madd futher
Footballguy
My rookie RB list generated plenty of controversy, and I promised to post my top ranked WRs post-Combine. Again, by way of introduction, for years I've posted on another website, but this forum has the most traffic, and very sophisticated posters. Unlike Matt, Cecil, Sig and a few others - I'm a fan of all, and I envy their opportunity to actually get to see and meet these guys personally and study real game film - but my 'scouting method' is pretty much confined to YouTube and websurfing just about every available piece of info on the net about all potential prospects. My notes on each player are volumnuous and often contradictory. I spend a lot of time resolving differences in primary sources perceptions and observation and then coming to conclusions about conflicting reports. So I'm not exactly 'parroting' any specific sources here.
Since I finally got my taxes done, and in between getting a couple of stents put in my heart (tomorrow), I finally got a chance to give my view of this year's WR class. I see two potential uber-studs, and a half-dozen other high quality WRs. Tier 3 players are just a cut below these top 8 guys. Tier 4 players have at least a question or two regarding their game that could limit them at the next level. I don't see the WR class as being quite as deep as the running backs.
NOTE: This list is for dynasty fantasy potential purposes. I realize there are guys who will be NFL drafted much higher (or much lower) than some I have ranked above (or below) them. I fully expect, for example that teams will not be likely to take Vincent Brown in the 1st two rounds based on his 4.7 40 time. IMO that is probably not because they don't believe in his talent, but rather because they know that they will have to answer to their fan base if he should fail in the NFL. So it becomes much harder for teams to give him a 1st or 2nd round grade.
Tier 1 These two players deserve a tier of their own. Both players should immediately make their presence felt at the pro level, and both have potential to be uber-studs in the NFL.
1. A.J. Green – WR Georgia (6‘3 1/2” 211# 4.48 4.50) Very fluid, natural hands catching WR who will get any ball that is even close to his frame. In the mold of a more slender version of Calvin Johnson, he's probably one of the Top WR prospects of the last decade.
2. Julio Jones – WR Alabama (6‘4" 2 3/4” 220# 4.50 4.39) Jones is athletic freak and capable of highlight reel catches. He is a very physical WR, hard to bring down after the catch. But he drops his share of passes, sometimes just by losing focus and sometimes letting the ball come into his body rather than hands catch it. So while I have them in the same tier, I DO feel like there is distinct separation between Green and Julio Jones.
Tier 2 Any or all of these guys could develop into solid NFL starting WRs, maybe even studs.
3. Leonard Hankerson - WR Miami (6' 1 1/2" 205 4.54 4.43) He runs better than average routes, and catches the ball away from his frame. He’s a hand catcher who can take balls away from a defender and make tough catches in traffic. Hankerson has worked hard at his game and has shown consistent improvement throughout his collegiate career.
4. Randall Cobb - Athlete, Kentucky (5’10 1/4” 191# 4.46) Usually it is the kiss of death to call a guy ‘athlete’ rather than position player. Cobb may be the exception. While he has shown his playmaking ability as a WR, RB, AND QB, he is just a natural as a complete football player, and is very fluid as a WR with break-away abilities. He is sure handed and explosive.
I see a potential WR 1 here.
5. Vincent Brown - San Diego State (5’11 1/4” 187# 4.5 4.71) Brown consistently gets separation from defenders, and he goes after every catch with a hyper-focus that only the great ones in every sport seem to have. He understands the game, catches everything with huge hands, and his routes are the best of any prospect in this draft. Brown has the quicks, so don’t let his Combine 40 time fool you.
6. Greg Little – WR North Carolina (6‘2 1/2" 220 231# 4.55 4.53) I think his game is similar to Brandon Marshall, and believe he has the highest upside of any WR outside of Green and Jones. He is an extremely strong, physical WR with great body control and good strong hands. A former RB, he lacks top-end speed but runs extremely well after the catch. Why isn't he #3 on this list? His attitude and antics on the field just might make Marshall look like a choir boy.
