's opinion that matters is Martz', and that rules out your "reasonable person" argument. If Martz used more reason over the years, St. Louis would have more than one title. All along he should have been running the ball more. "Reason" and "Martz" can rarely share the same sentence.I don't mean to sound unduely critical of martz--he's a head coach and, well, I'm not. But his play calling over the years has been . . . suspect . . . on numerous occasions.On a dating perspective, I liken this to the old girlfriend that guys keep around. If they truly were ex-girlfriends, then they wouldn't be around. Same thing for Faulk. If he's there, they are going to play him--maybe they won't ride him like they used to, but he'll get his share of use.Here are some other notable guys and how many touches they had in their last season . . .Emmitt 282Payton 179Dorsett 197Allen 135Riggins 182OJ 127Campbell 164Allen 185The heavy workload backs generally have not just hung around to watch. Ottis Anderson and Herschel Walker stuck around a couple extra seasons to play on special teams. There were a few RB that tried to catch on with another team and quickly called it a day after a couple of games. Others played until they got hurt and couldn't go anymore.Maybe Faulk will try to play for a couple of games and then pack it in. But guys like John Wayne don't go from being the star of the show to cameo roles very often.
 
Here are some other notable guys and how many touches they had in their last season . . .

Emmitt 282

Payton 179

Dorsett 197

Allen 135

Riggins 182

OJ 127

Campbell 164

Allen 185
And here are the RBs who have had the most career touches in NFL history:Smith,Emmitt 4924

Payton,Walter 4330

Martin,Curtis 3758

Allen,Marcus 3609

Bettis,Jerome 3565

Faulk,Marshall 3494

Sanders,Barry 3414

Thomas,Thurman 3349

Dorsett,Tony 3334

Dickerson,Eric 3277

Harris,Franco 3256

Riggins,John 3166

George,Eddie 3133

Watters,Ricky 3089

Anderson,Ottis 2938

Brown,Jim 2621

To expect more starting quality touches out of Faulk just isn't realistic anymore. The guy is already 6th on the list in NFL history - he's defied huge odds. Unfortunately, and you could see it in his play last season, his time has come.

 
To expect more starting quality touches out of Faulk just isn't realistic anymore. The guy is already 6th on the list in NFL history - he's defied huge odds. Unfortunately, and you could see it in his play last season, his time has come.
I don't disagree that Faulk should hang up his cleats, but our opinions don't mean anything. The fact of the matter is that Faulk is still donning shoulder pads and will be jogging on to the field each week in some capacity. Should that change, I might have a different outlook on Jackson.
 
I don't disagree that Faulk should hang up his cleats, but our opinions don't mean anything.
That may be true; however, this wouldn't be the first time a coach in fear of losing his job "sees the light". And from everything I have seen, all indicators point at Martz having a bullseye squarely on his back.
 
Don't need a "link". All you needed to do was watch Jackson and Faulk play last year, or compare the stats for both of them. Either activity would convince a reasonable person that Faulk will be a true backup in 2005. Doing both should convince ANYONE.

I know, I know - Faulk is "healthy" and "fresh" this year and this is the "best he's felt" in forever. I heard that in 2003 and I head it again in 2004. Now I've heard it in 2005, but I doubt it's any more true than it was for the previous two years.
With all due respect, the only person's opinion that matters is Martz', and that rules out your "reasonable person" argument. If Martz used more reason over the years, St. Louis would have more than one title. All along he should have been running the ball more. "Reason" and "Martz" can rarely share the same sentence.I don't mean to sound unduely critical of martz--he's a head coach and, well, I'm not. But his play calling over the years has been . . . suspect . . . on numerous occasions.

On a dating perspective, I liken this to the old girlfriend that guys keep around. If they truly were ex-girlfriends, then they wouldn't be around. Same thing for Faulk. If he's there, they are going to play him--maybe they won't ride him like they used to, but he'll get his share of use.

Here are some other notable guys and how many touches they had in their last season . . .

Emmitt 282

Payton 179

Dorsett 197

Allen 135

Riggins 182

OJ 127

Campbell 164

Allen 185

The heavy workload backs generally have not just hung around to watch. Ottis Anderson and Herschel Walker stuck around a couple extra seasons to play on special teams. There were a few RB that tried to catch on with another team and quickly called it a day after a couple of games. Others played until they got hurt and couldn't go anymore.

Maybe Faulk will try to play for a couple of games and then pack it in. But guys like John Wayne don't go from being the star of the show to cameo roles very often.
How many of those guys had a 1st round RB on their team that was labeled a starter by the head coach? I'm guessing zero.Comparing starter's numbers to a guy whose coach has acknowledged he is not the main guy anymore is not particularly relavent.

