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Jeopardy Baby, Ooooh-ooh-oooooh (1 Viewer)

Thursday, November 3:​

Courtney Shah
Portland, Oregon
139 correct, 16 incorrect
9/15 on rebound attempts (on 31 rebound opportunities)
28.04% in first on buzzer (127/453)
2/5 on Daily Doubles (Net Earned: -$1,200)
6/8 in Final Jeopardy
Average Coryat: $11,650
Predictions:
22.083% to win quarterfinal
3.901% to win semifinal
0.348% to win tournament

Rowan Ward
Chicago, Illinois
118 correct, 15 incorrect
6/7 on rebound attempts (on 14 rebound opportunities)
50.00% in first on buzzer (114/228)
6/8 on Daily Doubles (Net Earned: $16,800)
2/4 in Final Jeopardy
Average Coryat: $20,600
Predictions:
41.277% to win quarterfinal
14.457% to win semifinal
4.929% to win tournament

John Focht
originally El Paso, Texas
117 correct, 11 incorrect
5/6 on rebound attempts (on 13 rebound opportunities)
38.25% in first on buzzer (109/285)
7/8 on Daily Doubles (Net Earned: $20,300)
3/5 in Final Jeopardy
Average Coryat: $18,120
Predictions:
36.640% to win quarterfinal
11.017% to win semifinal
2.805% to win tournament

Andy’s Thoughts: After watching rowan lay waste to the Second Chance Week 2 field, it should come as no surprise that they are listed as the favorite to take this quarterfinal match. Daily Doubles should decide this one—Courtney’s stats on Daily Doubles are working against her, and rowan’s had a couple of high-value misses, which may prove crucial if it comes up at an inopportune time during the Tournament. John is sure to be well-positioned if his opponents make any mistakes. One note: As of the time of writing, the Jeopardy! website has rowan’s “Average Coryat” score as $200 too low, likely as a result of Jeopardy! originally crediting Sadie with the missed “Lord of the Flies” Daily Double in their box score/stats for last Thursday’s game.

Friday, November 4:​

Eric Ahasic
Minneapolis, Minnesota
176 correct, 19 incorrect
13/14 on rebound attempts (on 33 rebound opportunities)
39.85% in first on buzzer (159/399)
13/15 on Daily Doubles (Net Earned: $47,600)
2/7 in Final Jeopardy
Average Coryat: $20,514
Predictions:
41.274% to win quarterfinal
16.169% to win semifinal
7.031% to win tournament

Jaskaran Singh
Plano, Texas
97 correct, 16 incorrect
1/2 on rebound attempts (on 13 rebound opportunities)
42.98% in first on buzzer (98/228)
7/9 on Daily Doubles (Net Earned: $21,400)
4/4 in Final Jeopardy
Average Coryat: $17,100
Predictions:
27.249% to win quarterfinal
7.761% to win semifinal
1.799% to win tournament

Jackie Kelly
Cary, North Carolina
102 correct, 8 incorrect
13/13 on rebound attempts (on 33 rebound opportunities)
30.58% in first on buzzer (85/278)
5/7 on Daily Doubles (Net Earned: $17,200)
3/5 in Final Jeopardy
Average Coryat: $18,080
Predictions:
31.477% to win quarterfinal
10.151% to win semifinal
3.139% to win tournament

Andy’s Thoughts: According to my prediction data the 4th, 6th, and 7th-ranked players are all in the same quarterfinal. Talk about a grupo de la muerte! I would not be surprised if this match saw the highest scores and combined Coryat of any of the quarterfinal matches in this tournament. All three players are very strong. If Eric regresses to the mean in terms of play in Final Jeopardy!, he could go on a run—that is why the prediction model has Eric as having the best chance of any unseeded player of winning the whole tournament. Final has been his Achilles heel, though—and that’s where Jaskaran is best. Jaskaran, who won the prime-time College tournament last February, has been pegged by some people to go on a run, and his quiz bowl background certainly makes him capable. However, quiz bowl isn’t Jeopardy!, and success isn’t guaranteed. Meanwhile, Jackie also competed alongside a Donegan twin sister—while Kristin Donegan was also in the College tournament, Jackie defeated Ciara Donegan for her first game and put up big numbers in her four victories! Whoever makes it out of this game has a very good chance of knocking off any member of the Big Three.

