What's new
Fantasy Football - Footballguys Forums

This is a sample guest message. Register a free account today to become a member! Once signed in, you'll be able to participate on this site by adding your own topics and posts, as well as connect with other members through your own private inbox!

Pick One Starter for the Next 3 years (1 Viewer)

One pitcher, all things considered, for the next 3 years

  • Cliff Lee

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Ubaldo Jimenez

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Roy Halladay

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Stephen Strasburg

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • David Price

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Justin Verlander

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Francisco Liriano

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Tim Lincecum

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Zach Grienke

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Josh Johnson

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Tommy Hanson

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Clayton Kershaw

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Adam Wainwright

    Votes: 0 0.0%

  • Total voters
    0
Doctor Detroit said:
Glaven said:
Doctor Detroit said:
Glaven said:
I also don't get the Justin Verlander love. I'm guessing it's because there's a lot of Detroit Tiger faithful on these boards.
According to a survey of major league players conducted by Sports Illustrated, Verlander, 27, was named the No. 1 fastball pitcher by 30 percent of the 339 players who participated in the survey. His average fastball velocity is second in the league this year at 95.8 mph, according to fangraphs.com.
Jonathan Broxton was second with 11% of the vote. If you don't get the love, you don't watch him. He is a top ten pitcher for sure, top five a lot of the time and on any given night he's the best pitcher in baseball.
Sure he has a dominant fastball, but there's more to pitching than that. One major weakness to his game is he basically only uses 3 pitches, whereas most people on these lists are using 4 or 5. Also, i find survey's like that to be pointless and full of confounds; it's impossible to determine anything form a survey by reading just 1 sentence, but that's what ESPN, etc. want us to. What does the "No. 1 Fastball pitcher" even mean? There's just as good of a chance that it means he's the pitcher who relies most on his fastball as it does that he has the best fastball in the league.
Of course you find the survey pointless, it doesn't support your argument. I'll take the word of 339 surveyed players, they play the game. As for Verlander he has three pitches, two that are among the best in the game. He throws four pitches, the four seam and curve which are dominant (Verlander, Strasberg and Jimenez have the best 4 seamers) and the two seam and the change-up which are good. He's used the change a lot this year, and since his fastball is 98/99 just about every time an 88 mph change-up can be devastating.

And most pitchers don't throw 4 or 5 pitches well, only a handful do and I'm not sure any throw five well. Jimenez throws three pitches effectively, the 4 seam, change and curve. Johnson is the same, 4 seam, change, slider. Halliday, Lester, Wainwright and Sabathia all throw 4 pitches well but there aren't many others. Liriano three, Carpenter three and Price three. In fact if you look at scouting material Verlander is one of the few pitchers who they list as having five pitches (slider the 5th) and they list three as being above average (change) to superior.

I voted Lincecum in this poll because I think he might be the only guy in the game with three dominant pitches, as most of the rest have 1-2 dominant pitches and then maybe a third and fourth they can effectively employ. I know I'm a Tigers fan and I do love me some Verlander, but it doesn't take homer glasses to realize how good he really is. His only real issue has always been his Rich Harden-like innings that he has once a game, long innings with a walk, lots of long counts and maybe a couple of runs. If you don't take advantage of that one inning though you are gonna have trouble getting to him.

He also led the league not only in Ks last year, but in K/9 and his career K/9 numbers are 8.4/9. Only Peavy, Santana and Beckett have better career numbers of active starters to this point and those guys have been three of the best pitchers over the past decade. K/9 is a pretty good ratio in demonstrating dominance, and Verlander's numbers support the players saying he has the league's best fastball. The guy can throw his first pitch at 99 with great movement, and his 120th pitch at 99 with great movement. That isn't just impressive for today's game, it's impressive period.

