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Panthers will lose to Vikes in week 3 (1 Viewer)

Frank Black

Footballguy
The Panthers just put up 2 good wins. Steve Smith comes back in week 3 and it therefore seems like they should be a better team. However, this is the kind of game the Panthers seem to lose even though on paper, it seems like they should win. I don't have an in depth analysis, but everything tells me that that Panthers will lose against the Vikes in week 3.

 
I stand by my thoughts on this game even if ADP doesn't play or is limited. Fox will find a way to lose this one by failing to have the players bring their A game. Furthermore, when you play so many games so close, some of those games will turn against you, whether by bad luck or by a blown play. This will be one of those games for the Panthers.

 
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Well as a Vikings fan I will have to disagree, do you think Childress can actually come up with a game plan to beat a potential playoff team? I highly doubt it

 
Not sure if this is the reverse psychology shtick or not but... In seasons past, weeks one and two were losses. There is something different about this team. Smitty coming back can only be a plus. Until I see more from #90, I still see at least four better teams in the NFC. DAL, PHI, GB, NYG

 
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I stand by my thoughts on this game even if ADP doesn't play or is limited. Childress will find a way to lose this one by failing to have the players bring their A game. Furthermore, when you play so many games so close, some of those games will turn against you, whether by bad luck or by a blown play. This will be another one of those games for the Vikings.
Corrected. The Vikings already had the Division wrapped up and were going to battle Dallas for the Superbowl before the first snap of the season. Now they are 0-2 and have changed QB's. I think you are correct in your basic analysis...
 
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Well as a Vikings fan I will have to disagree, do you think Childress can actually come up with a game plan to beat a potential playoff team? I highly doubt it
After his comment "Your legs are your legs" earlier this week, I checked to see if my legs were my arms.
 
Any thoughts on Delhomme this week with Smith coming back? Tough rush D and weak pass D seem to be a good matchup for him. Anyone benching someone else for Jake this week?

 
Fox will find a way to lose this one by failing to have the players bring their A game.
I don't really understand this. I don't think the Panthers have taken any of their wins for granted, and I don't know why they wouldn't play hard against the Vikings. The Vikings are no walk in the park. If the Panthers lose, I don't think it will be because Fox failed to have his players bring their A game. The Panthers better watch their penalties this Sunday. In the first half last week, they kept committing false starts against the Bears. Penalties are a good way to lose a game.
 
This is gonna be a great week to start John Kasay.

I don't really believe the Vikes will win this one (and I'm a homer), but you better believe they're gonna bring their game with.

This team has been stroked around here for months about being a Super Bowl contender. When you go 0-2, the wheels come off pretty quickly.

I think the QB change wasn't Childress' plan, but rumors are that the players BLEW UP after the Colts game. Alot of shouting could be heard from outside the locker room. Whether the team doesn't believe in Tjack or whether they don't believe in Childress I don't know.

Either way Chilly made the change because of either the players or the Owner.

If it's because of the players, they will destroy Carolina. Delhomme will be on his back all day.

If it's because of the owner, expect another close game, and a probable Vikings loss.

Just my .02

 
Peterson will shatter the NFL record again by 1 yard. Mark it down.
Steve Smith will beat Adrian Peterson to death in a grudge match for the ages in the parking lot amongst the tailgaters. The fury that Smith unleashes will then sweep half of Minnesota into the Atlantic, to never be heard from again. Barack Obama, and John McCain both see the frightening display of power and each try to dump their respective running mates to get Steve Smith on their party ticket. Steve Smith remains unimpressed with either Obama or McCain and decides to run as a third party independent. He calls his party the Pale Horse party, and promises to bring Hell to all his opponents. His platform consists of sending Chuck Norris to destroy Al Queda and Osama Bin Laden, saving the enviroment by threatening to destroy it (thereby intimidating it so badly that it improves and kicks pollution in the balls), ending world hunger, finding a cure for the Herm Edwards virus in Kansas City, solving the illegal immigration crisis, paying off the national debt, making hot dogs and hot dog buns the same size, giving free Sunday Ticket subscriptions to all Fantasy football players for life, and sending Al Davis in to exile.