Monday, November 7:​

Zach Newkirk
Arlington, Virginia
133 correct, 20 incorrect
11/14 on rebound attempts (on 36 rebound opportunities)
30.91% in first on buzzer (119/385)
8/13 on Daily Doubles (Net Earned: $13,500)
4/7 in Final Jeopardy
Average Coryat: $15,943
Predictions:
31.532% to win quarterfinal
7.181% to win semifinal
1.082% to win tournament

Jessica Stephens
Nashville, Tennessee
73 correct, 5 incorrect
7/8 on rebound attempts (on 19 rebound opportunities)
27.63% in first on buzzer (63/228)
3/3 on Daily Doubles (Net Earned: $7,000)
3/4 in Final Jeopardy
Average Coryat: $14,800
Predictions:
25.748% to win quarterfinal
4.813% to win semifinal
0.447% to win tournament

Sam Buttrey
Pacific Grove, California
101 correct, 6 incorrect
5/6 on rebound attempts (on 16 rebound opportunities)
41.67% in first on buzzer (95/228)
2/2 on Daily Doubles (Net Earned: $4,400)
2/4 in Final Jeopardy
Average Coryat: $19,250
Predictions:
42.720% to win quarterfinal
11.371% to win semifinal
2.301% to win tournament
Andy’s Thoughts: The other member of Team Quarter-Zip, Zach Newkirk, has also elected for a suit and tie for his contestant picture, disappointing the legion of quarter-zip fans. Sam Buttrey is the favorite in this final quarter-final on the back of a very strong Professors Tournament performance; both Zach and Jessica have shown they can rise to the occasion against stronger opposition—taking into account the strength of a player’s schedule is one of the weaknesses of my prediction model, and I fear that this may lead to both Zach and Jessica being slightly underrated. Jessica will definitely be looking to continue her momentum from winning Second Chance Week 1. This will definitely be an interesting match!
 

Tuesday, November 8:​

Amy Schneider
Oakland, California
1337 correct, 77 incorrect
60/67 on rebound attempts (on 152 rebound opportunities)
52.77% in first on buzzer (1230/2331)
66/76 on Daily Doubles (Net Earned: $210,200)
28/41 in Final Jeopardy
Average Coryat: $26,946
Predictions:
47.438% to win semifinal
19.858% to win tournament

Matt Amodio
New Haven, Connecticut
1305 correct, 122 incorrect
55/64 on rebound attempts (on 125 rebound opportunities)
56.00% in first on buzzer (1237/2209)
76/86 on Daily Doubles (Net Earned: $304,200)
29/39 in Final Jeopardy
Average Coryat: $27,913
Predictions:
52.168% to win semifinal
30.471% to win tournament

Mattea Roach
Toronto, Ontario, Canada
661 correct, 63 incorrect
33/39 on rebound attempts (on 93 rebound opportunities)
46.02% in first on buzzer (625/1358)
29/36 on Daily Doubles (Net Earned: $57,200)
17/24 in Final Jeopardy
Average Coryat: $20,275
Predictions:
41.138% to win semifinal
11.359% to win tournament

Andy’s Thoughts: On Election Day, Amy Schneider, Matt Amodio, and Mattea Roach will be taking part in an exhibition match — all three players will be seeded into the semifinals. I like this, as it gets the three players a chance to pick up buzzer timing again, leaving them on equal footing with the quarterfinal winners. I’m not going to make a prediction as to how this exhibition match will go, though!
 
