What's new
Fantasy Football - Footballguys Forums

This is a sample guest message. Register a free account today to become a member! Once signed in, you'll be able to participate on this site by adding your own topics and posts, as well as connect with other members through your own private inbox!

*** OFFICIAL *** FFA WAGERING THREAD - Merry Christmas!!! (7 Viewers)

John Groce has completed the hardest sell in basketball. In his second season as coach at the University of Akron, he has convinced the Zips that their defense drives their offense. Since March 2015 Kent State has gone 13-0 O/U (avg total 140) hosting teams who allow less than 68.5 ppg.

Akron/Kent State Over 135 -105

 
@SportsDBExpert Strong trends favor the under in the MEAC tourney quarterfinal between Manhattan and Canisius. @JaspersMBB is 26-6 under in neutral court games w/ coach Steve Masiello while Canisius has played under the total in all 8 of their neutral games w/ Reggie Witherspoon
I agree with this dude and also when you have MAAC teams on zero rest playing a rested MAAC team.

 
Manhattan (12-20) advanced to a quarterfinal matchup at 9:30 p.m. Friday against second-seeded Canisius. "Unfortunately for us, we have the worst draw," Manhattan coach Steve Massiello said. "Fairfield is the worst matchup for us, and Canisius is second, and now we have no prep. The turnaround is going to be brutal." :unsure:

 
Massiello career 7-7 SU and 12-2 ATS (avg line 3) playing on zero rest. All 14 of those were B2B for the opposing team too though..

 
Loyola Chicago won, and if Drake wins, that'll be 18-0 since 2007 in the Missouri Valley Conference tournament when the rested team is playing oppo team on zero rest: sdql

huge miss :bag:

 
During that same time, rested teams catching 2+ in the in the Missouri Valley Conference tournament: 12-17 SU and 21-8 ATS after Bradley's win today.

Northern Iowa +3 -102

 
Murray State 1st Half -170
Jacksonville State u71 -110
Jacksonville State 1H u33½ -110

Coming in with rest plus the revenge factor I think Matt McMahon & Murray will play strong D and get out early in the 1H before the Cocks can adjust.

 
Saturday Pucks:

Sharks/Blues FP O1.5 (-140)
Pens/Jackets FP O1.5 (-180)

I'll look to be on the Flyers/Isles FP over as well once I can get a number

 
Last edited by a moderator:
Really tight lines today. Tread lightly. We’ll start with:

Tennessee -2.5

TCU +7

Cuse +5

UNC -4.5

Texas St +1.5

 
Last edited by a moderator:
Texas 2H -6.5

lets try to middle this #####

we’ll try Clemson 2H -4.5 for ####s and giggles too 

 
Last edited by a moderator:
what websites or forums do you guys use for college hoops betting?

I use ESPN's pick center, Kenpom and teamrankings.com, but I'm sure there is a lot more out there that I'm not aware of.

Thanks!

 
Let's keep it going. Not a terrible start. Could have been better:

Texas Tech -2.5
Kentucky -10.5
Coastal Carolina -11

 
I think Matt McMahon & Murray will play strong D and get out early in the 1H before the Cocks can adjust
I Took Cocks -1 +123 and pk +100 at halftime. Partnered the 123 with a 200 I'd had on an open 2-team parlay from WVU +200 the other day. That was an awesome game. Magic Johnson was there. The underdog in the OVC Championship 6-6 SU and 9-3 ATS L12 (avg line 4.5) sdql. During those L12 seasons, the team who lost the previous, in-season matchup went 8-4 in the championship and 8-0 when they lost the previous, in-season matchup by 15 or fewer. This seems like a dumb bet - and square - as all they gotta do is guard Ja, right? But it's the numbers I found, on my own, so I'm playing it (Racers lost this previous matchup by 13 points on Jan 24). Here is the recap of that game:

MURRAY, Ky. -- Belmont gave Rick Byrd his 700th victory with the Bruins and handed Murray State its first conference loss, 79-66, on a Thursday night when star Racers point guard Ja Morant was hobbled with an ankle injury. Morant, who has become a national sensation with his soaring slams and dazzling passes, turned his right ankle when he came down on another player's foot in the second minute of the game. Morant had made his first shot, a 3-pointer, in the opening minute to get the school-record crowd of 8,968 fans roaring before the injury at the 18:20 mark. He returned with 15 1/2 minutes left in the half favoring the ankle and made just 1 of 7 from the field by halftime with the Racers trailing 33-26. Despite the injury, Morant played 37 minutes, scoring a team-high 20 points, but only on 5-of-19 shooting. The national assists leader dished nine in the loss with five turnovers. The Bruins used a 16-0 run to lead by 12 midway through the first half. They kept the lead throughout the second half going up by double figures for good with 8:36 remaining.
Refs really liked Murray last night, also. Maybe someone in middle management wants Racers in the tournament. :tinfoilhat:

Murray State +3 -105

 
They're 9-2 O/U L11 (9-0 when Michigan scores 66+) and 6-0 O/U when Spartans come in averaging more than 75 ppg (also the six games in which Wolverines came in averaging less than 77.5 ppg).

