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Lesean McCoy? How concerned are we? (3 Viewers)

LeSean McCoy insisted Wednesday that he's currently the same player he was last year, when he won the rushing title.

McCoy threw his offensive line under the bus a bit, saying, "I've had to earn everything I get this year." That's partially true, but McCoy also isn't beating defenders the hole like he did last year and isn't creating those extra yards like he normally does. Now averaging just 3.71 YPC with two touchdowns, projections have to be lowered even in plus matchups like Sunday's home game against the Titans. He's a low-end RB1.
 
At this point I'm less concerned with what he's gonna do this year (these days he's benched unless there are bye weeks or Foster gets hurt again) - I'm wondering from a Keeper league standpoint what Shady's value will be next year. Does he still qualify as a "top 36" player. that being the number we protect as a league?
Yup, that's my concern being out of it at this point. I want to think this is just a down year and the line has had trouble with injuries and gelling. I'm definitely nervous he has begun his decent though.

 
Only his second 20 pt game of the year in my PPR. And it was 20.10 (his other way 20.20).

Even when he has a "big" game like today, it's just....yay? I don't know what to say. It's better than the 10 pts he'd been cranking out, I'll give him that.

But he's basically Alfred Morris. Doesn't get targets, doesn't bust long TDs - you're strictly hoping for workload and a TD.

 
Only his second 20 pt game of the year in my PPR. And it was 20.10 (his other way 20.20).

Even when he has a "big" game like today, it's just....yay? I don't know what to say. It's better than the 10 pts he'd been cranking out, I'll give him that.

But he's basically Alfred Morris. Doesn't get targets, doesn't bust long TDs - you're strictly hoping for workload and a TD.
This. I dumped Shady last week and instead put my eggs in Crowell's basket in two leagues. I am happy with that decision because this was about as good as it gets for Shady. I fully expected him to score 30+ this week in PPR because of the matchup. He still underperformed that number.

 
So even when he puts up 130 and a TD, people still aren't happy because they expected 150 and 2 TDs. I thought we had all adjusted our expectations to low RB1 range?

 
Shutout said:
Buck Bradcanon said:
140 and a TD...let's do it
Nailed it. :thumbup:
Nice call.This is what you held him for, for those who did. The line is getting back to form and assuming the Eagles aren't blowing everyone out, Shady should be pretty solid going forward. Could have easily had a much bigger game yesterday had they felt any need at all to keep playing him in the last quarter.
I hope so, I owned him for 2 weeks and so far, he's had 10 and 19. That's a nice upgrade from where I was at with my RBs. It sucks I really had to overpay for him, but it was just what had to be done to get a potential RB1. Now, he needs to keep living up to it
 
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CJ Anderson, McCoy, and Crow will be the RBs leading teams to championships in the next few weeks.
Charles, Murray, and Lynch won't?
Yeah, but Charles and Murray are givens. Lynch won't because of his schedule and back. Crow and CJ came from nowhere and McCoy was supposed to but has been a big disappointment for most of the year. McCoy might be bouncing back at just the right time.

 
I'll start believing in McCoy again if he can follow-up his "about damn time" week 12 performance against a #### defense with RB1 numbers at Dallas this week.

I do agree Crowell could be a common theme on many a playoff roster this year. I hate his week 13 matchup, and I wish West didn't exist, but I have to believe most Crow owners will still roll him out there (me included).

 
He's a solid low-end RB1. He'd be top 5 if they gave him GL, or threw him the ball when he's wide-### open. But they don't.

 
McCoy and Crow look like the hottest backs in football right now.
I guess you didn't watch the last three Denver games?
There's a RB in Green Bay that has been doing pretty well too.
Yeah CJ is doing great and Lacy too but I think McCoy is running exceptionally the last couple games. But of course both CJ and Lacy definitely deserve to be mentioned as hot backs -- just not the hottest 2. I'd rank 'em: 1) McCoy 2) Crow 3) CJ 4) Lacy 5) Charles at the moment. Murray has cooled as of late -- still putting up solid numbers but not the monster games he was earlier.

