Last nights win makes me a lot more confortable...If it started to creep under 3 games, anything could have happened.6.5 up
magic number is 11
An 8-8 record in the last 16 games would be 92 wins and make it almost impossible for the Tribe or Royals to come close. Cleveland would need to finish 15-2 to tie. Barring a fold job like the WhiteSox of last year it is pretty much over now.Last nights win makes me a lot more confortable...If it started to creep under 3 games, anything could have happened.6.5 up
magic number is 11
In a best of 7 it might make less difference but in the best of 5 round they must choose carefully, as only one pitcher can start two games.Would anyone complain if Sanchez started the first playoff game?
1. Sanchez
2. Max
3. Still up for grabs
It might be dependent on who has home field, but I think Max will be the #1 starter regardless. I see Sanchez starting a game 2 in Detroit, Verlander a game two in Oakland or Texas. Verlander is the franchises #1 starter, but Max has just been too good this year. Then again Jimmy had him as the #4 last year, so who knows. Hard to not make Max #1, and I don't think Verlander would have any issue with it.jon_mx said:The rotation will most likely be Justin, Max, Sanchez, Fister.
Undoubtedly Max should be #1, but Leyland has a strong loyalty to what has been in the past. Verlander has been his #1 guy for years and it would not shock me if Leyland kept it that way despite what happened this year. Leyland is a bit of a weird duck that way.It might be dependent on who has home field, but I think Max will be the #1 starter regardless. I see Sanchez starting a game 2 in Detroit, Verlander a game two in Oakland or Texas. Verlander is the franchises #1 starter, but Max has just been too good this year. Then again Jimmy had him as the #4 last year, so who knows. Hard to not make Max #1, and I don't think Verlander would have any issue with it.The rotation will most likely be Justin, Max, Sanchez, Fister.
Very good point. They have a lot of bench speed and flexibility.so with all the pinch running that Jim normally does, why not run for Prince in that spot?
Sigh, we went over this.I think Max is still almost a lock for the CY. MVP is in question for sure, but Miggy still seems to be the leader.
Currently.....Wins are fairly hard to predict because there are too many outside factors. Tigers could blow a ton of saves and cost Verlander five wins or he could have six games where the team only gives him one run, who knows.It is highly unlikely all 5 starters will achieve it, but individually I would bet each one would. I would win 3 or 4 of those bets. Verlander is the only one with overwhelming odds at achieving that. The other 4 I would rate as better than average.Sure man.How many Tigers starters will have at least 15 wins? Of course health could play a role, but I think all five will barring an extended injury.
I actually don't think this BPBC will blow nearly as many saves as people might think though, I think they'll be ok.
at least they don't have Inge....Well, looks like its going to be Oakland again in the ALDS. Won't be easy.
Quality starts:Currently.....
Max 19-3
JV 13-11
Fister 12-9
Porcello 13-8
Sanchez 14-7
If there were not so many blown saves early on, all five would be at 15 or more. Fister is the only one eliminated from reaching that with only two starts left for each. Max and Sanchez had outstanding years, with Max being the beneficiuary of outstanding run support. Justin was not bad, he just was not the Justin V that we know. Fister slightly disappointing. Pitched well at times, but had more bad games than usual. Porcello looked awesome in spring training, then laid lots of turds. Picked it up during the middle, and has been outstanding as of late. Best 5-man rotation in the AL, even with JV having an off year.
Best we can hope is to catch them for home field. Will have to make up 2 games since Oakland won the season series 4-3.Well, looks like its going to be Oakland again in the ALDS. Won't be easy.
Quite a while back I recall read somewhere that Max could be the first pitcher to have 10+ Ks/9 innings and a WHIP below 1.00. Run support notwithstanding, that's quite an achievement. To the extent Sanchez has a case, hopefully he doesn't vulture votes from Max. Instead of a RBBC, we have a CYBC.Sanchez is trying to make a case for Cy Young. Definitely in the discussion.
I know it will never happen but I would love to see Sanchez get the game 1 start, but it will probably be Max. How can it not be a Max, Sanchez, Verlander rotation in the playoffs? The body of work is there for all three and the numbers do not lie.Sanchez is trying to make a case for Cy Young. Definitely in the discussion.