He's the best pitcher the Tigers have had in my lifetime and he has a chance to be the best pitcher in franchise history. He's a superior talent, I think most fans regardless of affiliation would agree with me.
Sure he throws a lot of K's, but he also hands out a lot of walks. He ranks 35th in the league in K/BB this year, not outstanding. Another statistic worth mentioning is his xFIP, of which he has been one of the top 30 pitchers in the league in that category only once, and he's currently not ranked in the top 30 for this season either. :lmao: @ bolded. I've said the same thing in these forums on several occasions whenever someone uses them as a citing. If my memory serves, i said the exact same thing to you before when you cited an ESPN survey on some other previous occasion. Anyone with much knowledge about statistics knows you need much more than just one sentence of information on any study/survey to make any type of logical conclusion.

 
Doctor Detroit said:
Glaven said:
Doctor Detroit said:
According to a survey of major league players conducted by Sports Illustrated, Verlander, 27, was named the No. 1 fastball pitcher by 30 percent of the 339 players who participated in the survey. His average fastball velocity is second in the league this year at 95.8 mph, according to fangraphs.com.
Jonathan Broxton was second with 11% of the vote. If you don't get the love, you don't watch him. He is a top ten pitcher for sure, top five a lot of the time and on any given night he's the best pitcher in baseball.
Sure he has a dominant fastball, but there's more to pitching than that. One major weakness to his game is he basically only uses 3 pitches, whereas most people on these lists are using 4 or 5. Also, i find survey's like that to be pointless and full of confounds; it's impossible to determine anything form a survey by reading just 1 sentence, but that's what ESPN, etc. want us to. What does the "No. 1 Fastball pitcher" even mean? There's just as good of a chance that it means he's the pitcher who relies most on his fastball as it does that he has the best fastball in the league.
Of course you find the survey pointless, it doesn't support your argument. I'll take the word of 339 surveyed players, they play the game. As for Verlander he has three pitches, two that are among the best in the game. He throws four pitches, the four seam and curve which are dominant (Verlander, Strasberg and Jimenez have the best 4 seamers) and the two seam and the change-up which are good. He's used the change a lot this year, and since his fastball is 98/99 just about every time an 88 mph change-up can be devastating.

And most pitchers don't throw 4 or 5 pitches well, only a handful do and I'm not sure any throw five well. Jimenez throws three pitches effectively, the 4 seam, change and curve. Johnson is the same, 4 seam, change, slider. Halliday, Lester, Wainwright and Sabathia all throw 4 pitches well but there aren't many others. Liriano three, Carpenter three and Price three. In fact if you look at scouting material Verlander is one of the few pitchers who they list as having five pitches (slider the 5th) and they list three as being above average (change) to superior.

I voted Lincecum in this poll because I think he might be the only guy in the game with three dominant pitches, as most of the rest have 1-2 dominant pitches and then maybe a third and fourth they can effectively employ. I know I'm a Tigers fan and I do love me some Verlander, but it doesn't take homer glasses to realize how good he really is. His only real issue has always been his Rich Harden-like innings that he has once a game, long innings with a walk, lots of long counts and maybe a couple of runs. If you don't take advantage of that one inning though you are gonna have trouble getting to him.

He also led the league not only in Ks last year, but in K/9 and his career K/9 numbers are 8.4/9. Only Peavy, Santana and Beckett have better career numbers of active starters to this point and those guys have been three of the best pitchers over the past decade. K/9 is a pretty good ratio in demonstrating dominance, and Verlander's numbers support the players saying he has the league's best fastball. The guy can throw his first pitch at 99 with great movement, and his 120th pitch at 99 with great movement. That isn't just impressive for today's game, it's impressive period.

