Now if somone loved Chubb and stuck with him over those guy they deserve kudo's for identifying what turned out to be one of the best pure runners of our last decade but if you went with one of those other RB's you were not bad, just not very lucky.
I liked Chubb over most of those guys but took Kerryon first because I thought Chubb would last..........and he did. I was able to get both. But I was in a unique position having the 1.06 and 2.01 so I could gamble like that. If I only had the 1.06 I probably would have taken Chubb there.
People coming here looking for Chubb updates might get upset I'm not talking about Chubb so I'll at least start with him and it's slow right now.
I was most definitely lower on Chubb then consensus, never have a problem admitting my mistakes. One issue was Carlos Hyde. They had just signed him that off-season, was a decent player. The second issue was Chubbs lack of involvement in the passing game which I felt limited his upside in general and made it more difficult for him to put up stats in a RBBC with Hyde.
Knowing what we knew at the time I think those concerns were not unfounded. Hyde kept Chubb buried for about half his rookie season until they traded Hyde away and forced Hue Jackson to play Chubb. But it's close to impossible in a rookie draft to forecast that a team that just signed a guy is going to turn around and trade him, that seems more like wishful thinking then something rooted in reality of happening.
Chubbs lack of pass catching has in fact limited his upside. He's obviously been really good and worth the pick but his 4 best fantasy finishes in PPG are 9, 9, 10 and 12. That's really good, I was coming off a year I loaded up on Kamara and was looking for that kind of upside and Chubbs not been that. Chubb cracked just over 17PPG as his career high. He's averaged 15.48 fantasy points a game in his career, less then 1.5 points over De'Andre Swift who a lot of people around here dislike and I mention just to highlight how impactful passing game involvemenet can be.
So I had Guice and Sony both ranked over Chubb.
I loved Guice. After the NFL draft, where he fell in relation to other RB's, I went on a massive watching of his game looking for flaws since I had pick 2 in two different leagues and just concluded his was elite, did not care what issues the NFL had with him. I think from a pure talent angle I was correct but again I don't know he'll blow out his knee and sexaul assault issues would run him out of the league. To be fair some talk about his lack of maturity being a turn off was present, and rumored to be why he fell but hard to know that stuff from where we sit. He will go down as my worst pick of all time as of now, in part because I've had a good knack for getting out of players I don't like once I draft them but I just lost out with him.
I drafted Sony twice, one of those over Chubb and believe it or not it ended up working out. Both leagues I drafted him I traded him after his rookie season when he got on that end of season playoff run. I knew he had a bone on bone knee issue when I drafted him but thought it was a few years away but he just did not look explosive to me, did not look like the same guy at the end of season for Georgia. The league I did not take him over Chubb I used him to trade for Kittle in a TEP league, I also had to move my first back a few picks into round two but all in all that worked out fine, and again in that league I did not take him over Chubb. The league I did take him over Chubb I traded him away for first round pick in the next year's draft, which was 2020. That pick ended up 1.7 and I took Lamb.
Long story short I'll own preferring Guice and Sony over Chubb, feel like it was valid knowing what I did at the time. In the end I was wrong but my concerns on Chubb were not misplaced and I came out ok on that wrong call at least one place.