 
At a minimum, it is hard to imagine Faulk not "stealing" a significant number of TDs from Jackson, considering Faulk's red zone history.
The key word in that sentence is history. Faulk is no longer a viable goal line threat. He was absolutely dreadful in that capacity in 2004.
Even Emmit Smith had a TD drought for 1 year, and he bounced back rather nicely. Faulk can bounce back for TD purposes if he is used primarily in red zone packages.
 
At a minimum, it is hard to imagine Faulk not "stealing" a significant number of TDs from Jackson, considering Faulk's red zone history.
The key word in that sentence is history. Faulk is no longer a viable goal line threat. He was absolutely dreadful in that capacity in 2004.
Even Emmit Smith had a TD drought for 1 year, and he bounced back rather nicely. Faulk can bounce back for TD purposes if he is used primarily in red zone packages.
Emmitt "bounced back" when he was 29 and still a starter (and a star). The only place Faulk is going to bounce is out of the league.Seriously, do some of you guys honestly believe that the Marshall Faulk of 2005 would be more effective in goal-line situations than Steven Jackson? Does Martz believe that? Heck, does Faulk even believe that?

I think some of you still picture Faulk as Faulk in his prime running for 5 and a half yards per clip and nearly unstoppable in goal-line situations. Sadly, that Faulk has been gone for three years and he's not coming back.

 
Does anyone here really think that if Marshall Faulk was anywhere NEAR the same back he used to be, that Steven Jackson would have been named the starter?  The guy is a legend.  If he could play, he would start.  Since he can't, he'll mentor and fill-in from time to time, just like any other backup RB.
Yea and the decline has been evident, which is why St Louis took Jackson in the 1st rd last year, with big time needs on defense.
I expect SJax to get 75 percent of the workload. The Rams gameplan IS changing IMO, to a more running and punishing attack. If this defense is improved enough to hang on to a lead,the Rams WILL run alot more this year. All offseason moves are pointing to it. Last year the defense could not stop anyone. Plus if you remember correctly, the offensive line was completely beat up and 2 players that were starting at the end of the year were pulled from retirement. Offseason moves include drafting 3 offensive linemen, and big fullback ( to leadblock ). Signed another lineman in free agency, signed R. Williams to play TE for runblocking purposes. So there definitely is a plan to run much more, if the plan will fall into place is what we have to gamble our picks on. Plus Martz realizes that Bulger will not survive another season of getting beat up like he has. The man is highly intelligent - but is still growing as a H.C. My prediction on Sjax is based on what I saw last year, and that was Marshall is simply a shell of his former all - pro self.
 
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The Rams gameplan IS changing to a more running and punishing attack.
Where do you get this from. Mad Mike is all about showing the NFL that you can win without pounding the ball. That's practically his mission in life. Don't say his mission in life is winning football games because I've seen him lose games because he has abandoned the run and gone all pass happy. Most notably in the SB against the Pats where Marshall carried the ball all of 13 times. I see no evidence whatsoever that shows the Rams moving to a ball control/pound the ball offense. By the way, my zipcode is 63109. Right in the heart of the city of St. Louis. Please provide a link showing some support of this claim of yours instead of throwing it out there as fact....

 
The Rams gameplan IS changing to a more running and punishing attack.
Where do you get this from. Mad Mike is all about showing the NFL that you can win without pounding the ball. That's practically his mission in life. Don't say his mission in life is winning football games because I've seen him lose games because he has abandoned the run and gone all pass happy. Most notably in the SB against the Pats where Marshall carried the ball all of 13 times. I see no evidence whatsoever that shows the Rams moving to a ball control/pound the ball offense. By the way, my zipcode is 63109. Right in the heart of the city of St. Louis. Please provide a link showing some support of this claim of yours instead of throwing it out there as fact....
63385, How bout a link claiming Mad Mike's mission in life , I edited my post to make you happy, wont you be a good paisan too ?? Just giving MHO like alot of others, sorry if you're offended. My point was that the Rams didn't have a defense good enough to keep any lead safe, plus our backs seemed to take turns the entire season being hurt. To me that left the passing game is pretty much the only option for this offense to score points. I think the offseason moves are to provide more balance to the attack, and when a lead is there, to work on some clock. Punishing by holding on to the ball at the end of the game. Really don't see how where you live has anything to do with anything, as you have not seen anymore St. Louis Rams games than myself. BTW- all the above was just MHO. No link to be provided , sorry. :brush:
 
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I don't disagree that Faulk should hang up his cleats, but our opinions don't mean anything. 
That may be true; however, this wouldn't be the first time a coach in fear of losing his job "sees the light". And from everything I have seen, all indicators point at Martz having a bullseye squarely on his back.
If I remember correctly, people felt the same way about Shanahan last year when they annointed Quentin Griffin the next Barry Sanders after one game against Kansas City. And when I said "But it was against Kansas City", and "He didn't have that good a game", and "He may not make it through the season as starter", everyone laughed at me and asked what game I had watched.