(Andy = JF Analysis)
Andy’s Thoughts: My first thought here was that Ryan Long got a favorable draw, playing against Megan Wachspress and Maureen O’Neil. But then I got to thinking further, and my conclusion is that this is probably the most deceptively intriguing matchup of the entire round. On paper, Ryan is the strongest of the three players, and I think that Ryan has the best chance of leading going into Final Jeopardy. However—and this is where it gets incredibly interesting—knowing what we know about Ryan’s and Megan’s respective Final Jeopardy! strategies, a contested Final Jeopardy! in this match is going to be one of the most intriguing betting situations in the entire history of the show. Megan’s strategy has been specifically “bet to stay ahead of the leader by $2 if the leader bets to cover”. However, with Ryan, “if the leader bets to cover” is certainly not a guaranteed situation. Any non-runaway game going into Final is going to be a “grab your popcorn” moment for the betting wonks. Ryan is the favorite to make it out, but things are certainly far from guaranteed, with a high likelihood of there being very angry know-it-alls on the Internet who think they know what to do, but don’t quite understand every nuance.
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No mention of Maureen and she won. Ryan just seemed off all game. He was fastest on the buzzer in the first round but missed a bunch of questions, and then had some struggles in DJ as well. Megan would have won but she got FJ wrong. Maureen hung in there all game and was in position to win if she got FJ and Megan didn't, which is what happened.

I got FJ instantly and I'm not sure why; it's not a subject I know a whole lot about. It was just one of those things where the first thought that popped in my head turned out to be correct.
 
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Mrs. Rannous said:
I can't believe Megan didn't get the final. I thought that was very easy.
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Me, too! Especially compared to the 2 tough rounds of answers that preceded it.

And it was painful watching Ryan struggle the entire game after such a great previous run.

Maureen is probably the luckiest player I have ever seen in all of the seasons.
 
identikit said:
He did some smart betting there
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That was great to see. Jonathan did nothing wrong; any Jeopardy Superchamp will bet on their knowledge and do the standard cover bet. You’d have to have world class poker reading skills to know Andrew was going to undercut, and if he’s wrong about that, would look pretty silly getting the Q right but still losing.

Poetry is always killer FJ category. See a lot of triple stumpers when it comes up.

Two games, two upsets.
 
Margaret bet poorly just like she did during her regular season run. She should have been tied.

I was surprised that they were so weak with MLB players.
That National Geographic category was much harder that I was expecting.
 
Mr. Mojo said:
Margaret bet poorly just like she did during her regular season run. She should have been tied.
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rhejopardyfan.com agrees

Final Jeopardy! wagering suggestions:​

(Scores: Tyler $17,400 Margaret $17,400 Brian $4,200)

Brian: As long as you don’t go all in, you’re good. (Actual bet: $0)

Tyler: Bet on yourself. Go all in. (Actual bet: $17,400)

Margaret: Bet on yourself. Go all in. (Actual bet: $7,000)
 
3 quarterfinals down, 3 to go

Remaining players’ Tournament of Champions win chances (after 100,000 simulations):​

Amy Schneider: 18.562%
Matt Amodio: 28.736%
Mattea Roach: 10.813%
Maureen O’Neil: 0.701%
Andrew He: 14.555%
Tyler Rhode: 3.974%
Courtney Shah: 0.355%
Rowan Ward: 4.722%
John Focht: 2.618%
Eric Ahasic: 6.663%
Jaskaran Singh: 1.715%
Jackie Kelly: 2.909%
Zach Newkirk: 1.002%
Jessica Stephens: 0.471%
Sam Buttrey: 2.204%
 
UOFI_316 said:
Mr. Mojo said:
Margaret bet poorly just like she did during her regular season run. She should have been tied.

I was surprised that they were so weak with MLB players.
That National Geographic category was much harder that I was expecting.
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Being a Cubs fan, I screamed at the TV when Ron Santo and Frank Chance was a triple stumper, especially since Brian is from Chicago.
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I used to watch baseball, and I had no idea who most of those guys were. I really didn't know the team they played for. (Except the Astros, of course. I live here.)

I had absolutely no idea who was in Cheap Trick.
 