7. Edmund Gates WR Abilene Christian (5' 11 3/4" 192# 4.45 4.37) He was my early sentimental favorite as I love the Abilene Christian (small school) program which produced Johnny Knox and Gates' cousin, Bernard Scott. Is he ranked too high? Maybe - he's a very raw talent, but he just might be better than both of those players. He's an explosive WR, short on playing experience, but with great speed and good hands.
8. Torrey Smith - WR Ohio St Maryland (6’1” 204# 4.40 4.43) Smith gets good separation in and out of his cuts because of his quick acceleration. He can get downfield in a hurry with exceptional speed. He has excellent body control, but he lets too many balls come into his body. His hands were the smallest of any WR at the combine. If he catches the ball consistently in the NFL, he has a bright future.
Tier 3 These guys are just slightly a cut below the above tier IMO, but they also could become productive NFL WRS. The drop-off in skill level is subtle at best from the tier above.
9. Niles Paul - WR Nebraska (6‘1“ 225 4.51) I think his game is a bit like Anquan Boldin's: what stands out is the physicality of his game He is fairly good in his routes, has smallish but strong hands and he catches passes away from his body.
10. Titus Young - WR Boise State (5’ 11 ¼” 174# 4.43 4.53) Young’s explosiveness reminds me of both Eagles receivers, Jeremy Maclin and DeSean Jackson. I think he is quicker than Maclin on his underneath routes and he has close to Jackson’s deep speed. But he’s one of the more controversial WRs in this draft because even more than Julio Jones, he is prone to dropped passes. At the Combine, he sure looked like a guy who doesn’t trust his hands.
11. Greg Salas - WR Hawaii (6’1” 210# 4.56) “Salsa” is a very productive and has a smooth athletecism to his game that will serve him well in the pros. His game is more quickness than speed. He could be a very productive WR2 at the NFL level, because he consistently gets open, is a natural hands catcher, and can make yards with his feet after the catch.
12. Tandon Doss - Indiana (6’ 2” 201# 4.53 est.) Doss will be a very good possession slot receiver. He has very good football instincts and ball skills as well as reliable hands. He could move up into tier two, but he is very hard to rank right now - he is still recovering from surgery to repair two torn groin muscles. Ouch!
13. Jerrel Jernigan - WR Troy (5’-9” 185# 4.38 4.46) Jernigan’s game is a combination of great explosiveness and game-breaking speed. He has great ball tracking skills and is fearless over the middle. Although he has elite speed, I believe he will probably translate as a very productive NFL slot receiver rather than a down-field threat.
14. Austin Pettis – WR Boise St (6‘2 1/2“ 209# 4.56 4.61) A fluid possession receiver with terrific hands and a huge catch radius, Pettis is in the mold of a TJ Houshmandzadeh. Pettis has adequate quickness, but lacks speed. He just really needs to refine his total game, especially his route running.
15. Jonathan Baldwin – WR Pittsburgh (6‘4 1/2” 228# 4.50) Baldwin is a mixed bag. He's a long strider with build up speed and is slow off the LOS, but he has great strength and leaping ability, and good soft hands. Baldwin has poor ability to gain separation. I have him as a player with high bust potential who will get drafted too high based on Combine measurables and the things he does well.
16. Jeremy Kerley - (WR TCU 5’ 9 1/2” 189# 4.62) Jeremy is another small slot guy who gets off the line quickly, runs great routes, shows reliable hands and terrific pass catching technique. His speed is only average, but he always gets separation and he can find soft spots in a zone.
Tier 4 These WRs will most likely get drafted, but I don't expect early or starter-quality WR production from them.
17. Dwayne Harris - WR/KR East Carolina (5’10 1/2” 203# 4.55) Not especailly athletic, but fearless and with very good ability to get yards after the catch.