 
I think the problem is that a lot of people don't actually watch the games and just look at stats.Anyone who watched Faulk last year knows he looked awful. I just don't see Martz playing the worse player in more than a very limited role barring injury.Jackson has had a year to learn the offense, is a good reciever, blocks well, and is a bright kid.Faulk was one of my favorite players ever, but he is a shell of his former self.

 
For discussion, here's Faulk's game logs:

22/128 vs. ARI (5.8 YPC - AZ gave up an average of 4.7)

12/20 vs ATL (1.7 YPC - ATL gave up an average of 3.9)

12/44 vs NO (3.7 YPC - NO gave up an average of 4.7)

23/121 vs SF (5.3 YPC - SF gave up an average of 4.0)

15/51 vs SEA (3.4 YPC - SEA gave up an average of 4.5)

15/40 vs TB (2.7 YPC - TB gave up an average of 4.1)

12/61 vs MIA (5.1 YPC - MIA gave up an average of 4.3)

12/66 vs NWE (5.5 YPC - NWE gave up an average of 3.9)

18/139 vs SEA (7.6 YPC- SEA gave up an average of 4.5)

13/6 vs BUF (.5 YPC - BUF gave up an average of 3.6) <--Knee Bruise

7/7 vs GB (1 YPC - GB gave up an average of 4.6)

MISSED GAME

MISSED GAME

10/22 vs ARI (2.2 YPC - AZ gave up an average of 4.7)

17/54 vs PHI (3.2 YPC - Philly allowed 4.3 but had clinched homefield)

7/15 vs NYJ (2.1 YPC - NYJ allowed 3.6)

Since Faulk shared time off and on with Jackson throughout the year, I used yards per rush as a statistic. Green = more than .5 YPR better than the team's YPR allowed, Red = more than .5 YPR worse.

Before the knee bruise, he was putting up decent yards per carry more often than not (5 good games, 4 bad). After the knee bruise, he put up all bad games. His best games were nothing spectacular, three 100 yard games out of his first nine, although in the interests of not getting called cheesy by HS, I left his 50 receptions for 310 yards out of the discussion; he had a 135 total yard game against Miami.

(With regards to Faulk's bad stretch of goal line carries, you can see above that they happened against the two toughest Ds he faced, New England and Buffalo)

Looking at the above chart, I don't see a guy who is completely done. I see a guy who put up decent (but unspectacular) numbers until he got hurt. It makes sense that they don't want to overwork him, because he has had problems with that knee before. But I highly doubt that means he's a <5 carry a game backup.

By the way, here's the numbers for Jackson:

7/50 vs. ARI (7.1 YPC - AZ gave up an average of 4.7)

3/10 vs ATL (3.3 YPC - ATL gave up an average of 3.9)

2/15 vs NO (7.5 YPC - NO gave up an average of 4.7)

10/46 vs SF (4.6 YPC - SF gave up an average of 4.0)

5/64 vs SEA (12.8 YPC - SEA gave up an average of 4.5)

13/48 vs TB (3.7 YPC - TB gave up an average of 4.1)

6/27 vs MIA (4.5 YPC - MIA gave up an average of 4.3)

3/1 vs NWE (.3 YPC - NWE gave up an average of 3.9)

10/47 vs SEA (4.7 YPC- SEA gave up an average of 4.5)

7/29 vs BUF (4.1 YPC - BUF gave up an average of 3.6)

8/40 vs GB (5.0 YPC - GB gave up an average of 4.6)

26/119 vs SF (4.6 YPC, SF gave up an average of 4.0) <--Knee Bruise

MISSED GAME

MISSED GAME

24/148 vs PHI (3.2 YPC - Philly allowed 4.3 but had clinched homefield)

10/29 vs NYJ (2.9 YPC - NYJ allowed 3.6)

7 well above average games, 4 well below average games, and three slightly above average games, on a yards per carry basis. That's a little better than Faulk's 5 above average games and 4 below average games against mostly the same defenses, although the very small sample size has skewed some of them (I highly doubt he'd have put up 12.8 yards per carry against Seattle, or 7.5 against New Orleans, or .3 against New England, in extended duty).

To me, I see Jackson as a guy who played a little better than Faulk last year, and earned the right to be the lead back in a running back by committee. He may even have a good run down the stretch if Faulk gets hurt, but with Faulk seeing fewer carries, it may not be as likely that Faulk gets hurt. I don't, however, see him as a guy who massively outperformed a healthy Faulk. I think that's where the disagreement comes, because HS and PB think he's the vastly better back, while I think Faulk wasn't that bad.

