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Official 2019 Atlantic Hurricane Season Thread - Sebestian (1 Viewer)

TheIronSheik said:
Haven't had a chance to really look, but I would guess that SC is getting hammered right now.  The eyewall is almost right on the coast.  
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Yep.

Capital Weather Gang

@capitalweather

Hurricane Dorian update: Storm is producing hurricane force winds in Charleston as it moves toward Wilmington, N.C.

 
The eye looks like it has collapsed.  With land and colder water, this should be the beginning of the end for Dorian.  Still should be a hurricane until Canada, but no more strengthening.  And again, as the eyewall collapses, the storm itself grows larger and will affect a greater sized area.  

North Carolina is on the clock.

 
boarded up here.  sand bags in place.   chx steak defrosting.   2 cases of beer.  half gallon of rum.  25 gallons of gas.   football on tonight.   lets effing do this

 
The bands coming off the ocean in between Wilmington and Jacksonville are going to be the bands that have the potential to produce more tornadoes.  

 
So these tornadoes are spawning in heavy rain and are nearly impossible to see, plus they don't show on the radar as rotation because the entire band is spinning.

sound like fun.

sheesh

 
culdeus said:
So these tornadoes are spawning in heavy rain and are nearly impossible to see, plus they don't show on the radar as rotation because the entire band is spinning.

sound like fun.

sheesh
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You can still see them on radar.  A hurricane will produce small tornadoes because of the spinning nature.  Those you might not see completely.  But the big ones are being produced by discrete supercells and those can be seen on radar easily.

 
I’m missed this thread in pole position and wondered wtf it was. Scrolled a while before a refresh. Hope everyone stays safe to my north. Alabama too.

 
I guess the fish under that rig don't get a rest if they want to stay close to their home.  I always wondered what it looked like under water in a hurricane.

 
Chemical X said:
lots of rain.  amazed our schools were closed today.  next up, sky is too blue, schools closed.
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Ton of wind here, roads were terrible with standing water, got home after 5pm, seen a few cars in the highway median.  All single cars, hydroplaned I guess.

 
We lost power just before noon. I gave it a while for the storm to pass before thinking about firing up the generator. As soon as I rolled it out of the garage, power came on. It was out for just over 4 hours. 

No damage, just a lot of limbs and leaves everywhere. It’s going to be several days of just cleaning up the yard and scooping out the pool. All in all, we fared very well.

Now for some ranting. 

Someone in our neighborhood posted on Facebook about seeing a family of six, four kids, out walking and climbing on downed trees, while we were still getting Tropical Storm winds. Naturally the mom of the group outed herself as the person and proceeded to lash out on the “shaming” and telling the woman to mind her business. She then posted several pictures of her kids climbing on the trees. 

This devolved into two sides of bickering. Sigh. People. Of course, I agree with the OP, that’s just irresponsible and dangerous. 

Secondly, there are a mess of people online complaining about being without power or their cable being out. People asking if there’s any place open to eat, and people complaining about being bored.

I hate these people. Everyone loaded up on supplies and snacks. The fact that you don’t have power or, god forbid, cable the same day as the storm ... oh the horror!  Read a book, play cards, talk to your kids!  Eat the damn food you have, don’t drive out looking for a place to eat.

:wall:

 
Mjolnirs said:
We lost power just before noon. I gave it a while for the storm to pass before thinking about firing up the generator. As soon as I rolled it out of the garage, power came on. It was out for just over 4 hours. 

No damage, just a lot of limbs and leaves everywhere. It’s going to be several days of just cleaning up the yard and scooping out the pool. All in all, we fared very well.

Now for some ranting. 

Someone in our neighborhood posted on Facebook about seeing a family of six, four kids, out walking and climbing on downed trees, while we were still getting Tropical Storm winds. Naturally the mom of the group outed herself as the person and proceeded to lash out on the “shaming” and telling the woman to mind her business. She then posted several pictures of her kids climbing on the trees. 

This devolved into two sides of bickering. Sigh. People. Of course, I agree with the OP, that’s just irresponsible and dangerous. 

Secondly, there are a mess of people online complaining about being without power or their cable being out. People asking if there’s any place open to eat, and people complaining about being bored.

I hate these people. Everyone loaded up on supplies and snacks. The fact that you don’t have power or, god forbid, cable the same day as the storm ... oh the horror!  Read a book, play cards, talk to your kids!  Eat the damn food you have, don’t drive out looking for a place to eat.

