I mention 8 because that's the more important number this weekend. Personally I have 13 playing this weekend, but only 6 will count. I was shooting for 7. Somewhere between 7-8 is optimal imo.
If NO makes the SB agaisnt Den you will be kicking yourself for picking two extra Colts. That will be the difference between placing in the teens and being forgotten v. placing in the money.
When we get to the SB Iggy will likely run the numbers for the 1000 remaining and show that about a dozen teams of the 1000 have a mathmatically chance of winning.
I'll be fine. No kicking. I knew others were basing their stratagy off of past winners. I consciously didn't do that, just to see what I could come up with. I figured I wouldn't win, but wanted to see how I'd do.
It's free, so no loss.
Opportunity cost. Had you chosen a team capable to win it all, you could have won $. Therefore, you lost $ by not doing so
I mention 8 because that's the more important number this weekend. Personally I have 13 playing this weekend, but only 6 will count. I was shooting for 7. Somewhere between 7-8 is optimal imo.
If NO makes the SB agaisnt Den you will be kicking yourself for picking two extra Colts. That will be the difference between placing in the teens and being forgotten v. placing in the money.
When we get to the SB Iggy will likely run the numbers for the 1000 remaining and show that about a dozen teams of the 1000 have a mathmatically chance of winning.
I'll be fine. No kicking. I knew others were basing their stratagy off of past winners. I consciously didn't do that, just to see what I could come up with. I figured I wouldn't win, but wanted to see how I'd do. It's free, so no loss.
Different strokes...I just happen to like a chance at free money better than free fun.
If someone gave me a lottery ticket with the numbers already selected, I wouldn't tear up the ticket and pick my own numbers just to see how I would do.
Ok, I get it. You don't agree with the approach I took to this contest. Why? I have no idea, but I'd like to direct your helpful suggestions to those that didn't enter the contest at all. They made even less effort than I to get the "free money". I'm sure their PM boxes are working and able to take incoming messages.
Again, I spent an hour on this, I wanted to challenge myself to pick a winning stratagy - I have 8 playing this weekend with a scenario that has me with 10 playing in the final week (if I get there). I truly enjoyed the process to see how I'd do going in blind and narrowing down possible scenarios in about an hour's time. I think I did OK, although I realize I'm probably not winning.
In the example you mention, if the lotto ticket was for the same amount as the winnings here, and there was an actual stratagy to picking the numbers (similar to picking games and then applying mathematical stratagies), then most likely I
would rip up a free ticket that had no guarantee to win and I'd try my own numbers instead.
Now, if that ticket was for a substantial amount of money? You'd be damned sure I'd use every single piece of history and strategy that I could get my grubby little hands on.
I'm having fun, man. Let me be.
ETA - And Warrior, I think I do have a team capable to win it all. Probable? No. But in one scenario I have 10 playing. There's a chance (depending on the other teams I'm competing against). I'm not betting the house on it, though. If I had the time I could probably prove that I have no chance of winning (because someone picked the same teams as I did yet took more players from those teams), but it'll be fun to see what happens. I'm more interested in watching other's teams, to be honest. I want to see how they win, and why. What decisions did they make, who did they pick, and hopefully they'll post as to why they picked who they did, or if they just randomly picked a team and its players.
I posted this response and then read the rest of the thread with similar questions. Apologies.
It's always a guessing game. You're going to have 7 scores this week and potentially 6 scores next week. That could be enough to get you there, then you just have to hope for a DEN-SF Super Bowl.