How many owners in this thread dumped McCoy and now are regretting it?

 
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McCoy and Crow look like the hottest backs in football right now.
I guess you didn't watch the last three Denver games?
There's a RB in Green Bay that has been doing pretty well too.
Yeah CJ is doing great and Lacy too but I think McCoy is running exceptionally the last couple games. But of course both CJ and Lacy definitely deserve to be mentioned as hot backs -- just not the hottest 2. I'd rank 'em: 1) McCoy 2) Crow 3) CJ 4) Lacy 5) Charles at the moment. Murray has cooled as of late -- still putting up solid numbers but not the monster games he was earlier.

How many owners in this thread dumped McCoy and now are regretting it?
I tried trading Shady away starting around week 5 (was not liking his usage at all...still don't, even though he's running it so well). I just couldn't get more than low ball offers.

 
McCoy and Crow look like the hottest backs in football right now.
I guess you didn't watch the last three Denver games?
There's a RB in Green Bay that has been doing pretty well too.
Yeah CJ is doing great and Lacy too but I think McCoy is running exceptionally the last couple games. But of course both CJ and Lacy definitely deserve to be mentioned as hot backs -- just not the hottest 2. I'd rank 'em: 1) McCoy 2) Crow 3) CJ 4) Lacy 5) Charles at the moment. Murray has cooled as of late -- still putting up solid numbers but not the monster games he was earlier.

How many owners in this thread dumped McCoy and now are regretting it?
I tried trading Shady away starting around week 5 (was not liking his usage at all...still don't, even though he's running it so well). I just couldn't get more than low ball offers.
Well maybe it's for the best. Him and the other 5 RBs mentioned just above all are going to be the guys to ride in the playoffs along with maybe Foster if he can get healthy. The catch is were you able to survive long enough for this resurgence to matter? I agree his usage (no passing game, no GL) isn't optimal; it's all volume based but now he's turning that volume into true production and not into 19 yards.

I read something that said McCoy was traded pretty heavily following the Carolina and GB games, both of which were disappointing and abutted many leagues' trade deadline. I'll have to see if I can find that link.

 
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Rotoworld:

LeSean McCoy had 25 carries for 159 yards and a touchdown in Thursday's Week 13 win over the Cowboys.
He wasn't targeted in the pass game, and also lost a fumble. The Eagles rested McCoy in the fourth quarter, giving Chris Polk 11 carries in mop-up duty. He was able to pick up big gains against a Cowboys defense that was playing without MLB Rolando McClain for most of the first half. McCoy took an inside draw 38 yards for his touchdown. He's now rushed for 100 yards in back-to-back games and is on pace for a 323/1,357//5 line this season. McCoy will remain a locked-in RB1 despite a difficult matchup with Seattle in Week 14.

Nov 27 - 8:29 PM
 
Some fun facts:

LeSean McCoy is only 70 yards shy of where he was through 12 games last year when he went onto win Rushing Title

9:31pm - 27 Nov 14

Over the last eight weeks, DeMarco Murray has only 67 more rushing yards than Shady (893-826)

LeSean is averaging 103 yards per game and 4.8 yards per carry since Week 5.

Shady 9th player in NFL history with four 1,000-yard seasons in first six years. Only Chris Johnson (6) & AP & Steven Jackson (6) had more.

 
It's clear the OL is starting to gel and he's definitely a great asset for the playoffs. It would be awesome if he either got some receptions or multiple TDs to have a true breakout game, but his owners certainly can't complain.

 
I'm loving his rejuvenation due to the gelling of the line, but I would like to see him get more receptions.

 
I'm loving his rejuvenation due to the gelling of the line, but I would like to see him get more receptions.
He's definitely back running the football, but why is he not involved in the passing game at all?
I don't think you'll see him involved this year in the passing game for whatever reason(s). Or really getting regular GL carries. His productivity is going to come from getting 20+ carries regularly and now that the O Line is in good shape, turning those carries into 100+ yards.

Maybe since they want him carrying the ball 20+ times per game, they don't want the added wear and tear of catching passes too.