:wall:
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Counterpoint: if my (childhood) family and I were locked in a confined space together for four hours without electricity and no one died, we would deserve to go out to celebrate. 

 
  • Laughing
Reactions: Ned
Bahamas death toll rises to 30 as aid finally flows in. Devastation is ‘unimaginable’

>> In a once sprawling shantytown on Great Abaco Island, Roger Isma stared out over a wasteland of soggy mattresses, splintered buildings, overturned cars, torn clothing, shattered toilets, dead dogs, bent forks and mud, miles and miles of mud.

The area — for reasons all too obvious after the devastation of Hurricane Dorian — is called The Mudd, and it was home to thousands of Haitians, Haitian Bahamians and other, largely undocumented migrants. Now it’s gone.

"Nobody knows how many dead people there are because no one has started looking there,” Isma said. “But they’re out there, in the water, under the houses.”

Odeen and George Forbes rode out the storm on Treasure Cay and returned to Marsh Harbour Thursday to check in on the school they ran, Beginning and Beyond Academy. As they looked through the ruins of their building, the stench of a corpse, or corpses, was in the air.

“That’s not meat from a freezer,” George Forbes, 55, said. “That’s a body.”

While some of the neighbors were poking around in the debris trying to find the source of the smell, no one could amid shifting winds. <<

 
Yeah, I think it's confusing after a storm like this when they say things like, the death toll stands at 5 people right now.  I had a friend say, "Wow.  I would've thought it'd be much worse.  Guess it wasn't as bad as they were saying."  The death toll will most likely be in the hundreds.  Why is there a need to rush out a low number?

I also saw reporters saying things like, "It's only a Category 1 storm now..." or "Dorian no longer the dangerous storm it once was..."  This is so bad.  Even the weakest hurricane is still extremely dangerous.  It's like saying "Sure, Japan was hit with an atomic weapon.  But in the grand scheme of big weapons, it was only a Category 1 bomb.  So, no need to worry too much.  Go out there and try to get some pictures as long as you don't put yourself in harm's way too much."

 
TheIronSheik said:
Yeah, I think it's confusing after a storm like this when they say things like, the death toll stands at 5 people right now.  I had a friend say, "Wow.  I would've thought it'd be much worse.  Guess it wasn't as bad as they were saying."  The death toll will most likely be in the hundreds.  Why is there a need to rush out a low number?
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It will be thousands before it's all said and done. That island was wiped from the map 2 days ago, the fact that anyone is alive is a bit of a miracle. I think we all know that but as you said there are so many obtuse people running around that feed on headlines and have moved on to the next great "look at me" thing that the Bahama's will be an afterthought in a week. Sad but the world is more interested in who Kim & Kayne are fighting with than the fact that an entire island is no longer habitable.

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-7434531/Militias-form-stop-looting-devastated-Bahamas-wake-Hurricane-Dorian.html

 
I know Dorian isn't done, but this is something I was talking about earlier this week.

That wave coming off Africa has a good chance at becoming Humberto.  To the north of it, you'll have 3 systems that are essentially acting as a northern block.  This will keep this wave low as it makes its way towards the Lesser Antilles.  Conditions aren't perfect, but they are good for development the further west it gets.  We'll see how the shear is by then, but with that much blocking, this would have potential to hit the US.

 
cape lookout reporting in

Went to bed (past out) at midnight got woken up at 4am but what felt and sounded like a fright train.  It got hairy for about an hour then subsided.  no real damage to house

Hurricanes effing suck

I want to say a real thank you to the knowledgeable guys on this thread that give their input.  Its a big help to me and others going through this process.  You guys are awesome

 
Conditions for the next big one is favorable.  NHC has a 70% chance of T/S formation. Models have it on out to 220 hours which is a ways away.  

Track is WTFLOL who knows right now.  Not even Trump has his sharpie out for this one yet.

 
culdeus said:
Conditions for the next big one is favorable.  NHC has a 70% chance of T/S formation. Models have it on out to 220 hours which is a ways away.  

Track is WTFLOL who knows right now.  Not even Trump has his sharpie out for this one yet.
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You just can't keep politics out of this, can you.

 
Senor Schmutzig said:
Invest 94L?
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Yup.  This is the one that has all the traffic to the north of it in the Atlantic.  So it pretty much only has one path it can go.  Conditions are good for development.  Could run into some issues.  One thing to watch for is when it gets to the Lesser Antilles, will it have a route north?  Because if so, it should get swept out to sea.  But if not, both the GOM and eastern seaboard would be in play.

 
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