He gets elected in a landslide, and we all live long and prosper. The End.

 
This will be a close game either way IMO. Last week CAR OL and Stewart showed that they can pound it out and score against a tough run D. Whether that means anything vs the MIN run D I don't know but I think Stewart could find the endzone again. On the flip side, I think MIN will run well against CAR even with a dinged up ADP.

The reason I think CAR will probably win is that MIN is dreadful at passing and defending the pass. MIN is not a win from behind team, while CAR has shown that they are.

 
The Panthers should've beaten Minnesota the last time they faced. That was the Chris Gamble kickoff debacle game. I'm thinking "unfinished business" will be the pre-game speech. Smitty didn't play in that game either.

 
I think the game hinges more on Frerotte. I believe ADP does what he does or doesnt if hes injured. Im sure CAR will score a few. I think it really comes down to QB mistakes on either side to be honest. Maybe one QB gets the winning TD or losing INT for instance. Just a hunch.

 
Well as a Vikings fan I will have to disagree, do you think Childress can actually come up with a game plan to beat a potential playoff team? I highly doubt it
:whistle: Truer words have never been spoken.No way does Steve Smith allow them to lose.
 
It should be a really tough game, but I'm thinking Smith comes back with the same sort of chip on his shoulder that Marshall had last week and tears them up for a win. Delhomme will be feeding him the ball all game long, and having Muhsin back for his safety net is all gravy.

 
Well if the Panthers pull it off they'll be starting the season 5-0 because they've got Atlanta and Kansas City at home the next 2. Minnesota's gotta be ticked and ready to kill, but not sure they have the QB to do anything about it. Peterson may not be 100% and they are down a starting WR and McKinnie still out. If Minnesota wins, it'll be a squeaker.

 
Guys, lets face it........Vegas knows more than any of us about these games. Afterall, they don't keep building mega-resorts/casino's because they lose money. The odds on this game have the Vikes favored by 3 to 3.5 points. Judging from this thread....90% of the public appears to be on the Panthers........yet.......they are GETTING 3 to 3.5 points (and the line has been there all week long). This game has a Vikes win by 4 or more written all over it.

 
Guys, lets face it........Vegas knows more than any of us about these games. Afterall, they don't keep building mega-resorts/casino's because they lose money. The odds on this game have the Vikes favored by 3 to 3.5 points. Judging from this thread....90% of the public appears to be on the Panthers........yet.......they are GETTING 3 to 3.5 points (and the line has been there all week long). This game has a Vikes win by 4 or more written all over it.
Panthers were +9 at San Diego, so they get them wrong quite often.
 
Guys, lets face it........Vegas knows more than any of us about these games. Afterall, they don't keep building mega-resorts/casino's because they lose money. The odds on this game have the Vikes favored by 3 to 3.5 points. Judging from this thread....90% of the public appears to be on the Panthers........yet.......they are GETTING 3 to 3.5 points (and the line has been there all week long). This game has a Vikes win by 4 or more written all over it.
Panthers were +9 at San Diego, so they get them wrong quite often.
Obviously, you're not a gambler because you're missing the point. This is about the public being all over ONE side (Vegas goes for a 50/50 split when they set the line and they try to make their money on the vig, juice, etc.)...yet...the line not moving. In this case, the public appears to be all over the Panthers........yet.......the line is not moving. Something stinks about this line/game.
 
