Sure. If/when covid numbers get to flu-like numbers over a sustained period of time, I don't think many people would have an issue declaring it "over".
Unfortunately we're no where near those number right now, and we have no idea what the next variant may bring.
Not sure why this concept is so difficult for otherwise thoughtful, intelligent people. Rather than accusing others of misinformation, pedantry or hysterical fear, it may be helpful to reread
@Doug B’s post:
Updating numbers to see where things stand today from a top-of-the-mountain view. In the United States:
CASES: 7-day average of confirmed COVID cases in the U.S. peaked at 821,375 on 1/13/2022, and was 60,404 on 2/28/2022. That represents 45 consecutive days of decrease in 7-day average of cases.
DEATHS: The 7-day average has dropped for 29 consecutive days from 2,660 on 1/29/2022 to 1,552 on 2/28/2022.
For comparison: Low-water marks in the U.S. from summer 2021, 7-day averages after the main thrust of vaccinations and before Delta.
CASES: 12,105 on 6/21/2021
DEATHS: 247 on both 7/8/2022 and 7/9/2022
Nine months ago our numbers were much, much better. We had vaccines then. Monoclonal antibodies too. We also had mask mandates and other restrictions.
Realizing many of you have made the proclamation repeatedly, maybe even in June 2021, If it wasn’t “over” then, why now?
Sure, a lot more people have been infected and/or vaccinated, but do you believe we’ve reached herd immunity? Has the virus lost it’s ability to mutate?
It’s really great the numbers are trending in the right direction and we’re one step closer to normalcy. We can certainly agree in hoping those trends continue. But dismissing an active pandemic within a gestation’s throw of not one, but two major variants emerging seems a bit short-sighted.
Covid-19 remains a public health emergency (at least until April, officially), killing more people daily than any other diagnosis. The ease of vaccination to mitigate that risk doesn’t lessen its importance. A substantial drop in caseload and deaths still need to occur.
What’s the magic number? Nobody knows. But it’s not zero. Personally, I’d be content with flu-like numbers, though even that mark discounts the ginormous worldwide viral reservoir (
read: mutation potential), inadequate global access to vaccines/therapeutics, and long term sequelae of covid-19.