Mrs. Rannous said:
UOFI_316 said:
Mr. Mojo said:
Margaret bet poorly just like she did during her regular season run. She should have been tied.

I was surprised that they were so weak with MLB players.
That National Geographic category was much harder that I was expecting.
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Being a Cubs fan, I screamed at the TV when Ron Santo and Frank Chance was a triple stumper, especially since Brian is from Chicago.
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I used to watch baseball, and I had no idea who most of those guys were. I really didn't know the team they played for. (Except the Astros, of course. I live here.)

I had absolutely no idea who was in Cheap Trick.
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My son got it right away. I remarked that I was surprised due to his age. He said he wasn't sure if he has ever heard a Cheap Trick song but it was the 1st 5-5 letter group to pop into his head.
 
I read Lost Horizon a couple years ago so I got this Final immediately. I was shocked that all 3 missed it. That combination almost never happens in the TOC.

And as a bonus, I don't have to watch Rowan any further.
 
Mr. Mojo said:
I read Lost Horizon a couple years ago so I got this Final immediately. I was shocked that all 3 missed it. That combination almost never happens in the TOC.

And as a bonus, I don't have to watch Rowan any further.
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Same for me on Lost Horizon. Son and I feel the same about Rowan. Would be good in a horror film though. Facial expressions remind me of a cross between It, Chucky, and Leonard from Full Metal Jacket.
 
Stellar game Friday. All three Champions were in the prediction model's top four players to advance to the semifinal round.

Game Recap:​

Jeopardy! Round:​

(Categories: Champions Of Tournaments; South America; A Fashionable Category; Give Us Some Direction; Dinosaur Names; Homophones)

Jaskaran and Jackie had the best time of things in the opening round, with Jackie also doubling through the game’s first Daily Double.

Statistics at the first break (15 clues):​

Jackie 5 correct 0 incorrect
Jaskaran 5 correct 0 incorrect
Eric 4 correct 0 incorrect

Statistics after the Jeopardy round:​

Jackie 8 correct 2 incorrect
Jaskaran 10 correct 2 incorrect
Eric 8 correct 3 incorrect

Double Jeopardy! Round:​

(Categories: History; Triple Rhyme Time; Musical Instruments; The Tangled Web; On Broadway; The Oed Quotes)

This game can basically be summed up in two clues: Clues 7 and 8 were the Daily Doubles in the round. Eric pulled his best Roger Craig impersonation over those two clues.

DD #2) THE OED QUOTES $1200 (clue #7)

Eric 5800 +5800 (Jaskaran 5400 Jackie 8000)

That was a gutsy moment, risking it all to take the lead. When he found the last DD on the very next clue and bet it all again (without hesitation), quite the butt cheek clincher. Playing to win!

DD #3) HISTORY $800 (clue #8, $24400 left on board)

Eric 11600 +11600 (Jaskaran 5400 Jackie 8000)

That's a kill shot move in 95% + of games but Jaskaran and Jackie fought back to keep it close.

Scores going into Final:​

Eric $26,000
Jackie $19,600
Jaskaran $11,000

Tonight’s results:​

Jaskaran $11,000 + $2,201 = $13,201 ($5,000) (What is Zurich?)
Jackie $19,600 – $6,401 = $13,199 ($5,000) (What is Geneva?)
Eric $26,000 + $13,201 = $39,201 (What is Zurich?) (1-day total: $39,201)

Game Stats:​

Eric $10,600 Coryat, 15 correct, 4 incorrect, 24.56% in first on buzzer (14/57), 1/3 on rebound attempts (on 5 rebound opportunities)
Jaskaran $11,000 Coryat, 17 correct, 3 incorrect, 29.82% in first on buzzer (17/57), 3/3 on rebound attempts (on 4 rebound opportunities)
Jackie $17,400 Coryat, 19 correct, 2 incorrect, 35.09% in first on buzzer (20/57), 0/0 on rebound attempts (on 5 rebound opportunities)
Combined Coryat Score: $39,000
Lach Trash: $9,000 (on 9 Triple Stumpers)
Coryat lost to incorrect responses (less double-correct responses): $6,000