 
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If I remember correctly, people felt the same way about Shanahan last year when they annointed Quentin Griffin the next Barry Sanders after one game against Kansas City. And when I said "But it was against Kansas City", and "He didn't have that good a game", and "He may not make it through the season as starter", everyone laughed at me and asked what game I had watched.
The only time I have laughed at you is right now, when you claim that you were on an island being a Griffen detractor. It seems to me that "others" spent some significant effort trying to get people off the Q-Dog kool-aid. ;)
 
If I remember correctly, people felt the same way about Shanahan last year when they annointed Quentin Griffin the next Barry Sanders after one game against Kansas City. 

And when I said "But it was against Kansas City", and "He didn't have that good a game", and "He may not make it through the season as starter", everyone laughed at me and asked what game I had watched.
The only time I have laughed at you is right now, when you claim that you were on an island being a Griffen detractor. It seems to me that "others" spent some significant effort trying to get people off the Q-Dog kool-aid. ;)
:present:back on topic, when it comes to Jackson, Faulk doesn't scare me, Martz does.

 
I think the problem is that a lot of people don't actually watch the games and just look at stats.
Happens ALOT on this board, but you have to expect that on a fantasy football board.
 
If I remember correctly, people felt the same way about Shanahan last year when they annointed Quentin Griffin the next Barry Sanders after one game against Kansas City. 

And when I said "But it was against Kansas City", and "He didn't have that good a game", and "He may not make it through the season as starter", everyone laughed at me and asked what game I had watched.
The only time I have laughed at you is right now, when you claim that you were on an island being a Griffen detractor. It seems to me that "others" spent some significant effort trying to get people off the Q-Dog kool-aid. ;)
If I remember correctly, you got real quiet after week 1.
 
My first (and only) post in this thread. I'm both a Jackson and Faulk owner in one league, and own neither in any other leagues, so there's the disclaimer.I'm a little amused at all the play-by-play disecting of last year going on here, in an effort to somehow prove what is going to occur next year. It doesn't work that way.Jackson is in his 2nd year, Faulk probably in his last. Jackson was drafted with the feature RB role in mind, and this is now his time. Faulk will have a purpose, to serve as a change of pace guy and to sometimes act as another WR. His role is no longer to get the tough yards or to be a primary option carrying the ball at the goal line. It's the changing of the guard, and Faulk is aware of it and is satisfied with it. Why can't FFers just accept it? It's not all that complicated. Last year's stats can be argued until you are blue in the face and it means nothing. This year is not last year. Oh, and any coachspeak in June by Martz alluding to a 50/50 split is just about as useful as a condom vending machine at the Vatican. Not gonna happen.I will agree that Jackson's upside is limited by the Rams' reluctance to run the ball, but not that Jackson's goal line carries will suffer tremendously due to the presence of Faulk. Most feature RBs lose some goal line carries to other RBs on his team, and I expect it to be about the same in StL.

 
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If I remember correctly, people felt the same way about Shanahan last year when they annointed Quentin Griffin the next Barry Sanders after one game against Kansas City. 

And when I said "But it was against Kansas City", and "He didn't have that good a game", and "He may not make it through the season as starter", everyone laughed at me and asked what game I had watched.
The only time I have laughed at you is right now, when you claim that you were on an island being a Griffen detractor. It seems to me that "others" spent some significant effort trying to get people off the Q-Dog kool-aid. ;)
If I remember correctly, you got real quiet after week 1.
Post week 1, 2004:
Pony, I thought you gave up onthe anti Griffin bashing. I guess that didn't last long. I know you are a Bell lover with a serious man crush on him and if, I said if, he were the starter then I would agree. But he's not. Only injury or a couple of performance disaters will Bell become the man. I think you have better odds in the lottery or Vegas. ;)
lmao!Nah, I'm not going to knock Griffin's play in week 1. Good RBs punish bad Ds. I was just providing a word for the wise based upon some experience. KC's run D, especially with a 3rd string MLB, is suspect. I wouldn't assign too much to a great performance against them.

Props? You bet. But let's keep it in perspective & see how Griffin does against a little tougher JAX run D this week.
Post week 2, 2004:
Nothing really does seem to bother Griffin supporters, I guess.

-- It doesn't bother them that Griffin is currently by far the least productive featured RB that DEN has ever had under Shanahan.

-- It doesn't bother them that he scores by far the least of any featured DEN RB under Shanahan.

-- It doesn't bother them that Griffin fumbles substantially more than any other featured RB under Shanahan.

-- It doesn't bother them that despite having 3 former or future starting RBs in the fold, including Griffin, that Bell was drafted earlier than Shanahan has ever drafted a RB.

-- It doesn't bother them that Griffin is easily the smallest RB that Shanahan has ever had as a featured RB.

They just keep on going merrily about their way, absolutely positive that Shanahan would never ever think of replacing Griffin as long as he is healthy.
 

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