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*Official HK Q&A Thread* (1 Viewer)
- Thread starter H.K.
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David Yudkin
Footballguy
With HC Childress praising Chester Taylor for getting into shape from minicamp 1 to minicamp 2 (and also suggesting that the rest of the team was also a bit out of shape)--see today's FBG email for details, are you ready to cut Taylor some slack or are you still suggesting he has bust of the year potential?
H.K.
Footballguy
I honestly believe he won't make it through the season as a feature back, but injuries are pure conjecture, but it adds to my skepticism. What I do know is that he had the chance to earn the starting job in Baltimore and wasn't good enough to at least earn RBBC status with a struggling JLewis in the fold, so I just don't see him keeping the starting job with MMoore in the wings. Seriously, I do think the Vikings will add another RB in the pre-season off the WW or via trade, and it will be a veteran with some level of proven background.
H.K.
Footballguy
IMHO, kind of early to make this call. IF Palmer is OK, its not a bad idea to grab him somewhat early, but there is still plenty of value to be had at QB by waiting. Brady as the consensus #2 seems a little high, but if you like consistency, and you are risk averse, he is worthy of early consideration too.TE is another story, my opinions on Gates are on record, so I advise passing on him and grabbing Shockey, Heap, Gonzo a few rounds later.OK, serious question now to get things started for you... hopefully. After Manning goes, at which point does grabing the #2 QB offer real value. Moreover, at which point does taking the 1st TE offer real value.
David Yudkin
Footballguy
You certainly are entitled to your opinion . . .But I find it interesting that Taylor as a backup couldn't beat out a 2000 yard rusher (even though I never saw him as a legit candidate for the starting job) but now that he's a starter he will lose his job to essentially a backup that has trouble staying healthy. We've danced this dance before, so there's no need for an encore. We'll see how it plays out . . .
H.K.
Footballguy
Actually, I did not pimp Hollings at all. He started four games at GT and got hurt...that was his career. I was, and remain anti DD. Davis will put up good games when he plays, and I see Kubiak as a big plus, but DDavis will burn you by leaving games eraly and missing others. I will let him be someone else's headache bc I don't see him falling late enough to me in any scenario where I would draft him (RB3).
Blackjacks
Footballguy
Do you see Portis breaking into the "BIG THREE."
Blackjacks
Footballguy
Who do you see falling out?
J-Rock
Footballguy
Strategy question.
I'm relatively new to this board (1yr) and I've just spent a lot of time looking over LHUCKS strategy on projections and player rankings from past posts etc. He seems to really focus on consistency in his picks favoring consistent low risk players over guys with higher risk and higher reward.
What are some of the key components of your overall draft strategy? What do you believe is the key to dominating your leagues?
Let me know if that is too vague.
I'm relatively new to this board (1yr) and I've just spent a lot of time looking over LHUCKS strategy on projections and player rankings from past posts etc. He seems to really focus on consistency in his picks favoring consistent low risk players over guys with higher risk and higher reward.
What are some of the key components of your overall draft strategy? What do you believe is the key to dominating your leagues?
Let me know if that is too vague.
H.K.
Footballguy
LJ has the least mileage, and will get the rock a ton, so he stays.LT will be relied on more with an inexperience Rivers at QB, so he stays.
SAlex is coming off a record breaking year, 370 carries, lost Hutch on the OL, a deep playoff run and has the Madden cove jinx....so he falls out.
ConstruxBoy
Kate's Daddy
My question is whether or not I have to grab a 12 pack of Miller Lite cans for you and the missus on Saturday night?
Blackjacks
Footballguy
I agree and for the same reasons that you list.
H.K.
Footballguy
Excellent question. My personal preference is to take the "known" quantity. Proven performers where I know what I am getting are better than boom or bust picks with higher potential. Potential is a dirty word, it means a player hasn't done it yet, so who knows if they will or not. Here is the key: Players that are high risk/high reward are often lumped in with players who are proven performers that are coming off of bad years due to extenuating circumstances (injury to themselves, their QB or OL). Too many people dismiss a player coming off a down year in favor for one that is due to "break out".
pantherclub
Footballguy
Are the best places to draft this year in the 1,2,3 slots? I think there is a ton more value here then in any other position, i think in the first 3 rounds you can get a big headstart. Either Great rb, great wr, great wr or great rb, great wr and above average rb in the first 3 rounds
H.K.
Footballguy
I assume this is non-PPR 1 point for 10 yards rush/rec 6 TD.Lot's of interesting choices here, for the most part these guys are all good picks. Here's something interesting: Jordan 340 touches, Rudi 370 touches & Edge 400 touches last season and I have them ranked lower than the guys who didn't even get 300, but trends for RB workload appear to favor the younger legs in this scenario (kind of contradicts my "proven performers" position a few posts up):
5) Jordan has a new HC, OC, and QB. The Raiders are very tough to predict this season because of these changes. He is the least desirable to me on this list as a result.
4) Rudi has the least amount of change to his situation (same coach, no huge changes to personnel, etc.) so he is the safest pick....but he is the one guy on this list with a formidable back-up who may eat away at his numbers. Virtually all of his yards are gained on the ground, and if he is spelled just a little bit more this year, he'll see a 5-10% dip in his numbers, which I predict will happen.
3) Edge goes to a new team with a suspect OL and brittle QB, I think he'll do quite well, but think the TD's will be reduced.
2) Ronnie "Only Game in Town" Brown - Upgrade at QB, no RW to share carries, Chambers, McMichael & Booker to keep D's honest. IF he can handle the workload, he'll produce.
1) SJackson - Linehan will commit to the run. Jackson was the #11 RB last year and didn't even get 300 touches. SJax gets his touches increased well beyond that level this year and will do more with them than anyone else in this group.
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H.K.
Footballguy
Hey! Hopefully life is treating you well!The top three spots are can't miss for the first round, but leagues are still won after the fourth or fifth. That being said, I'd take a top three pick this year in a heartbeat. You get off to such a solid start at RB, it provides flexibility to grab value at other positions as opposed to almost being forced to grab two RB at the lower end of the first/second rounds in fear of nothing getting back to you in the third.
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ConstruxBoy
Kate's Daddy
Fixed.