Guys, lets face it........Vegas knows more than any of us about these games. Afterall, they don't keep building mega-resorts/casino's because they lose money. The odds on this game have the Vikes favored by 3 to 3.5 points. Judging from this thread....90% of the public appears to be on the Panthers........yet.......they are GETTING 3 to 3.5 points (and the line has been there all week long). This game has a Vikes win by 4 or more written all over it.
Panthers were +9 at San Diego, so they get them wrong quite often.
Obviously, you're not a gambler because you're missing the point. This is about the public being all over ONE side (Vegas goes for a 50/50 split when they set the line and they try to make their money on the vig, juice, etc.)...yet...the line not moving. In this case, the public appears to be all over the Panthers........yet.......the line is not moving. Something stinks about this line/game.
Comparing the opinions in the SP to the "public" is not a logical thing to do.
 
Guys, lets face it........Vegas knows more than any of us about these games. Afterall, they don't keep building mega-resorts/casino's because they lose money. The odds on this game have the Vikes favored by 3 to 3.5 points. Judging from this thread....90% of the public appears to be on the Panthers........yet.......they are GETTING 3 to 3.5 points (and the line has been there all week long). This game has a Vikes win by 4 or more written all over it.
Panthers were +9 at San Diego, so they get them wrong quite often.
Obviously, you're not a gambler because you're missing the point. This is about the public being all over ONE side (Vegas goes for a 50/50 split when they set the line and they try to make their money on the vig, juice, etc.)...yet...the line not moving. In this case, the public appears to be all over the Panthers........yet.......the line is not moving. Something stinks about this line/game.
If I was a gambler, my money would be on the Panthers to cover
 
I do believe Carolina wins this game and should be the favorite, however the line today was Minny -3.5.

I was a bit confused by this. Are we missing something?

 
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The Panthers just put up 2 good wins. Steve Smith comes back in week 3 and it therefore seems like they should be a better team. However, this is the kind of game the Panthers seem to lose even though on paper, it seems like they should win. I don't have an in depth analysis, but everything tells me that that Panthers will lose against the Vikes in week 3.
Carolina is a 3.5 pt underdog. Sportsbetting is a multi million dollar industry, and the books have teams of people working every day to make their lines accurate. Yes they are trying to balance action and not necessarily put out a "true line", but its usually pretty close either way. Saying Carolina is going to lose isn't very bold at all. In fact, saying otherwise would be pretty foolish(not saying that Carolina won't win, but theres no way they're >50% to do so).
 
I do believe Carolina wins this game and should be the favorite, however the line today was Minny -3.5.I was a bit confused by this. Are we missing something?
Pro Football Prospectus had Minn as a 10 win team and Carolina as a 9.5 win team coming into the year. Minn had a tougher schedule which means that them being .5 wins better actually means they're a significantly better team coming into the year(according to PFP, which is highly respected among the sharp betting community).Minnesota started out the season with 2 games in which they were expected(by Vegas and the great majority of the sharp community) to lose. They lost both by the slimmest of margins- a total of 8 points. Nothing regarding our opinion of Minnesota should've changed based upon that.Carolina was expected to be 1-1 after their first two games. Yes they are 2-0, but they have ran above expectations(i.e. gotten lucky) to do that: +1 TO and 40 less total yards vs Chicago. Nothing significant has caused us to change Carolina from their 9.5 win projection...in fact, I havn't even looked but I'd be shocked if any sportsbook had their season win total line at 10 or higher.So preseason expectations told us that Minnesota was slightly better. The game is at Minnesota....that equates to 3 points for HFA and maybe 0.5 or 1 point for being better. The line opened at 3.5 and is now down to 3, mostly imo due to square money coming in heavily on Carolina. As I said, I don't think the first two weeks should've changed our preseason expectations much.
 