He's the best pitcher the Tigers have had in my lifetime and he has a chance to be the best pitcher in franchise history. He's a superior talent, I think most fans regardless of affiliation would agree with me.
Sure he throws a lot of K's, but he also hands out a lot of walks. He ranks 35th in the league in K/BB this year, not outstanding. Another statistic worth mentioning is his xFIP, of which he has been one of the top 30 pitchers in the league in that category only once, and he's currently not ranked in the top 30 for this season either. :rolleyes: @ bolded. I've said the same thing in these forums on several occasions whenever someone uses them as a citing. If my memory serves, i said the exact same thing to you before when you cited an ESPN survey on some other previous occasion. Anyone with much knowledge about statistics knows you need much more than just one sentence of information on any study/survey to make any type of logical conclusion.
Link? Also nice job ignoring the bulk of the post, that takes a certain kind of untrained skill I'd love to have. :thumbup:

 
Link? Also nice job ignoring the bulk of the post, that takes a certain kind of untrained skill I'd love to have. :unsure:
Quick search shows that this account of mine doesn't have many posts in the baseball forum, so i'm guessing that post must have been made using a different alias. IIRC the thread had to do with the Reds being the most hated team in the league or something like that. Expecting someone to respond on each of your points when you write 4 paragraphs is a bit much; so I responded to what I thought was your overall conclusion. You say not many pitchers throw 4/5 pitches well, but most of the pitchers already listed in this thread do: Lincecum, Halladay, Lester, Wainwright, Sabathia, Felix, Cliff Lee, Greinke, etc. Given that Verlander heavily relies on just 3 pitches, he throws a bunch of walks, relative to other stud pitchers he has a higher tendency to have a ####storm of an inning, and he consistenly has a non-elite xFIP; I think he's comfortably outside the top 5 SP in the league.
 
Link?

Also nice job ignoring the bulk of the post, that takes a certain kind of untrained skill I'd love to have. :unsure:
Quick search shows that this account of mine doesn't have many posts in the baseball forum, so i'm guessing that post must have been made using a different alias. IIRC the thread had to do with the Reds being the most hated team in the league or something like that. Expecting someone to respond on each of your points when you write 4 paragraphs is a bit much; so I responded to what I thought was your overall conclusion. You say not many pitchers throw 4/5 pitches well, but most of the pitchers already listed in this thread do: Lincecum, Halladay, Lester, Wainwright, Sabathia, Felix, Cliff Lee, Greinke, etc. Given that Verlander heavily relies on just 3 pitches, he throws a bunch of walks, relative to other stud pitchers he has a higher tendency to have a ####storm of an inning, and he consistenly has a non-elite xFIP; I think he's comfortably outside the top 5 SP in the league.
We've already been over this, and that was what my entire post addressed. No one throws five pitches effectively and I challenge you to provide some sort of proof to back that statement up. I went through several scouting directories and no one listed a pitcher that threw five pitches effectively. Four yes, five no and several of the leagues top pitchers throw only three. Since Verlander has probably one of the best, if not the best pitch in baseball with his four seam, he doesn't need a 4th pitch. Nolan Ryan didn't need a 4th pitch, neither did a long list of Hall of Famers. Not everyone is Christy Mathewson or Greg Maddux who can throw five superior pitches. xFIP means almost nothing to me, or most people to be honest. All it does is predict ERA, and it is nearly worthless. If you look at the guys that are in this poll, Jimenez, Sabathia, Carpenter are right there with Verlander. Oh, and if you really like this metric you should have noticed Verlander was 5th in this last year.

I have no idea what you are talking about with the Reds hate thread but it doesn't matter, I'm not even really sure where that is going.

