Lessons learned from 2013 - What are yours? (1 Viewer)

[Super King]

All RBs are like playing the roulette table.

Always bet on black?

 

[Hot Diggity Dog]

All RBs are like playing the roulette table.

Always bet on black?

Who is the red RB?

 

[urbanhack]

In redraft leagues the RB, RB theory of drafting is dead. Been dieing for awhile, I think it is dead now.

My Jammal Charles/ Matt Forte RB/RB selections last year seem to indicate that RB/RB is not as dead as you think.

I personally think that the lesson people need to learn is that nobody should follow a "theory" and should be flexible to take advantage of what the draft is giving you. I like to tier each position based on ADP so that I know what to expect in each round and at what positions. I star players that I really like and would take earlier than their DP sugest.I never marry myself to certain positions at certain points, but I do like to make several senario's of what my team could possibly look like. I will take a value player, but only if I truly like the player. I won't take a player I don't believe in. In the mid to late rounds I begin taking guys with major upside (Josh Gordon). Hit on just 1 or 2 of them and it will take your team from solid to elite. The ones that do not work out are tossed back and you make agressive wavier wire moves.

Last year for my team it was a perfect storm....both Charles and Forte fell in my lap, and I was trageting both knowing that each would see a major bump in receptions. I took a chance on Josh Gordon that paid of huge....and when I had a pick that didn't work (RG3), I made a wavier move for Nick Foles that paid off.

Your experience proves my point. For you to get charles and forte means lots of non rbs were being picked. The days of 18 to 20 rbs being picked in the first 24 picks is gone.

Yes and a big part of that is changes to scoring systems. 2 QBs, 6 pts per TD pass, PPR, etc.

 

[Pots]

All RBs are like playing the roulette table.

Always bet on black?

Who is the red RB?

The one who gets tackled my Michael Sam

 

[Los Gigantes]

I learned that I don't know as much as I think I do. No one does. 5 of the highest valued players from my big auction league (Rice, Spiller, Martin, Foster, Richardson) busted. None of my sleeper WRs (steve smith, kenny britt, Vincent brown, mike williams) woke up. When it comes to predicting the future, none of us have crystal balls. That means, for me, that in a large roster high quality owner large starting lineup auction league, studs and scrubs is a mistake. Too much risk in two few players. It is like investing too much of your stock portfolio in a few stocks. This year I am trying to have stronger benches made up of high upside but lower cost players, so even if only some of them hit, I am still in great shape.

Players I am getting a lot with this approach include Spiller, Rice, Bush, Hunter, Cameron

 

[Alberta Clipper]

... It is like investing too much of your stock portfolio in a few stocks. ...

Not if that short list of stocks includes $ACAD (you can thank me next year)