Because Leyland is not one who looks at a player and evaluates him what has he done in the last month or even what has he done in the last year. Leyland looks at a player and thinks what has he done in the last several years. Sometimes that works out like VMart finally did come around. And sometimes it does not (Inge, Potato). That should be the rotation, it just would not shock me one bit if Leyland sticks with JV as his ace and starts him in game 1. Or Leyland may look at some of the situational stats, but I doubt that comes into play.I know it will never happen but I would love to see Sanchez get the game 1 start, but it will probably be Max. How can it not be a Max, Sanchez, Verlander rotation in the playoffs? The body of work is there for all three and the numbers do not lie.Sanchez is trying to make a case for Cy Young. Definitely in the discussion.
If the tigers start on the road in the playoffs it will be Max/JV game 1&2 in some combo with Sanchez and Fister at homeBecause Leyland is not one who looks at a player and evaluates him what has he done in the last month or even what has he done in the last year. Leyland looks at a player and thinks what has he done in the last several years. Sometimes that works out like VMart finally did come around. And sometimes it does not (Inge, Potato). That should be the rotation, it just would not shock me one bit if Leyland sticks with JV as his ace and starts him in game 1. Or Leyland may look at some of the situational stats, but I doubt that comes into play.I know it will never happen but I would love to see Sanchez get the game 1 start, but it will probably be Max. How can it not be a Max, Sanchez, Verlander rotation in the playoffs? The body of work is there for all three and the numbers do not lie.Sanchez is trying to make a case for Cy Young. Definitely in the discussion.
There is not a very large variance in any of those numbers with the exception of JV and Porcello day/night numbers. And considering the small sample size of starts a picter has in each of those scenerios, they would be within the statistical margins of error. I might consider the day/night numbers for those two, but the other numbers really give you no information to base decisions on.ERA Splits:
Max 3.49 home; 2.44 road .....3.35 day; 2.81 night
JV 3.72 home; 3.59 road .....2.62 day; 5.02 night
Ani 2.45 home; 2.58 road .....2.76 day; 2.43 night
Fister 3.46 home; 3.87 road ....3.34 day; 3.86 night
Porcello 4.70 home; 4.20 road ....5.21 day; 3.82 night
That's why for a road start, look to Max at night; JV during the day. If Detroit happens to play the first two at home, it'd make sense to start with Sanchez and JV, holding Max for game three on the road.
I hope the team plays it hard over these remaining games and secures home field advantage.
A fair point. Max's numbers possibly have some significance. But bottom line, Leyland will just be Leyland.There is not a very large variance in any of those numbers with the exception of JV and Porcello day/night numbers. And considering the small sample size of starts a picter has in each of those scenerios, they would be within the statistical margins of error. I might consider the day/night numbers for those two, but the other numbers really give you no information to base decisions on.ERA Splits:
Max 3.49 home; 2.44 road .....3.35 day; 2.81 night
JV 3.72 home; 3.59 road .....2.62 day; 5.02 night
Ani 2.45 home; 2.58 road .....2.76 day; 2.43 night
Fister 3.46 home; 3.87 road ....3.34 day; 3.86 night
Porcello 4.70 home; 4.20 road ....5.21 day; 3.82 night
That's why for a road start, look to Max at night; JV during the day. If Detroit happens to play the first two at home, it'd make sense to start with Sanchez and JV, holding Max for game three on the road.
I hope the team plays it hard over these remaining games and secures home field advantage.
Iwakuma is one of the best pitchers in baseball, I can live with it.this disappoints me...how do we get shut out like this.
peace
that is why whenever a child is born, their parent put a baseball in their left hand.Iwakuma is one of the best pitchers in baseball, I can live with it.this disappoints me...how do we get shut out like this.
peace
Phil Coke on the playoff roster, is something I shouldn't have to live with however.
Jhonny might end up being pretty useful come postseason. Not like their lineup can't sometimes use another bat.Dirks is terrible, hoping J-Honey can man LF for every game to be honest.
lolI love how Jones can go .1 innings and give up 5 runs, yet get credited with a Hold
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Baseball scoring is so screwy