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Official Hillary Clinton 2016 thread (12 Viewers)

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I mean what are the imagined realistically possible scenarios where she blows it?

In the primary they were easy: Biden gets in the race, or Sanders attacks Hillary on her emails or speaking fees early, or she's indicted... those things did not happen but they were possible and foreseeable.

Here you have an opponent who does not even bother to prepare for debates. He typically has no real policies. If he has policies he can't enunciate them. He has a twitter feed with live evidence of things like claims that China invented global warming.

I mean how would she lose this?
She loses if the polls come out this weekend and she's still behind in Florida, still tied in Pennsylvania and Michigan. What that will tell me is that the public is simply immune to logic this time around, and determined to elect Donald Trump. Hopefully that won't be the case.

 
She loses if the polls come out this weekend and she's still behind in Florida, still tied in Pennsylvania and Michigan. What that will tell me is that the public is simply immune to logic this time around, and determined to elect Donald Trump. Hopefully that won't be the case.
Ok so she would lose for no reason with nothing important happening? No.

 
I mean what are the imagined realistically possible scenarios where she blows it?

In the primary they were easy: Biden gets in the race, or Sanders attacks Hillary on her emails or speaking fees early, or she's indicted... those things did not happen but they were possible and foreseeable.

Here you have an opponent who does not even bother to prepare for debates. He typically has no real policies. If he has policies he can't enunciate them. He has a twitter feed with live evidence of things like claims that China invented global warming.

I mean how would she lose this?
Wikileaks drops an email dump that has some real meat to it or she goes Weekend at Bernie's again in a very public setting.

 
Wikileaks drops an email dump that has some real meat to it or she goes Weekend at Bernie's again in a very public setting.
Thing is, it's apparent that Mills ordered destruction of evidence and most probably it was on Hillary's orders.  At this point, Wikileaks could leak video of it and any mainstream coverage or action by government would be pushed past the election.  

This is over baring her going #### up.  What sucks is that the legitimate debate points, like, "Do we want America's corrupt Corpacracy business model to expand globally?" and, "Do we care that laws are applied selectively and with ground cover from state agencies?" are washed away by legitimate concerns about a candidate with a .44 who likes to wave it around and can't shoot straight. 

 
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Slapdash said:
timschochet said:
The Commish said:
And you believe giving up what is required via intellectual property etc is a fair trade for access to more markets?
"Fair" is not the word I would use. The overall question should be, is it worth it? I think it is. I could easily be wrong though. 
Even it were, should we do it the vast majority of the benefits flow to businesses and their wealthy shareholders.
I guess his answer is: yes

 
Would there be more or less IP protection in China with or without TPP?
The same as TPP doesn't include China (which you probably knew and was using a Socratic discourse to draw out The Commish )

ETA: Not that it worked, Logic isn't all it's cracked up to be, I guess

 
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Wikileaks drops an email dump that has some real meat to it or she goes Weekend at Bernie's again in a very public setting.
If wikileaks had something they would have dropped it already. Not that they don't want to affect the election but that they struggle to remain relevant.

 
Must hate Clinton's tax policy too
I'm not a huge fan of it. But there are lots of reasons to vote for Hillary. I'm not a one issue guy. The Supreme Court is very important to me. So is climate change. So is immigration. And beyond all this, I truly believe that Donald Trump represents an existential danger to our republic.

 
Anyhow I'm not sure I'm right about TPP. I'm sure I'm right about free trade, but I would be a liar if I said I was comfortable with all the stuff I'm reading. It seems to me that the benefits of this deal outweigh the drawbacks, but I could be wrong about that. I'm glad it's not my decision.

 
Anyhow I'm not sure I'm right about TPP. I'm sure I'm right about free trade, but I would be a liar if I said I was comfortable with all the stuff I'm reading. It seems to me that the benefits of this deal outweigh the drawbacks, but I could be wrong about that. I'm glad it's not my decision.
Hillary's already decided - it's the gold standard of trade deals.

 
Following endorsements from traditionally Republican Dallas & Cincy papers, this is reminder no. 1,329 that Republicans and conservatives will be voting for Hillary in unprecedented numbers.