Remaining Players’ Tournament of Champions Chances (after 100,000 Simulations)​

bye to Semifinals:
Amy Schneider: 17.178%
Matt Amodio: 26.586%
Mattea Roach: 9.930%

quarterfinalist winners:
Maureen ONeil: 0.658%
Andrew He: 13.914%
Tyler Rhode: 3.631%
John Focht: 9.672%
Eric Ahasic: 14.932%

Monday quarterfinalists:
Zach Newkirk: 0.970%
Jessica Stephens: 0.395%
Sam Buttrey: 2.134%
 
Professor Sam won a runaway last night with 34 correct answers, 20 out of 30 in the Jeopardy round. Bet it all ($3400) on the first DD, was completely unfazed when he whiffed. Dominated the buzzer (shade under 60%) but 5 incorrect answers won't be good enough in the Semifinals.

***************

Remaining Players’ Tournament of Champions Chances (after 100,000 Simulations)​

Matt Amodio: 25.501%
Amy Schneider: 15.963%
Eric Ahasic: 14.388%

Andrew He: 13.807%
Mattea Roach: 9.292%
John Focht: 9.238%

Sam Buttrey: 7.813%
Tyler Rhode: 3.413%
Maureen ONeil: 0.585%

As mentioned above, the Superchamp trio get a bye into the semifinals. Amy, Matt, and Mattea have an exhibition tonight level the playing field - gives them a game under their belt, same as the other 6, before the Semifinals began.

***************

Semifinal 1, Wednesday November 9: Amy Schneider will face off against Maureen O'Neil and Andrew He.

Semifinal 2, Thursday November 10: Matt Amodio will face Tyler Rhode and John Focht.

Semifinal 3, Friday November 11: Mattea Roach will face off against Eric Ahasic and Sam Buttrey.
 
Feels like Mattea and Matt get tougher semifinal draws than Amy. Focht (in Matt's group) looked the most dominant of anyone in the first round, and Ahasic and Buttrey (in Mattea's group) had the only two runaway games in the first round. Although Ahasic's was solely based on the two all-in DJ's back to back that put it out of reach, rather than him just killing everyone the whole game like Focht did. Guess I misunderstood, but I thought they were going to use tonight's exhibition match to seed the top 3 into the semi's.

I think I'm rooting for Amy out of the Top 3, although won't be upset if Amodio wins. Mainly just curious to see if all 3 of them can advance and give us a super showdown at the end.
 
wlwiles said:
Feels like Mattea and Matt get tougher semifinal draws than Amy. Focht (in Matt's group) looked the most dominant of anyone in the first round, and Ahasic and Buttrey (in Mattea's group) had the only two runaway games in the first round. Although Ahasic's was solely based on the two all-in DJ's back to back that put it out of reach, rather than him just killing everyone the whole game like Focht did. Guess I misunderstood, but I thought they were going to use tonight's exhibition match to seed the top 3 into the semi's.

I think I'm rooting for Amy out of the Top 3, although won't be upset if Amodio wins. Mainly just curious to see if all 3 of them can advance and give us a super showdown at the end.
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It should be a great final. 8 excellent players and Maureen.
I am rooting for Amy the whole way. Possibly my favorite player ever.
Mattea is the one that always seem to be underestimated.
And I'm not counting Matt out by any means.

I like your super showdown idea.
 
Mattea dominated the exhibition but Matt and Amy seemed to be guessing when they might not buzz in if it was the real tournament. And they didn't seem to be locked in. Still, Mattea is fast on the buzzer and is going to be hard to beat.
 
Exhibition match was a lot of fun to watch. Ken flubbing the numbers category and giving away the answers when there was one clue left was hilarious. Even in a fun meaningless game though, I came away definitely thinking that Mattea is not to be underestimated, and I think she did the best thing ever in this match. Had fun and put on a good show, but she went on runs and showed everyone, even though Amy and Matt are the top 2, she can 100% hang with them. Can't wait to see how the next rounds shake out.
 
