Atlanta=7, I don't hate Raheem Morris as a hire. I'll echo what
@ignatiusjreilly said, that he was too young in 2009 at age 33. I thought he did a good job in LA getting a lot out of some very iffy and inexperienced players. Those TB teams also were pretty lacking in talent for the most part. Who was the best player on those 2009-2011 Tampa teams, Donald Penn? Aqib Talib? Kellen Winslow Jr? I'll like it even more if they get Zac Robinson as an OC. He was my 2nd choice for the Bears, and I think he could be another Bobby Slowik.
Carolina=8, yes Dave Canales only had 1 year as an OC, but he's been in the NFL since Pete Carroll took the Seattle job, and until last year spent a lot of time learning from him. I think he deserves a lot of credit for Geno Smith and especially Baker Mayfield's resurgent seasons. He also had a hand in developing Russell Wilson and Tyler Lockett. I think he's a good fit for Bryce Young. I'm surprised there wasn't more interest, as Carolina was his only interview.
Las Vegas=5, I feel like keeping the interim HC the next season almost never works out. The Raiders did go 5-4 after Pierce took over, but other than KC, they beat on some bad teams. Their 2nd most impressive win was over Denver, who benched their QB on a contract issue. I feel extremely comfortable saying the Raiders have the worst HC in their division. I'll be very curious to see what they do at QB, I'd probably make this number lower if they stick with O'Connell.
LA Chargers=10, I think Harbaugh was the best candidate out there, and he goes to a team that has a playoff caliber (when healthy) roster already. Going from Staley to Harbaugh is about as big as coaching upgrades get. Let's not forget Harbaugh never had a losing season in SF, and other than the shortened COVID year, never did at Michigan either. The guy is a winner.
New England=1, I get that Jerod Mayo has been "groomed" for this job. I'm really struggling to see that as a positive. The Belichick coaching tree is about as bad as it gets. Why are we assuming Mayo will be any better than Josh McDaniels, Matt Patricia, Eric Mangini, Brian Flores, or Joe Judge? Honestly, I think they would have been much better off sticking with Belichick, if he'd have been amenable to not being GM which I'm assuming by his lack of hiring so far, that he isn't. I think there is every reason to think this might be the worst team in the NFL going forward if they don't knock the #3 pick out of the park.
Tennessee=6, I think I would have probably preferred to keep Vrabel around and maybe have just gotten a new OC, but perhaps Vrabel was opposed to that. Brian Callahan has worked with Joe Burrow his entire career, but I've often felt that Burrow has succeeded despite his coaches rather than because of them. Callahan also was the QB coach for Derek Carr and Matthew Stafford earlier in his career, so I will say its possible I'm not giving him enough credit. Honestly the biggest feather in his cap might be the competency of Jake Browning down the stretch this season. I think Will Levis showed some real NFL tools but has a lot to clean up as well.
I'm not 100% shocked that Bill Belichick nor Mike Vrabel have gotten jobs yet, and at this point I'm not expecting either to unless they are willing tom be DCs. I'd really love the idea of either (but especially Belichick) taking the DC job for McVay, but that's probably a long shot. I actually wouldn't be shocked if McVay brought Brandon Staley back.
I'm under the impression Pete Carroll isn't really a FA. I thought he moved to a front office role in Seattle, but I have seen some speculation he could on Washington's radar if they don't get Ben Johnson who seems to be their 1st choice.
My opinion is the reason Washington and Seattle haven't hired HCs yet, is because those guys teams are still in the playoffs. My Guess is Ben Johnson to Washington, and Mike MacDonald to Seattle. I'd probably call them 9 hires, maybe 10 for McDonald who I really like a lot. I'd be less thrilled with either hiring Dan Quinn, who I don't hate, but would probably put more on the level of Morris. I'm sure Lions fans are hoping somehow Ben Johnson stays in Detroit.