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*** Official 2017 Atlantic Hurricane Season Thread *** (2 Viewers)

eoMMan said:
Horrible posting. You really took the time to find all those posts?

This is the first hurricane I've experienced in the almost 9 years living in FL. Meanwhile, my old state of NJ has been hit with 2 hurricanes and several snowstorms. 

So in summary.....I win. Enjoy ####ty Michigan. 
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:mellow:

 
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What I don't understand is the NHC 11 PM advisory comes out before the models reset in a couple hours, but the next full NHC advisory isn't until 0500. 

 
nhc just shifted cone west to align with euro. So there ya go. 

 
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HFS... Barbuda about to take direct hit from eye- which is bigger than it is. Super flat island... Going to get crushed.

 
Gas stations still have gas, but good luck finding bottled water in Tampa at all.  Will be getting the house prepared over the next couple of days and the possibility of evacuation is real.  Food flying off the shelves and people losing their #### right now.  Be safe out there my fellow Florida fbgs.   :oldunsure:  

 
Gas dry around these parts.  Read of shortages(and rioting wtf?!) or bone dry in parts of Ft Myers, Lehigh Acres, Alva, LaBelle.  It’s Tminus 5 days.  Super.  Wife and her sister have been at the station for 3 hours now.

glad I stocked up on whiskey.

 
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PIK95 said:
Doesn't this kind of thing seem to happen a lot?  Outlier?
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Not an outlier.  They almost always shift back. I think it's safe to say most of Florida is going to see this hurricane just a matter of who gets the worst of it.  And GA, SC, NC and maybe VA going to see some of it too just matters where it comes inland.  

 
Ramblin Wreck said:
Not an outlier.  They almost always shift back. I think it's safe to say most of Florida is going to see this hurricane just a matter of who gets the worst of it.  And GA, SC, NC and maybe VA going to see some of it too just matters where it comes inland.  
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The difference this time is that the two major models, Euro and GFS both agree on an Atlantic coast of Florida hurricane.  Obviously with so many factors in play, it can move again. But overall, the trend for last 24 hours has been East.  Hopefully it moves more NNE and goes out to sea.

ETA: My other hope is that the #######s who NEEDED 8 cases of bottled water are unable to return them.

 
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Reports out of Barbuda were 920 mb and 154 mph....well, that was the last reading before system failure.

 
got_nugs said:
Gas dry around these parts.  Read of shortages(and rioting wtf?!) or bone dry in parts of Ft Myers, Lehigh Acres, Alva, LaBelle.  It’s Tminus 5 days.  Super.  Wife and her sister have been at the station for 3 hours now.

glad I stocked up on whiskey.
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I can see you walking past folks fighting over water as you have 19 bottles of whiskey tucked into your shirt, pockets, and underarms.  :lol:  

Stay safe, GB.    :wub:  

 
Some of the models are starting to trend east now.So hard to tell with these things.Best case curves and keeps on heading east that has happened more time than not.All it affects then is shipping in the Atlantic and of course the folks in the Caribbean God bless em.

 
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Ned said:
I can see you walking past folks fighting over water as you have 19 bottles of whiskey tucked into your shirt, pockets, and underarms.  :lol:  

Stay safe, GB.    :wub:  
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The beauty of brown liquor in these situations are:

- When the power is out and ice is scarce, it doesn't need to be chilled.

- It soothes your nerves a lot quicker when the howling wind and rain are punctuated by the pop of a nearby transformer.

 
Nervous evening/early morning for me.  Bringing outside stuff inside tonight.  My hurricane panels are also ready to go. They just snap in with industrial Velcro.  So glad I have them and hope I don't need to use them.

 
The nerds say the latest plane flight (side note: so we can't get a drone for this #### btw?) is showing the beginning of a new eyewall formation in 30C water.  This, is bad.  Could come out of this at a new max strength and new low pressure right as it hits PR.

 
JaxBill said:
The difference this time is that the two major models, Euro and GFS both agree on an Atlantic coast of Florida hurricane.  Obviously with so many factors in play, it can move again. But overall, the trend for last 24 hours has been East.  Hopefully it moves more NNE and goes out to sea.

ETA: My other hope is that the #######s who NEEDED 8 cases of bottled water are unable to return them.
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Buying bottled water at this point makes no sense. Filling up large containers is the smart way to go. Any store with camping supplies is going to have containers made for this, bathtubs are great, old soda/milk/orange juice bottles, etc.

 
This ##### better not ride up the east coast and come assure anywhere or I'll be royally pissed.  We've gotten enough rain the last 2 months. 

 
culdeus said:
The nerds say the latest plane flight (side note: so we can't get a drone for this #### btw?) is showing the beginning of a new eyewall formation in 30C water.  This, is bad.  Could come out of this at a new max strength and new low pressure right as it hits PR.
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People can observe stuff a drone wouldn't. But this isn't encouraging. I saw a few models trending west again. No idea how reliable they are.

Side note: family and I are heading to Lakeland for Thursday, will reevaluate Friday on whether to try and head all the way to Indiana.

 
GroveDiesel said:
Buying bottled water at this point makes no sense. Filling up large containers is the smart way to go. Any store with camping supplies is going to have containers made for this, bathtubs are great, old soda/milk/orange juice bottles, etc.
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Exactly. Either you're staying and can employ this method. Or you're evacuating and and have no room to take along 8 cases of water.

"Sorry dear, you can't bring along those photo albums to avoid the storm. We need 4 more cases of Deer Park."

 
From what I understand the P-3s are specially modified to handle those eyewalls. Not sure a drone could be beefed up this way.

 
Osaurus said:
Nervous evening/early morning for me.  Bringing outside stuff inside tonight.  My hurricane panels are also ready to go. They just snap in with industrial Velcro.  So glad I have them and hope I don't need to use them.
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Bonus points on strava if you run 4 miles in a hurricane.

 
Heading to Gainesville around lunch to pick up son. He is in their PACE program and has online classes only so he can do those from home. Worried UF waits until tomorrow when traffic is horrible. Evac plan is to head from Jax to Pensacola Saturday. Other son is at USF Tampa and he might be better off just staying there (subject to change).

 
Barbuda in serious trouble. Storm surge:~40 ft. Barbuda's highest elevation:~32ft Last contact: ~2am ET Pop: 1,638 Complete radio silence.

 
BTW Florida DOT will NOT be doing lane reversals on I-10. Instead they will open up the shoulder as a travel lane.  Great plan, especially when folks start to run out of fuel.

 
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