Amy dominated that game in classic style.

So are the finals going to be "first to 3 wins" or "two games, best total score" type affair?
 
wlwiles said:
Amy dominated that game in classic style.

So are the finals going to be "first to 3 wins" or "two games, best total score" type affair?
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It seems as though three wins, they are starting on Monday so if they take all 5 days it makes sense. I have no idea for sure though
 
Mr. Mojo said:
Matt had his hands full with 2 excellent players and struggled on a few of the questions in the upset. Steve Martin takes it!
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well played game by all three

Matt was at his ceiling during his historic run, the other two stepped up their game for the tournament

the professor beats the future professor - bummed Amodio didn't move on but the best player won
 
I missed the professors tournament, so this was only my second time seeing Sam play. Hats off to him for taking down Amodio and Focht. Great game played by all 3 contestants. Don't think I've ever seen quite so much difference in clue selection once Sam hit the last DD and took the big lead. Amodio kept going for the big money clues on the board, trying to nail $1600 and $2000 hits (which Sam kept getting right), and Sam would select $400 and $800 clues trying to keep the other two from catching up.

Amy and Sam in the finals - who will join them? This has been a great tourney so far.
 
When you think about, all in every time you find a DD makes sense. Presumably you’re hitting that category bc you have some confidence in it. The smart move is to bet on yourself on the daily double, especially if you like the category. Counting on final jeopardy - where you don’t know what the category will be - that’s akin to starting to run the ball in the final minute as soon as you’re within theoretical max range of your Kicker.

Third semifinal came down to a bit of variance. Three great players in the finals.
 
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BobbyLayne said:
When you think about, all in every time you find a DD makes sense. Presumably you’re hitting that category bc you have some confidence in it. The smart move is to bet on yourself on the daily double, especially if you like the category. Counting on final jeopardy - where you don’t know what the category will be - that’s akin to starting to run the ball in the final minute as soon as you’re within theoretical max range of your Kicker.

Third semifinal came down to a bit of variance. Three great players in the finals.
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Andrew's all-in on the second DD in DJ was a perfect decision. If he's right, the game is basically over. If he's wrong, he's only $5400 behind first and $2400 behind second and there are plenty of big-money clues still on the board. It would have been a different calculation if one of his opponents had $10K-ish.
 
An Amy-Andrew rematch should be pretty exciting. Amy's run began with a defeat of Andrew, who had won 5 games and a bunch of money. Andrew was leading going into FJ, but Amy got it right and he didn't -- if he gets it right, Amy's run never happens. And Sam is an excellent player as well (and I love his personality and voice and Steve-Martin-ism.)
 
Going to be a great finale. Mattea could only stand by and watch Andrew dominate the DJ round. It was fun to watch him go all in on those DDs.

I'd like to see Amy or Sam win but wouldn't be upset to see Andrew win. Great trio to watch.
 
Pip's Invitation said:
BobbyLayne said:
When you think about, all in every time you find a DD makes sense. Presumably you’re hitting that category bc you have some confidence in it. The smart move is to bet on yourself on the daily double, especially if you like the category. Counting on final jeopardy - where you don’t know what the category will be - that’s akin to starting to run the ball in the final minute as soon as you’re within theoretical max range of your Kicker.

Third semifinal came down to a bit of variance. Three great players in the finals.
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Andrew's all-in on the second DD in DJ was a perfect decision. If he's right, the game is basically over. If he's wrong, he's only $5400 behind first and $2400 behind second and there are plenty of big-money clues still on the board. It would have been a different calculation if one of his opponents had $10K-ish.
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I'm still pondering that wager. He was already way in front at that point, and could have bet $3-5K instead of the whole thing and still would have been really tough to be caught with no DD left. Fortunately it was an easier DD question.

