MAC_32 said:
Jene Bramel said:
Session is getting some deeper analysis this week, Reading the Defense style. The upshot: Session's a very good player, but be very wary.
You'll have to wait until early Wednesday afternoon for the rest of the story.
Nice teaser, I'm still leaving my waiver claim in for over night tonight. I'll hope for a favorable report.
Ah, hell. I can't do it. You guys are my people. Here's the goods. Subscribers, don't get too fussy with me, this is a fraction of this week's column. We're going to hit Session for sure in the podcast tonight anyway.
Indianapolis (56.7 TackOpp / +2.48 sd)
The Colts are currently tied for the league lead in Tackle Opportunity, providing its defenders nearly 57 chances to make a solo tackle per game through three weeks. As a frame of reference, only three teams over the past five seasons have averaged 55 or more tackle opportunities per game. Even without Ed Johnson and Bob Sanders, the Colt defense isn’t this bad. In its worst season, the Indianapolis defense allowed only 53 tackle opportunities per game. Consider also that the offense is very likely to begin controlling the clock better. This looks like a number that may plummet as the season progresses. While it may not look like much, a drop from 56.7 to a still well above-average 52.0 for the rest of the season means nearly 75 fewer chances by year’s end.
When you consider that 71.8% of the tackle opportunities the Colts have faced have been on running plays (historical average 55%) and that the team has faced the third fewest passing attempts in the league thus far, one name on the Colt defense stands out like a sore thumb: SLB Clint Session and his 20 solos. Session is a fine defensive player, but there’s no way he continues on a pace for 107 solo tackles. None. He’s a prime sell high candidate in redraft leagues if you can get anything more than bye week replacement value for him. Expect Freddie Keiaho’s (123 solo pace) to regress as well, though not as dramatically as Session.