I do believe Carolina wins this game and should be the favorite, however the line today was Minny -3.5.I was a bit confused by this. Are we missing something?
Pro Football Prospectus had Minn as a 10 win team and Carolina as a 9.5 win team coming into the year. Minn had a tougher schedule which means that them being .5 wins better actually means they're a significantly better team coming into the year(according to PFP, which is highly respected among the sharp betting community).Minnesota started out the season with 2 games in which they were expected(by Vegas and the great majority of the sharp community) to lose. They lost both by the slimmest of margins- a total of 8 points. Nothing regarding our opinion of Minnesota should've changed based upon that.Carolina was expected to be 1-1 after their first two games. Yes they are 2-0, but they have ran above expectations(i.e. gotten lucky) to do that: +1 TO and 40 less total yards vs Chicago. Nothing significant has caused us to change Carolina from their 9.5 win projection...in fact, I havn't even looked but I'd be shocked if any sportsbook had their season win total line at 10 or higher.So preseason expectations told us that Minnesota was slightly better. The game is at Minnesota....that equates to 3 points for HFA and maybe 0.5 or 1 point for being better. The line opened at 3.5 and is now down to 3, mostly imo due to square money coming in heavily on Carolina. As I said, I don't think the first two weeks should've changed our preseason expectations much.
Disclaimer: Except for the fact that Minnesota has chucked their QB already, and are without one of their top 2 receivers and their OL stalwart McKinnie.
 
Panthers are underdogs on the road, just the kind of game they pull off. They have a history of playing well for these types of games, and I think they win by 2 TDs. I'm not sure the panther new O-line is getting the type of credit it deserves. With Smith in game, you won't see 8 and 10 men in box. Also, look for those quick out passes to Smith, especially when defenders are sitting back. Smith has made a career of these games.

I hope Minny DBs try to get in Smith's head. A few guys tried to do that in past years and it never worked out, didn't it, DeAngelo Hall?

 
Panthers are underdogs on the road, just the kind of game they pull off. They have a history of playing well for these types of games, and I think they win by 2 TDs. I'm not sure the panther new O-line is getting the type of credit it deserves. With Smith in game, you won't see 8 and 10 men in box. Also, look for those quick out passes to Smith, especially when defenders are sitting back. Smith has made a career of these games.

I hope Minny DBs try to get in Smith's head. A few guys tried to do that in past years and it never worked out, didn't it, DeAngelo Hall?
Minnesota's DBs aren't very big talkers. Winfield would rather just hit you and Griffin isn't good enough to have earned the right to talk.
 
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I do believe Carolina wins this game and should be the favorite, however the line today was Minny -3.5.I was a bit confused by this. Are we missing something?
Pro Football Prospectus had Minn as a 10 win team and Carolina as a 9.5 win team coming into the year. Minn had a tougher schedule which means that them being .5 wins better actually means they're a significantly better team coming into the year(according to PFP, which is highly respected among the sharp betting community).Minnesota started out the season with 2 games in which they were expected(by Vegas and the great majority of the sharp community) to lose. They lost both by the slimmest of margins- a total of 8 points. Nothing regarding our opinion of Minnesota should've changed based upon that.Carolina was expected to be 1-1 after their first two games. Yes they are 2-0, but they have ran above expectations(i.e. gotten lucky) to do that: +1 TO and 40 less total yards vs Chicago. Nothing significant has caused us to change Carolina from their 9.5 win projection...in fact, I havn't even looked but I'd be shocked if any sportsbook had their season win total line at 10 or higher.So preseason expectations told us that Minnesota was slightly better. The game is at Minnesota....that equates to 3 points for HFA and maybe 0.5 or 1 point for being better. The line opened at 3.5 and is now down to 3, mostly imo due to square money coming in heavily on Carolina. As I said, I don't think the first two weeks should've changed our preseason expectations much.
Thanks for the detailed response, and it could turn out to be accurate. However, I don't think the result of this is going to be that predictable necessarily. For starters we've got a new (old) QB for Minny and a star running back with a bad wheel. Delhome playing well, which was something that had to play out and couldn't be predicted by a pre-season publication of some kind. An effective running game and a solid defensive unit thus far with a stud receiver coming back that is itching to hit the field. Other than the fact that Minny is motivated to avoid an 0-3 start, the Panthers seem to have the upper hand. Again, nice post, but I just don't know how accurate it is today.
 