I was really surprised that there were no guesses at all on the final. I went with Hampton Court, the former palace of Henry VIII that had sizable gardens. It's just outside London but I thought "Locales" might include it. I've never heard of Kew Gardens.

It's going to be an amazing Final!
 
Mr. Mojo said:
Pip's Invitation said:
BobbyLayne said:
When you think about, all in every time you find a DD makes sense. Presumably you’re hitting that category bc you have some confidence in it. The smart move is to bet on yourself on the daily double, especially if you like the category. Counting on final jeopardy - where you don’t know what the category will be - that’s akin to starting to run the ball in the final minute as soon as you’re within theoretical max range of your Kicker.

Third semifinal came down to a bit of variance. Three great players in the finals.
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Andrew's all-in on the second DD in DJ was a perfect decision. If he's right, the game is basically over. If he's wrong, he's only $5400 behind first and $2400 behind second and there are plenty of big-money clues still on the board. It would have been a different calculation if one of his opponents had $10K-ish.
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I'm still pondering that wager. He was already way in front at that point, and could have bet $3-5K instead of the whole thing and still would have been really tough to be caught with no DD left. Fortunately it was an easier DD question.

I was really surprised that there were no guesses at all on the final. I went with Hampton Court, the former palace of Henry VIII that had sizable gardens. It's just outside London but I thought "Locales" might include it. I've never heard of Kew Gardens.

It's going to be an amazing Final!
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I was watching with my mom and she guessed Kew Gardens. I had no idea.
 
Pip's Invitation said:
Mr. Mojo said:
Pip's Invitation said:
BobbyLayne said:
When you think about, all in every time you find a DD makes sense. Presumably you’re hitting that category bc you have some confidence in it. The smart move is to bet on yourself on the daily double, especially if you like the category. Counting on final jeopardy - where you don’t know what the category will be - that’s akin to starting to run the ball in the final minute as soon as you’re within theoretical max range of your Kicker.

Third semifinal came down to a bit of variance. Three great players in the finals.
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Andrew's all-in on the second DD in DJ was a perfect decision. If he's right, the game is basically over. If he's wrong, he's only $5400 behind first and $2400 behind second and there are plenty of big-money clues still on the board. It would have been a different calculation if one of his opponents had $10K-ish.
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I'm still pondering that wager. He was already way in front at that point, and could have bet $3-5K instead of the whole thing and still would have been really tough to be caught with no DD left. Fortunately it was an easier DD question.

I was really surprised that there were no guesses at all on the final. I went with Hampton Court, the former palace of Henry VIII that had sizable gardens. It's just outside London but I thought "Locales" might include it. I've never heard of Kew Gardens.

It's going to be an amazing Final!
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I was watching with my mom and she guessed Kew Gardens. I had no idea.
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I got it at once, but i'm familiar with them. Mr R had no idea.
 
Andrew is a stone cold assassin. Didn't have the best game, but he's got a predetermined strategy - he came here to win, so every DD is all in.

Hit two out of three in Game 1 of the Finals, and sealed it with a standard cover bet in FJ. Sam got the only other DD when he was at 13K and lost (-6K) when he whiffed. He was on the right track, just didn't come to him fast enough - and that's one thing about being an older contestant, ton of knowledge but at 74 he's a good 25-30 years past most peoples mental peak.

Game Recap & box score - Final Game #1

(the first 29 ToC were two-day cumulative contests; this year the first to three games will be the champion)

Jeopardy! Round:​

(Categories: At The Mall Of America; The Southern Hemisphere; Top Of The Morning!; Shark Tank; Streakers; From “D” To “O”)

All three players got off to a good start, picking up 5 correct responses apiece; however, it was Andrew who had the lead after 15, courtesy of (surprise, surprise) a True Daily Double. After the break, Amy had the best time of things, rebounding from a Sam mistake and picking up that rebound (and six other correct responses) to take a slim lead into Double Jeopardy!

