NFL Playoff league strategy (1 Viewer)

[stickboy]

I'm going to be playing in an NFL playoff league where the scoring possibilities across positions are fairly equal. We are only allowed two max players per NFL team so I am looking for factors to consider when drafting players. Some obvious approaches:

1. Pick from teams that will likely play in at least three games -- essentially guess at who will advance.

2. Go with home teams, they win 3 of 4 playoff games.

3. Pick RB's from cold weather, outside teams. Pick passing attacks from dome teams

4. Go with a QB/WR tandem to get the added correlation.

5. The obvious -- play the scoring rules. There's a big difference in scoring rules that have negative points for turnovers and those that don't.

What other factors do you consider?

 

[Mungo Burrows]

I'm going to be playing in an NFL playoff league where the scoring possibilities across positions are fairly equal. We are only allowed two max players per NFL team so I am looking for factors to consider when drafting players. Some obvious approaches:

1. Pick from teams that will likely play in at least three games -- essentially guess at who will advance.

2. Go with home teams, they win 3 of 4 playoff games.

3. Pick RB's from cold weather, outside teams. Pick passing attacks from dome teams

4. Go with a QB/WR tandem to get the added correlation.

5. The obvious -- play the scoring rules. There's a big difference in scoring rules that have negative points for turnovers and those that don't.

What other factors do you consider?

QB and Defense are more valuable than in the Regular season.One thing that people don't always get is that the relative value of the lesser positions goes up if you can get players that play multiple games. Depending on scoring systems, this can be particularly true of Team Defenses, where they score a fairly high number of points each week. In the regular season, a defense that scores 15 doesn't give you much advantage if everyone elses Def scores 13. But a defense that scores 15 ppg for 3 games can be as big, or even a bigger difference maker than good WR because few other players will get that many points for that many games.

Same goes for QBs to some extent. In the regular season, they score a lot of points, but don't have a lot of value because they all score similarly. In the playoffs, the number of games factor make them have a much higher relative value.

In the playoffs, you want to invest in the higher scoring positions from the better teams because the bigger factor is usually number of games, not the relative productivity of the player himself.

 

[Neil Beaufort Zod]

I've found that the best strategy is to pick the guys you think have the best shot at the Super Bowl right now (before week 17). Note guys you think are clear favorites, and guys that you're on the fence about.

Once you've done that, when the games are final simply use seedings as a tie-breaker. If two guys are similar to you, but one doesn't have a bye...pick the guy with the extra game. Otherwise go with the guys you already thought had the best chance at going all the way.

The SB is just one extra game, but you have to consider that the team that make it there probably had some dominant games on the way. Their games are worth more. So the key is picking your guys now, before the playoff matchups creep into your brain and affect your decisions. HTH.

 

[Skino]

Not a whole lot to add here, but I'm in two different ones every year and the theme is the same as mentioned above, take guys who have favorable match-ups to play many games. Get a mix of players with a first round bye, and some that play in wildcard weekend (a 1-bye, 2-WW combo works well for a 3RB contest). Like a 3RB combo like LT2, Westbrook, and Addai (depending on how you think the wildcard weekend teams will do). Also, if picking in the same conference, try to pick players that won't face each other til the Conference championship based on how you think they will go. Good luck!

-SF

 

[Sigmund Bloom]

Don't hedge by picking both sides of a wild card matchup. You need to confidently pick winners and run with those hunches in the draft. Hedging will ensure youre not last, but you probably wont be first either.

 

[Neil Beaufort Zod]

Don't hedge by picking both sides of a wild card matchup. You need to confidently pick winners and run with those hunches in the draft. Hedging will ensure youre not last, but you probably wont be first either.

That strategy has cost me before. Lesson learned.

 

[SteelerMurf]

Don't hedge by picking both sides of a wild card matchup. You need to confidently pick winners and run with those hunches in the draft. Hedging will ensure youre not last, but you probably wont be first either.

That strategy has cost me before. Lesson learned.

I would start by doing a mock playoff bracket. See who you think is going to win more games and pick players from that team. Of course, there are some exceptions like LT who if you don't have a salary cap, can score enough in one week as most other playoff RBs may get in 3. So if there is not a salary cap, I would just make sure LT is on your playoff roster.