 
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I'm loving his rejuvenation due to the gelling of the line, but I would like to see him get more receptions.
He's definitely back running the football, but why is he not involved in the passing game at all?
I don't think you'll see him involved this year in the passing game for whatever reason(s). Or really getting regular GL carries. His productivity is going to come from getting 20+ carries regularly and now that the O Line is in good shape, turning those carries into 100+ yards. Maybe since they want him carrying the ball 20+ times per game, they don't want the added wear and tear of catching passes too.
I just traded for McCoy 2 weeks ago and he seems to be getting a decent amount of RZ looks to me. He is out there a lot at the GL.
 
He's having a good season. The real issue is that his three really bad games were REALLY bad, and it made the rest of his season totals look like he was having a bad week every week. The offensive line issues didn't help, but what's also hurt him is the Eagles D/ST getting quick scores and killing the Eagles' time of possession. McCoy's own play has been decent.

I gave my thoughts here: http://forums.footballguys.com/forum/index.php?showtopic=715195&p=17460074

I think it's worth rereading because I've come to believe that this kind of in season analysis is the key to figuring out who's likely to turn it around later in the season.

 
I'm still nervous that he isn't a part of the passing game. Yes he's running great the past couple weeks but with no activity in the pass game it leaves him open to putting up a stinker. With all that said I'll gladly take what he's been giving us lately.

 
McCoy's Targets and RZ Usage

Here are Shade's targets not including yesterday's game vs. Dallas:

LeSean McCoy: 2-BYE-5-2-3-1- 1 (2.3 avg pg) Source: http://www.rotoworld.com/articles/nfl/50336/283/week-12-target-watch-nfc?pg=2

Through yesterday's game, he has 35 RZ runs, of which 13 are inside the 10 and 5 are inside the 5. He has only 4 RZ targets and only 1 of those is inside the 10, with 0 inside the 5. Source: http://www.rotowire.com/football/player.htm?id=5970

Forte's Targets and RZ Usage

By contrast, here are Forte's targets, courtesy the same RW article: Matt Forte: 13-7-8-BYE-7-6- 6 (7.8 avg pg)

Forte's RZ use: 32 RZ runs, 20 inside the 10, 7 inside the 5. RZ targets: 11, 2 inside the 10, 0 inside the 5.

Lynch's Targets and RZ Usage

Lynch's targets: 2-2-4-5-1-3- 4 (3 avg)

Lynch's RZ use: 47 runs, 21 inside the 10, 12 inside the 5.

 
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Man he is really wide open on some of those fakes when he just hangs out in the flat. They never even look his way but if they did it would be big play city.

 
Man he is really wide open on some of those fakes when he just hangs out in the flat. They never even look his way but if they did it would be big play city.
I have noticed this too, kinda surprised they have not exploited this. Seems like he's basically a decoy on these plays? I wonder if PFF or someone has the numbers, but I swear it seems like he comes out for Sproles on every single 3rd down without fail, I am sure that's part of the reason he is getting so little passing game work.

 
Man he is really wide open on some of those fakes when he just hangs out in the flat. They never even look his way but if they did it would be big play city.
I have noticed this too, kinda surprised they have not exploited this. Seems like he's basically a decoy on these plays? I wonder if PFF or someone has the numbers, but I swear it seems like he comes out for Sproles on every single 3rd down without fail, I am sure that's part of the reason he is getting so little passing game work.
Using him as decoy this often only makes sense if he's taking up coverage. From what I've seen he has not. He is wide ### open.

 
Man he is really wide open on some of those fakes when he just hangs out in the flat. They never even look his way but if they did it would be big play city.
I have noticed this too, kinda surprised they have not exploited this. Seems like he's basically a decoy on these plays? I wonder if PFF or someone has the numbers, but I swear it seems like he comes out for Sproles on every single 3rd down without fail, I am sure that's part of the reason he is getting so little passing game work.
Using him as decoy this often only makes sense if he's taking up coverage. From what I've seen he has not. He is wide ### open.
He's going to start getting some of these. He will probably add 40 or 50 yards this next week on a couple catches. Everything is building.
 

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