Statistics at the first break (15 clues):​

Andrew 5 correct 0 incorrect
Sam 5 correct 1 incorrect
Amy 5 correct 1 incorrect

Statistics after the Jeopardy round:​

Amy 12 correct 1 incorrect
Sam 9 correct 2 incorrect
Andrew 7 correct 1 incorrect

Scores after the Jeopardy! Round:​

Amy $5,000
Sam $4,800
Andrew $4,200

Double Jeopardy! Round:​

(Categories: Your U.S. History Test; Primed For Prime Numbers; Poetry; Foreign Words & Phrases; We’Re In It; The Long Hall)

The Daily Doubles got found midway through the round—Andrew jumped into the lead by doubling up on the second one, but Sam missed his for $6,000 to fall back down. Meanwhile, Amy went on a charge (and Sam a minor one) to make sure that Game #1 wasn’t a runaway! Scores going into Final were Andrew at $18,800, Amy at $14,600, and Sam at $12,000.

Statistics after Double Jeopardy:​

Andrew 15 correct 1 incorrect
Amy 19 correct 1 incorrect
Sam 20 correct 3 incorrect
Total number of unplayed clues this season: 12 (0 today).

Scores going into Final:​

Andrew $18,800
Amy $14,600
Sam $12,000

Andrew and Sam were correct in Final—Andrew takes Game 1, but he needs two more wins. Game 2 is tomorrow!

Tonight’s results:​

Sam $12,000 + $0 = $12,000 (What is Sri Lanka?)
Amy $14,600 – $10,000 = $4,600 (What is Indonesia?)
Andrew $18,800 + $10,401 = $29,201 (What is Sri Lanka?) (1 win)

Game Stats:​

Andrew $10,800 Coryat, 15 correct, 1 incorrect, 22.81% in first on buzzer (13/57), 1/1 on rebound attempts (on 3 rebound opportunities)
Sam $18,000 Coryat, 20 correct, 3 incorrect, 36.84% in first on buzzer (21/57), 1/1 on rebound attempts (on 2 rebound opportunities)
Amy $14,600 Coryat, 19 correct, 1 incorrect, 33.33% in first on buzzer (19/57), 1/1 on rebound attempts (on 3 rebound opportunities)
Combined Coryat Score: $43,400
Lach Trash: $5,800 (on 5 Triple Stumpers)
Coryat lost to incorrect responses (less double-correct responses): $4,800

Amy Schneider, career statistics:​

1398 correct, 89 incorrect
65/79 on rebound attempts (on 170 rebound opportunities)
51.48% in first on buzzer (1286/2498)
68/78 on Daily Doubles (Net Earned: $215,200)
29/44 in Final Jeopardy
Average Coryat: $25,968

Andrew He, career statistics:​

222 correct, 27 incorrect
15/17 on rebound attempts (on 33 rebound opportunities)
39.96% in first on buzzer (205/513)
13/18 on Daily Doubles (Net Earned: $67,200)
4/9 in Final Jeopardy
Average Coryat: $19,844

Sam Buttrey, career statistics:​

178 correct, 15 incorrect
11/12 on rebound attempts (on 27 rebound opportunities)
41.85% in first on buzzer (167/399)
5/7 on Daily Doubles (Net Earned: $4,600)
5/7 in Final Jeopardy
Average Coryat: $19,257

Remaining Players’ Tournament of Champions Chances (after 100,000 Simulations)​

Andrew He: 60.561%
Amy Schneider: 27.948%
Sam Buttrey: 11.491%

Chances of 3 games: 13.657%
Chances of 4 games: 24.419%
Chances of 5 games: 29.929%
Chances of 6 games: 21.866%
Chances of 7 games: 10.129%
 
BobbyLayne said:
Andrew is a stone cold assassin. Didn't have the best game, but he's got a predetermined strategy - he came here to win, so every DD is all in.
Click to expand...
He also seems to be a little slower on the buzzer than Amy and Sam, so he needs to do this.

In turn, Amy and Sam should hunt more aggressively for DDs in subsequent games, because keeping Andrew from finding them greatly increases the chances that he won't beat them.
 
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