Sure he throws a lot of K's, but he also hands out a lot of walks. He ranks 35th in the league in K/BB this year, not outstanding.
Active career leaders in K/BB
Code:
1.	Mariano Rivera (40)	3.9733	R2.	Dan Haren (29)	3.9331	R3.	Trevor Hoffman (42)	3.7375	R4.	Ben Sheets (31)	3.6236	R5.	Roy Oswalt (32)	3.5717	R6.	Johan Santana (31)	3.5368	L7.	Roy Halladay (33)	3.4421	R8.	Zack Greinke (26)	3.4382	R9.	Javier Vazquez (34)	3.4023	R10.	Jake Peavy (29)	3.0716	R11.	Josh Beckett (30)	3.0692	R12.	Aaron Harang (32)	3.0176	R13.	Cliff Lee (31)	2.9528	L14.	Felix Hernandez (24)	2.8936	R15.	CC Sabathia (29)	2.6745	L16.	Chris Carpenter (35)	2.6294	R17.	David Bush (30)	2.6264	R18.	John Lackey (31)	2.6082	R
Verlander would be 16th if he had 1000 innings at 2.65, right behind your boy Hernandez. Anyway...it's been fun, I enjoy talking pitching more than hitting. :thumbup:
 
Link?

Also nice job ignoring the bulk of the post, that takes a certain kind of untrained skill I'd love to have. :lmao:
Quick search shows that this account of mine doesn't have many posts in the baseball forum, so i'm guessing that post must have been made using a different alias. IIRC the thread had to do with the Reds being the most hated team in the league or something like that. Expecting someone to respond on each of your points when you write 4 paragraphs is a bit much; so I responded to what I thought was your overall conclusion. You say not many pitchers throw 4/5 pitches well, but most of the pitchers already listed in this thread do: Lincecum, Halladay, Lester, Wainwright, Sabathia, Felix, Cliff Lee, Greinke, etc. Given that Verlander heavily relies on just 3 pitches, he throws a bunch of walks, relative to other stud pitchers he has a higher tendency to have a ####storm of an inning, and he consistenly has a non-elite xFIP; I think he's comfortably outside the top 5 SP in the league.
We've already been over this, and that was what my entire post addressed. No one throws five pitches effectively and I challenge you to provide some sort of proof to back that statement up. I went through several scouting directories and no one listed a pitcher that threw five pitches effectively. Four yes, five no and several of the leagues top pitchers throw only three. Since Verlander has probably one of the best, if not the best pitch in baseball with his four seam, he doesn't need a 4th pitch. Nolan Ryan didn't need a 4th pitch, neither did a long list of Hall of Famers. Not everyone is Christy Mathewson or Greg Maddux who can throw five superior pitches. xFIP means almost nothing to me, or most people to be honest. All it does is predict ERA, and it is nearly worthless. If you look at the guys that are in this poll, Jimenez, Sabathia, Carpenter are right there with Verlander. Oh, and if you really like this metric you should have noticed Verlander was 5th in this last year.

I have no idea what you are talking about with the Reds hate thread but it doesn't matter, I'm not even really sure where that is going.

Sure he throws a lot of K's, but he also hands out a lot of walks. He ranks 35th in the league in K/BB this year, not outstanding.
Active career leaders in K/BB
Code:
1.	Mariano Rivera (40)	3.9733	R2.	Dan Haren (29)	3.9331	R3.	Trevor Hoffman (42)	3.7375	R4.	Ben Sheets (31)	3.6236	R5.	Roy Oswalt (32)	3.5717	R6.	Johan Santana (31)	3.5368	L7.	Roy Halladay (33)	3.4421	R8.	Zack Greinke (26)	3.4382	R9.	Javier Vazquez (34)	3.4023	R10.	Jake Peavy (29)	3.0716	R11.	Josh Beckett (30)	3.0692	R12.	Aaron Harang (32)	3.0176	R13.	Cliff Lee (31)	2.9528	L14.	Felix Hernandez (24)	2.8936	R15.	CC Sabathia (29)	2.6745	L16.	Chris Carpenter (35)	2.6294	R17.	David Bush (30)	2.6264	R18.	John Lackey (31)	2.6082	R
Verlander would be 16th if he had 1000 innings at 2.65, right behind your boy Hernandez. Anyway...it's been fun, I enjoy talking pitching more than hitting. ;)
What about David Cone out of curiosity?
 

Users who are viewing this thread

Back
Top