 
Michigan +4 -120
Michigan o66½ -110

Since 2016 Beilein 14-6 ATS underdog (9-0 ATS L9 in Jan+Feb+March), and even stronger holding a neutral/positive rest advantage..

 
Maybe if they start out slow see if we can get over 136 +400 or 500 live.
I rolled the dice on selling the points because of the O/U margin in those L11 games: -16, -3.5, 3.5, 8.0, 11.5, 17, 18, 18, 18.5, 21.5, 29.5

That's like 11 points average over the total. I might actually join you on that..

 
Maybe if they start out slow
Not sure how to use this info yet, but the winner of this game has scored 69,70,75,76,77,79,80,80,82,86,89 in the L11 meetings.. and I'm seeing them lining Michigan at 73½ currently..

2H scoring: 57,59,71,72,79,79,83,84,86,89,90

They went 147+ in 6 of the L11. Played these at the half:
|Michigan| (OT included) Over 69½ -120
Michigan State VS Michigan - Game - Totals (OT Included) Over 146½ +350

 
Last edited by a moderator:
michigan gonna go 5/7 free throws against 23/30 for msu. that got every michigan fan going crazy on twitter right now. michigan's dude fouled out, too.

During Michigan's seven-minute scoring drought, this game went from a five-point lead to a 13-point deficit.
yikes :unsure:

 
Not a good day yesterday, last day of regular season/senior day is kind of turning in to a stay away day for me. That being said..............

Penn St. -7
Wisconsin -3

Huskers +105

Now you get my Husker diatribe that I realize none of you care about. Senior day. Always a tough day for me and the misses. We've
been season ticket holders forever and the older you get the more these kids almost become "your kids". THESE kids have had a tough
go of it. Coach Miles is most likely coaching his last game at the Vault, which is sad. I've met him personally, I think he's a great guy, he's
been a good recruiter, he just needs good assistants. He had one, Craig Smith, and now he's gone. And he's done great at Utah St. In the
end, you have to win. Had the Huskers made the dance last year, when I think they probably deserved to, we wouldn't be having this conversation,
but, they didn't. He's had the most success at NU since Danny Nee was here, but the university has poured a ton of money in to the basketball
program, you have a 14,000+ arena that sells out consistently for a team that's never won a tournament game, and expectations are higher.
This team had the talent to make Nebraska history. I told my wife even though we'd never won a tournament game, anything short of sweet 16
would be a disappointment to me this year. The problem was depth, and after Copeland's injury it reared its ugly head. Now Tom Allen is hurt,
Nana Atenken is suspended indefinitely and we'll have a walk on and a sophomore from Iceland who plays great defense and has zero offensive
game getting a bunch of minutes. Most seasons fly by in the blink of an eye. This one has grinded. I was thinking about it this morning, why does
it feel like this season has gone on forever? Partly because our winter has been terrible and long, but the season has just been a grind. Not fun.
We followed this team to KC for their holiday tournament, we followed them to a 3500 capacity gym in Sioux Falls for their neutral court win over
Oklahoma St. My wife took off 2 weeks vacation so we could follow them through the first two weekends of the tournament. That's a trip we won't
be taking now. The only good news about the bet is that Iowa is just as much a #### show as we are right now, and I think the kids that are playing
are really going to want to go out on a good note. I highly doubt we accept an NIT or CBI or CIT bid if we get offered, so this will be it. We'll thank
Glynn Watson for staying for 4 years when 2 of the kids in his freshman class left. Glynn catches a lot of heat for not being a leader, but in the end,
his name will litter a lot of the Husker all time leader boards. We'll thank Cope for coming from Georgetown and providing leadership that we didn't
even know he was providing............until he was gone. We'll thank Tanner Borchard for being the big farm kid who was in worse shape than I was
when he got here, a kid who had a reputation of being lazy in high school because he was so much bigger than everyone else, and a kid who
turned himself in to a guy who could actually contribute at the B1G level and hustled more than anybody on the team. We need to keep putting
Nebraska kids in this program. And we'll try very hard to remember James Palmer for all of the crazy good games he had, games where it looked
like nobody could stop him and try to forget some of the selfishness and give up attitude he had down the stretch. Most of all we'll remember they
are kids and wish them well as they move on in life, to whatever endeavors that may be. GBR.

One hockey play:

VGK +125

 

Users who are viewing this thread

Back
Top