I really don't have an opinion on the Sixers strategy, and Lord knows, I have no clue how those picks will work out.
Bu I do think it's funny though that Hinkie gets the automatic genius tag, and nobody's going to be able to judge him differently as long as nobody ever touches the court.
He's pretty much the GM version of Exum, who's stock shot through roof from simply going away for a year.
It's an interesting phenomenon, what's happened with NBA fans over the last few years.
What people are failing to acknowledge is that in the NBA you either have elite talent and are a contender or you are not. Its not like the other leagues where a team can come from nowhere, make a push in the playoffs or win a championship. For years the Sixers were the mediocre team that flirted with the playoffs and then were pushed aside. They were an absolutely dead franchise for quite a long time and there was zero light at the end of the tunnel. Sixer fans now can at least see an opening and have some hope thanks to what the Hink has done.
I'm really not criticizing the strategy, and I don't disagree with what you are saying.
It's just interesting how much good will a GM can build up by simply delaying judgement day.
Most of these players will be busts, but from the time they are drafted until they hit the court, there's great hope. We're all dreaming about how great these guys are.
80% of the time, those dreams will come crashing down. Most of us will get to start seeing our bubbles burst within 6 months.
Look at draft grades, nobody gets worse than a C, unless they really take somebody far out of the presumed order (an order determined by people that miss badly every year)
Sixer fans will just get to hold that hope indefinitely, and Hinkie will be loved all the more for it.
Well eventually, Hinkie will be judged. I do think Hinkie is getting a bit overrated. I like what he has done and I have more faith in him than DiLeo or Thorn but I don't think he is above reproach. But 76ers fans are like the UK fans of the NBA (granted NBA rebuilds take a few years). They have "won" the last two offseasons and have tons of hype/potential so they are excited.
Now of course, the odds of everything coming together perfectly are slim. Not sure where you get 80% from. But even then, the 76ers have what, 4 lottery picks in the last 2 years and at least another one next year. So the odds of all of them being busts is just as low as the odds of them not getting a few non-busts. Odds are that eventually one of these guys becomes an All Star type player and worst case is that you have 3-4 high rotation guys on rookie contracts. And I think that is what people hope for to attract a big name FA. They should have enough cap flexibility to sign a max deal or even enough assets to go after the next Love/Melo/Harden type.
Now Hinkie is in the perfect spot to do what he wants and Grantland was right when they said this has never been done before. The owners don't care so twice, the 76ers have been able to take value in #1 picks who dropped. And for good measure, they also got good value on Saric. But this has ensured another sub 25 win season. So sure, the 76ers won't know what they have for a few years. You seem to think that is a bad thing but the good thing is that if these guys are good, you up the chances of getting more talent around him. Of course I'd rather have Wiggins but if Wiggins/Parker are that good and they draft McDermott instead, that team isn't much closer to a title than the current 76ers but they probably win 30+ games thus hurting their draft stock next year.
Now attendance/viewership will be abysmal. But I don't mind b/c I'm much more likely to watch an OKC/Houston game than a random 76ers game. So whatever makes them exciting in the future is good for me. I don't envision them as title contenders in 2-3 years but I think they'll be an exciting team on their way. I'm much more inclined to watch a young/exciting 76ers team struggle than watch Igoudala or Holiday take them to a 4 seed. I imagine its similar to OKC fans several years ago or current Wizards fans with Wall/Beal.