Yet Trump could somehow win. Ok.
I don't want to argue with you, because I REALLY want you to be right.

But there has probably never been a time in our history when newspaper endorsements were as meaningless as they are now.

 
I don't want to argue with you, because I REALLY want you to be right.

But there has probably never been a time in our history when newspaper endorsements were as meaningless as they are now.
They're important as an indicator of what people on the right are already thinking not because people will do what they are told.

 
TRUMP: You called it the gold standard.

(CROSSTALK)

TRUMP: You called it the gold standard of trade deals. You said it's the finest deal you've ever seen.

CLINTON: No.


- Hard to believe it but Trump won a point and a factcheck last night.

This was it.

Horribly blatant lie by Hillary btw.

 
I don't want to argue with you, because I REALLY want you to be right.

But there has probably never been a time in our history when newspaper endorsements were as meaningless as they are now.
Agree. I don't think any endorsement from dead tree media carries much weight these days.

 
If wikileaks had something they would have dropped it already. Not that they don't want to affect the election but that they struggle to remain relevant.
I'm not saying it is likely, SID asked for scenarios on how Trump could win.  The only two ways would be Wikileaks and her going dead fish again.

 
cstu said:
NCCommish said:
Iran weeks away from nukes. They have never been that close according to about every expert without a political agenda. First to come to mind
"Iran's Nuclear Breakout Time: A Fact Sheet"

If Iran brought online its other nearly 9,000 IR-1s, breakout time would be about three months with natural uranium feedstock and four to six weeks with 3.5 percent UF6 feedstock. Iran has also developed the more advanced IR-2m centrifuge, rated at 5 SWU/year. If the 1,000 IR-2ms installed at Natanz were used in conjunction with all 18,000 IR-1s, the respective breakout times would be cut by a third.
'Weeks' sounds scarier than 'months' but they weren't far away from producing a nuclear bomb.
Wait...we're calling "weeks away" a lie when the timeline was estimated 3 months?

Can we apply the same standard of what constitutes a lie to Trump? Because that would beak the internet. Hell..it''s a stretch to call it a stretch!

 
TRUMP: You called it the gold standard.

(CROSSTALK)

TRUMP: You called it the gold standard of trade deals. You said it's the finest deal you've ever seen.

CLINTON: No.


- Hard to believe it but Trump won a point and a factcheck last night.

This was it.

Horribly blatant lie by Hillary btw.
In fairness to Hillary, she never said it was the finest deal she'd ever seen.

 
Agree. I don't think any endorsement from dead tree media carries much weight these days.
Actually, in many cases, newspaper market penetration has grown over the last 20 years. They all publish a digital edition and are typically the best source of local news in a given area. I'd agree that the endorsements probably aren't a huge deal though.

 
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I didn't tout it. Posted it as a curiosity and noted that the source was dead tree media.
Yeah it's curious all right, Goppers & conservatives will be voting for the Democrat in relatively large numbers while Hillary is maintaining the usual share of her own party's vote. That's what these conservative endorsements reflect. - How is Trump supposed to win, given that?

 
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I have to give it to the Clinton campaign.  I was guessing that no matter what happened in the debate, Trump would manage to gloss over it, claim victory, and it would be forgotten by Weds.  But this Miss Universe video tape coupled with the fact that he doubled-down and she's out there doing interviews all over is just a superbly executed and devastating attack that is resonating especially with college educated white woman and Hispanics.  

As bad a Donald's debate was conventional spin would have solved it, but their conventional spin can't gloss over this one.  

 
I have to give it to the Clinton campaign.  I was guessing that no matter what happened in the debate, Trump would manage to gloss over it, claim victory, and it would be forgotten by Weds.  But this Miss Universe video tape coupled with the fact that he doubled-down and she's out there doing interviews all over is just a superbly executed and devastating attack that is resonating especially with college educated white woman and Hispanics.  

As bad a Donald's debate was conventional spin would have solved it, but their conventional spin can't gloss over this one.  
Knowing Donald would get hung up on some one thing like that knowing he would obsess over it and defend it was brilliant. I love that. This should last a week. 