Panthers are underdogs on the road, just the kind of game they pull off. They have a history of playing well for these types of games, and I think they win by 2 TDs. I'm not sure the panther new O-line is getting the type of credit it deserves. With Smith in game, you won't see 8 and 10 men in box. Also, look for those quick out passes to Smith, especially when defenders are sitting back. Smith has made a career of these games.

I hope Minny DBs try to get in Smith's head. A few guys tried to do that in past years and it never worked out, didn't it, DeAngelo Hall?
Minnesota's DBs aren't very big talkers. Winfield would rather just hit you and Griffin isn't good enough to have earned the right to talk.
And Fred Smoot is in Washington.
 
Peterson will shatter the NFL record again by 1 yard. Mark it down.
Steve Smith will beat Adrian Peterson to death in a grudge match for the ages in the parking lot amongst the tailgaters. The fury that Smith unleashes will then sweep half of Minnesota into the Atlantic, to never be heard from again. Barack Obama, and John McCain both see the frightening display of power and each try to dump their respective running mates to get Steve Smith on their party ticket. Steve Smith remains unimpressed with either Obama or McCain and decides to run as a third party independent. He calls his party the Pale Horse party, and promises to bring Hell to all his opponents. His platform consists of sending Chuck Norris to destroy Al Queda and Osama Bin Laden, saving the enviroment by threatening to destroy it (thereby intimidating it so badly that it improves and kicks pollution in the balls), ending world hunger, finding a cure for the Herm Edwards virus in Kansas City, solving the illegal immigration crisis, paying off the national debt, making hot dogs and hot dog buns the same size, giving free Sunday Ticket subscriptions to all Fantasy football players for life, and sending Al Davis in to exile.

He gets elected in a landslide, and we all live long and prosper. The End.
:cry: whats he gonna do about energy independence?
 
Of course the Panthers are a much better team with a weapon like Smith, but I wasn't too impressed with them for 3 quarters last week against the Bears. If Orton was simply a bad QB, instead of a horrific one, the Bears would have won in Carolina by 14+...then again, with Smith, completely different team...

 
Panthers are underdogs on the road, just the kind of game they pull off. They have a history of playing well for these types of games, and I think they win by 2 TDs. I'm not sure the panther new O-line is getting the type of credit it deserves. With Smith in game, you won't see 8 and 10 men in box. Also, look for those quick out passes to Smith, especially when defenders are sitting back. Smith has made a career of these games.I hope Minny DBs try to get in Smith's head. A few guys tried to do that in past years and it never worked out, didn't it, DeAngelo Hall?
Why on earth would the Vikings need to stuff the box to stop the run? Perhaps you have seen their DTs?
 
This is gonna be a great week to start John Kasay.I don't really believe the Vikes will win this one (and I'm a homer), but you better believe they're gonna bring their game with.This team has been stroked around here for months about being a Super Bowl contender. When you go 0-2, the wheels come off pretty quickly.I think the QB change wasn't Childress' plan, but rumors are that the players BLEW UP after the Colts game. Alot of shouting could be heard from outside the locker room. Whether the team doesn't believe in Tjack or whether they don't believe in Childress I don't know.Either way Chilly made the change because of either the players or the Owner.If it's because of the players, they will destroy Carolina. Delhomme will be on his back all day.If it's because of the owner, expect another close game, and a probable Vikings loss.Just my .02
On the contrary, this will be a great week to start Longwell. :(Vikes know what's at stake here. No way CAR wins this game.
 
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I do not care who wins game.All I care is can Delhomme finds S. Smith for 150 and 2 TD.
:bs: I am not too proud to admit this! I would also like to see Stewart get at least 50 and a touch as my flex starter.I love how FF has changed my outlook on games - it's not whether you win or lose, its how you play the game!
 

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