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You know the obvious: 1. Minnesota's offensive line can't protect Favre; 2. The Vikings don't have a No. 1 receiver; 3. Brad Childress is not an elite coach. Here's what's not as obvious and can't be proven with stats: The Williams Wall, the key to Minnesota's defense, is cracked. When the opposition really needs to, it can run right at the heart of the Minnesota defense. Kevin and Pat Williams are not as effective as they used to be, which has made Jared Allen less effective.
I know, the Vikings have surrendered 199 rushing yards in two games, good for 11th best in the league (they were No. 2 last season). But their run defense does not pass my eyeball test. It's not creating enough second- and third-and-long situations. The squad that led the league in sacks in 2009 ranks No. 18 after two weeks. We're witnessing a total team failure. Favre could bail. He has a bad ankle. He's old. He didn't come back for a 20th season to lead an 8-8 ball club.
Favre, in my opinion, will choose a season-ending injury over spending the next three months as a Minnesota liability. I hope I'm wrong. There's nothing on his resume that says he's a quitter. His ironman streak of starts is as impressive a stat as you'll ever see in football. But this is a unique situation. Favre is not totally invested in the Vikings. He doesn't have enough sweat equity. He had to be begged into returning to a team that was a last-minute drive from advancing to the Super Bowl. Favre doesn't like training camp. How do you think he feels about November games devoid of playoff implications?
It could be over this week. The Lions are not the same-old Lions. They're dangerous. They had the Bears on the ropes (Calvin Johnson's “drop”). They had the ball in the final two minutes with a chance to beat the Eagles. Detroit is good enough to beat the Vikings, especially if Favre gift-wraps a couple of turnovers.
An 0-3 Minnesota start, and I expect Peter King or Chris Mortensen or Jay Glazer to publish pictures of Favre's bruised and swollen ankle.