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Official 2021 Atlantic Hurricane Thread - Wanda (1 Viewer)

The winds have picked up. I am on the top floor (3rd) of our beach house. I can feel the whole place shaking. I never feel this at our house 1 hour inland! It’s kind of freaky. 

 
Going to be interesting next 12 hrs.  Nothing to panic about.  Seems to be getting organized now but has to really push east to pick up any real intensity

 
The wave coming in now has the "look" though.  At least a week off from being a concern but has the ingredients.

 
Nicholas track is going to shift east nearly certainly now.  Still primarily a rain event, so it's a funny situation.

  • More east is stronger wind and less on shore rain
  • More west is weaker storm with more on shore rain
Localized heavy flooding seems to be the main risk here.

The wave discussed yesterday is now 95L and is 30/80.  Start keeping an eye on this one.  The ingredients are all there for this to get quite big.  Ensembles still have a few out to sea elements so maybe it's nothing.

 
culdeus said:
Models seem to have this one going fishy.  The super long term doomcast models have it headed to europe as a fairly strong storm.   It's worth watching but seems unlikely to make CONUS landfall.
Click to expand...
It looked as though its track jogged slightly west on the 11am update for Wednesday, but I could be imagining things.

 
Kal El said:
It looked as though its track jogged slightly west on the 11am update for Wednesday, but I could be imagining things.
Click to expand...


You aren't

Yaakov Cantor

@yconsor

Note that the GFS has been adjusting faster on #Sam's track every run. The most recent 24 hour forecast from today's 6z run (valid 6z Sat) has adjusted about a degree west of yesterday's 6z run, or about 70 miles west

 
Sam is now a category 2 hurricane, packing 100mph sustained winds, and the track is edging closer to the islands.

Subtropical storm Teresa has formed north of Bermuda.

 
Doug B said:
I wonder how deep sea life (or a submarine) has to be to get to the point of not being able to notice a hurricane up above?
Click to expand...
I suppose it depends on how much churn the storm is generating, but I’d bet anything more than 50 feet down is oblivious to it.

 
Knock on wood but I'm liking the fact that these are forming and heading more north than west this time of year as the season starts to wind down. 

 
Long Island and coastal north east is getting a bath today. Noreaster conditions with heavy rain a winds all day into tonight.  

 
Last edited by a moderator:
Senor Schmutzig said:
Knock on wood but I'm liking the fact that these are forming and heading more north than west this time of year as the season starts to wind down. 
Click to expand...


I mean part of the climate theory is that storms should go more poleward in a warming planet.  The last few years haven't really proven that out, but :shrug:  

I mean Sam was a all time top 10 storm, but went poleward and more or less didn't even cause a slight breeze to land.  

 
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