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I’m not sure how high he’ll go but I also don’t think he’ll last until the Saints pick. The position has been devalued, sure, but that somehow gets echo-chambered until it’s a bit hyperbolic. RBs expected to dominate still get drafted highly. I wouldn’t be shocked if he goes Top 10 but my expectations are in the 17-25 range.
For all the talk of devalued Runningbacks, as recently as two years ago we had two drafted in the first round at picks 24 & 25. Bijan is a better prospect than ETN or Harris IMO so I agree with your last sentence here pretty easily. Nearly every team starting at 19 could use him, I fully expect someone to move up to secure him before that run of teams is on the clock. That assumes he makes past of the range of Atlanta at 8 down through Houston at 12. Sure all those teams have other needs but I wouldn't be shocked as you said if one of those teams took him.
I would have no issue with him going to the Saints, but I agree they’d have to move up to get him.
I’d love the Niners to draft him & trade CMC. It won’t happen, but I’d love it.
Agreed - he’s that good, and teams know it. It all depends on what team believes he makes them that much better as compared to what’s on the board.
Sounds about right - while the position is indeed devalued these days, the fact that he's being touted as the best RB prospect to hit the draft since Barkley may very well be intriguing enough for a team to draft him earlier than we expect. Add to the fact that he's a dynamic receiver and I don't see why teams would shy away from an impactful player.
It’s also kind of chicken and the egg. Is the position devalued because teams think less of running backs, or is it devalued because the caliber of RBs has been lesser?
I can see the argument why draft an RB that early - and in the process give up the opportunity cost of getting another positional player - yet still be able to get a quality RB later. But at the same time, how many of these early opportunity costs at other positions have fallen flat? Don't have the statistics to back it up, but I bet it's pretty high.
I don’t think he’s going top 10, nor do I really think that matters much anymore. These days a RB going in the 1st round is an extreme testament to their talent, even if it’s the backend.
We are here to help! Just say No to BB. No to BB.
I think Cinn is moving on from Mixon and Bijan lands in Cinn. Offensive Fire Power Galore! I can see the whole Offense thriving from this move.
Counterpoint - there isn’t a Bijan Robinson every year. Kid’s gonna be a star. He looks the part, tests the part. Electric player. Could be very special player.
Cards are a likely trade-down candidate though - with the Titans, Raiders, Colts, Falcons all needing QBs, and ARich stock on the rise, it would be smart for them to move that 1.03 down to 4, 7, etc for a haul - and depending on who they deal with they can likely still be in position to get Anderson.Bijan Robinson: Top 5 Landing Spots
www.footballguys.com
Perusing FBG articles found one "top 5 landing spots for Bijan" Titans/Eagles/Chargers/ Cowboys but then Cardinals whom I hadn't considered. I guess I'd be a little surprised given the likelihood of having Anderson land in their lap. Take the layup man.
Hmmm....you must not like winning.
Getting 6-7 years younger with a tougher inside runner. Sounds like winning to me.
They'd have to trade up to get him though.
Yep. And I’d love every second of it if they did because that’s my A-2 jackpot landing spot after the Chargers.
Eh, they’ve also had some fragile RB because Shanny loves track stars. But point taken.
Don’t think it’s gonna happen. The last time the Bengals traded up was in 1995 to get Ki-Janna Carter.
They’re due.
What happened in 1995 IMO has nothing to do with today - different regime entirely. Now if you say the Bengals not wanting to trade up in general for any RB, even Bijan, I can see that.
I think you’re reading it wrong. He’s saying the Bengals aren’t trading up, because it’s not their way. It hasn’t happened in over 20 years.
Fair enough - still doesn’t mean that because they haven’t in ages, they wouldn’t do it now if they were really in love with a player.
It really is a dream scenario - a QB that doesn’t run, a team with 2 alpha WRs to open up holes, and a coach who likes pounding RBs - with an older RB who’d be a relatively easy cut from what I’ve read.
Yes, agree.
I would love if they did. I just don’t think they will. It’s not the way the organization operates. Maybe they’re changing a bit, but I doubt it.
As far as Pollard eating into usage, sure but he is coming back from a broken fibula. That could eat into the beginning part of the season or he could be ready to go week 1. They franchised him and that leads me to believe Pollard is a short-term Cowboy and Bijan would be a long-term investment. I don't believe Pollard was franchised to be a bell cow RB because he really doesn't have the stature for it.
All I know is, their offense has been centered around having an elite running back for years. And this year there happens to be a generational talent who will likely be available to them, or would be available if they moved up a spot or two. In that context, I don’t put a lot of stock into anything they’ve done “historically“ as this is a unique opportunity to secure an elite level talent at a position they may immediately have a need for.
I believe there’s a world where both of these statements are true:
We can agree to disagree. Bijan does things those others can’t/don’t.
I hear you and I love the idea of Bijan to Cincinnati (not a Bengals fan, nor do I have a shot at Bijan), but if you're the Bengals do you trade up, or do let Gibbs fall in your lap.
You seem to be more enamored with speed than me, that is for sure.