18. Ronald Johnson – WR USC (5‘11 1/4“ 199# 4.46)
19. Ryan Whalen - WR Stanford (6’1" 202# 4.62)
20. DeAndre Brown – WR Southern Miss (6‘5 3/4” 233# 4.50)
21. Tori Gurley - South Carolina (6’ 4” 216# 4.56)
22. Armon Binns - WR Cincinnati – (6” 3” 209# 4.53)
I probably could have put 3 or 4 more WRs into tier 4 who are very close to these guys, but I had to cut it off somewhere, and 22 seems like a decent number.
Comments and criticisms welcome!
Since I finally got my taxes done, and in between getting a couple of stents put in my heart (tomorrow), I finally got a chance to give my view of this year's WR class. I see two potential uber-studs, and a half-dozen other high quality WRs. Tier 3 players are just a cut below these top 8 guys. Tier 4 players have at least a question or two regarding their game that could limit them at the next level. I don't see the WR class as being quite as deep as the running backs.
NOTE: This list is for dynasty fantasy potential purposes. I realize there are guys who will be NFL drafted much higher (or much lower) than some I have ranked above (or below) them. I fully expect, for example that teams will not be likely to take Vincent Brown in the 1st two rounds based on his 4.7 40 time. IMO that is probably not because they don't believe in his talent, but rather because they know that they will have to answer to their fan base if he should fail in the NFL. So it becomes much harder for teams to give him a 1st or 2nd round grade.
Tier 1 These two players deserve a tier of their own. Both players should immediately make their presence felt at the pro level, and both have potential to be uber-studs in the NFL.
1. A.J. Green – WR Georgia (6‘3 1/2” 211# 4.48 4.50) Very fluid, natural hands catching WR who will get any ball that is even close to his frame. In the mold of a more slender version of Calvin Johnson, he's probably one of the Top WR prospects of the last decade.
2. Julio Jones – WR Alabama (6‘4" 2 3/4” 220# 4.50 4.39) Jones is athletic freak and capable of highlight reel catches. He is a very physical WR, hard to bring down after the catch. But he drops his share of passes, sometimes just by losing focus and sometimes letting the ball come into his body rather than hands catch it. So while I have them in the same tier, I DO feel like there is distinct separation between Green and Julio Jones.
Tier 2 Any or all of these guys could develop into solid NFL starting WRs, maybe even studs.
3. Leonard Hankerson - WR Miami (6' 1 1/2" 205 4.54 4.43) He runs better than average routes, and catches the ball away from his frame. He’s a hand catcher who can take balls away from a defender and make tough catches in traffic. Hankerson has worked hard at his game and has shown consistent improvement throughout his collegiate career.
4. Randall Cobb - Athlete, Kentucky (5’10 1/4” 191# 4.46) Usually it is the kiss of death to call a guy ‘athlete’ rather than position player. Cobb may be the exception. While he has shown his playmaking ability as a WR, RB, AND QB, he is just a natural as a complete football player, and is very fluid as a WR with break-away abilities. He is sure handed and explosive.
I see a potential WR 1 here.
5. Vincent Brown - San Diego State (5’11 1/4” 187# 4.5 4.71) Brown consistently gets separation from defenders, and he goes after every catch with a hyper-focus that only the great ones in every sport seem to have. He understands the game, catches everything with huge hands, and his routes are the best of any prospect in this draft. Brown has the quicks, so don’t let his Combine 40 time fool you.
6. Greg Little – WR North Carolina (6‘2 1/2" 220 231# 4.55 4.53) I think his game is similar to Brandon Marshall, and believe he has the highest upside of any WR outside of Green and Jones. He is an extremely strong, physical WR with great body control and good strong hands. A former RB, he lacks top-end speed but runs extremely well after the catch. Why isn't he #3 on this list? His attitude and antics on the field just might make Marshall look like a choir boy.
7. Edmund Gates WR Abilene Christian (5' 11 3/4" 192# 4.45 4.37) He was my early sentimental favorite as I love the Abilene Christian (small school) program which produced Johnny Knox and Gates' cousin, Bernard Scott. Is he ranked too high? Maybe - he's a very raw talent, but he just might be better than both of those players. He's an explosive WR, short on playing experience, but with great speed and good hands.