 
First of all she denied she said it. Also has Hillary specifically said what she does not like about it?
Her handling of the question left a lot to be desired, no doubt (again).

But an optimistic remark three years in advance of the result? Doesn't seem like the gold standard of scandals or flip flops.

 
Please tell me the Clinton campaign can come back and find something good about NAFTA and this TPP to counter Trump's advantages for the next debate.  She looked shell shocked last time.  There has to be some positive spin with facts and feel good stuff they can put on it.

 
I have to give it to the Clinton campaign.  I was guessing that no matter what happened in the debate, Trump would manage to gloss over it, claim victory, and it would be forgotten by Weds.  But this Miss Universe video tape coupled with the fact that he doubled-down and she's out there doing interviews all over is just a superbly executed and devastating attack that is resonating especially with college educated white woman and Hispanics.  

As bad a Donald's debate was conventional spin would have solved it, but their conventional spin can't gloss over this one.  
Their reaction is not well thought out either. One of the top Trump female supporters was on CNN attacking the character of the woman, yelling. Not a good look.

 
First of all she denied she said it. Also has Hillary specifically said what she does not like about it?
She didn't exactly deny it. She used the word "no" in the middle of his interrupting her. That's not the same as saying "I never said that." We don't know what the context of that "no" was, we never will. It might have been- "I was referring to the TPP as originally conceived, but not what was finally negotiated" etc.

 
Her handling of the question left a lot to be desired, no doubt (again).

But an optimistic remark three years in advance of the result? Doesn't seem like the gold standard of scandals or flip flops.
Optmistic? Hillary was ready to claim it as an accomplishment if the electoral wins hadn't changed. This relates more to what Hillary will do on trade in office rather than a gotcha moment. I think that was the singular point and factcheck won by Trump, Hillary seemed to win the remaining 99% of the rest of the debate. 

IMO if the TPP reaches Hillary in any shape or form she will sign it. I don't think she has any serious internal objection to it.

 
She didn't exactly deny it. She used the word "no" in the middle of his interrupting her. That's not the same as saying "I never said that." We don't know what the context of that "no" was, we never will. It might have been- "I was referring to the TPP as originally conceived, but not what was finally negotiated" etc.
That's up to the candidates to do those things. What's the big sticking point or term that changed from Hillary's involvement considering she also pushed through trade deals with Panama, Colombia, Vietnam and maybe one other IIRC?

 
I thought the TPP was the one moment where Trump almost won the debate.  He had her on the ropes, and should have kept pressing her on acknowledging "Obama is wrong" on this issue.  He pushed her to the brink, but stopped short of pushing her over.  That was his one moment to really punish her, and he missed his chance to get that soundbite. 

 
Please tell me the Clinton campaign can come back and find something good about NAFTA and this TPP to counter Trump's advantages for the next debate.  She looked shell shocked last time.  There has to be some positive spin with facts and feel good stuff they can put on it.
My guess is they will next time and it'll center around how she's learned from experience and how he sucks at negotiating (throw all the lawsuits in his face again). 

 
My guess is they will next time and it'll center around how she's learned from experience and how he sucks at negotiating (throw all the lawsuits in his face again). 
That's funny and true, Hillary has a lot to work with there. Unlike Trump, Hillary won't leave material off the table. 

 
That's up to the candidates to do those things. What's the big sticking point or term that changed from Hillary's involvement considering she also pushed through trade deals with Panama, Colombia, Vietnam and maybe one other IIRC?
That wasn't my point. You wrote that she lied by denying it. My only point is that the word "no" isn't necessarily a denial on the scale of "I never said that."

 
Please tell me the Clinton campaign can come back and find something good about NAFTA and this TPP to counter Trump's advantages for the next debate.  She looked shell shocked last time.  There has to be some positive spin with facts and feel good stuff they can put on it.
The truth of the matter is that NAFTA was a mixed bag and it is really difficult to determine whether the effect was a net good or bad verses what would have happened without it.  

The problem is that it is such a complex issue that you could never adequately discuss the matter in a 2 minute sound bite and even if you could it wouldn't matter.   Trump has convinced his supporters that NAFTA was the worst trade agreement in history just by saying it -- he doesn't need to provide any real data.

 
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