8. Torrey Smith - WR Ohio St Maryland (6’1” 204# 4.40 4.43) Smith gets good separation in and out of his cuts because of his quick acceleration. He can get downfield in a hurry with exceptional speed. He has excellent body control, but he lets too many balls come into his body. His hands were the smallest of any WR at the combine. If he catches the ball consistently in the NFL, he has a bright future.
Tier 3 These guys are just slightly a cut below the above tier IMO, but they also could become productive NFL WRS. The drop-off in skill level is subtle at best from the tier above.
9. Niles Paul - WR Nebraska (6‘1“ 225 4.51) I think his game is a bit like Anquan Boldin's: what stands out is the physicality of his game He is fairly good in his routes, has smallish but strong hands and he catches passes away from his body.
10. Titus Young - WR Boise State (5’ 11 ¼” 174# 4.43 4.53) Young’s explosiveness reminds me of both Eagles receivers, Jeremy Maclin and DeSean Jackson. I think he is quicker than Maclin on his underneath routes and he has close to Jackson’s deep speed. But he’s one of the more controversial WRs in this draft because even more than Julio Jones, he is prone to dropped passes. At the Combine, he sure looked like a guy who doesn’t trust his hands.
11. Greg Salas - WR Hawaii (6’1” 210# 4.56) “Salsa” is a very productive and has a smooth athletecism to his game that will serve him well in the pros. His game is more quickness than speed. He could be a very productive WR2 at the NFL level, because he consistently gets open, is a natural hands catcher, and can make yards with his feet after the catch.
12. Tandon Doss - Indiana (6’ 2” 201# 4.53 est.) Doss will be a very good possession slot receiver. He has very good football instincts and ball skills as well as reliable hands. He could move up into tier two, but he is very hard to rank right now - he is still recovering from surgery to repair two torn groin muscles. Ouch!
13. Jerrel Jernigan - WR Troy (5’-9” 185# 4.38 4.46) Jernigan’s game is a combination of great explosiveness and game-breaking speed. He has great ball tracking skills and is fearless over the middle. Although he has elite speed, I believe he will probably translate as a very productive NFL slot receiver rather than a down-field threat.
14. Austin Pettis – WR Boise St (6‘2 1/2“ 209# 4.56 4.61) A fluid possession receiver with terrific hands and a huge catch radius, Pettis is in the mold of a TJ Houshmandzadeh. Pettis has adequate quickness, but lacks speed. He just really needs to refine his total game, especially his route running.
15. Jonathan Baldwin – WR Pittsburgh (6‘4 1/2” 228# 4.50) Baldwin is a mixed bag. He's a long strider with build up speed and is slow off the LOS, but he has great strength and leaping ability, and good soft hands. Baldwin has poor ability to gain separation. I have him as a player with high bust potential who will get drafted too high based on Combine measurables and the things he does well.
16. Jeremy Kerley - (WR TCU 5’ 9 1/2” 189# 4.62) Jeremy is another small slot guy who gets off the line quickly, runs great routes, shows reliable hands and terrific pass catching technique. His speed is only average, but he always gets separation and he can find soft spots in a zone.
Tier 4 These WRs will most likely get drafted, but I don't expect early or starter-quality WR production from them.
17. Dwayne Harris - WR/KR East Carolina (5’10 1/2” 203# 4.55) Not especailly athletic, but fearless and with very good ability to get yards after the catch.
18. Ronald Johnson – WR USC (5‘11 1/4“ 199# 4.46)
19. Ryan Whalen - WR Stanford (6’1" 202# 4.62)
20. DeAndre Brown – WR Southern Miss (6‘5 3/4” 233# 4.50)
21. Tori Gurley - South Carolina (6’ 4” 216# 4.56)
22. Armon Binns - WR Cincinnati – (6” 3” 209# 4.53)
I probably could have put 3 or 4 more WRs into tier 4 who are very close to these guys, but I had to cut it off somewhere, and 22 seems like a decent number.
Comments and criticisms welcome!
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